Amit Kukreja
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Amit Kukreja

by @amitinvesting

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Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!
Ask about Amit KukrejaAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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556 posts
IRAN SAYS THEY HIT THE US NAVY, US OFFICIALS DENY IT, SEMIS CONTINUE THEIR RUN, OIL UP | MARKET OPEN

Investors should monitor Palantir (PLTR) ahead of earnings, as a growth rate exceeding 80% could trigger a breakout toward a price target of $165. The memory sector remains a high-conviction play due to AI infrastructure bottlenecks; consider Micron (MU) for its low forward P/E or the DRAM ETF for broader exposure to the memory super-cycle. For high-beta exposure to Bitcoin’s momentum near the $80,000 milestone, MicroStrategy (MSTR) and HUT 8 (HUT) are the primary vehicles for aggressive traders. Smaller "Neo-Cloud" providers like Nebius (NBIS) offer higher relative growth potential than Big Tech, especially following strategic capital injections from major partners. To manage risk during AMD’s earnings volatility, investors should consider protective puts or selling covered calls to hedge against "pre-earnings jitters."

APRIL WAS UP 10%, WHERE DOES MAY GO, PLTR & AMD EARNINGS THIS WEEK | MARKET FUTURES

Investors should closely monitor Palantir (PLTR) ahead of earnings, as growth exceeding 85% could trigger a major breakout for the lagging IGV (Software ETF). Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) remains a high-conviction momentum play as it hits all-time highs, fueled by tech giants seeking alternatives to Nvidia. While the AI hardware boom continues to drive the SMH (Semiconductor ETF), the sector is currently overbought, making it wiser to wait for pullbacks rather than chasing current peaks. GameStop (GME) and eBay (EBAY) will experience extreme volatility following a massive $56 billion acquisition proposal, though high debt and dilution risks make this a dangerous trade for retail investors. For a defensive approach, follow Berkshire Hathaway’s (BRK.B) lead by maintaining higher cash reserves as Warren Buffett signals that current market valuations are historically expensive.

APPLE IS BACK TO GROWTH, BIG TECH PROVED THEIR NUMBERS, S&P ALL TIME HIGHS | MARKET OPEN

Apple (AAPL) is a high-conviction buy as it enters a "golden age" of growth, with analysts setting a price target of $330 following strong revenue guidance and a massive $100 billion buyback program. Investors should look toward the June WWDC conference as a major catalyst for AAPL to reveal its AI strategy and drive hardware upgrades. In the cloud sector, Google (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) remain dominant plays with massive backlogs, with MSFT projected to eventually reach a $600 price target. While NVIDIA (NVDA) faces short-term pressure from Chinese competition, the "AI Bottleneck" thesis makes memory providers like Micron (MU) and Western Digital (WDC) essential infrastructure holdings. For those looking for undervalued growth, Zeta Global (ZETA) is considered attractive under $25, while beaten-down software names like Palantir (PLTR) may lead the next market rotation.

BIG TECH EARNINGS REVIEW, APPLE, ZETA, REDDIT, SANDISK TODAY | MARKET CLOSE

Google (GOOGL) is a high-conviction growth play as it shifts capital from buybacks to AI infrastructure, evidenced by a massive $460 billion cloud backlog and 22% top-line revenue growth. Apple (AAPL) remains a strong "buy and hold" candidate following a record $100 billion buyback authorization and projected double-digit revenue growth driven by an AI-powered iPhone upgrade cycle. For investors seeking undervalued growth, Zeta Global (ZETA) offers a compelling opportunity as it trades at a lower multiple than peers despite 50% year-over-year revenue growth and consistent guidance raises. The recent sell-off in NVIDIA (NVDA) and Western Digital (WDC) appears to be a "sell the news" event, providing a potential entry point as big tech companies continue to ramp up massive CapEx spending on AI hardware. While hardware currently leads the market, signs of a bottom in software stocks like Atlassian (TEAM) and Twilio (TWLO) suggest a rotation back into the "SaaS" sector may be approaching.

AI NAMES UP, POWELL'S LAST FED MEETING TODAY, BIG TECH AFTER HOURS, SOFI & HOOD | MARKET OPEN

Investors should prioritize the "bottleneck" trade by targeting Seagate (STX) and Western Digital (WDC), as data center demand for hardware and memory storage continues to drive double-digit gains. Bloom Energy (BNRG) offers a high-conviction play on the massive electricity requirements for AI infrastructure following its recent earnings beat. For value-oriented investors, Meta (META) remains a top pick among Big Tech due to its attractive 20x forward P/E ratio and robust 35% revenue growth. While Intel (INTC) shows strong bullish momentum with aggressive options activity targeting $120, its high valuation makes it a riskier "front-run" play ahead of sustained growth proof. Conversely, the recent 10-12% drop in SoFi (SOFI) presents a "buy the dip" opportunity for long-term holders, though short-term sentiment remains bearish as capital rotates into hardware.

ROBINHOOD Q1 2026 EARNINGS LIVE

Investors should prioritize the "AI Infrastructure" theme by targeting Seagate (STX) and Bloom Energy (BE), which are seeing explosive growth due to massive demand for data storage and power. Micron (MU) remains a high-conviction long-term play in the memory space, with analysts citing a supply bottleneck that could support a price target of $800 through 2027. For stable growth, Visa (V) is a top pick following a "clean beat" and the authorization of a massive $20 billion share buyback program. While Robinhood (HOOD) faces short-term pressure from a "double miss" on earnings, it remains a long-term "financial super app" play if crypto volumes recover or its Trump Accounts initiative scales. Monitor SoFi Technologies (SOFI) for a potential "triple beat" on earnings, using Lending Club (LC) as a positive indicator for the strength of the personal loan market.

OPENAI HAS ISSUES, SEMI STOCKS GO DOWN, BIG TECH REPORTS TOMORROW | MARKET OPEN

View the recent semiconductor pullback in NVIDIA, AMD, and ARM as a healthy valuation reset and a "buy the dip" opportunity rather than a structural collapse. Consider rotating profits from overextended hardware into undervalued SaaS leaders like Salesforce (CRM), ServiceNow (NOW), and Intuit (INTU), which are showing signs of a bullish trend reversal. Meta Platforms (META) remains a high-conviction buy due to its attractive valuation of 22x-24x forward earnings compared to other growth peers. Use the recent 6% dip in Oracle (ORCL) to build a position, as its massive $553 billion backlog provides a significant safety cushion against short-term OpenAI volatility. Be cautious with consumer discretionary stocks like United Airlines (UAL) and Carnival (CCL) as long as Crude Oil remains elevated near $100/barrel.

Nvidia & Google ALL TIME HIGHS, Big Tech Earnings This Week, Can Semis Keep Rallying? | Daily Recap

NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a high-conviction core holding as it trades at a more attractive valuation than its peers while serving as the essential hardware provider for the AI revolution. Meta Platforms (META) is currently positioned as a top pick for a potential 10% price move, driven by aggressive cost-cutting and immediate AI monetization in its advertising business. Investors should monitor Microsoft (MSFT) for a recovery entry point near $425, specifically watching for Copilot revenue growth to signal a reversal of its recent "bear market" trend. Google (GOOGL) and Amazon (AMZN) are both strong buys for cloud exposure, with AWS gaining a competitive edge by integrating OpenAI models into its Bedrock platform. For short-term traders, SoFi (SOFI) presents a high-volatility opportunity around its April 29th earnings report, which coincides with the next Federal Reserve meeting.

NVIDIA & GOOGLE HIT ALL TIME HIGHS, AMKR, CADENCE, CELESTICA EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE

Investors should prioritize NVIDIA (NVDA) as a core AI holding following its recent breakout, as its 81% growth rate and dominant market position make its current valuation attractive for long-term upside. Micron (MU) offers a high-conviction value play in the semiconductor space, currently trading at a significant discount with a forward P/E of only 7. For exposure to the AI software and cloud expansion, Alphabet (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) remain top picks as they benefit from the broadening distribution of OpenAI products. Look toward Nucor (NUE) as a strategic "super-cycle" investment, as the demand for steel to build AI data centers continues to drive earnings beats. Avoid speculative volatility in names like Amcor (AMKR) or Celestica (CLS), where massive pre-earnings rallies have led to "sell the news" price drops despite strong fundamental performance.

BIG TECH EARNINGS, POWELL SPEAKS THIS WEEK   |  MARKET OPEN

Investors should watch for a clean breakout above $212.17 on NVIDIA (NVDA) to signal a new rally, though an overbought RSI of 85 suggests waiting for a short-term dip before entering. Intel (INTC) is emerging as a high-conviction AI infrastructure play as the market revalues the importance of CPUs alongside GPUs for AI processing. Microsoft (MSFT) remains a core long-term hold despite licensing changes with OpenAI, as its status as a major shareholder positions it to profit immensely from a future OpenAI IPO. For high-growth fintech exposure, SoFi (SOFI) is targeting a price range of $23-$25 if upcoming earnings confirm strong member growth and margin flexibility. Within the broader tech sector, Meta (META) is currently favored by analysts for its attractive valuation and 30% top-line growth heading into a massive earnings week.

CAN THE RALLY CONTINUE, BIG TECH EARNINGS THIS WEEK | MARKET FUTURES

Investors should prioritize Meta (META) as a high-conviction "gap up" candidate due to its attractive valuation and direct AI monetization through ad targeting. In the semiconductor space, look for a "CPU re-rating" by shifting focus toward AMD and Intel (INTC), which are benefiting from a massive demand shift toward AI inference architecture. Qualcomm (QCOM) offers a strategic "laggard" entry point for those seeking exposure to Edge AI at a more reasonable price than overextended peers. To play the critical AI infrastructure bottleneck, target memory leaders Micron (MU) and Western Digital (WDC), alongside Amcor (AMCR) for its essential advanced packaging capabilities. For long-term diversification, move beyond chips into "AI Power" plays like Eaton (ETN) and GE Vernova (GEV), which provide the necessary grid equipment to support massive data center expansion.

THE SEMICONDUCTORS LEAD THE BULL MARKET | MARKET CLOSE

NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a high-conviction buy with a price target of $230–$250, provided it breaks key resistance at $212 and maintains its relatively low valuation. AMD is currently in a parabolic move; investors should watch for support at $335 to target a momentum-driven run toward $370 or higher. For those looking at software, Palantir (PLTR) offers a strategic entry point in the $133–$141 range ahead of earnings, targeting a breakout above $154. ServiceNow (NOW) is positioned for a trend reversal if it can clear $109, while Intel (INTC) should be approached with caution due to its high valuation despite recent gains. Monitor big tech earnings next week, as increased AI CapEx spending will serve as a primary catalyst for continued growth in the semiconductor sector.

THE CPU SHORTAGE HAS ENTERED THE BULL MARKET, NEGOTIATIONS MIGHT BEGIN AGAIN | MARKET OPEN

Investors should prioritize Intel (INTC) as a turnaround play following its historic earnings beat, with major institutions raising price targets toward the $90-$100 range amid a global CPU shortage. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) remains a high-conviction growth story as CPUs become essential for AI inference, though investors may consider trimming 20-25% of positions near all-time highs to lock in gains. For core AI exposure, NVIDIA (NVDA) continues to see massive bullish option flow targeting the $250 level by June, supported by rising Big Tech capital expenditures. Broaden semiconductor exposure through Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) and ARM Holdings (ARM), which are both benefiting from the structural shift toward advanced CPU architectures. Avoid stagnant sectors like SaaS and FinTech, instead rotating capital into hardware and energy infrastructure like Micron (MU) and Oklo to capture the next phase of data center demand.

CEASEFIRE CONFUSION, INTEL EARNINGS, MACRO THURSDAY | MARKET CLOSE

Investors should consider Intel (INTC) as a "catch-up trade" for the AI sector following a massive earnings beat that signals a shift in demand toward data center CPUs. This trend provides a bullish tailwind for AMD, with analysts setting long-term price targets between $350–$400 as it tracks toward a $1 trillion market cap. The recent 17% sell-off in ServiceNow (NOW) offers a "buy the dip" opportunity for a high-conviction SaaS play, with a projected price target of $150 by 2027. Beyond chips, Comfort Systems (FIX) represents a high-growth "picks and shovels" investment in the data center cooling and infrastructure space. Strategically, investors should look to trim profits from overextended hardware names and rotate into "value SaaS" leaders like SAP and ServiceNow that have been unfairly discounted.

NEGOTIATIONS MIGHT BEGIN SOON, SERVICE NOW & TESLA TANK, JOBS DATA | MARKET OPEN

The recent 12-15% price drop in ServiceNow (NOW) presents a high-conviction buying opportunity for long-term investors as the company expands its addressable market through AI and strategic acquisitions. In the semiconductor space, NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a more attractive value play than AMD, trading at half the forward P/E multiple despite the sector's record-breaking momentum. Investors should consider Iris Energy (IREN) as a top pick in the "NeoCloud" infrastructure space, as it is positioned to be the next firm to secure a major deal with a hyperscale data provider. Avoid Tesla (TSLA) for now, as the stock faces significant downside risk due to negative free cash flow projections and the delay of autonomous "CyberCabs" until 2027. For those seeking high-growth thematic plays, the MSOS ETF offers exposure to a potential 30% rally driven by the anticipated federal rescheduling of cannabis to Schedule 3.

TESLA Q1 2026 EARNINGS LIVE + SERVICENOW, IBM AND MORE

Investors should look to Texas Instruments (TXN) as a signal that the analog chip market has bottomed, creating a bullish entry point for related plays like ON Semiconductor (ON) and Microchip (MCHP). Tesla (TSLA) is pivoting into a high-conviction AI and robotics firm, though investors should prepare for short-term price volatility due to forecasted negative free cash flow through 2026. The Tesla and Intel (INTC) partnership to build the TerraFab using the 14A process provides a major long-term validation for Intel’s foundry business. While software giants like ServiceNow (NOW) and Salesforce (CRM) are facing valuation pullbacks, the IGV (Software ETF) is approaching a potential "mean reversion" buy zone for patient investors. For those seeking undervalued AI infrastructure, Micron (MU) remains attractive with a low P/E ratio of approximately 7 despite the broader sector rally.

Trump EXTENDS THE CEASEFIRE, Kevin Warsh Gets GRILLED, The BULL MARKET Continues | Daily Recap

The recent indefinite ceasefire between the US and Iran signals a "risk-on" environment, making any dip in the broader indices a buying opportunity as oil price volatility cools. Investors should prioritize Semiconductors and Big Tech, as institutional "smart money" recently poured $5 billion into ETFs like SMH and SOXX. High-conviction growth names like NVIDIA (NVDA), AMD, and Palantir (PLTR) remain primary targets, especially with potential Fed nominee Kevin Warsh viewing AI as a deflationary force that justifies lower interest rates. Monitor upcoming earnings from Tesla (TSLA) and ServiceNow (NOW) this week to confirm if the sector's upward momentum is sustainable. Historically, investing even at all-time highs outperforms waiting for a dip, so maintaining long-term exposure to the S&P 500 is recommended over attempting to time the market.