THE LAST TRADING DAY OF MAY, S&P HITS ALL TIME HIGHS | MARKET CLOSE
THE LAST TRADING DAY OF MAY, S&P HITS ALL TIME HIGHS | MARKET CLOSE
13 hours agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider buying the recent technical dip in NVIDIA (NVDA) near $211, as the late-day drop was driven by institutional rebalancing rather than poor fundamentals. Palantir (PLTR) remains a high-conviction "relative value" play, as it currently trades at a more attractive valuation than peers like CrowdStrike while maintaining superior growth and margins. For long-term exposure to the space economy, Rocket Lab (RKLB) is positioned as a "generational wealth" hold with analysts eyeing a future market cap target of $150B - $200B. Robinhood (HOOD) is evolving into a diversified fintech powerhouse, with a psychological price target of $100+ supported by potential government partnerships for wealth-building accounts. Investors should also look toward AMD, Broadcom (AVGO), and Micron (MU) as capital rotates from NVIDIA into other semiconductor leaders during this extended AI infrastructure cycle.

Detailed Analysis

Robinhood (HOOD)

• The stock experienced a significant rally, up 11% on the day, closing at $94.30. • Catalyst: Public sector groups have approached Robinhood to create white-label versions of "wealth-building accounts" for newborns (similar to proposed government initiatives). • Strategic Shift: The market is starting to "decouple" Robinhood from Bitcoin, viewing it more as a diversified fintech platform with potential government-scale partnerships and increased Assets Under Management (AUM). • The CFO mentioned that existing child wealth-building initiatives often lack a strong product layer, which Robinhood can provide.

Takeaways

Bullish Sentiment: Analysts are eyeing triple digits ($100+) as the next psychological level. • New Revenue Stream: Watch for official announcements regarding municipal or government partnerships, as this represents a new, stable line of business beyond retail trading.


Rocket Lab (RKLB)

• A major focus of the discussion, the stock has surged from $4 to roughly $150 (historical context). • Manufacturing Strength: Beyond just launching rockets, the company is becoming a "manufacturing machine," subcontracting components for almost everything going into space (including competitors like SpaceX and Amazon). • Execution: On track for its 100th Electron launch, potentially faster than the Falcon 9 reached that milestone. • Valuation Debate: While an $85 billion market cap was unexpected so soon, long-term targets of $150B - $200B are being discussed as the "Space TAM" (Total Addressable Market) expands.

Takeaways

Long-term Hold: Investors with low cost-bases are treating this as a "generational wealth" play rather than trading the volatility. • SpaceX Tailwind: The rumored $1.8 trillion valuation for SpaceX provides a valuation "halo" for Rocket Lab as the primary public competitor.


NVIDIA (NVDA)

• Experienced a "flash crash" in the final minutes of trading, dropping from $217 to $211 (erasing ~$125B in market cap). • Context: The drop was attributed to end-of-month rebalancing by institutional funds rather than negative fundamental news. • Upcoming Catalyst: Rumors of a "New Era of PC" collaboration with Microsoft involving CPUs.

Takeaways

Buy the Dip: The late-day drop was viewed as "Friday shenanigans" and a technical rebalance, not a change in the AI story. • Sector Rotation: Money appeared to flow out of NVIDIA and into other semiconductor names like AMD, Broadcom, and Micron during the close.


Palantir (PLTR)

• Stock surged 9% to close above $156. • Valuation Insight: Palantir is currently trading at a cheaper EV/EBITDA multiple (~65x) than CrowdStrike (~95x) and Snowflake (~70x), despite having faster growth and better margins. • The company is "GAP profitable," which removes a major historical bearish argument regarding its valuation.

Takeaways

Relative Value Play: Palantir is being re-rated by the market as a top-tier SaaS name with a more attractive valuation than its peers in cybersecurity and data warehousing.


Investment Themes & Sector Insights

Software & Cybersecurity

CrowdStrike (CRWD): Up 9% following analyst upgrades. The narrative is that AI models will drive massive demand for cybersecurity. • ServiceNow (NOW): Up 14%, showing a strong recovery after being "depressed" for several months. • Salesforce (CRM): Up 8%, indicating a broad rotation back into enterprise software.

Semiconductors (Broadening Out)

Micron (MU) & Broadcom (AVGO): Both closed near all-time highs. • AMD: Saw a late-day spike to $516, benefiting from the rotation out of NVIDIA. • The "CapEx" Story: The analyst believes the AI infrastructure spend (CapEx) from "Hyperscalers" (Microsoft, Google, Amazon) has at least 12-24 months of runway left.

Space Sector

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS): Down roughly 15% following a failed launch by Blue Origin (a partner/launcher), but showing resilience. • SpaceX: Rumored to be seeking a $1.8T - $2.0T valuation. This is driving interest in the entire sector, including Redwire (RDW) and Rocket Lab.

Market Sentiment

S&P 500: At all-time highs, but notably "healthier" because participation has broadened beyond just a few tech names into fintech, software, and industrials. • VIX: At monthly lows, indicating low market volatility, which generally supports higher equity prices.

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About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!