
Consider buying the recent technical dip in NVIDIA (NVDA) near $211, as the late-day drop was driven by institutional rebalancing rather than poor fundamentals. Palantir (PLTR) remains a high-conviction "relative value" play, as it currently trades at a more attractive valuation than peers like CrowdStrike while maintaining superior growth and margins. For long-term exposure to the space economy, Rocket Lab (RKLB) is positioned as a "generational wealth" hold with analysts eyeing a future market cap target of $150B - $200B. Robinhood (HOOD) is evolving into a diversified fintech powerhouse, with a psychological price target of $100+ supported by potential government partnerships for wealth-building accounts. Investors should also look toward AMD, Broadcom (AVGO), and Micron (MU) as capital rotates from NVIDIA into other semiconductor leaders during this extended AI infrastructure cycle.
• The stock experienced a significant rally, up 11% on the day, closing at $94.30. • Catalyst: Public sector groups have approached Robinhood to create white-label versions of "wealth-building accounts" for newborns (similar to proposed government initiatives). • Strategic Shift: The market is starting to "decouple" Robinhood from Bitcoin, viewing it more as a diversified fintech platform with potential government-scale partnerships and increased Assets Under Management (AUM). • The CFO mentioned that existing child wealth-building initiatives often lack a strong product layer, which Robinhood can provide.
• Bullish Sentiment: Analysts are eyeing triple digits ($100+) as the next psychological level. • New Revenue Stream: Watch for official announcements regarding municipal or government partnerships, as this represents a new, stable line of business beyond retail trading.
• A major focus of the discussion, the stock has surged from $4 to roughly $150 (historical context). • Manufacturing Strength: Beyond just launching rockets, the company is becoming a "manufacturing machine," subcontracting components for almost everything going into space (including competitors like SpaceX and Amazon). • Execution: On track for its 100th Electron launch, potentially faster than the Falcon 9 reached that milestone. • Valuation Debate: While an $85 billion market cap was unexpected so soon, long-term targets of $150B - $200B are being discussed as the "Space TAM" (Total Addressable Market) expands.
• Long-term Hold: Investors with low cost-bases are treating this as a "generational wealth" play rather than trading the volatility. • SpaceX Tailwind: The rumored $1.8 trillion valuation for SpaceX provides a valuation "halo" for Rocket Lab as the primary public competitor.
• Experienced a "flash crash" in the final minutes of trading, dropping from $217 to $211 (erasing ~$125B in market cap). • Context: The drop was attributed to end-of-month rebalancing by institutional funds rather than negative fundamental news. • Upcoming Catalyst: Rumors of a "New Era of PC" collaboration with Microsoft involving CPUs.
• Buy the Dip: The late-day drop was viewed as "Friday shenanigans" and a technical rebalance, not a change in the AI story. • Sector Rotation: Money appeared to flow out of NVIDIA and into other semiconductor names like AMD, Broadcom, and Micron during the close.
• Stock surged 9% to close above $156. • Valuation Insight: Palantir is currently trading at a cheaper EV/EBITDA multiple (~65x) than CrowdStrike (~95x) and Snowflake (~70x), despite having faster growth and better margins. • The company is "GAP profitable," which removes a major historical bearish argument regarding its valuation.
• Relative Value Play: Palantir is being re-rated by the market as a top-tier SaaS name with a more attractive valuation than its peers in cybersecurity and data warehousing.
• CrowdStrike (CRWD): Up 9% following analyst upgrades. The narrative is that AI models will drive massive demand for cybersecurity. • ServiceNow (NOW): Up 14%, showing a strong recovery after being "depressed" for several months. • Salesforce (CRM): Up 8%, indicating a broad rotation back into enterprise software.
• Micron (MU) & Broadcom (AVGO): Both closed near all-time highs. • AMD: Saw a late-day spike to $516, benefiting from the rotation out of NVIDIA. • The "CapEx" Story: The analyst believes the AI infrastructure spend (CapEx) from "Hyperscalers" (Microsoft, Google, Amazon) has at least 12-24 months of runway left.
• AST SpaceMobile (ASTS): Down roughly 15% following a failed launch by Blue Origin (a partner/launcher), but showing resilience. • SpaceX: Rumored to be seeking a $1.8T - $2.0T valuation. This is driving interest in the entire sector, including Redwire (RDW) and Rocket Lab.
• S&P 500: At all-time highs, but notably "healthier" because participation has broadened beyond just a few tech names into fintech, software, and industrials. • VIX: At monthly lows, indicating low market volatility, which generally supports higher equity prices.

By @amitinvesting
Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!