OIL UP 6%, MARKET DOESN'T CARE,  S&P ALL TIME HIGHS | MARKET CLOSE
OIL UP 6%, MARKET DOESN'T CARE, S&P ALL TIME HIGHS | MARKET CLOSE
13 hours agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Investors should consider Alphabet (GOOGL) as a long-term core holding following a $10 billion investment from Berkshire Hathaway at $351, which establishes a strong valuation floor. Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) is a high-conviction momentum play after raising its EPS guidance to $3.45, signaling massive demand for AI server infrastructure. Meta Platforms (META) presents a "buy the dip" opportunity for 2026, with analysts identifying a "generational valuation" entry point if the price nears $550. For aggressive growth, specialized "NeoCloud" providers like Nebius (NEBUS) and CoreWeave (CRVW) offer high-risk exposure to the AI compute shortage. Finally, the IGV Software ETF and stocks like ServiceNow (NOW) are prime targets for a recovery play as the software sector rebounds from recent lows.

Detailed Analysis

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL / GOOG)

• Alphabet announced a proposed $80 billion equity capital raise to fund massive AI infrastructure and compute ambitions. • The raise includes a $10 billion private placement to Berkshire Hathaway at a price of $351 per share (roughly a 5% discount to market price). • The remaining $70 billion consists of underwritten public offerings and an "At-the-Market" (ATM) program for Class A and Class C shares. • This marks a significant shift from the company's long-standing strategy of aggressive share buybacks to becoming a net issuer of stock.

Takeaways

Bullish for AI Infrastructure: This capital is destined for data centers and chips, signaling that the AI build-out is in an "expansion mode" that could last 5-10 years. • Short-term Dilution vs. Long-term Growth: While issuing new shares dilutes current shareholders, the move is seen as a "war chest" to ensure Google remains a dominant player in the AI race. • Institutional Validation: The $10 billion investment from Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway provides a major "institutional co-sign," suggesting a floor for the stock valuation around the $350 level.


Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE)

• HPE shares surged over 30% in after-hours trading following a massive earnings beat and raised guidance. • Q2 Revenue: $10.6 billion (beating estimates of $9.7 billion). • Full-Year EPS Guide: Raised significantly to $3.45 (well above the $2.50 analyst consensus). • CEO Antonio Neri reported that traditional server bookings are up triple digits, marking the largest backlog in company history.

Takeaways

Server Demand is Accelerating: HPE’s results validate the "Dell thesis"—there is insatiable demand for AI servers and networking equipment. • Networking Growth: Networking revenue grew 148% year-over-year, showing that the infrastructure layer of AI is where the immediate "windfall" of cash is flowing. • Supply Constraints: Management noted that memory supply remains constrained and costs will likely stay elevated through 2027.


NVIDIA (NVDA)

• NVIDIA rose over 6% during the day, adding roughly $312 billion in market cap in a single session. • The stock rebounded strongly from a dip the previous Friday, with the analyst describing it as "the easiest money" for those who bought the $212 level. • Sentiment remains high following CEO Jensen Huang’s "AI supply chain dinner" in Taiwan and new CPU announcements.

Takeaways

Dominance in the "Build-out": As hyperscalers like Google raise billions to spend on infrastructure, NVIDIA remains the primary beneficiary. • Competitive Pressure on Rivals: NVIDIA’s move into CPUs is putting significant pressure on Intel (INTC) and AMD, both of which underperformed during the session.


Meta Platforms (META)

• Meta shares underperformed, trading down and flirting with the $600 level despite the broader market rally. • The analyst described Meta as a "screaming buy for 2026" and noted he is buying the dip personally. • There was no specific negative headline, though some market participants may be wary of potential future dilution if Meta follows Google’s lead in raising capital for CapEx.

Takeaways

Fundamental Strength: Despite the price drop, the thesis remains unbroken; the analyst views this as a "quality discount" on a top-10 most-owned global stock. • Valuation Opportunity: If the stock continues to fall toward $550, it is viewed as a "generational valuation" opportunity for a company with strong free cash flow.


The "NeoCloud" Sector (NEBUS, CRVW, KEEL, HIVE)

Nebius (NEBUS) rose 14% following a major partnership announcement with France involving an 8 billion euro investment. • CoreWeave (CRVW) gained 13% as momentum builds for specialized AI cloud providers. • Hive Technologies (HIVE) saw a 9% jump after hours, though specific earnings numbers were delayed.

Takeaways

Alternative to Big Tech: These smaller, specialized clouds are seen as high-growth vehicles that could become "$100 billion companies" if compute constraints persist. • High Risk/High Reward: While they offer more momentum than Meta or Microsoft, they carry significantly higher volatility and risk.


Investment Themes & Sector Insights

AI Infrastructure & Semiconductors

The "Build-out" is Real: The massive capital raises by Google and the earnings beats by HPE and Dell suggest the AI infrastructure cycle is accelerating, not slowing down. • Beneficiaries: Broadcom (AVGO), Marvell (MRVL), Micron (MU), and Vertiv (VRT) are highlighted as key "picks and shovels" plays that benefit from increased CapEx.

Software (SaaS) Rebound

• The IGV (Software ETF) saw its largest two-day gain since 2001. • Stocks like ServiceNow (NOW), Salesforce (CRM), and Zeta Global (ZETA) are participating in a broad "software rebound" as investors realize these companies have strong fundamentals despite recent "hissy fits" in the market.

Space Sector

• A "breather" or consolidation phase is occurring in space stocks. Rocket Lab (RKLB), AST Spacemobile (ASTS), and Redwire (RDW) saw double-digit red days following recent massive runs. • SpaceX remains a major upcoming catalyst with a planned secondary offering/IPO activity expected around June 12th.

Cryptocurrency (BTC/ETH)

Sentiment: Bearish/Neutral in the short term. Bitcoin fell below $71,000 as liquidity rotates into high-performing tech stocks. • Takeaway: Tom Lee remains long-term bullish, citing "tokenization" and "decentralized identity" as future drivers, but acknowledges that "rage quitting" is happening as investors chase AI gains.

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About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!