JENSEN ANNOUNCES NEW PRODUCTS, SOFTWARE IS BACK, MICRON HITS 1000 | MARKET OPEN
JENSEN ANNOUNCES NEW PRODUCTS, SOFTWARE IS BACK, MICRON HITS 1000 | MARKET OPEN
20 hours agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube2 hr 27 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

NVIDIA (NVDA) is evolving into a full-stack provider with its new Vera Rubin CPU architecture, leading analysts to raise price targets toward $300. Investors should consider "Neo-Cloud" providers Nebius (NBIS) and CoreWeave as high-conviction plays for specialized AI workloads, especially given their potential for short squeezes. The "SaaS Summer" rotation suggests buying "hated" software names like ServiceNow (NOW), Palantir (PLTR), and Salesforce (CRM) as the market realizes AI agents will supercharge these platforms. Micron Technology (MU) remains a top pick for AI memory demand, with a potential stock split and earnings "crush" serving as upcoming catalysts. While the space sector is volatile, watch for the SpaceX IPO within the next 11 days as a major sentiment driver for Rocket Lab (RKLB) and AST SpaceMobile (ASTS).

Detailed Analysis

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • Key Announcements: Jensen Huang announced new products at a GTC-style keynote in Taiwan, specifically focusing on the Vera Rubin (or Vera) CPU architecture.
  • Strategic Shift: NVIDIA is aggressively entering the CPU market, traditionally dominated by AMD and Intel. Jensen argued that traditional CPUs (x86) are built for humans, while the "Agentic AI" era requires CPUs built for nanosecond response times and low latency.
  • Product Launches: Introduced a new AI laptop featuring NVIDIA RTX technology and Microsoft’s operating system, positioned as a direct competitor to Apple’s M-series Mac Minis and MacBooks.
  • Market Sentiment: Bullish. Analysts are raising price targets toward $300. The stock recovered quickly from end-of-month rebalancing volatility.

Takeaways

  • Actionable Insight: NVIDIA is no longer just a GPU company; it is becoming a full-stack data center and consumer hardware provider. The entry into CPUs creates a new growth vertical.
  • Risk Factor: The consumer AI laptop market is unproven, and visibility into these sales may not be clear for another eight months.

The "Neo-Clouds": Nebius (NBIS) & CoreWeave

  • Context: Jensen Huang specifically highlighted Nebius and CoreWeave as core partners for deploying the new Vera Rubin chips on NBL72 racks.
  • Nebius (NBIS): Mentioned as a leader in the "inference" market. The stock saw significant momentum, pushing toward a $65 billion market cap. It also owns 25% of ClickHouse, a major player in data processing.
  • CoreWeave: Described as a "world-class AI cloud" that has grown to a $60-$70 billion valuation. It is partnering with Dell and ARM to deploy NVIDIA's latest hardware.
  • Short Squeeze: Both stocks have high short floats (Nebius at ~23%, CoreWeave at ~15%), contributing to "bye-bye" (explosive) price action.

Takeaways

  • Actionable Insight: These "Neo-Clouds" are emerging as the primary alternatives to the "Big Three" (AWS, Azure, Google Cloud) for specialized AI workloads.
  • Investment Theme: The market is currently favoring these specialized players over diversified giants like Google or Amazon due to their pure-play exposure to AI inference.

Software & SaaS ("SaaS Summer")

  • Investment Theme: The transcript frames a "SaaS Summer" rotation. After being "beaten up" all year, software names are rebounding as the market realizes AI agents will still need to use these application layers.
  • Specific Mentions:
    • ServiceNow (NOW): Up significantly (~10%); described as a "Service Currently" play for enterprise AI.
    • Palantir (PLTR): Seen as a major beneficiary of the "Agentic AI" era; currently trading at a more attractive multiple relative to peers like Snowflake.
    • Zeta Global (ZETA): Saw a ~9% breakout, moving past key resistance levels at $24.
    • Salesforce (CRM): Recovering strongly toward $206 after a period of being "hated" by the market.
    • Adobe (ADBE): Rebounding as investors realize AI agents will use Adobe tools even if human interaction decreases.
    • Figma: Mentioned as a potential short-squeeze candidate with a 30% short float.

Takeaways

  • Actionable Insight: "Buy the hated names." The narrative has shifted from "AI will kill software" to "AI agents will supercharge software usage."
  • Strategy: Look for software companies with strong free cash flow that are still trading at "laughable" multiples compared to their historical averages.

Micron Technology (MU)

  • Context: The stock hit all-time highs, crossing the $1,000 mark (pre-split equivalent/psychological level) and reaching a $1.1 trillion market cap.
  • Catalysts: Received four analyst upgrades over a single weekend. The growth in HBM (High Bandwidth Memory) required for NVIDIA's chips is the primary driver.
  • Investment Opportunity: For those who find the $1,000+ price tag too high, the transcript suggests DRAM (an ETF or related play) as a way to get similar exposure.

Takeaways

  • Actionable Insight: Micron is becoming "normalized" at a higher earnings multiple due to its essential role in the AI hardware stack.
  • Timeline: Watch for the upcoming earnings report; the market expects a "crush" and a potential stock split announcement.

Space Sector: Rocket Lab (RKLB) & AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)

  • Sentiment: Bearish/Volatile. Rocket Lab fell ~12% and ASTS fell ~10%.
  • Risk Factors: Sentiment was damaged by a recent Blue Origin static fire explosion and rumors of lower valuations for the upcoming SpaceX IPO.
  • The "Meme" Factor: Virgin Galactic (SPCE) spiked ~30% purely because retail investors reportedly confused the ticker with SpaceX.

Takeaways

  • Actionable Insight: The space sector is currently "high beta" and highly sensitive to news from private players like SpaceX and Blue Origin.
  • Watch Item: The SpaceX IPO (expected in the next 11 days) will be the ultimate "make or break" catalyst for the sector.

Macro & Geopolitical Risks

  • Iran/Israel Conflict: Headlines regarding Iran suspending negotiations due to Israeli actions in Lebanon caused a spike in Oil (Brent Crude hitting $94-$97).
  • Inflation Risk: Rising oil prices are fueling fears of a "higher for longer" interest rate environment, potentially leading to a Fed rate hike rather than a cut.
  • Bitcoin (BTC): Dropped toward $71,000 as a "scapegoat" for geopolitical tensions. MicroStrategy (MSTR) reportedly sold some Bitcoin to buy back its own stock, which is seen as a mixed sentiment signal.

Takeaways

  • Actionable Insight: If oil remains above $90, growth stocks and fintech (like SoFi) may face pressure due to interest rate sensitivity.
  • Opportunity: Any significant dip caused by geopolitical headlines is currently viewed by the analyst as a "buy the dip" opportunity, as earnings growth remains the dominant force.
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Video Description
twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting deepdives: https://amitsdeepdives.substack.com/ singapore meetup: https://tinyurl.com/y75mh25b 00:00 - Intro 06:00 - Iran 09:00 - NVDA 35:50 - Macro 44:00 - Market Open 1:15:00 - ISM 1:47:00 - Jose Joins
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!