Amit Kukreja
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Amit Kukreja

by @amitinvesting

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Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!
Ask about Amit KukrejaAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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678 posts
AMAZON AND APPLE EARNINGS LIVE | MARKET CLOSE
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META DOWN 10%, MICROSOFT UP 10%, LEOPOLD RAISING NEW CASH, ARE WE CLOSE TO A BOTTOM? | MARKET OPEN

Consider Microsoft (MSFT) as a stable, long-term buy due to its disciplined capital expenditure management, robust cloud growth, and strong AI software monetization. For Meta Platforms (META), hold off on adding new positions and wait for clearer management signals regarding capital expenditure return on investment following recent price target cuts to $820. Capitalize on the recent market dip for Robinhood Markets (HOOD), as strong underlying fundamentals, record net deposits of $22 billion, and expanding Gold subscribers make the stock fundamentally sound. Take advantage of high-risk, high-reward bounce opportunities in memory and hardware chip stocks like Micron (MU) within the broader Semiconductor Sector (SMH). Keep in mind that the recent extreme semiconductor sell-offs were driven by systemic hedge fund deleveraging rather than a structural failure of the long-term AI demand thesis.

ROBINHOOD, META, MICROSOFT Q2 2026 EARNINGS LIVE

Capitalize on Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) by buying shares on current momentum, as record revenues of $1.3 billion and surging subscription growth showcase successful diversification into banking and prediction markets. Accumulate shares of Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) for its dominant large-cap tech position, driven by Azure cloud revenue surpassing $100 billion and robust free cash flow generation. Exercise patience with Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) and wait for a better entry point, as heavy legal charges and surging AI infrastructure spending are temporarily compressing operating margins to 31%. Approach Qualcomm Incorporated (QCOM) cautiously given upcoming cyclical headwinds, as rising memory chip inflation threatens near-term smartphone margins.

FOMC MEETING LIVE | KEVIN WARSH SPEAKS LIVE

Capitalize on recent market-wide semiconductor sell-offs by accumulating long-term positions in fundamentally strong chip leaders like Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) and NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) during forced institutional deleveraging. Take advantage of the short-term disconnect between phenomenal fundamental performance and stock price movement by buying SoFi Technologies, Inc. (SOFI) near the $14.80 to $15.30 range. Look to resilient enterprise software and breakout names like Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) and Shopify Inc. (SHOP) for relative strength during periods of broader market de-risking. Ignore short-term macroeconomic noise and margin concerns in cash-generative technology giants like Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) and Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL / GOOG) to build lasting wealth over a 5-to-10-year horizon. Prepare for high-beta volatility and aggressive valuation swings when trading high-growth thematic plays like Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) and Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB).

KOREA FALLS ANOTHER 5%, SOFI EARNINGS, FOMC TODAY, META MSFT HOOD RESULTS | MARKET OPEN

Capitalize on the recent post-earnings sell-off in SoFi Technologies (SOFI) by accumulating shares near 52-week lows, as the company raised full-year revenue guidance to $4.85 billion despite macro headwinds. Exercise extreme caution with SK Hynix and memory plays like Micron (MU), Sandisk, Seagate (STX), and Western Digital (WDC), because fragile market sentiment is heavily punishing even minor metric misses amid looming supply normalization. Buy the dip on Vertiv Holdings (VRT) following its 9% post-earnings pullback, utilizing the discounted entry to capitalize on strong data center infrastructure tailwinds and raised forward guidance. Closely monitor upcoming macroeconomic interest rate decisions before entering positions in rate-sensitive fintech and AI hardware names to minimize near-term volatility risks over the next quarter.

BLOOM ENERGY, VISA, ENPHASE, SEAGATE, FORD EARNINGS + TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE

Bloom Energy (BE) is a compelling investment after reporting a massive 90% earnings-per-share beat driven by high-demand data center partnerships. Seagate Technology (STX) presents a strong buying opportunity in the data storage sector, backed by record free cash flow, surging gross margins, and a robust Q1 fiscal 2027 revenue guide of $4.1 billion. Enphase Energy (ENPH) is a viable solar turnaround candidate following raised forward guidance and stable gross margins of 47%. Visa (V) offers defensive stability for investors looking for reliable double-digit earnings growth despite broader market uncertainty. Finally, Ford Motor Company (F) acts as an attractive value play, using profitable traditional and commercial vehicle divisions to offset ongoing EV transition losses.

SEMICONDUCTOR TRADE UNWINDS, SOUTH KOREA DOWN 10%, META AND MICROSOFT THIS WEEK | MARKET OPEN

Capitalize on the recent semiconductor sell-off by treating current pullbacks in NVIDIA (NVDA) and Micron Technology (MU) as long-term buying opportunities, while carefully monitoring near-term circular financing and cyclical peak risks. Use broad market risk-off phases to accumulate shares of high-beta software leader Palantir Technologies (PLTR) only after its price stabilizes. Consider rotating funds into Apple (AAPL) as a defensive, cash-generative harbor to protect your portfolio from ongoing sector volatility. Avoid overpaying for Apple's (AAPL) premium safety valuation if market sentiment stabilizes and capital quickly flows back into high-growth innovators.

Palantir CEO Alex Karp: "It's Like No Glove, No Love. No Ontology, No Love."

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) presents a compelling high-conviction investment opportunity as unprecedented enterprise and government demand for its Artificial Intelligence Platform drastically outstrips supply. The company is rapidly scaling its secure software infrastructure to capitalize on a massive shift toward proprietary corporate data protection and localized AI models. Strategic compute partnerships with NVIDIA (NVDA) further cement Palantir's foundational role at the center of the American enterprise AI ecosystem. Management's long-term vision positions the firm on a clear trajectory toward becoming a future trillion-dollar company. Investors should consider accumulating shares of PLTR to capture explosive multi-year growth driven by this widening competitive moat.

AN UGLY DAY TO END OUT THE WEEK | MARKET CLOSE

Investors should consider rotating capital out of overheated AI hardware and into resilient software leaders like Palantir (PLTR) and Shopify (SHOP) as momentum unwinds. Defensive safe-havens like Verizon (VZ) offer strong relative outperformance and steady cash-flow generation during broader market corrections. Take advantage of the recent 7-8% pullback in Micron (MU) toward the $913 level as a potential entry point supported by tight memory supplies and CEO backing. Short-term investors should exercise caution with Uber (UBER) following a 4.5% drop caused by Google's Waymo planning to independently launch autonomous services by January 2028. Closely monitor upcoming Big Tech earnings reports for updated CapEx guidance before committing fresh capital to high-beta semiconductor plays like NVIDIA (NVDA).

INTEL CRUSHES EARNINGS, LISA SU THINKS AI IS ONLY GROWING, MAG 7 STRUGGLE | MARKET OPEN

Investors should consider accumulating shares in Alphabet (GOOGL) and Tesla (TSLA) during recent sell-offs, as heavy capital expenditures create short-term free cash flow pressure but cement their long-term AI dominance. Bank of America has raised its price target for Intel (INTC) to $160, though long-term investors should wait for near-term macroeconomic volatility to subside before entering due to an aggressive 2027 CapEx outlook. For Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), analysts have set ambitious price targets up to $1,250 with expectations of strong EPS growth by 2030, making market pullbacks ideal accumulation opportunities. Investors in the memory sector should exercise caution and monitor DRAM and NAND pricing trends closely following Morgan Stanley's warning of potential oversupply risks over the next year. Cryptocurrency investors should maintain strict risk management around Bitcoin near $64,300 as regulatory headwinds, including lowered probabilities for the Clarity Act, weigh on near-term sentiment.

TESLA & GOOGLE GO DOWN, OIL ABOVE 92, INTEL EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE

Capitalize on the tech sector sell-off by buying Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) near the $315–$318 range, treating heavy AI spending as a multi-year buying opportunity. For Intel Corporation (INTC), ride the momentum of its blockbuster 25% revenue growth and raised 2026 CapEx to $20 billion, which validates surging data center demand. Use Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) as a strong sector proxy to capture the expanding $1.4 trillion AI accelerator market projected through 2030. Accumulate shares of ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) in the $95–$100 range, where compressed forward multiples around 16x EBITDA create an attractive entry point following their strategic cybersecurity push. Finally, hedge high macroeconomic risks like sticky inflation and a 4.7% 10-year Treasury yield by avoiding high-beta, prolonged-volatility plays like Tesla Inc. (TSLA) near its $300 support.

GOOGLE ISN'T STOPPING THE SPEND, SEMIS UP, TESLA SERVICE NOW EARNINGS, INTEL TODAY  | MARKET OPEN

Capitalize on the recent 5% to 7% pullback in Alphabet Inc. / GOOGL by accumulating shares, as explosive 82% cloud growth and proven AI monetization outweigh short-term free cash flow pressures. Avoid Tesla, Inc. / TSLA following its 11% to 14% drop, because compressed automotive margins and heavy reliance on non-operational gains signal fundamental near-term weakness. Buy ServiceNow, Inc. / NOW to capture resilient B2B software demand after the company raised its subscription revenue guidance to $15.78 billion. Invest in Lockheed Martin Corporation / LMT to capitalize on a 5% upside driven by safe-haven inflows and escalating geopolitical conflicts. Hedge against macroeconomic volatility by monitoring Crude Oil trading above $90–$92 a barrel and the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield at 4.7%.

TESLA AND GOOGLE  Q2 2026 EARNINGS LIVE

Capitalize on Alphabet's aggressive infrastructure push by buying semiconductor and networking leaders like NVIDIA and Micron, as hyperscaler spending targets up to $375 billion by 2027.

Look to leverage Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) for long-term growth given its staggering 82% cloud revenue surge, though investors must monitor near-term negative free cash flow.

Exercise caution with Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) in the near term due to declining automotive margins, negative free cash flow, and a prolonged manufacturing timeline for the Optimus robot.

Accumulate shares of ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) as a top enterprise software play, supported by robust 23% subscription revenue growth and an AI annual contract value surpassing the $1 billion run rate.

JENSEN GIVES AN UPDATE ON KIM K3, AMD ANTHROPIC DEAL, GOOGLE AND TESLA REPORT TODAY | MARKET OPEN

Capitalize on AMD shares following their massive multi-billion-dollar deal with Anthropic for MI450 chips starting in 2027, which cements their leadership in the AI infrastructure buildout. Buy NVIDIA (NVDA) on weakness because the proliferation of open-source Chinese AI models will drive even greater enterprise demand for their computing power and data centers. Accumulate Super Micro Computer (SMCI) following their preliminary guidance showing a record backlog of $60 billion and expected gross margin expansion up to 17%. Invest in Rocket Lab (RKLB) to capture near-term defense momentum after securing a $266 million U.S. Air Force launch contract to be completed by the end of 2028. Monitor Alphabet (GOOGL) closely during their upcoming earnings report, as their capital expenditure guidance will act as a major trading barometer for the entire semiconductor sector.

SEMIS HAVE A BIG DAY, IBKR AND CAPITAL ONE EARNINGS, TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE

SMCI’s surprise margin jump lifted server and AI infrastructure names, making DELL, HPE, CRWV, and NBIS compelling for a short-term bounce as the catalyst filters through the sector.
With the bipartisan crypto Clarity Act nearing a Congressional deadline, Bitcoin could climb toward $75,000 by August, favoring direct plays like COIN and leveraged ETHU over proxies.
Rocket Lab (RKLB) popped on a $266M Air Force contract and is bouncing from $60 support, presenting a trade with a stop near $57 and a target of $75–$80.
Micron (MU)’s sharp snapback points to a potential retest of $925; holding that level would target a return to $1,000.
Broadcom (AVGO) is consolidating in an uptrend; a break above $395 could drive a move to $450, with support at $370.

GOOGLE EARNINGS TOMORROW, TRUMP PUTS ON NEW TARIFFS, SEMIS TRY TO RECOVER | MARKET OPEN

Google (GOOGL) reports tomorrow; a reaffirmed AI CapEx commitment could ignite NVDA, AMD, and NeoClouds like Nebius and CoreWeave.
Bitcoin’s push toward $70,000 targets a retest of highs, and the Clarity Act vote by August 7 creates a major catalyst for COIN, HOOD, and MSTR.
Micron (MU) surged to $950 and needs a close above $955 for a bullish reversal; watch for a drop below $900 as a warning.
AMD’s Microsoft partnership and Thursday event could extend gains above $523, challenging NVIDIA’s dominance.
Robinhood (HOOD) jumped 5% on crypto tailwinds and a $160 price target; a Bitcoin breakout above $70k would likely propel it further.

SEMIS TRY TO RECOVER, SPACEX CONTINUES DOWN,  GOOGLE'S NEW CHIP | MARKET CLOSE

Investors should prioritize AMD as it shows resilience above $500 following a major partnership with Microsoft (MSFT), potentially benefiting from a shift toward CPU demand in "Agentic AI."

Monitor Google (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) earnings closely, as any signal of reduced AI infrastructure spending could trigger a violent downward move across the semiconductor sector, specifically impacting NVIDIA (NVDA) and Micron (MU).

Consider IREN as a high-conviction play in AI infrastructure following its $2.8 billion compute deal, as the market currently favors "picks and shovels" over commoditized AI models.

Exercise extreme caution with Tesla (TSLA) below $370 and SpaceX secondary shares, as both face significant valuation resets and a lack of near-term catalysts.

Watch the 10-year Treasury yield and global margin levels, as a rise toward 4.6% combined with high retail leverage could lead to forced liquidations if Big Tech names drop another 10-15%.

KIMI K3 MEANS MORE COMPUTE CONSTRAINS, IRAN CEASEFIRE BACK, BIG TECH EARNINGS | MARKET OPEN

Investors should consider AMD as a high-conviction alternative to NVIDIA following its expanded partnership with Microsoft to deploy next-gen Instinct GPUs starting in late 2024. For those seeking infrastructure plays, IREN and Hut 8 (HUT) are successfully pivoting to AI data center hosting, recently securing multi-billion dollar contracts that transform them into essential power and real estate assets. NVIDIA (NVDA) remains the core holding for the AI trade, maintaining a 95% market share and securing massive new orders for its Blackwell GPUs. The shift toward open-source AI models is moving investment value from software to the "infrastructure layer," making memory providers like Micron (MU) and Western Digital (WDC) attractive beneficiaries of increased hardware demands. While Alphabet (GOOGL) is vertically integrating with custom silicon, its massive $468 billion cloud backlog provides a strong long-term revenue floor for conservative investors.

SEMIS TRY TO RECOVER, META GETS AN ANTHROPIC DEAL, SPACEX SELLING COMPUTE TO THE GOV | MARKET CLOSE

Meta Platforms (META) is a high-conviction buy as it transitions into a "NeoCloud" provider, with a potential $10 billion deal to lease compute power to Anthropic proving they can monetize massive infrastructure spend. Investors should favor META over Netflix (NFLX) to capture the shift in the "attention economy," as Instagram Reels engagement is currently outpacing traditional streaming. Micron Technology (MU) represents a strategic "buy the dip" value play in the AI sector; if momentum resumes, the stock has a clear path to return to the $950+ range. Maintain a bullish long-term outlook on Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) following political commitments for $265 billion in U.S. factory investments, though expect short-term volatility driven by political rhetoric. For indirect exposure to the growing intersection of space tech and defense AI, monitor Rocket Lab (RKLB) as SpaceX deepens its data center partnerships with the Pentagon.

IS KIMI K3 ANOTHER DEEPSEEK MOMENT, MARKETS GO RED  | MARKET OPEN

The recent market sell-off driven by Moonshot AI’s Kimi K3 model creates a strategic entry point for NVIDIA (NVDA), which remains the essential "linchpin" for AI inference despite short-term volatility below the $200 level. Investors should consider a "flight to safety" in high-quality software names like ServiceNow (NOW) and Adobe (ADBE), which are showing relative strength and decoupling from the semiconductor slump. Palantir (PLTR) stands to benefit long-term from the "commoditization of intelligence," as cheaper AI models from China lower operating costs and increase margins for software integrators. Avoid Netflix (NFLX) for now following its 12% post-earnings plunge, as the shift away from reporting engagement metrics suggests a transition into a slower-growth "legacy media" valuation. For those with access to secondary markets, exercise caution with SpaceX, as the recent mission failure and a looming "liquidity cliff" make its $2 trillion private valuation difficult to justify.