Amit Kukreja
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Amit Kukreja

by @amitinvesting

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Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!
Ask about Amit KukrejaAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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557 posts
Trump EXTENDS THE CEASEFIRE, Kevin Warsh Gets GRILLED, The BULL MARKET Continues | Daily Recap

The recent indefinite ceasefire between the US and Iran signals a "risk-on" environment, making any dip in the broader indices a buying opportunity as oil price volatility cools. Investors should prioritize Semiconductors and Big Tech, as institutional "smart money" recently poured $5 billion into ETFs like SMH and SOXX. High-conviction growth names like NVIDIA (NVDA), AMD, and Palantir (PLTR) remain primary targets, especially with potential Fed nominee Kevin Warsh viewing AI as a deflationary force that justifies lower interest rates. Monitor upcoming earnings from Tesla (TSLA) and ServiceNow (NOW) this week to confirm if the sector's upward momentum is sustainable. Historically, investing even at all-time highs outperforms waiting for a dip, so maintaining long-term exposure to the S&P 500 is recommended over attempting to time the market.

IRAN NEGOTIATIONS UNCLEAR, UNITED, IBKR, CAPITAL ONE EARNINGS,  TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE

Investors should look to buy the S&P 500 (SPY) on a dip toward the 690–695 range, as the current "double top" suggests near-term volatility and sideways "chop." AMD remains a high-conviction momentum play with a price target of $305–$315, provided it maintains support above its prior all-time high of 267. While NVIDIA (NVDA) consolidates, traders can find higher "catch-up" potential in Broadcom (AVGO) or Marvell (MRVL) as capital rotates through the data center stack. For a contrarian software play, monitor Adobe (ADBE) for a breakout above $275–$280 to confirm that its massive $25 billion buyback program is finally offsetting its recent downtrend. In the emerging space economy, AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) currently offers a more favorable entry point for a trade compared to the extended rally in Rocket Lab (RKLB).

TRUMP LIVE ON CNBC, CEASEFIRE ENDS SOON, UNH EARNINGS, MARKETS CONTINUE PUSHING | MARKET OPEN

Amazon (AMZN) is a high-conviction buy as its $25 billion investment in Anthropic secures $100 billion in long-term cloud revenue for AWS while its new GLP-1 program directly threatens competitors like Hims & Hers (HIMS). Investors should maintain exposure to the semiconductor sector via NVIDIA or SOXX, while looking for high-growth "neocloud" plays like Nebius to capture the ongoing AI capital rush. UnitedHealth Group (UNH) remains a strong momentum play following a significant earnings beat and raised guidance that is currently anchoring the Dow's push toward 50,000. For speculative growth, AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) and Rocket Lab (RKLB) serve as the best liquid proxies for the booming space economy ahead of potential SpaceX valuation milestones. Monitor April 29th as a critical "Super Day" for volatility, as major tech earnings and Federal Reserve updates will dictate the market's direction for the quarter.

Apple CEO Steps DOWN, Amazon Invests $25B IN ANTHROPIC, The BULL MARKET Continues | Daily Recap

Investors should focus on Amazon (AMZN) as a top conviction play, with a potential price target of $300 driven by massive AWS growth and a strategic $5 billion investment in Anthropic. For indirect exposure to the private AI sector, AMZN remains the primary vehicle as Anthropic commits to spending $100 billion on Amazon’s cloud infrastructure over the next decade. Apple (AAPL) serves as a "catch-up" play among the Magnificent Seven; watch for the WWDC event as a catalyst for an "Agentic Siri" and a smooth CEO transition to John Ternus. The return of retail euphoria and record-high Bitcoin prices create a bullish environment for platforms like Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD). Mark April 29th on your calendar as a critical market pivot point when Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Google all report earnings simultaneously.

IRAN & TRUMP CONTINUE GOING BACK AND FORTH, MARKETS TRY TO HOLD ON | MARKET CLOSE

Investors should consider Amazon (AMZN) as a core AI infrastructure play following its massive Anthropic partnership, which guarantees long-term demand for AWS and custom Trainium chips. In the semiconductor space, ARM Holdings (ARM) is a top pick for data center growth, while Marvell (MRVL) offers significant upside through its emerging partnership with Google. Apple (AAPL) presents a long-term opportunity to buy on leadership-change weakness as the company shifts focus toward hardware innovation under new CEO John Ternus. For broader market exposure, the S&P 500 remains resilient despite geopolitical tension, with analysts eyeing a potential surge toward 8,600 if a ceasefire is reached. Avoid chasing speculative "meme" stocks like Avis (CAR) or Beyond Meat (BYND), as these parabolic moves are driven by high-risk short squeezes rather than fundamental value.

THE BULLS ARE IN CONTROL | MARKET CLOSE

Meta Platforms (META) is a high-conviction buy as its "AI-driven efficiency" push and headcount reductions aim to expand margins toward a price target recovery of $796. Palantir (PLTR) offers significant upside potential following a massive $12.5 billion FAA contract, as the stock remains nearly 30% below its 52-week highs. Investors seeking high-growth momentum should look to Bitcoin (BTC) as it targets the $77,500 range, or use MicroStrategy (MSTR) as a high-beta leveraged play on the crypto rally. NVIDIA (NVDA) has reclaimed the critical $200 psychological level, making it a key hold ahead of "Super Earnings" day on April 29th. Monitor Salesforce (CRM) and ServiceNow (NOW) for a SaaS sector recovery, while remaining cautious on Adobe (ADBE) due to rising AI competition from tools like Claude.

US IRAN PEACE TALKS PROGRESS, MARKETS CONTINUE THEIR RALLY | MARKET OPEN

The S&P 500 (SPY) is showing historic momentum with a price target of $710, fueled by a massive $175 billion shift from cash into equities. Investors should look to Oracle (ORCL) as a top cloud play, with analysts targeting a move toward the $200–$220 range. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is positioned for a breakout toward $300 driven by a global CPU shortage and the upcoming MI450 chip launch. Lower energy prices following the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz provide a tactical entry for travel stocks like Delta (DAL) and Carnival (CCL). While NVIDIA (NVDA) remains the market linchpin above $200, consider trimming profits in "Neo-Cloud" stocks like Nebius (NBIS) following their recent extreme price extensions.

NETFLIX EARNINGS KICKS OFF BIG TECH | MARKET CLOSE

Investors should consider Oracle (ORCL) as a momentum play, with analysts recently adding to positions at the $178 level to capitalize on the AI infrastructure build-out. While Netflix (NFLX) faces short-term volatility following a weak Q2 guidance and leadership changes, the long-term bull case remains intact with a projected $10 billion ad revenue opportunity and $7 billion in remaining share buybacks. NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a high-conviction hold for the "AI Industrial Revolution" with year-end price targets ranging from $230 to $250, provided macro conditions remain stable. The space sector is seeing a massive rotation into growth names like Rocket Lab (RKLB) and Planet Labs (PL), though investors should be wary of profitability risks and competition from SpaceX. For value-oriented portfolios, ServiceNow (NOW), Adobe (ADBE), and Salesforce (CRM) offer "deep value" through massive free cash flow and aggressive buybacks despite slowing top-line growth.

JOBS DATA, TSM EARNINGS, MARKETS CONTINUE TO HOLD THEIR MOMENTUM | MARKET OPEN

Investors should consider AMD as it leads the semiconductor sector with a breakout toward $270, targeting a run to $300 ahead of its upcoming earnings. While NVIDIA (NVDA) and TSM show short-term consolidation, the current "breather" in NVDA near $196 offers a strategic entry point for long-term holders. A notable rotation is underway into "beaten-down" SaaS and Fintech names, making Salesforce (CRM) and SoFi (SOFI) high-conviction plays as they benefit from institutional buying and massive call option volume. Rocket Lab (RKLB) has cleared critical resistance at $80, signaling a technical breakout that positions it as the primary public proxy for the growing space economy. For those seeking high-risk, high-reward setups, Hims & Hers (HIMS) remains a top short-squeeze candidate due to its 40% short interest and favorable regulatory shifts.

S&P HITS ALL TIME HIGHS | MARKET CLOSE

The S&P 500 ($SPX) has reached the psychological 7,000 milestone, signaling a shift to high greed where investors should maintain bullish exposure while monitoring for signs of overextension. NVIDIA ($NVDA) remains the core AI conviction play, with a sustained close above $200 likely to trigger a fresh momentum rally toward new highs. For software exposure, the IGV ETF is showing a technical breakout, while Palantir ($PLTR) continues to prove that any dip toward its 50-day moving average is a high-conviction buying opportunity. Within the "Neocloud" and infrastructure space, Nebius ($NBIS) is the current sector leader to ride, while Fastly ($FSLY) offers a strategic play on reducing latency for the growing "Agentic AI" trend. Finally, exercise extreme caution with speculative pivots like New Bird AI ($BIRD), as these massive surges often lack fundamental support and serve as indicators of market froth.

ROUND TWO OF NEGOTIATIONS ARE. GETTING CLOSER, BITCOIN UP, MARKET MOMENTUM CONTINUES | MARKET OPEN

Robinhood (HOOD) is a high-conviction momentum play following the removal of day trading restrictions, with a potential price target of $100–$120 if it maintains its current $82–$85 support level. Watch NVIDIA (NVDA) closely for a clean break above the $200 resistance mark, as heavy call option interest could trigger a massive gamma squeeze and rapid price appreciation. The Quantum Computing sector, specifically IONQ, RGTI, and QBTS, offers high-beta exposure to speculative risk as NVIDIA validates the technology through new partnerships. Investors should consider "on sale" software leaders like Palantir (PLTR) and ServiceNow (NOW), which are rebounding strongly as fears of AI replacing traditional SaaS tools begin to fade. Avoid the recent surge in Allbirds (BIRD), as its pivot to AI infrastructure is highly speculative and likely precedes a dilutive stock offering to raise capital.

TRUMP WANTS TO KEEP NEGOTIATING, MARKETS GETS CLOSE TO THE HIGHS, AMAZON HITS $250 | Daily Recap

The S&P 500 (SPY) is signaling a structural recovery toward all-time highs, supported by record short-covering and strong bank earnings; investors may consider the 2X Long SPY ETF for leveraged upside. NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a top-conviction buy as institutional capital flows into the name, with analysts suggesting it is still undervalued relative to its AI market dominance. Amazon (AMZN) offers a compelling growth play as it targets a $250 milestone, driven by AWS expansion and a potential acquisition of GlobalStar (GSAT), which currently presents a price arbitrage opportunity toward a $90 target. In the crypto space, Bitcoin (BTC) is trending toward the $80,000-$85,000 range, creating a "risk-on" environment that favors high-beta proxies like MicroStrategy (MSTR) and Coinbase (COIN). For speculative value, Iris Energy (IREN) is a timely "buy the dip" opportunity among Bitcoin miners, while Palantir (PLTR) remains the most resilient pick within the volatile AI software sector.

MARKETS TRY TO HOLD ON TO THE GREEN, TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE

The S&P 500 (SPY) has entered a strong momentum phase, with a break above $700 likely signaling a further rally toward the $725-$750 range through the end of April. Within the AI infrastructure sector, NVIDIA (NVDA) is positioned to reach $206 with a secondary target of $250, while Qualcomm (QCOM) offers a high-value "sleeper" play at a 16x forward PE. Robinhood (HOOD) is a high-conviction momentum trade with a technical path to $90 and a potential long-term stretch to $120 fueled by retail demand and crypto recovery. Amazon (AMZN) is a top breakout candidate following its satellite internet expansion; investors should look for the stock to hold the $240 level to confirm a move higher. In the crypto space, Bitcoin (BTC) clearing $78,500 could trigger a squeeze to $88,000, while Ethereum (ETH) presents a high-probability "layup" trade toward $2,750.

PPI, ROUND 2 FOR NEGOTIATIONS BETWEEN US AND IRAN, NVDA OVER 190, GREEN CONTINUES | MARKET OPEN

NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a high-conviction leader following its breakout past $190, with its expansion into quantum computing and a strong investment portfolio providing a clear path toward the $194 level and beyond. Amazon (AMZN) is a primary buy as it targets $248–$250 following its acquisition of Global Star (GSAT), with analysts projecting a long-term price target of $290. For Palantir (PLTR), investors should view any recovery toward the $135–$137 range as a confirmation of its sector-leading margin profile and a signal to hold through the software rebound. The surge in Bitcoin (BTC) past $75,000 makes Robinhood (HOOD) and MicroStrategy (MSTR) aggressive "risk-on" plays for those seeking high-beta exposure to the crypto rally. Finally, a potential diplomatic resolution with Iran makes Airlines (AAL, UAL) and Cruise Lines (CCL) attractive tactical buys as falling Oil prices reduce their primary operating costs.

THE STOCK MARKET HAS THE BEST 9 DAY STRETCH SINCE 2023, THE WAR MAY BE ENDING SOON | DAILY RECAP

Investors should capitalize on the current S&P 500 (SPY) V-shaped recovery, as low retail sentiment and strong earnings from Big Tech suggest the market is not yet overextended. The software sector offers a "generational opportunity" following recent capitulation, with ServiceNow (NOW), Adobe (ADBE), and Zeta Global (ZETA) identified as high-conviction "buy the dip" candidates. Oracle (ORCL) remains a top pick due to its massive $500 billion backlog and strategic energy partnerships, while Palantir (PLTR) is favored for its exceptional 70% growth and high margins. In the digital asset space, the shift back to "risk-on" sentiment makes Bitcoin (BTC), MicroStrategy (MSTR), and Robinhood (HOOD) attractive momentum plays. Conversely, investors should rotate out of the Energy Sector (XLE) as record outflows and potential geopolitical resolutions threaten to collapse oil prices further.

THE US AND IRAN TRYING TO RESTORE TALKS, MARKETS LIKE IT | MARKET CLOSE

Investors should rotate out of defensive sectors and into Software and Fintech, as the S&P 500 (SPY) nears all-time highs amid easing geopolitical tensions. High-conviction software plays include ServiceNow (NOW) and Adobe (ADBE), while Oracle (ORCL) remains a top pick with a new analyst price target of $254 following its AI partnership with Bloom Energy (BE). In the semiconductor space, SanDisk (SNDK) offers an attractive entry point with a low forward multiple of 10-15x despite its recent inclusion in the NASDAQ 100. Bitcoin (BTC) has reclaimed the $74,000 level, signaling a bullish "risk-on" environment that benefits related stocks like MicroStrategy (MSTR), Coinbase (COIN), and Robinhood (HOOD). For energy-adjacent AI plays, monitor Bloom Energy (BE) following its massive 3-gigawatt deal to power data centers, while avoiding the broader Energy (XLE) sector due to record outflows.

NO IRAN US DEAL, CEASEFIRE COULD END SOON, TRUMP STARTS A BLOCKADE | MARKET OPEN

Consider buying Palantir (PLTR) on current weakness as an oversold play on both defense spending and high-growth AI software. Oracle (ORCL) is a high-conviction "buy the dip" opportunity between $140-$145, with analysts targeting a recovery toward $190-$245 due to its massive cloud backlog. For NVIDIA (NVDA), maintain a buy-the-dip stance near the $170 level and watch for volatility in quantum stocks like IONQ and RGTI ahead of "NVIDIA Quantum Day" on April 14th. While Nebius (NBIS) shows strong momentum toward $160, current holders should avoid selling covered calls early to capture potential gains from a rumored Anthropic partnership. In the energy sector, use geopolitical spikes in oil to favor giants like Chevron (CVX) and Exxon (XOM) over consumer-sensitive travel stocks.

THE US AND IRAN DO NOT REACH A DEAL | MARKET FUTURES

With the Strait of Hormuz blockade beginning Monday, investors should hedge against rising inflation by moving into energy leaders like Chevron (CVX) and Exxon (XOM) as oil targets the $103-$105 range. Palantir (PLTR) serves as a unique defensive growth play; look to accumulate shares if it maintains support in the $120-$125 zone during this geopolitical escalation. While the broader software sector faces a "Claude-pocalypse" sell-off, Oracle (ORCL) and Samsara (IOT) offer selective buying opportunities as they provide essential infrastructure for the AI cycle. In the semiconductor space, focus on the structural bull market in memory through Micron (MU) and Western Digital (WDC), which remain high-conviction plays despite short-term tech volatility. Bitcoin (BTC) has shown resilience near $71,000 despite global tensions, making it a critical "risk-on" gauge to watch ahead of Netflix (NFLX) earnings this Thursday.

SOFTWARE DOWN, CEASEFIRE NEGOTIATIONS START, PRESIDENT TRUMP POSTED ABOUT A STOCK | MARKET CLOSE

Investors should prioritize Semiconductors over software, as capital rotates into hardware leaders like NVIDIA (NVDA) and Marvell (MRVL), which recently hit all-time highs near $129. Oracle (ORCL) presents a high-conviction contrarian buy at current levels around $138, offering a de-risked entry into cloud infrastructure with more potential upside than Microsoft (MSFT). While Palantir (PLTR) has strong political momentum, investors should watch the $120 support level closely to see if the "Trump Pump" can withstand broader software sector weakness. For those looking to buy the software dip, ServiceNow (NOW) is identified as a top recovery candidate because its role as an AI infrastructure partner protects it from the disruption facing pure SaaS companies. Monitor Nebius (NEBIUS) for continued momentum in the "new cloud" space, but remain cautious of geopolitical volatility that could spike oil prices and impact the broader S&P 500.