Amit Kukreja
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Amit Kukreja

by @amitinvesting

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Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!
Ask about Amit KukrejaAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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NVIDIA DESTROYS EARNINGS, WE KNOW EVERYTHING ABOUT SPACEX, OPENAI GOING PUBLIC | MARKET OPEN

NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a high-conviction play with analysts raising price targets to the $400-$500 range following massive revenue growth and an $80 billion share buyback program. Investors should look toward "pick and shovel" infrastructure plays like Arm Holdings (ARM) for CPU royalties and Micron (MU) for essential memory hardware required by next-gen AI chips. The Quantum Computing sector offers immediate momentum as the U.S. government injects $2 billion into firms like IBM, Rigetti (RGTI), and D-Wave (QBTS). For value-oriented growth, Meta (META) is currently attractive at a low 17x forward earnings despite broader market skepticism. Exercise extreme caution regarding the potential SpaceX IPO, as its projected $1.75 trillion valuation may present significant downside risk for retail investors.

NVIDIA 2026 Q1 EARNINGS LIVE | JENSEN HUANG SPEAKS

NVIDIA (NVDA) remains the top conviction play following a massive earnings beat, with a valuation reset making the stock appear "cheaper" at a forward P/E of 22x–25x despite recent price rallies. Investors should look toward the Blackwell architecture ramp and the new Vera CPU as primary growth drivers, with the company transitioning into a "cash cow" via a 25x dividend increase and an $80 billion buyback program. Keep a close watch on the potential SpaceX IPO in June at a $2 trillion valuation, as its emergence as a "Neo-Cloud" provider for AI models could trigger a liquidity event where investors sell other tech holdings to participate. While the "AI Factory" build-out continues, prioritize hardware over software, as names like Intuit (INTU) are being punished despite strong earnings in favor of infrastructure plays. Finally, consider the energy sector as the ultimate bottleneck for AI; while memory makers like Micron (MU) are currently profitable, long-term margins may face pressure from software efficiencies.

MARKETS TRY TO RECOVER, GOOGLE CRUSHES THEIR EVENT, TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE

Google (GOOGL) remains a high-conviction AI play with a technical breakout target of $425 if it clears $400, supported by massive growth in token processing and new hardware partnerships with Warby Parker (WRBY).

Ahead of NVIDIA (NVDA) earnings, investors should consider taking profits on the majority of positions, as a failure to hold $210 support could trigger a significant "waterfall" drop toward $175.

Astera Labs (ALAB) is a top infrastructure pick following news that its technology is integrated into 90% of global AI servers, positioning the company to capture a $20 billion addressable market.

For speculative growth, Nokia (NOK) is a compelling "base breakout" candidate if it moves above $16, while Rocket Lab (RKLB) offers a clear entry signal on a break above $143 with a target of $165.

Bitcoin (BTC) is currently building pressure for a run toward $100,000, but investors must monitor the $70,000 level closely, as a drop below this floor would invalidate the current bullish thesis.

SEMIS TRY TO RECOVER, NVIDIA EARNINGS TOMORROW, HOME DEPOT, SOUTH KOREA DOWN 10% | MARKET OPEN

Monitor NVIDIA (NVDA) earnings tomorrow as the primary catalyst for the semiconductor sector, with a focus on guidance regarding AI inference and ARM-based CPU demand. Investors should consider ServiceNow (NOW), Adobe (ADBE), or Salesforce (CRM) as defensive hedges, as these software names typically gain value when semiconductors experience volatility. For high-growth hardware, look for entry points on Dell (DELL) near $170 and Nebius (NBIS) in the $140–$150 range to avoid current overextended valuations. Long-term bulls in AMD should avoid buying peaks and instead wait for established support levels between $350–$390 following its recent momentum unwind. Exercise extreme caution with Rocket Lab (RKLB) until it consolidates near $1.15–$1.20, and avoid the BOT ETF due to its massive premium over its actual net asset value.

TRUMP DELAYS ATTACKS, SEMIS GET HIT, ELON LOSES THE TRIAL  | MARKET CLOSE

Investors should consider ServiceNow (NOW) as a high-conviction contrarian play, as its 20% revenue growth and AI integration make the recent dip to $103 an attractive entry point. While NVIDIA (NVDA) remains the AI leader, the high expectations for Wednesday’s earnings suggest hedging long positions with puts or trimming slightly to manage short-term valuation risk. Rocket Lab (RKLB) offers strong momentum for speculative growth investors, though it remains a high-beta play driven more by narrative than current profitability. The cybersecurity sector, led by CrowdStrike (CRWD) crossing the $600 mark, continues to show relative strength and remains a top-tier AI-adjacent investment. For those looking beyond semiconductors, a rotation into "discounted" software names like Salesforce (CRM) and Zeta Global (ZETA) may offer better value as the chip trade matures.

SEMIS TRY TO REBOUND, NVIDIA EARNINGS THIS WEEK | MARKET OPEN

Institutional bullishness suggests a "beat and raise" scenario for NVIDIA (NVDA) ahead of Wednesday's earnings, though investors should watch for a broader semiconductor consolidation if the stock fails to rally on good news. For Micron (MU), monitor the $685 - $695 support level closely, as a successful hold here historically signals a rebound toward the $760 range. Consider taking profits on parabolic space stocks like Rocket Lab (RKLB) and AST SpaceMobile (ASTS), which are currently trading on high euphoria as proxies for SpaceX. A strategic rotation is underway into software "safe havens" like ServiceNow (NOW) and Salesforce (CRM), which offer stability if AI hardware volatility increases. Finally, avoid niche robotics ETFs like BOT that are trading at extreme premiums, and instead look toward Bitcoin miners transitioning to data centers, such as CleanSpark (CLSK) and Applied Digital (APLD).

OIL UP, TRUMP THREATENS ATTACKS ON IRAN, NVIDIA EARNINGS THIS WEEK | MARKET FUTURES

Investors should prepare for high volatility around NVIDIA (NVDA) earnings, watching for a potential "buy the dip" entry point in the $180-$200 price range if a "sell the news" event occurs. With semiconductors showing signs of overextension, consider rotating capital into resilient software leaders like ServiceNow (NOW) and Adobe (ADBE), which are currently acting as sector safe havens. In the semiconductor space, Sandisk remains a high-conviction pick by top institutional investors, while Micron (MU) offers defensive value due to physical memory shortages. Bitcoin (BTC) faces short-term downward pressure following a break below $78,000, making it sensitive to rising 10-year Treasury yields and geopolitical tensions. Finally, monitor the energy sector for consolidation opportunities, specifically NextEra (NEE), as the massive power demands of AI data centers drive long-term utility growth.

TRUMP LEAVES CHINA, SEMIS DOWN, OPTIONS EXPIRATION DAY | MARKET OPEN

Institutional sentiment remains high for NVIDIA (NVDA) despite trade policy volatility, with analysts at Bank of America setting a bullish price target of $320 ahead of upcoming earnings. Investors seeking AI exposure with lower volatility should consider Microsoft (MSFT), which is currently viewed by major funds like Pershing Square as an attractive "safe haven" buying opportunity. Monitor Shopify (SHOP) for a potential breakout if it can reclaim the $100 resistance level, especially following a significant $100 million vote of confidence from Thrive Capital. Be cautious with Cerebras (CBRG) and its new 2X leveraged ETF, as extreme trading volume and "high-euphoria" signals often precede a local price peak. Consider rotating capital from overextended semiconductors into beaten-down software leaders like ServiceNow (NOW), Salesforce (CRM), and Adobe (ADBE) as high bond yields begin to pressure aggressive tech valuations.

NVIDIA AND BROADCOM HIT ALL TIME HIGHS, MARKETS GREEN, NUBANK, DLO, FIGMA EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE

NVIDIA (NVDA) remains the primary market leader ahead of its May 20th earnings, but investors should consider broadening their AI exposure into infrastructure plays like Vertiv (VRT) and Bloom Energy (BE). While Cerebras has launched with massive momentum, its current $100 billion valuation is considered high-risk and euphoric, making it a better barometer for market sentiment than a stable entry point. Applied Materials (AMAT) is a high-conviction long-term play following strong guidance that suggests the semiconductor growth cycle will accelerate through 2026. The recent success of Figma signals a recovery for the software sector, suggesting potential "buy the bottom" opportunities in established names like Salesforce (CRM) and ServiceNow (NOW). In the fintech and crypto space, NuBank (NU) offers a potential "buy the dip" opportunity after a minor earnings miss, while Robinhood (HOOD) and Coinbase (COIN) are positioned to benefit from positive regulatory momentum following the Clarity Act progress.

NVIDIA GETS CHINA CHIP APPROVALS, MARKETS GO GREEN | MARKET OPEN

Investors should consider NVIDIA (NVDA) a high-conviction play ahead of its May 20th earnings, as the clearance of H200 chips for the Chinese market serves as a major growth catalyst with a potential profit-taking target of $265–$270. For those seeking exposure to the expanding AI infrastructure trade, Cisco (CSCO) offers a stable value entry point following its massive guidance raise for hyperscale networking orders. High-risk speculators may look toward the Cerebras IPO, though extreme caution is advised due to a low share float that could drive the price to the $360–$380 range despite an expensive valuation. Rocket Lab (RKLB) remains a strong momentum play for investors seeking a public proxy for SpaceX, especially as it maintains its trend toward the $130 level. Finally, the "AI Optics" bottleneck presents a niche opportunity in POET Technologies (POET), which recently secured a significant $50M order for its optical engines.

HOT PPI, THE MARKET DOESN'T CARE , SPY ALL TIME HIGHS, KEVIN WARSH CONFIRMED | MARKET CLOSE

Maintain core exposure to NVIDIA (NVDA) as the primary AI leader, focusing on upcoming earnings as a potential catalyst to accelerate the current semiconductor "melt-up." Consider Cisco (CSCO) as a re-rated infrastructure play following their massive increase in AI order guidance and aggressive cost-cutting measures. For high-risk momentum trading, Nokia (NOK) presents a short-term opportunity driven by heavy call option volume and strategic interest from NVIDIA. Diversify into the AI power bottleneck theme by looking at utility providers like Vistra (VST) or mid-cap on-site power specialists like Forge (FPS). Avoid

MARKETS TRY TO REVERSE, OKLO EARNINGS, TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE

Corning (GLW) is a high-conviction "re-rating" play as it transitions into AI infrastructure, with massive contracts from Meta and NVIDIA potentially adding over $15 billion in future revenue. Akamai (AKAM) is pivoting from a legacy business to an AI leader; look for price acceptance over $151–$152 to trigger a technical path toward targets of $170 and $191. Micron (MU) remains the preferred play for the structural shift in memory demand, with a confirmed hold of $750 opening the door for a move toward $800 and $808. Ahead of earnings, NVIDIA (NVDA) shows strong bullish momentum with a short-term price target of $230 and a long-term potential of $260 if growth metrics are met. For speculative growth, monitor AMD for a move toward $475, while taking profits on Rocket Lab (RKLB) near $120 as it hits significant resistance.

SEMIS CONTINUE THEIR RUN, OIL UP, HIMS & ASTS EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE

Institutional sentiment is extremely bullish on Micron Technology (MU), with major firms like Cotu positioning for significant upside. Investors should consider a long position in MU to capitalize on the surging demand for High Bandwidth Memory driven by the AI infrastructure build-out. The stock remains a high-conviction play as supply constraints in the memory market are expected to drive pricing power and margin expansion through 2024. Monitor the $150 price level as a key technical milestone for potential breakout momentum. This trade offers direct exposure to the hardware layer of the artificial intelligence cycle alongside other semiconductor leaders.

ELON TURNS XAI INTO A NEOCLOUD, SPY ALL TIME HIGHS, ARM, AXON, APPLOVIN EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE

The S&P 500 (SPY) remains in a strong "buy the dip" phase, with a technical path toward 766 and potentially 800 by July as long as it holds the 732 level. NVIDIA (NVDA) is a high-conviction play in the AI infrastructure space; if the stock stays above $206, look for price targets of $218 and $230 leading into its next earnings report. Investors should monitor ARM Holdings (ARM) as it enters price discovery, with a potential target of $250+ driven by the increasing demand for CPUs in AI data centers. While hardware thrives, exercise caution with software stocks like Palantir (PLTR) and Shopify (SHOP), as capital is currently rotating out of software and into "hard" AI infrastructure. For high-momentum opportunities, look toward "Neocloud" and optics providers like Nebius (NBIS), which has a technical target of $214, and IREN, which is trending toward $75.