Amit Kukreja
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Amit Kukreja

by @amitinvesting

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Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!
Ask about Amit KukrejaAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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557 posts
TRUMP EXTENDS DEADLINE, IRAN RESPONDS, MARKETS HIT THEIR 2026 LOWS | MARKET OPEN

Monitor the S&P 500 (SPY) closely at the 640 support level, as a consistent close below this point could signal a further decline toward 6,000. Meta Platforms (META) is objectively undervalued at a forward P/E below 20x, offering a long-term dollar-cost averaging opportunity for those willing to weather short-term legal volatility. NVIDIA (NVDA) is approaching a potential local bottom following retail panic selling; look for a reclaim of the $170 level to trigger a possible relief rally. The recent 20% crash in Micron (MU) appears overextended, presenting a high-conviction contrarian "buy the dip" opportunity as the memory super-cycle remains intact. Given high interest rates and geopolitical tension, consider defensive positioning in Energy (XOM) or holding Cash until the market stabilizes and the VIX retreats from elevated levels.

JOBS DATA, TRUMP THREATENS TO PUT BOOTS ON THE GROUND, MARKETS RED AGAIN | MARKET OPEN

NVIDIA (NVDA) is currently a high-conviction growth play, offering a compelling entry point near the $170-$175 support level where it trades at an attractive 15x forward earnings. For long-term stability, Microsoft (MSFT) is a "wonderful buy" at $370 as it sits in a 31% drawdown, providing a lower-volatility alternative to semiconductor stocks. Investors should remain cautious on Meta Platforms (META), as legal challenges could push the stock to test the $550 level despite its low valuation. In the crypto space, Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) are primary beneficiaries of a shifting regulatory landscape and new crypto-backed mortgage initiatives. To hedge against geopolitical uncertainty and rising oil prices, consider holding energy giants like Chevron (CVX) or using Covered Calls on high-volatility names like NVIDIA and Rocket Lab.

ROBOTS ENTER THE WHITE HOUSE, MORE WAR HEADLINES, TECHNICAL WEDNESDAY | MARKET CLOSE

For the S&P 500 (SPY), treat any bounce toward 670–673 as a selling opportunity rather than a breakout, as a daily close below 650 signals a further drop toward 640. Microsoft (MSFT) is currently a high-quality "sale" at its 200-week moving average, but investors should save capital to buy heavier if it reaches the stronger 333–344 support zone. Google (GOOGL) faces significant downside risk; consider hedging positions with puts or selling calls if the price closes below the 288 support level for more than two days. Tesla (TSLA) presents a short-selling opportunity with a downside target of 356 and a deeper potential move to 320. In the energy sector, GE Vernova (GEV) remains a "best of breed" long-term hold, while NextEra Energy (NEXT) offers a bullish reversal setup with a price target of 9.50.

IS THERE ACTUALLY A CEASEFIRE, SPACEX IPO SOON, MARKETS TRY TO GO GREEN | MARKET OPEN

Maintain a bullish outlook on NVIDIA (NVDA) as long as it holds the $180 support level, as it remains the primary beneficiary of the current "risk-on" market environment. Arm Holdings (ARM) is a high-conviction long-term play following management's projection of $15 billion in annual revenue from its new AI CPU business. Investors should exercise caution with memory providers like Micron (MU) and Western Digital (WDC), as Google’s new "TurboQuant" algorithm could significantly reduce future demand for physical memory chips. The impending SpaceX IPO is a massive catalyst for the sector; use Rocket Lab (RKLB) and AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) as liquid proxies to gain exposure to this theme before the potential June listing. Avoid the Fundrise Tech Fund (VCX) at current levels, as it is trading at an irrational premium; instead, seek exposure to private AI leaders like Anthropic through public stakeholders like Amazon (AMZN) or Google (GOOGL).

TRUMP SIGNALS THE WAR WILL END, SPY TRYING FOR 2 GREEN DAYS, MACRO TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE

Monitor NVIDIA (NVDA) for a move toward its $200 fair value target, especially following a significant $38 million insider purchase by Director Mark Stevens at the $172 level. Avoid chasing the Fundrise Growth Tech Fund (VCX) at its current 28x premium to net asset value; instead, gain safer exposure to private AI leaders like OpenAI and Anthropic through Amazon (AMZN) or Google (GOOGL). Consider Microsoft (MSFT) as a long-term entry opportunity as it hits 52-week lows, despite temporary "software penalty box" sentiment and high capital expenditures. In the energy sector, use high volatility in Venture Global (VG) to sell covered calls for income, as the stock remains a volatile proxy for geopolitical shifts in the Middle East. Watch for a potential "buy the dip" opportunity in Circle proxies following an 18% drop, as analysts suggest the market overreacted to leaked stablecoin legislation.

NEW ENERGY FACILITIES HIT, WAR CONTINUES, OIL UP, BOND YIELDS UP | MARKET OPEN

Consider buying NVIDIA (NVDA) on pullbacks toward the $170 level, as the company’s expansion into "Physical AI" and humanoid robotics positions it for massive long-term revenue growth. Microsoft (MSFT) is currently viewed as oversold at under 20x forward earnings; look to accumulate shares as it tests its 200-day moving average. For a short-term catalyst, Grab (GRAB) is an aggressive play as the company fast-tracks a $400 million share buyback over the next four months amid potential merger activity. Investors should maintain exposure to the Energy ETF (XLE) or Natural Gas (VG) as a hedge against rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East pushing crude prices above $90. Exercise caution with Coinbase (COIN) and Circle (CRCL), as looming stablecoin legislation creates significant regulatory headwinds for the digital asset sector.

TRUMP WANTS THE WAR TO END, MARKETS HOLD GREEN, TALKING OPTIONS WITH TJ | MARKET CLOSE

Palantir (PLTR) is establishing itself as a generational software leader, making it a high-conviction hold with opportunities to collect premium by selling Strangle options at an $80 put and $220 call strike. MicroStrategy (MSTR) remains a high-beta proxy for Bitcoin, where selling puts at the $100 level offers a strategic entry point for investors willing to own the asset at a discount. Amazon (AMZN) is currently viewed as an undervalued "Cloud + AI" play, ideal for a Covered Call strategy to generate income while waiting for AWS growth to reflect in the share price. Recent weakness in SoFi (SOFI) following a short report is considered a buying opportunity for long-term bulls, especially if the stock dips toward a 50% retracement from recent highs. In the semiconductor and AI space, Synopsys (SNPS) is a high-conviction pick following a multi-billion dollar stake from Elliott Management, while Grab (GRAB) offers significant upside with analyst price targets reaching up to $7.25.

TRUMP KIND OF TACOS, OIL DOWN, MARKETS TRYING TO GO GREEN | MARKET OPEN

Investors should consider Grab (GRAB) as a high-conviction growth play following its discounted acquisition of Foodpanda, with analysts targeting a price range of $6.00 to $6.40. Palantir (PLTR) remains a core long-term hold after securing the MAVEN "Program of Record" status, which provides a stable multi-year revenue moat within the defense sector. For income generation during this volatile period, investors can sell covered calls on range-bound tech leaders like NVIDIA (NVDA) and Broadcom (AVGO) to collect premiums. While Bitcoin (BTC) shows bullish momentum near $71,000, the current 5-day geopolitical "peace window" offers a strategic opportunity to de-risk or trim over-leveraged positions before potential renewed conflict. Monitor the 10-year Treasury yield closely, as levels above 4.3% will likely cap any significant stock market rallies.

TRUMP GIVES A 48 HOUR DEADLINE, BITCOIN TANKS, THE WAR CONTINUES | MARKET FUTURES

Investors should prioritize Energy stocks like ExxonMobil (XOM), Chevron (CVX), and Vital Energy (VG) as the primary hedge against rising oil prices and geopolitical instability in the Strait of Hormuz. While NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a high-conviction long-term play due to expanding AI demand in healthcare and enterprise software, wait for moving average confirmation before buying the dip during broader market volatility. Palantir (PLTR) is a strong fundamental pick following its designation as a U.S. defense "Program of Record," with the Maven contract potentially scaling to $1B in annual revenue. In the semiconductor space, Micron (MU) offers significant value at a low forward P/E of 4.7x, while Synopsys (SNPS) is a key target following a multi-billion dollar stake from activist investors. For Bitcoin (BTC), maintain caution and watch the $67,000 level, as further liquidations are likely if macro tensions escalate.

NVIDIA GTC 2026 Interviews: AI Is Only Becoming More Important

Investors should maintain long-term exposure to NVIDIA (NVDA) as it transitions into an "Agentic AI" platform, driving sustained demand for GPUs through new enterprise software and "Agents as a Service" business models. Look for high-conviction opportunities in ServiceNow (NOW), which is proving the immediate ROI of AI by automating 90% of Level 1 support tasks and evolving toward performance-based pricing. The Healthcare sector is a primary growth engine; monitor strategic AI partnerships with giants like Eli Lilly and Roche as they integrate AI into drug discovery and clinical R&D. Consider established software leaders like Salesforce (CRM) and Adobe (ADBE) as resilient plays, as their proprietary data "scaffolding" makes them essential hosts for autonomous agents. Focus on the shift from generative chat to "Action-bots" and Physical AI, where autonomous agents move beyond screens into robotics, smart hospitals, and automotive reasoning.

Palantir AIPCon 9 Interviews: Dan Ives, Ondas, Centrus Energy & More!

Palantir (PLTR) is a high-conviction play as it successfully monetizes AI through its AIP platform, which is rapidly expanding its market by allowing non-technical users to build enterprise apps in hours. Investors should watch Centrus Energy (LEU), which is positioned to benefit from the "Energy for AI" trade as data centers bypass the traditional grid to secure nuclear power for 24/7 operations. Ondas Holdings (ONDS) offers a unique opportunity in autonomous defense and robotics, driven by the U.S. ban on DJI drones and a strategic partnership with Palantir for swarm command and control. The broader Software sector is showing signs of a "bottoming event," suggesting a shift in capital from semiconductors toward companies that can prove tangible AI ROI. Focus on these "speed to value" leaders that are consolidating the fragmented SaaS market into integrated AI operating systems.

MARKETS END OUT THE THIRD WEEK OF MARCH | MARKET OPEN

Avoid buying the dip in Super Micro Computer (SMCI) due to severe fraud allegations and the risk of NVIDIA severing its supply chain relationship. Instead, look to Dell Technologies (DELL) as the primary beneficiary and "safer" alternative for capturing displaced AI server market share. NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a core holding at an attractive valuation of 17x forward earnings, while Micron (MU) is fundamentally mispriced at a low P/E of roughly 5x despite record earnings. For investors holding stagnant positions like Palantir (PLTR) or NVDA, selling Covered Calls is a recommended strategy to generate income while macro headwinds keep stocks in a horizontal range. In the speculative space sector, Planet Labs (PL) and Rocket Lab (RKLB) are gaining momentum following strong earnings, though they remain high-risk plays sensitive to broader market volatility.

OIL SPIKES, MARKETS GO RED | MARKET OPEN

Investors should view the recent 5-9% drop in Micron (MU) as a buying opportunity, as analysts have set a high-conviction price target of $700 based on a low 10x forward P/E and sustained AI demand. To hedge against geopolitical instability and rising Oil Prices, consider "war proxy" stocks like NextDecade (NEXT) and Vital Energy (VG), which are currently outperforming the broader market. For NVIDIA (NVDA), the recommended strategy is to sell Aggressive Covered Calls to generate income while the stock remains stuck in a range below $180. Defensive investors should rotate into value plays like Coca-Cola (KO) and Verizon (VZ) to protect capital as the S&P 500 faces a potential technical breakdown toward the 6,000 level. Despite short-seller pressure, SoFi (SOFI) remains a long-term conviction play under $17 following massive insider buying from CEO Anthony Noto.

FOMC MEETING LIVE | JEROME POWELL SPEAKS

With the Federal Reserve signaling "higher for longer" interest rates and only one potential cut in 2026, investors should prioritize high-margin hardware over speculative software. Micron (MU) remains a top-tier AI play with its HBM memory supply sold out through 2026, though investors should look for entry points on "sell the news" pullbacks rather than chasing peaks. For small-cap exposure, One Stop Systems (OSS) is a high-conviction "edge compute" play with a new analyst price target of $13 and potential as an acquisition target. Monitor Oil (WTI/Brent) closely, as prices sustained near $100/barrel will likely prevent the Fed from cutting rates and continue to act as a drag on the broader market. Exercise caution with pure-play software stocks like Salesforce (CRM), as AI-driven efficiency may reduce the number of paid user seats and erode long-term pricing power.

JENSEN ANNOUNCES NEW PRODUCTS AT GTC, OIL UP, CAN MARKETS GO GREEN TWO DAYS IN A ROW? | MARKET OPEN

NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a high-conviction play as it trades at an undervalued 21x forward P/E, with the next major catalyst expected during the upcoming quarterly earnings report. Investors should look to Micron (MU) for exposure to the critical High Bandwidth Memory (HBM) supply chain, especially following its high-profile partnership validation at the GTC event. Qualcomm (QCOM) offers a more immediate shareholder return opportunity following the announcement of its massive $20 billion buyback program. For those seeking infrastructure growth, IREN is a top pick among "NeoClouds" due to its industry-leading 4.5 gigawatts of contracted data center capacity. Finally, monitor the S&P 500 for a second consecutive "green day" close, which would signal a technical market bottom and a potential shift back to a "risk-on" environment for growth stocks like Shopify (SHOP) and Reddit (RDDT).

NVIDIA GTC EVENT, OIL DROPS, BITCOIN UP, MARKETS TRYING TO RALLY | MARKET OPEN

Investors should prioritize NVIDIA (NVDA) as a high-conviction play ahead of the GTC conference, watching for software-related "name drops" and updates on the Vera Rubin architecture to drive the next leg of growth. Nebius (NBIS) offers significant upside following a massive $27 billion infrastructure deal with Meta, though investors must be cautious of potential share dilution at current highs. In the semiconductor space, Micron (MU) is a top pick for undervalued growth; watch for its Wednesday earnings report to serve as a major catalyst for the memory sector. Bitcoin (BTC) holding above $74,000 signals a "risk-on" environment, suggesting traders look toward crypto-proxies like Robinhood (HOOD) for momentum. For those seeking infrastructure exposure, Iren (IREN) and Applied Digital (APLD) are key high-beta names benefiting from the "NeoCloud" expansion alongside NVIDIA.

Alex Karp Sits Down To Discuss Software, The War, Palantir's Earnings & More | Palantir AIPCon 9

Investors should consider Palantir Technologies (PLTR) as a core AI infrastructure play, as the company transitions from a services-heavy model to a high-margin "operating system" for enterprise data. With operating margins surging from 17% to nearly 50%, the stock is benefiting from a fundamental re-rating driven by its Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) and rapid commercial adoption. Focus on PLTR as a unique "ontology" provider that makes Large Language Models (LLMs) functional for businesses, rather than a competitor to the models themselves. Avoid "legacy" SaaS companies that lack deep AI integration, as these firms are increasingly at risk of displacement by more adaptive, value-driven software. Additionally, Defense Tech remains a high-conviction hedge, with PLTR's mission-critical government contracts providing a wide moat during periods of global geopolitical instability.

MARKETS CONTINUE TO BE STUCK IN THE CHOP, OIL SPIKES, SECOND WEEK OF MARCH ENDS | MARKET CLOSE

Investors should look to NVIDIA (NVDA) as a primary focus this week, using the GTC keynote on Monday as a bullish catalyst while utilizing covered calls to capture high premiums during its current range-bound trading. The recent 4% dip in Meta (META) to the $613 level offers a strategic entry point for long-term investors, as the stock remains fundamentally cheap at 20x forward earnings despite AI model delays. Palantir (PLTR) continues to show superior price stability compared to its software peers; consider adding positions if it nears the $145 support level or selling covered calls to navigate volatility. In the energy sector, Sable Offshore Corporation (SOC) is seeing momentum following the invocation of the Defense Production Act, while rising oil prices suggest a rotation into commodities as a stagflation hedge. Avoid Adobe (ADBE) and Robinhood (HOOD) for now, as executive transitions and declining month-over-month trading volumes create technical headwinds for both stocks.