Amit Kukreja
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Amit Kukreja

by @amitinvesting

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Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!
Ask about Amit KukrejaAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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NVDA Q4 2025 EARNINGS LIVE | JENSEN HUANG SPEAKS

NVIDIA (NVDA) remains the highest conviction investment, as its recent earnings showed a massive re-acceleration in growth and guidance that far surpassed expectations. Despite its run-up, the stock is considered cheap relative to its growth, with some analysts targeting $250 per share this year. A major market rotation is underway, favoring the AI hardware supply chain over software stocks, as even strong performers like Salesforce (CRM) are not being rewarded. This suggests investors should be cautious with software-as-a-service (SaaS) investments for now. For a broader play on the data center build-out, consider Nutanix (NTNX), which recently surged following a strategic investment from AMD.

DOES NVIDIA SAVE THE MARKET TODAY | MARKET OPEN

The software sector, represented by the IGV ETF, presents a compelling buying opportunity as major banks believe AI displacement fears are overblown and valuations are at historic lows. Investors should also consider exposure to the booming memory chip cycle through stocks like Micron (MU) or the South Korean ETF (EWY), as the upswing is projected to last through at least 2026. AMD's recent deal with Meta validates its AI strategy, and its long-term target of over $20 in EPS could drive the stock towards $600. Bitcoin (BTC) is showing renewed strength by holding key support above $60,000, with the potential end of miner selling pressure signaling a bullish outlook. Finally, watch NVIDIA's (NVDA) upcoming earnings, as guidance significantly above $71 billion could be the key catalyst for a major stock and market rally.

TRUMP'S STATE OF THE UNION LIVE

NVIDIA's (NVDA) upcoming earnings report is a critical event that could determine the market's near-term direction. Political proposals are creating significant headwinds for the single-family home rental and healthcare sectors, warranting caution for investors in these areas. While Blue Owl (OWL) offers an attractive 8% dividend as a play on AI data centers, it is considered a high-risk investment to avoid due to its heavy concentration. The crypto market remains extremely volatile, with a recent rumor-driven pump in Bitcoin (BTC) from $62,000 to over $66,000 quickly fading, highlighting the risk of trading on speculation. Investors should monitor these key events and political risks closely.

ZETA, MELI, TEMPUS, FSLR, AXON, CAVA EARNINGS + TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE

Axon (AXON) and Cava Group (CAVA) are showing significant strength after delivering massive earnings beats and raising future guidance. Consider Zeta Global (ZETA) as a compelling opportunity after it achieved GAAP profitability, with analysis suggesting it is undervalued below $14. PayPal (PYPL) presents a speculative play, as its stock has a near-term catalyst from a credible rumor of a potential acquisition by Stripe. For a potential short trade, consider Lemonade (LMND) on any pop near $59, with a downside target of $35. Lastly, be cautious with Bitcoin (BTC), as technical analysis suggests a potential long-term "crypto winter" scenario with downside risk towards the $30,000 level.

AMD SIGNS A HUGE DEAL WITH META, NVDA EARNINGS TOMORROW, WHEN IS THE SAAS SELLOFF DONE | MARKET OPEN

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) has secured a massive, multi-billion dollar AI chip deal with Meta, guaranteeing a significant revenue stream for the next five years. NVIDIA's (NVDA) upcoming earnings report is a critical market event, with options markets pricing in a potential 10% move for the stock. The software-as-a-service (SaaS) sector is facing a major selloff due to fears that AI will disrupt established business models. Investors should monitor Bitcoin (BTC), as a sustained break below the critical $60,200 support level could signal a deeper correction for the crypto market. Finally, Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) stock dropped significantly after guiding for much slower growth and disclosing an SEC investigation.

The Article That Crashed The Market Today

Consider buying NVIDIA (NVDA) ahead of its earnings report this Wednesday, as it is viewed as the key hardware provider for the AI revolution. A strong report could push the stock toward the $205-$210 range, although broader market fear may temper the rally. Be cautious with software, fintech, and consumer platform stocks like CrowdStrike (CRWD), Mastercard (MA), and DoorDash (DASH). These sectors face significant selling pressure from fears that AI will commoditize their business models. For an investment potentially insulated from this "AI Anxiety," consider companies with physical-world businesses like Rocket Lab (RKLB).

ANTHROPIC TAKES DOWN SOFTWARE AGAIN, S&P DOWN, HIMS & KTOS EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE

Consider NVIDIA (NVDA) as a key AI investment, with its upcoming earnings report on Wednesday being a critical market event and some analysts targeting a $400 price. The broader software (IGV) and cybersecurity (BUG) sectors are facing significant headwinds as investors fear AI will commoditize their products. IBM (IBM) is a prime example of this risk, with its stock recently suffering its worst day since 2010 due to a direct AI threat to its legacy COBOL business. Investors should also be wary of growth stocks showing sharp deceleration, such as Hims & Hers Health (HIMS), which guided to a major slowdown. Finally, be cautious with payment processors like MasterCard (MA) and Visa (V), as the market is now pricing in long-term disruption risk from stablecoins.

MORE TRUMP TARIFFS, NVIDIA EARNINGS, LAST WEEK OF FEBRUARY | MARKET OPEN

NVIDIA's (NVDA) upcoming earnings report is a major catalyst, with analysts targeting prices between $270 and $400 due to a "super cycle" in AI demand. The stock is considered historically cheap, trading at 24 times forward earnings, which is significantly below its five-year average. As a related value play on the AI theme, consider the EWY ETF for exposure to leading South Korean memory chip makers trading at a deep discount to global peers. A more speculative opportunity exists in PayPal (PYPL), which recently jumped 10% on preliminary takeover interest after a significant price decline. Conversely, extreme fear surrounding AI's disruptive potential is causing a major sell-off in the SaaS (IGV) and Financials (AXP) sectors, creating a high-risk environment for investors.

NVIDIA EARNINGS THIS WEEK, TRUMP RAMPS UP NEW TARIFFS | MARKET FUTURES

Consider investing in memory chip makers like Micron (MU), which analysts see as a top play on the AI supercycle with a price target as high as $450. For discounted exposure to this theme, the EWY ETF offers access to Korean chipmakers Samsung and SK Hynix at a significantly lower valuation. While NVIDIA (NVDA) is fundamentally strong, watch for a potential "sell the news" dip after earnings, which could present a buying opportunity near the $175-$180 range. Amidst rising global uncertainty, investors are seeking safety in hard assets, making Gold (GLD) and Silver (SLV) attractive defensive holdings. The beaten-down software sector may offer value, with Palantir (PLTR) standing out after securing a new $1 billion contract despite negative market sentiment.

PCE DATA, SUPREME COURT TARIFF DESICSION, IRAN TENSIONS CONTINUE | MARKET OPEN

Analysts are raising Google (GOOGL) price targets as high as $415, citing strong momentum from its Gemini AI products. Opendoor (OPEN) is a potential buy after guiding for profitability by fiscal year 2026, a catalyst boosted by the lowest mortgage rates since 2022. Massive capital raises by AI leaders like OpenAI reinforce the long-term investment case for key chip suppliers NVIDIA (NVDA), AMD (AMD), and Broadcom (AVGO). Conversely, investors should be cautious with the private credit sector, as notable weakness is pressuring related stocks like Blue Owl (OWL), SoFi (SOFI), and Lemonade (LMND). The Supreme Court's reversal of tariffs may create a long-term tailwind for importers like Nike (NKE) and automakers GM (GM) and Ford (F), despite short-term uncertainty.

MARKETS FLAT, OPENDOOR, TEXASROAD HOUSE EARNINGS + MACRO THURSDAY | MARKET CLOSE

Consider PayPal (PYPL) as a deep value trade, as it is viewed as being too cheap while executing large share buybacks. Another long-term turnaround play is Fiserv (FI), which is attractive due to a new shareholder-friendly CEO and a historically low valuation. In the beaten-down SaaS sector, Adobe (ADBE) is approaching value levels, but it is advised to wait for the price to stabilize before buying. The cruise line sector is also seen as a bullish investment due to strong free cash flow, with Royal Caribbean (RCL) highlighted as a top performer. While there is extreme short-term bullishness for NVIDIA (NVDA) heading into earnings, be cautious of a potential sell-off even if the results are strong.

OPENAI RAISES $100B, WALMART EARNINGS, IRAN TENSIONS CONTINUE | MARKE TOPEN

The massive new funding for OpenAI reinforces the long-term investment case for key AI supply chain stocks like NVIDIA (NVDA), Microsoft (MSFT), and Amazon (AMZN). Investors should watch NVIDIA's earnings report next week, as it is a critical event that could mark a bottom for the recent tech sell-off. To hedge against rising geopolitical risk, consider the energy sector (XLE), as stocks like Occidental Petroleum (OXY) are benefiting from higher oil prices. Be extremely cautious with high-growth and recent IPO stocks, as the market is punishing them even after strong earnings. Finally, Bitcoin (BTC) is showing significant short-term weakness and is not acting as a safe haven, warranting a cautious approach.

BERKSHIRE BOUGHT ONE NEW STOCK, ACKMAN LOADS UP ON TECH, TRUMP IRAN WAR HEATING UP | MARKET OPEN

Consider Meta Platforms (META) as it pulls back towards $630, a level where prominent investors like Bill Ackman have reportedly been buying heavily. NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a core AI play, bolstered by a massive new deal from Meta and a new chip announcement expected at its upcoming GTC conference. Following conviction from investor David Tepper, consider exposure to the memory chip recovery through individual stocks like Micron (MU) or the South Korea ETF (EWY). Palantir (PLTR) received a major upgrade to Outperform with a $195 price target from Mizuho, which sees an attractive risk/reward after its recent pullback. While top investors are divided on Amazon (AMZN), bulls believe the stock is significantly undervalued below $200.

MARKETS TRY TO REBOUND, 13FS OUT, TECHNICAL TUESDAY | MARKET CLOSE

Meta (META) is a top investment idea following its AI chip deal with NVIDIA, with a potential move towards the $680s as long as it holds support above $636. Conversely, this deal is a major headwind for Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), which could fall toward $171.50 if it breaks its critical $190 support level. The broader Software/SaaS sector faces extreme selling pressure due to AI fears, with stocks like Salesforce (CRM) potentially heading towards $150. In cryptocurrencies, Bitcoin (BTC) is technically weak and risks a major drop into the $20,000s if it fails to hold support around $50,000. For market leader NVIDIA (NVDA), a sustained breakout above the $193 resistance level would be a strong bullish signal to buy.

BIG TECH CAPEX FEARS, JOBS REVISIONS, NETFLIX VS PARAMOUNT AGAIN, NVIDIA EARNINGS SOON | MARKET OPEN

The recent sell-off in Big Tech due to spending fears presents a long-term buying opportunity, particularly in Amazon (AMZN), which is considered attractive near the $200 level. With earnings approaching, NVIDIA (NVDA) has a bullish $270 price target from Citibank, and a potential dip towards $170 could offer a favorable entry point. The CEO of ServiceNow (NOW) buying $3 million of stock signals strong insider confidence that the shares are undervalued. Activist investors are targeting undervalued companies, with new stakes in Norwegian Cruise Lines (NCLH) and Fiserv (FISV) suggesting they see significant upside. Conversely, extreme caution is warranted for expensive "value" stocks like Walmart (WMT) and new private market investment vehicles due to potentially unsustainable valuations.

MICHAEL BURRY CALLS ME OUT, BIG TECH CAPEX FEARS, IS THE SOFTWARE SELLOFF OVER | MARKET FUTURES

The market is punishing Big Tech for heavy AI spending, creating a significant buying opportunity in undervalued growth stocks. Consider buying Amazon (AMZN), as it is trading at a historical discount to slower-growing retailers despite its superior AWS and advertising businesses. Conversely, traditionally "safe" stocks like Walmart (WMT) and Costco (COST) appear overvalued, trading at extreme multiples relative to their low growth. The massive AI infrastructure buildout is a direct tailwind for essential suppliers like NVIDIA (NVDA) and Broadcom (AVGO). This long-term spending cycle also makes Meta (META), Microsoft (MSFT), and Google (GOOGL) attractive as they are being sold off despite investing for future dominance.

COINBASE, ANET, ROKU, DRAFTKINGS, DUTCH BROS, RIVN, PINS, TOST EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE

Consider rotating into stable value stocks like Coca-Cola (KO) and Verizon (VZ) as the market moves away from growth. Applied Materials (AMAT) is a strong buy candidate after its stellar earnings report, positioning it as a direct beneficiary of the AI infrastructure build-out. The software sector is a key area to watch, with the Software Sector ETF (IGV) testing a critical support level around $77; a break below $75 could signal further declines. For those looking to buy NVIDIA (NVDA), a failure to break $195 resistance could present a better entry point in the $160-$175 range. Lastly, be cautious with Robinhood (HOOD), as a break below its $68-$70 support level could trigger a significant drop into the $50s.

HOUSE VOTES TO TAKE DOWN TRUMP TARIFFS, NVIDIA NEW HQ, NEBIUS, GRAB EARNINGS | MARKET OPEN

The Memory Sector is a top AI play, with leaders like Micron (MU) having already sold out their entire high-bandwidth memory supply for 2026 due to overwhelming demand. A significant contrarian opportunity may exist in the heavily sold-off Software (SaaS) sector, with some analysts viewing the sell-off in names like Salesforce (CRM) as a "golden buying opportunity." For long-term growth investors, Grab (GRAB) is presented as a buy below $6 per share, with a long-term price target of $10. Investors should also note the market's clear rotation into defensive value stocks, as demonstrated by Walmart (WMT) and Verizon (VZ) hitting new highs. This market action highlights the importance of diversifying beyond pure tech and seeking opportunities in overlooked or traditional sectors.

APPLOVIN, MCDONALDS, CISCO, HUBSPOT EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE

Consider following Bill Ackman's high-conviction move into Meta (META), as the prominent investor recently initiated a new position reportedly worth $2 billion. Investors should also look into the bullish Data Centers & AI Infrastructure theme, with companies like Vertiv (VRT) showing explosive growth as the "picks and shovels" of the AI boom. A potential opportunity exists in Robinhood (HOOD), with one analyst buying the dip at $76.50 based on its untapped banking growth potential. Conversely, exercise caution with SaaS stocks, as the market is punishing even strong earnings from companies like AppLovin (APP) and HubSpot (HUBS). For a politically-driven trade, monitor the coal sector and the COAL ETF, which could benefit from potential new government support.