
by Blockworks
139 episodes

Consider the Shield Tactical ETF (SHLD) as a thematic investment on rising global unrest and innovation in defense technology. Established software companies like Salesforce (CRM) and Adobe (ADBE) may present a value opportunity, as their valuations have fallen significantly from over 30x to around 5x Price-to-Sales due to AI disruption fears. For a long-term growth play, look at Visa (V), which is actively positioning itself as a key settlement layer for the stablecoin economy. This strategic move into digital assets provides a powerful, underappreciated catalyst for future growth. These investments offer a blend of thematic exposure to geopolitical trends and a contrarian bet on undervalued technology leaders.

Consider Adobe (ADBE) as a potential contrarian investment, as the market may be undervaluing its strong enterprise business and pricing it at an attractive forward P/E ratio near 12. The long-term case for Amazon (AMZN) is centered on its leadership in robotics, which is expected to drive significant profit margin expansion. Coinbase (COIN) is presented as a more attractive investment than Robinhood (HOOD) due to its valuation and strategic shift towards becoming a broader financial services app. For investors looking at Chinese tech, Tencent (TCEHY) is favored over Alibaba because of its more durable business model. Finally, exercise caution in the crypto market, as the expert holds Bitcoin (BTC) but believes most other tokens are not attractive at current prices.

With a selective market rewarding fundamentals over hype, investors should focus on projects with clear product-market fit. Consider the perpetuals exchange Lighter as a potential value play, given its significant valuation discount compared to competitor Hyperliquid. Keep an eye on WorldCoin (WLD), which has quietly become the #1 crypto wallet by monthly active users, suggesting a powerful and growing network. The long-term theme of stablecoin adoption is a major opportunity, with mainstream integration expected to create a huge market by 2026. Finally, continued institutional adoption of Bitcoin (BTC) from firms like Morgan Stanley provides a strong tailwind for the entire asset class.

Consider positioning for a potential crypto market relief rally in Q1 as new capital is expected to enter the market. Solana (SOL) is highlighted as a high-conviction large-cap altcoin with the potential to outperform Bitcoin. For a more speculative play, monitor MetaDAO (META), an innovative project whose success hinges on its first launch, Ranger Finance. Prioritize investing in tokens with strong and transparent value accrual mechanisms, such as buybacks or revenue sharing. The recent success of Hyperliquid (HYPR) demonstrates how a clear commitment to returning value can drive strong token performance.

A major positive shift in US regulation is creating a significant tailwind for the entire crypto asset class, with the goal of establishing clear rules by August of next year. A key catalyst is the expected approval of spot Bitcoin trading with leverage on regulated exchanges by the end of this year, which could dramatically increase accessibility. Publicly traded companies like Coinbase (COIN) are well-positioned to benefit from this clarity due to their collaborative approach with regulators. Investors should also watch the tokenization of real-world assets theme, as the use of tokenized collateral is expected to be approved in Q1 or Q2 of next year. This positions key private companies like Circle and Ripple as critical players to monitor for future opportunities.

Consider investing in leading DeFi protocols like Aave (AAVE), which is viewed as a potential buy due to its strong brand and recent price decline, and Morpho (MPHO) for its growing institutional adoption. A contrarian bullish case exists for Ripple (XRP), as its aggressive acquisition strategy is seen as a key driver that could help it outperform other large-cap cryptos. The explosive growth of stablecoins presents an opportunity in traditional finance; watch Visa, as its stablecoin settlement volume is predicted to grow from $3.5 billion to over $100 billion by 2026. Another strategy is to invest in publicly-traded, crypto-enabled businesses like Robinhood (HOOD), which are seen as potentially outperforming pure crypto infrastructure providers. Finally, the DePIN sector is predicted to see a resurgence by 2026, so monitor projects that are successfully shifting from token incentives to real revenue generation.

Focus on long-term investments in foundational crypto infrastructure like Ethereum (ETH), which is poised to capture more value than individual applications. Consider publicly traded companies like Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD), as they are key beneficiaries of the growing tokenization of real-world assets trend. These companies are becoming diversified financial platforms built on crypto rails, positioning them for significant growth. For a more speculative, near-term catalyst, watch for the upcoming token launch from infrastructure provider Espresso, which is expected in early Q1. As a developing theme, privacy-focused projects such as Zcash (ZEC) may also gain traction as on-chain privacy becomes a core requirement.

The most promising investment theme is stablecoins, which are seeing explosive growth in adoption by major financial companies. For a traditional equity investment in this theme, consider Visa (V), which is successfully integrating USDC into its settlement network and is viewed as reasonably valued. Another strong opportunity is Coinbase (COIN) stock, as its new "custom stablecoins" platform is a strategic move expected to create high-margin revenue. While a dominant player, be cautious with Circle due to its high valuation and an unfavorable revenue-sharing deal with Coinbase. Given the recent underperformance of tokens like Solana (SOL), the most actionable strategy is to invest in the equity of crypto infrastructure builders rather than the tokens themselves.

With crypto market sentiment at extreme lows, now is an opportune time to build a concentrated portfolio of high-quality assets. The tokenization of Real World Assets (RWA) is a major long-term catalyst expected to drive value to settlement blockchains like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL). Consider projects with proven product-market fit, such as the yield-

The crypto market is shifting, so investors should be highly selective and focus on a concentrated portfolio of high-conviction assets rather than buying the whole market. Consider infrastructure plays like MetaDAO, which was highlighted as a significant position for its role in building better token markets for Real World Assets (RWAs). Look for opportunities in large consumer tech companies, as Apple (AAPL) is seen as perfectly positioned to dominate consumer crypto by integrating it into its wallet in the near future. Also monitor fintech leaders like Block (SQ) for their increasing use of stablecoins and blockchain technology on their backend. Be cautious with high-growth derivative exchanges like Hyperliquid, as its current traction may not be sustainable long-term due to its airdrop incentive structure.

Monitor for the potential token launch of Tempo, Stripe's new blockchain backed by major partners like Shopify and MasterCard. As a competing investment, consider Solana (SOL), which is positioned to become a leading neutral public blockchain for payments. Keep the emerging Layer 1 blockchain Monad on your watchlist as a high-performance,

The primary investment thesis is in Bitcoin (BTC), which is poised for significant growth from a multi-year wave of institutional adoption, with a long-term valuation that could make it a "million dollar asset". For broader exposure to the ecosystem's growth, consider a diversified basket of major Layer 1 blockchains like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL), which are seen as dramatically undervalued. Chainlink (LINK) offers a compelling "picks and shovels" investment as the essential data provider for the growing Real World Asset (RWA) trend. Blue-chip DeFi applications like Uniswap (UNI) and Aave (AAVE) are also attractive due to their clear business models and dominant market positions. This bullish outlook is supported by the belief that the old four-year market cycle is over, with institutional capital likely preventing a major bear market in 2026.

A high-conviction view suggests Ethereum (ETH) could reach a $1 trillion market cap within the next 2-3 years, representing a significant upside from its current valuation. For a leveraged bet on Bitcoin, recent fears surrounding MicroStrategy (MSTR) have eased significantly. The company secured a $1.5 billion cash reserve, reducing the immediate risk of being forced to sell its Bitcoin holdings. This development makes MSTR a more stable proxy for investors bullish on Bitcoin. Furthermore, long-term institutional adoption for Bitcoin (BTC) continues to grow, with major firms like Vanguard now providing clients access to crypto ETFs.

A short-term relief rally in Bitcoin (BTC) is possible, with a sustained move above the $94,000 level acting as a strong bullish confirmation. For Hype (HYPE), a significant dip caused by year-end profit-taking could present a buying opportunity for those without a position. Zcash (ZEC) is a high-risk, speculative bet on potential catalysts like a spot ETF conversion, with one analyst noting a recent purchase around $320. As the prediction markets theme grows, established platforms like Robinhood (HOOD) are viewed as potential long-term winners over private competitors. Finally, investors should re-evaluate DeFi yields, as increasing AI-driven security risks make holding assets on reputable centralized exchanges a more attractive alternative.

The next major crypto growth themes are privacy and the financialization of Bitcoin. Starknet is uniquely positioned to capture this trend by building a financial layer to unlock Bitcoin's massive, untapped value. For a direct investment in the privacy narrative, consider Zcash (ZEC), which could see renewed interest as the market prioritizes confidentiality. Be cautious of platforms like Solana (SOL), as their lack of native privacy may become a significant long-term disadvantage. Focus on projects with built-in privacy, as they are critical for attracting institutional capital and Real World Assets (RWAs).

The newly launched Monad (MON) token is one to watch, as the project focuses on long-term organic growth over short-term hype. A potential future listing on Binance could serve as a significant price catalyst for MON. The successful launch was facilitated by Coinbase's (COIN) new token sale platform, validating a potentially significant new revenue stream for the exchange. This event also highlighted the strength of Solana's (SOL) ecosystem, which unexpectedly became a top-five trading venue for the new token. This reinforces the investment case for SOL as a central hub for cross-chain liquidity in a multi-chain world.

Consider the long-term potential of prediction markets, where Polymarket is viewed as a stronger investment than DraftKings (DKNG) due to its broader market scope and recent U.S. regulatory approval. For a risk-adjusted crypto adoption play, Klarna stock offers exposure to over 100 million users at a relatively low valuation compared to crypto networks. Value investors may find PayPal (PYPL) attractive as it trades at a low 13 P/E ratio with a potential growth catalyst in its PYUSD stablecoin. Exercise caution with major blockchains like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL), as their current high valuations are viewed with skepticism. Finally, be wary of tokens that lack clear equity rights, as the Tensor (TNSR) acquisition by Coinbase (COIN) showed that token holders may not benefit from a team's success.

Monitor the ISM manufacturing index as a guide for the business cycle, considering adding to risk assets like tech stocks and crypto when it's below 50, as liquidity is expected to increase. For core crypto exposure, focus on major networks like Bitcoin (BTC) as a direct play on global liquidity and Ethereum (ETH), which is valued on user growth and network activity. Consider rotating some profits from established winners like Solana (SOL) into promising, earlier-stage Layer 1s such as Sui (SUI) to capture the next wave of growth. Invest in the long-term AI trend by focusing on its key inputs, particularly energy, as scaling solar and natural gas is critical for powering the required computing infrastructure. Always maintain a cash or stablecoin position to capitalize on market drawdowns, which are prime opportunities to buy high-conviction assets at a discount.

Investors should be cautious of high valuations in Layer 1 blockchains like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL), as their price-to-revenue multiples are stretched compared to traditional growth stocks. In contrast, Bitcoin (BTC) is best viewed as a macro asset akin to 'digital gold', whose value is not based on revenue generation. The most promising growth opportunities may now be in the application layer, focusing on projects with clear real-world use cases. Watch for the convergence of crypto and fintech, with projects like Aave's new consumer savings app being a key example. With speculative capital currently favoring the AI narrative, prioritize investments in crypto applications with strong fundamentals over overvalued infrastructure.

Given the weak market sentiment, a prudent strategy is to hold a higher allocation of cash while monitoring key levels. Watch for Bitcoin (BTC) to hold its critical support range of $88,000 - $90,000, as a bounce from here could signal a short-term bottom. Zcash (ZEC) is showing significant relative strength and is a primary candidate to buy if the market begins to recover. In the perpetual futures sector, consider upcoming project Lighter (LIDR), which is seen as attractively valued and has a major potential catalyst through its partnership with Robinhood. Finally, pay close attention to the upcoming NVIDIA (NVDA) earnings report, as it could significantly impact sentiment across all risk assets.