The State of Crypto, 2026 Predictions & Espresso's Token Launch | Jill Gunter
The State of Crypto, 2026 Predictions & Espresso's Token Launch | Jill Gunter
138 days agoEmpireBlockworks
Podcast57 min 2 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Focus on long-term investments in foundational crypto infrastructure like Ethereum (ETH), which is poised to capture more value than individual applications. Consider publicly traded companies like Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD), as they are key beneficiaries of the growing tokenization of real-world assets trend. These companies are becoming diversified financial platforms built on crypto rails, positioning them for significant growth. For a more speculative, near-term catalyst, watch for the upcoming token launch from infrastructure provider Espresso, which is expected in early Q1. As a developing theme, privacy-focused projects such as Zcash (ZEC) may also gain traction as on-chain privacy becomes a core requirement.

Detailed Analysis

Investment Theme: Tokenization of Real-World Assets (RWAs)

  • The guest, Jill Gunter, is extremely bullish on the tokenization of real-world assets, calling it a necessary step for the most powerful crypto products to emerge.
  • She compares the current moment to the early 1990s internet before all the world's information was digitized. The idea is that for crypto's full potential to be unlocked, all the world's assets first need to be tokenized and brought on-chain.
  • The trend is seen as accelerating now, with major players like Coinbase and Robinhood beginning to offer tokenized securities to their users.
  • Previously, the only significant tokenized real-world asset was the stablecoin (a tokenized US dollar). The expansion into other assets like securities is seen as a major catalyst.

Takeaways

  • The tokenization of assets is presented as a foundational, multi-year trend that will enable a new generation of financial products.
  • Investors could view this as a long-term tailwind for the entire crypto industry.
  • Companies and platforms that facilitate this tokenization or provide the infrastructure for these new digital assets (like Coinbase and Robinhood) are positioned to benefit directly from this trend.

Investment Theme: Infrastructure vs. Applications

  • A key debate discussed is whether value will be captured by applications (like a specific lending app) or the underlying infrastructure (the blockchain it runs on).
  • The guest argues that value ultimately accrues to infrastructure because it has more durable competitive advantages, or "moats."
  • Applications are often "replaceable or fungible." The example given is the prediction market Augur, which was an early leader but has since been overtaken by newer platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi.
  • In contrast, foundational infrastructure players from the early days like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Coinbase are "still around killing it."

Takeaways

  • While new applications can generate significant short-term hype, they face high competition and risk being replaced.
  • Investing in the "picks and shovels" of crypto—the base-layer blockchains, Layer 2 scaling solutions, and core service providers—may be a more durable long-term strategy.
  • This suggests focusing on the foundational technologies that enable the entire ecosystem, as they are harder to displace.

Investment Theme: Privacy

  • The discussion highlights that privacy-focused projects are becoming more relevant and that the "privacy meta is more than a meta and it's here to stay."
  • The reason for this renewed interest is the increasing amount of valuable assets on-chain. With real financial assets being tokenized, both individuals and institutions have a greater need for privacy.
    • Individuals need privacy for civil liberties and to protect their financial data, especially in a world with powerful AI/LLMs that can analyze transaction data.
    • Corporations (like banks and hedge funds) need privacy to protect their trading strategies and maintain a competitive edge.
  • The recent pump in Zcash (ZEC) is mentioned as an early sign of this growing trend.

Takeaways

  • As the crypto ecosystem matures and handles more real-world financial activity, privacy will shift from a niche concern to a core requirement.
  • Projects building privacy infrastructure or privacy-preserving applications could see significant growth and value accrual.
  • This is presented as a developing theme that is just beginning to gain traction.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Ethereum is described as being at a strategic crossroads. It must decide whether to:
    1. Remain a "decentralization maxi" platform, prioritizing censorship resistance above all else.
    2. Become more pragmatic, prioritizing features like fast finality and performance to attract corporate and institutional users.
  • This hesitation has created an opportunity for competitors and supplemental infrastructure providers (like Espresso and Celestia) to offer services that Ethereum itself has not yet prioritized.
  • Despite this, Ethereum's ecosystem is seen as a major winner from the trend of "corporate chains." Major companies like Robinhood (with its Arbitrum-based chain) and Coinbase (with its OP-based chain, Base) are choosing to build on top of Ethereum, validating its role as the primary settlement layer.

Takeaways

  • Ethereum remains the foundational settlement layer for much of the most significant development in crypto, particularly from new corporate entrants.
  • However, investors should watch how the Ethereum community and developers navigate the trade-off between decentralization and performance, as this will impact its long-term competitive positioning.
  • The growth of its Layer 2 ecosystem (Arbitrum, Optimism, etc.) is a direct indicator of its adoption by larger players.

Espresso

  • Espresso is the guest's infrastructure company, which is focused on providing services like fast finality to Layer 2s built on top of blockchains like Ethereum.
  • The company's customer focus is shifting from crypto-native teams to "newcomers" like traditional corporations and startups, who prioritize speed, performance, and customizability over maximal decentralization.
  • Token Launch: The company plans to launch a token. The launch was planned for Q4 but has been pushed to very early Q1 of the next year to align with major partners.

Takeaways

  • Espresso is an example of a project building critical infrastructure to serve the next wave of crypto adoption, which is expected to come from more traditional businesses.
  • The company's focus on performance over pure decentralization reflects a broader industry shift to attract mainstream users.
  • The upcoming token launch in early Q1 is a specific, near-term catalyst that investors and market participants will be watching closely.

Robinhood (HOOD) & Coinbase (COIN)

  • Both companies are highlighted as examples of crypto "winning" and becoming more integrated with traditional finance.
  • Robinhood is praised for being "ahead of the curve" by rolling out tokenized securities trading in Europe and for building its own Layer 2 blockchain (Robinhood Chain) using the Arbitrum stack.
  • Coinbase is mentioned for its major announcements about offering tokenized securities in its app and for being a durable, long-standing infrastructure player.

Takeaways

  • Publicly traded companies like Robinhood and Coinbase are acting as key bridges between traditional financial markets and the crypto ecosystem.
  • Their moves to embrace tokenized assets and build on-chain infrastructure are strong indicators of the industry's direction and can be seen as a bullish sign for broader adoption.
  • These companies are not just exchanges but are becoming diversified financial technology platforms built on crypto rails.
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Episode Description
This week, Jill Gunter from Espresso joins the show to discuss the state of crypto today. We deep dive into how has crypto evolved, why privacy matters, predictions for 2026, will Espresso launch a token & more. Enjoy! -- Follow Jill: https://x.com/jillgun Follow Jason: https://x.com/JasonYanowitz Follow Empire: https://twitter.com/theempirepod Join the Empire Telegram: https://t.me/+CaCYvTOB4Eg1OWJh -- This Empire episode is brought to you by VanEck. Learn more about the VanEck Onchain Economy ETF (NODE): http://vaneck.com/EmpireNODE An investment in the Fund involves a substantial risk and is not suitable for all investors. It is possible to lose your entire principal investment. The Fund may invest nearly all of its net assets in either Digital Transformation Companies and/or Digital Asset Instruments. The Fund does not invest in digital assets or commodities directly. Digital asset instruments may be subject to risks associated with investing in digital asset exchange-traded products (“ETPs”), which include the historical extreme volatility of the digital asset and cryptocurrency market, as well as less regulation and thus fewer investor protections, as these ETPs are not investment companies registered under the Investment Company Act of 1940 (“1940 Act”) or commodity pools for the purposes of the Commodity Exchange Act (“CEA”). Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. Visit vaneck.com to read and consider the prospectus, containing the investment objective, risks, and fees of the fund, carefully before investing. © Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation. -- GEODNET is the world’s largest RTK network, delivering real-time, centimeter-level precision for drones, robots, farmers, and first responders. Recognized by the U.S. Congress, this blockchain-powered network supports mission-critical applications across a wide range of industries. Discover how GEODNET is changing the world: [https://geodnet.com] -- Uniswap’s Trading API offers plug-and-play access to deep onchain and off-chain liquidity, delivering enterprise-grade crypto trading without the complexity - from one of the most trusted teams in DeFi. Click to get started with seamless, scalable access to Uniswap’s powerful onchain trading infrastructure. https://hub.uniswap.org/?utm_source=blockworks&utm_medium=podcast&utm_campaign=ww_web_bw_awa_trading-api_20251117_podcast_clicks -- Timestamps (00:00) Introduction (02:44) The State of Crypto Today (10:21) How Has Crypto Evolved? (19:18) Ads (VanEck, Geodnet, Uniswap) (21:40) Why Privacy Matters (35:55) Who Wins In Crypto Infra? (45:56) Crypto's Identity Crisis (52:52) Predictions For 2026 (55:49) When Will Espresso Launch A Token? -- Disclaimer: Nothing said on Empire is a recommendation to buy or sell securities or tokens. This podcast is for informational purposes only, and any views expressed by anyone on the show are solely our opinions, not financial advice. Santiago, Jason, and our guests may hold positions in the companies, funds, or projects discussed.
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