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threadguy

by @notthreadguy

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Stocks, crypto, politics, culture, and the great financialization of everything. Threadguy is live every weekday from New York with analysis, commentary, and interviews with leading figures across the space of internet markets.
Ask about threadguyAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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696 posts
Binance Founder CZ on Memecoins, Aster, BNB vs SOL and More | TG Podcast

Long-term investors should consider Bitcoin (BTC), which is viewed as a foundational hold with a potential price target of $500,000 to $1,000,000 based on historical 4-year cycles. The Perpetual DEX sector is identified as a major growth area, with predictions that its trading volume will rival centralized exchanges within the next four years. Within this sector, the Aster perpetual DEX is highlighted for its unique privacy features like hidden orders, which could attract serious traders. The BNB Chain ecosystem is also gaining momentum by attracting trading volume from competitors, creating potential opportunities in the BNB token and its projects. These themes represent the highest conviction opportunities for growth in the current market.

TraderMayne: Bitcoin Price Targets, BEST Trading Advice, Altseason and More | TG Podcast

Consider accumulating Bitcoin (BTC) on dips, as the $90,000 - $95,000 range is viewed as a prime buying opportunity for a conservative $150,000 target. PancakeSwap (CAKE) is presented as a high-conviction trade that appears to be bottoming out near $4, with the potential to double towards a $10 price target. Due to its persistent strength, BNB (BNB) is considered a strong hold with a potential long-term target of $1800. For Solana (SOL), a decisive break and hold above its $210 all-time high is needed to confirm its next major move up. A true "altseason" is expected to begin only after Bitcoin completes its next parabolic leg higher.

Avi Patel: Building KLED, Selling Data, Buybacks and More | TG Podcast

Kled (KLED) is a high-potential investment in the AI data market, positioning itself as a "picks and shovels" play for the growing need for human-generated training data. The project has a clear token buyback mechanism, using one-third of its enterprise revenue to purchase KLED on the open market, directly linking business success to token value. With strong early traction, including 25,000 app downloads and a $1 million deal with healthcare company Superpower, Kled is demonstrating real-world adoption. Key upcoming catalysts include the launch of "Kled Games" for viral user growth and potential listings on major exchanges like Kraken. Currently valued at $52 million, KLED trades at a significant discount to its ecosystem peer LaunchCoin (LAUNCH), suggesting potential for relative outperformance.

Duca: How To Pay Crypto Taxes, Saving Money, Big Beautiful Bill and More | TG Podcast

Consider selling losing meme coin positions to harvest capital losses, which can offset gains and lower your overall tax bill. Since crypto lacks a wash sale rule, you can immediately repurchase the assets you sold to maintain your position while still booking the tax loss. For long-term Bitcoin holders, another strategy is to borrow against your holdings on DeFi platforms to access cash without creating a taxable event. However, be mindful of liquidation risk if the price of BTC drops significantly. For a powerful, tax-advantaged alternative, look into Qualified Small Business Stock (QSBS), which can offer up to $10 million in tax-free gains after a five-year hold.

Austin: Making Crypto Faster, DoubleZero Token, Solana Trading and More | TG Podcast

A new infrastructure project, DoubleZero (00), is launching its token tomorrow at 9 a.m. to provide a private, high-speed internet for blockchains. This is a "picks and shovels" investment on the growth of high-performance networks, starting with Solana. The 00 token has a deflationary model where 50% of all fees are burned, and the project has already received a rare "no action letter" from the SEC, significantly reducing regulatory risk. This infrastructure is a key catalyst for the long-term bullish case on Solana (SOL), aiming to help it achieve a 100x increase in transaction capacity. Success could enable institutional-grade trading on-chain, leading to better pricing and a more efficient market for all users.

Varrock: Turning $10k into $750k with Crypto, Trading Advice and More | TG Podcast

Consider PUMP as an index play on the memecoin ecosystem, as its strong revenue and consistent token buybacks may be under-appreciated by the market. For a longer-term hold, XPL (Plasma) is presented as a leveraged bet on the neobank narrative, with a thesis that it is currently undervalued and will reprice higher. The Web3 Gaming sector is highlighted as being on the verge of a major comeback, representing a key emerging theme. Within this sector, keep an eye on rising projects like Fantasy Top and Cambria which are showing positive momentum. Finally, focus on protocols generating strong revenue, as the market is shifting to reward projects with real, and often underestimated, cash flow.

"He's In TROUBLE!" ThreadGuy and Rasmr's CRYPTO HOT SEAT #1 | 9/26/25

Investors should be cautious with Bonk (BONK) as it is rapidly losing market share to competitor Pump.fun. The broader Solana meme coin sector is also showing signs of cooling down, suggesting it may be time to reduce exposure. A bearish narrative is forming around Ethereum (ETH), with a specific prediction that it will fail to break the $5,000 price level. This sentiment stems from the perceived weakening conviction of a major public supporter, which could attract negative trading pressure. Consider rotating capital away from BONK and its ecosystem while being wary of ETH's upside potential in the near term.

Capital Flows: BEST Trading Advice, LONG or SHORT, Gold vs Bitcoin and More | TG Podcast

The current market is in "full melt up mode" due to expected Federal Reserve rate cuts, creating a bullish environment for risk assets like the S&P 500 and Russell. Consider positioning in high-growth themes such as AI & Robotics through ETFs like ARKQ, as well as in Small Caps and Uranium. A primary high-conviction opportunity is the crypto project Hyperliquid (HYPE), with its recent price dip presenting a strategic buying opportunity. The main catalyst for HYPE is the future launch of regulated investment vehicles that will unlock institutional capital inflows. For investors preferring traditional stocks, the company SONN offers a higher-risk way to gain exposure to the HYPE thesis pending a successful merger.

Tulip King: Perp DEXs, Bitcoin in 2026, ASTER and More | TG Podcast

Consider the "CZ perp dex" narrative by investing in ASTER, which has a speculative price target of $4. This trade's thesis relies on capital rotating out of competing platforms like Hyperliquid (HYPE) and into ASTER. Monitor HYPE for high-volume selling on down days, as this could confirm the rotation is underway. For a core long-term holding, accumulate Bitcoin (BTC) as the primary asset in your portfolio. To mitigate long-term risks of government seizure, move your BTC holdings off exchanges and into self-custody.

CookerFlips: Making $7.5M In 3 Days, ASTER, Best Trades and More | TG Podcast

The Perpetual Dex (Perp Dex) sector is identified as the primary investment theme, attracting capital away from other areas. The highest conviction trade is Astar (ASTER) on the BNB chain, which is being held for significant long-term gains based on strong narrative hype. To diversify within this theme, consider Avantis as the leading perp dex on the Base blockchain. Investors are advised to avoid meme coins for now, as that market is expected to remain weak for several months. For a separate long-term holding, analysts also remain very bullish on the stablecoin project Athena (ENA).

Gwart & Robert Chang: Trenching, BNB, Buybacks and More | TG Podcast

Hyperliquid (HYP) and Pump.fun (PUMP) are considered high-conviction themes for this cycle with significant potential to appreciate further. The Solana ecosystem is poised for major growth, fueled by large institutional capital inflows from newly raised digital asset funds. Investors can gain broad exposure by holding SOL or explore higher-risk protocols within the ecosystem like Camino, Drift, and Jupiter (JUP). While Binance Coin (BNB) shows strong price momentum, its investment case carries centralized risk due to an opaque token buyback process. A sustained rally in older coins like Litecoin (LTC) or Dogecoin (DOGE) could be a key indicator that the market is entering a new retail-driven phase.

Ryan Watkins & Monk: Hyperliquid's Future, Trading in 2025, and More | TG Podcast

Consider investing in Solana (SOL) to capitalize on telegraphed institutional buying pressure from new Digital Asset Trusts (DATs), which are expected to deploy billions into the asset. For long-term growth, Hyperliquid (HYPE) is a high-conviction investment, with its upcoming HIP3 upgrade poised to unlock new markets by allowing the trading of traditional assets. The current market strategy has shifted to favor holding quality projects with strong fundamentals for longer durations, rather than short-term meme coin trading. The significant capital flowing into Solana is also expected to lift its entire ecosystem, making projects like Pump.fun (PUMP) potential secondary beneficiaries. As institutions move beyond Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH) is positioned as the next core asset to receive major capital inflows.

Kyle Samani - $1.65B Solana DAT, On-Chain Stock Trading, PumpFun and More | TG Podcast

A new publicly traded company, Forward Industries, has raised $1.65 billion to acquire Solana (SOL), signaling massive institutional buying pressure. The core investment thesis is that SOL is a superior treasury asset to Bitcoin (BTC) because its staking yield makes it a productive, cash-flow-generating asset. Investors can gain direct exposure to this strategy by purchasing shares in Forward Industries, which is led by top crypto firms Multicoin Capital, Galaxy Digital, and Jump Crypto. While not a formal target, management sees a potential 20-25x return for Forward Industries over a 5+ year horizon if they execute on their vision. The long-term bet is that Solana will become the foundational technology for "Internet Capital Markets," tokenizing global finance.

USDAI Founder Reveals Why We Need Stablecoins, Raising $250M and More | TG Podcast

Consider the multi-trillion dollar opportunity in financing AI hardware, as the demand for capital to buy GPUs currently outstrips traditional lending. A direct investment in this theme is through NVIDIA (NVDA), the primary manufacturer at the center of the AI build-out. For crypto-native yield, the USD.ai protocol offers exposure to high-interest GPU-backed loans, with the next deposit opportunity opening on the Plasma blockchain. Speculators can participate in the USD.ai points game now to position for a potential token airdrop expected within 4-6 months. US investors should investigate using 100% bonus depreciation to finance GPU purchases, which can create a significant tax write-off against income.

Courtyard Co-Founder Explains Why Trading Cards Are So Successful | TG Podcast

The Real World Asset (RWA) theme in digital collectibles is a major growth area, aiming to disrupt multi-billion dollar incumbents like eBay and StockX. Private companies are proving the model by turning physical collectibles into tradable digital assets, unlocking massive liquidity and creating new markets. This trend provides a strong, real-world use case for the underlying blockchain infrastructure that enables these high-volume applications. Consider investing in Polygon (MATIC), as its low-cost transactions are essential for the success of fast-growing platforms built on its network. Monitor the RWA sector for future public companies, focusing on those that can solve the difficult challenge of physical logistics and scaling.

Diogenes: Networking in Crypto, Perps, $USDH and More | TG Podcast

Consider a long position in Ethena (ENA), which is viewed as a strong cash-generating company with a potential catalyst from the upcoming Hyperliquid stablecoin vote. Similarly, the pre-market asset Hyperliquid (HYPE) is seen as a high-conviction long-term investment due to the profitability of its exchange business. A major investment theme to monitor is the potential legalization of perpetual futures in the U.S. within the next one to two years. This regulatory shift could be a massive catalyst for the crypto industry and disrupt the current exchange landscape. Such a change could create opportunities in platforms that are well-positioned to offer compliant perp products, potentially benefiting international exchanges like Binance, OKX, and Bybit.

Jez: How To Win In Crypto, Recovering From Losses, Trading Advice and More | TG Podcast

Maintain a large spot Bitcoin (BTC) position, as massive ETF inflows are expected to create a strong price floor with a worst-case downside seen around $75,000 - $80,000. Consider Hyperliquid (HYPE) a core long-term holding, representing a top-tier investment in the highly profitable crypto exchanges theme. For those holding HYPE, generate extra yield by buying the PT-HYPE token on Pendle to earn a high fixed APR. Actively "farm" the upcoming Lighter protocol to position yourself for a potential future airdrop from this high-quality project. For a niche, long-term alternative investment, accumulate sealed, unopened Pokémon products to capture their appreciating value over a 10-year cycle.