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threadguy

by @notthreadguy

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Stocks, crypto, politics, culture, and the great financialization of everything. Threadguy is live every weekday from New York with analysis, commentary, and interviews with leading figures across the space of internet markets.
Ask about threadguyAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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628 posts
River: Best Traders of All Time, $PUMP's Future, and More | TG Podcast

The speaker is cautious on $PUMP due to new competition, while viewing $BONK favorably because of its highly proactive and responsive team. For trading within the Solana ecosystem, the current advice is to avoid the high risk of new coin launches. Instead, focus on established coins that have migrated to a standard exchange and possess a strong narrative. Looking long-term, the robotics sector is identified as a potential trillion-dollar industry and the next major investment theme. Specifically, exoskeleton technology is highlighted as the core driver, with significant demand expected from both elderly and military applications.

Wale: Making $500k from Tweeting, NFTs in 2025, and More | TG Podcast

The current NFT market recovery is concentrating capital into top-tier projects, so investors should prioritize established collections over new, speculative mints. A high-conviction trade is to invest in "blue-chip" NFTs like Pudgy Penguins, Moonbirds, and Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC) with a six-month investment horizon. For higher-risk opportunities, consider minting the first "OG" NFT collections on new blockchains like MegaETH or Hyperliquid that gain strong community support. The InfoFi and SocialFi theme also presents a key opportunity, with more valuable airdrops expected for active participants in the coming months.

Alon: Raising $1B, $PUMP Token, Airdrop, and More | TG Podcast

The $PUMP token presents a potential turnaround opportunity as it trades below its launch price while the team conducts active buybacks. Key catalysts to watch for are a confirmed "meaningful" airdrop and a planned significant liquidity injection from their $2 billion war chest. The team is also developing PumpSwap 2.0 to improve the platform's long-term value and attract quality projects. This intense activity on launchpads reinforces Solana's (SOL) dominance in the retail and meme coin sector. Ultimately, a belief in the growth of this ecosystem serves as a strong bullish thesis for holding SOL.

IceBagz: Kanpai Pandas, Crypto Fight Night, and More | TG Podcast

As the NFT market shows signs of a bull run, consider investing in proven projects like Pudgy Penguins (PUDGY), Bored Ape Yacht Club (BAYC), and Azuki (AZUKI) that have built through the bear market. One such project, Kanpai Pandas (PANDAS), is building a flywheel of media, fighting, and casino businesses to drive value to its NFT holders. The project plans to use 3% of its casino profits to buy back PANDAS NFTs from the market, reducing supply and rewarding long-term holders. For a more direct play on the ecosystem's revenue, consider the Strike Token (STRIKE), the native currency for the entire platform. A significant 17% of all profits will be used to buy back and burn STRIKE tokens, creating a deflationary asset designed to increase in value as the businesses grow.

DeeZe: NFT's Comeback in 2025, What to Hold, OG Punk Lore and More | TG Podcast

Consider buying a CryptoPunk when its price falls below one Bitcoin, as the speaker targets a new all-time high of $400k-$500k this cycle. Focus on established Ethereum NFT collections over new mints, with Masks of Lucy mentioned as a potentially undervalued accumulation target. For meme coins, the speaker's largest holding is HYPE, and he sees a relative value opportunity in MOG, believing it has a clearer path to a 3-5x return than larger competitors. Another high-conviction holding is REKT, an investment based on strong belief in its founder. Use the "Screenshot Rule" for profit-taking: if a gain is exciting enough to screenshot, it is time to sell at least a portion of your position.

CoopahTroopa: Music NFTs, Crypto Artists, Creator Coins, and More | TG Podcast

The Base ecosystem is emerging as a key investment theme, driven by Coinbase's efforts to onboard mainstream users into consumer crypto applications. A primary strategy is to invest in the future popularity of individuals by purchasing creator coins on the Zora platform. Similarly, you can speculate on emerging musicians by buying song coins via Coop Records, which focuses on artists with a potential 3-5 year growth outlook. These are highly speculative bets on cultural attention rather than ownership of underlying assets like music rights. The core opportunity is to use these platforms to invest early in the next wave of popular creators and artists building on Base.

Tom Kysar: Advice for New Traders, Building in Crypto, and More | TG Podcast

For a long-term crypto portfolio, sophisticated investors are primarily holding Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) as foundational, blue-chip assets. Consider adding Solana (SOL) as a third core holding, as it is increasingly viewed as an emerging blue-chip solidifying its position in the market. The core strategy is to hold these assets with strong conviction through market cycles for long-term growth. While the Solana ecosystem is a hub for high-risk trading, the primary investment thesis is to hold the asset itself. Remember to take profits during significant price increases to manage risk, avoiding the pitfalls seen with past projects like Augur (REP).

David Hoffman: Changing Ethereum Forever, ETH Treasuries, and More | TG Podcast

The primary investment opportunity is Ethereum (ETH), driven by a new wave of institutional demand and significant regulatory clarity from the SEC. For investors preferring traditional stocks, consider "Ethereum-coded" companies like Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) as a proxy for the ecosystem's growth. The ETH/BTC ratio is viewed as having potential upside, suggesting ETH may outperform Bitcoin in the current cycle. Keep an eye on the emerging theme of ETH treasury companies, which could create more buying pressure by adding ETH to their balance sheets. This institutional-led thesis is a high-conviction play on Ethereum becoming the base currency for a new digital economy.

Brandon Hong: $25M+ Trades, Crypto Market Future, and More | TG Podcast

The speaker views Bitcoin (BTC) as the most durable long-term crypto asset due to institutional interest and sees major all-time high breakouts as key buying opportunities. A specific trade to watch is Ethereum (ETH); if it holds above the critical $2,800 level, a price target of $4,000 is considered reasonable. Another primary play is XRP, where a sustained break above $3.4 could signal a move towards $4 or higher. Conversely, investors should be extremely cautious with meme coins, as the speaker believes that market is "permanently dead" for generating asymmetric returns. For accredited investors, the highest conviction opportunities have shifted to private market companies in high-growth sectors like AI, robotics, and defense.

Anil Lulla: How Crypto & AI Intertwine,  Building Delphi, and More | TG Podcast

The intersection of AI and Crypto presents a major long-term opportunity, with the current market downturn viewed as an ideal accumulation period for investors. An "AI crypto season part two" is anticipated to occur either this year or by the end of 2025, making now a potentially strategic entry point. Within this theme, consider researching projects like Neura and GRASS, which focus on decentralized AI infrastructure and are backed by major venture funds. Outside of the AI theme, Ethena (ENA) is a "super bullish" high-conviction pick due to its exceptional team and ability to bridge crypto with traditional finance. Similarly, Jito (JTO) is highlighted as another top investment based on the perceived strength of its team.

Zora: Changing Social Media Forever, Creator Coins, and More | TG Podcast

An investment in the ZORA token is a direct bet on the growth of the on-chain creator economy, built on the Base blockchain. The platform's unique "flywheel" model is designed to route all economic activity through the ZORA token, as users must purchase it to interact with any creator. This provides a diversified way to gain exposure to the entire creator coin theme, which is considered a high-risk but potentially more durable trend than typical meme coins. The primary risk is adoption, as Zora competes with established social media giants for user attention. Success is directly tied to the platform's ability to onboard mainstream creators and drive trading volume, which has already exceeded $330 million since February 2024.

Fantasy Top: Gamifying Social Media, Bridging to Base, and More | TG Podcast

The migration of the popular game Fantasy Top is a strong bullish signal for the Base ecosystem, validating its strategy of leveraging Coinbase's user distribution for growth. Conversely, this is an extremely bearish development for the Blast network, which was explicitly called "dead" by the departing founders, signaling a potential collapse in developer confidence. This event also highlights a key friction point for Solana (SOL), as its technical complexity for non-native projects may slow its ability to attract established applications. The growth of applications on Base directly reinforces the value of Ethereum (ETH), which is used as the primary reward and monetary asset within this expanding ecosystem. Investors should also monitor the emerging InfoFi (Information Finance) theme on Base, as it represents a potential new high-growth narrative in crypto.

Ghoshal: Creating $DUPE, Ben Pasternak Beef, Crypto Investors | TG Podcast

The e-commerce company Dupe presents a compelling investment case through its token, $DUPE, as it is a profitable business with accelerating growth. The company is using millions of its own revenue to actively buy back $DUPE tokens from the market, signaling strong internal confidence and directly supporting the price. As the potential "standout winner" of its launchpad, the success of $DUPE is viewed as critical for validating the entire Believe ecosystem. For a more speculative proxy bet, the launchpad's own token, $BELIEVE, is highly correlated to the performance of its top projects like $DUPE. Investors should note these assets are part of an emerging, high-risk theme and have a history of extreme volatility.

Qwerty: Best Trading Advice, Cupsey Effect, $PUMP Trade | TG Podcast

The crypto token $KIDA is presented as a top long-term investment for the current market cycle, with a potential target of a $1 billion market cap. For a shorter-term contrarian trade, $FART is considered an overlooked meme coin that could rally soon after its recent consolidation. Investors seeking crypto exposure through the stock market can consider SharkLink Gaming (SBET), whose value is closely tied to its large treasury of Ethereum (ETH). The ideal condition for these alternative assets to perform well is when Bitcoin (BTC) stabilizes, allowing capital to flow into the broader crypto market. Be cautious with unproven narratives like "streamer coins," as their ability to provide long-term value to holders is questionable.

Smac: How To Make It, AI Girlfriends, Market Uncertainty | TG Podcast

Capital is expected to rotate from Bitcoin into altcoins, as signals suggest Bitcoin Dominance has peaked for the near term. Consider positioning into Ethereum, as the ETH/BTC chart appears to have bottomed, indicating it may soon outperform Bitcoin. This shift could trigger a broader "alt season" lasting from a few weeks to two months, creating opportunities in other strong tokens. To find potential winners, identify altcoins that are showing relative strength by charting them directly against Bitcoin. For those seeking higher-risk opportunities, actively using new crypto protocols can be a powerful strategy to earn valuable token airdrops.

Labib Yasir: Internet Capital Markets, Launching w/ BelieveApp and More | TG Podcast

The Internet Capital Markets (ICM) theme signals a shift towards crypto projects with real revenue and user metrics. A direct opportunity is KO, a mobile fitness app with 1.4 million users, where the token's value is tied to the app's growth and in-app purchases. An investment in KO is a bet on its ability to scale its user base and successfully integrate its token economy. For broader exposure to this trend, consider Believe, a token launchpad that provides post-launch support to nurture sustainable businesses. Investing in Believe offers a way to gain exposure to a curated portfolio of high-quality crypto startups.

Schenkty: Building A Blockchain, Debanking, World Liberty FI and More | TG Podcast

Kida (KIDA) is a new Layer-1 blockchain, backed by former Google CEO Eric Schmidt, aiming to disrupt global payment systems like SWIFT and Visa. The project's mainnet launch is the key upcoming catalyst, scheduled for Summer 2024. With a long-term vision to allow users to "debank" by the end of 2025, KIDA is positioned as a modern competitor to established payment-focused cryptos like Ripple (XRP). This presents an infrastructure investment opportunity focused on the tokenization of real-world assets. Investors should monitor the project's progress towards its public mainnet launch checklist.

IcoBeast: Making $1M+ From Tweets, Streamer Coins, Biggest Trades Ever | TG Podcast

The meme coin launchpad token Pump.fun (PUMP) is considered a high-conviction long position, with a view that any valuation below $6 billion is a buying opportunity. Keep an eye on the SocialFi platform Fantasy Top, as its upcoming migration to the Base blockchain is a key catalyst that could drive significant user adoption. The intersection of AI & DeFi is identified as a major theme for 2025, so consider researching early projects in this space like Banker on Base and OX Deployer. For a core long-term holding, Ethereum (ETH) remains a high-conviction investment based on the thesis of upcoming institutional adoption. As a portfolio strategy, consider rotating profits from speculative trades into core assets like Bitcoin (BTC) to preserve capital.

CookerFlips: Making $300k/day Trading, Esports Betting and the Future of Solana | TG Podcast

A key indicator for the Solana meme coin market is a sustained SOL price of $300-$350, which could trigger significant trading volume. For investors bullish on SOL, consider FARCOIN as a potential beta play that may offer amplified returns. A higher-risk, narrative-driven opportunity is IKUN, which is being promoted by the same influential figure associated with the successful USELESS token. For a more stable position, Pump.fun (PUMP) is seen as having strong support above $4.00 while providing fee-sharing rewards to holders. The core strategy behind these ideas is to follow the "smart money" by analyzing the holdings of influential figures in the ecosystem.

Fejau: BTC All Time Highs, Rate Cuts, QE, and DeFI vs TradFI | TG Podcast

The primary driver for the market is high government spending, making the US fiscal deficit the most important indicator to monitor for investment decisions. As long as this deficit remains high, the structural outlook for Bitcoin is considered bullish due to its nature as a scarce, non-sovereign asset. For leveraged exposure, investors are using treasury companies like MicroStrategy (MSTR), which hold large amounts of Bitcoin. A key risk to watch is if these companies begin trading at a discount to the value of their crypto holdings, as this would be a major market-wide warning sign. Investors should focus on these fiscal and liquidity trends rather than the timing of potential Fed rate cuts.