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threadguy

by @notthreadguy

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Stocks, crypto, politics, culture, and the great financialization of everything. Threadguy is live every weekday from New York with analysis, commentary, and interviews with leading figures across the space of internet markets.
Ask about threadguyAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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783 posts
Stocks Are COOKING But Crypto Is FLOPPING... [Stream Recap]

Investors should capitalize on the AI hardware surge by targeting Micron (MU), which remains in a high-momentum phase following a price target upgrade to $1,625. For a contrarian play, consider buying the dip in "founder-led" compounders Reddit (RDDT) and Shopify (SHOP), which are currently trading roughly 40% off their yearly highs. Ferrari (RACE) presents a tactical entry opportunity following a 7.5% drop, as the market reacts skeptically to its new $600,000+ electric vehicle. Within the space sector, Rocket Lab (RKLB) and AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) are emerging as high-conviction "monsters" that are currently outperforming even the broader semiconductor index. Conversely, exercise extreme caution in the crypto market as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) show technical weakness, while Hyperliquid (HYPE) may be overextended after its valuation surpassed Coinbase (COIN).

LIVE: Stocks ATH!? Crypto is STILL Dying?? Anthropic Signs The Pope..? $900 Micron!

Micron Technology (MU) remains a high-conviction play in the semiconductor sector, with analysts raising price targets to $1,625 based on structural demand for AI-driven high bandwidth memory. Investors should look for a "clean retest" of all-time highs in Nvidia (NVDA) and momentum in ARM as the broader semiconductor index continues to re-rate. Diversify away from crowded tech trades by targeting "massive compounders" like Reddit (RDT) and Shopify (SHOP), which are showing strong revenue growth of 69% and 34% respectively. In the space sector, prioritize established leaders like AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) and Redwire (RDW) while strictly avoiding micro-caps like Momentus (MNTS) due to extreme dilution risks. Within crypto, Hyperliquid (HYPE) is a dominant leader in on-chain perpetuals, though its valuation now exceeds Coinbase (COIN), suggesting caution is warranted at current levels.

How To Make $1,000,000 If The World Is Ending

In the event of a major AI data leak or hack, short SoftBank (SFTBY) and go long on privacy assets like Zcash (ZEC) or hardware providers Apple (AAPL) and NVIDIA (NVDA). If any movement is detected in Satoshi Nakamoto’s original Bitcoin (BTC) wallets, immediately exit all crypto-related positions including Coinbase (COIN) and MicroStrategy (MSTR) in favor of Gold. To hedge against a potential China-Taiwan conflict, prioritize domestic chip production by longing Intel (INTC) and secondary hardware markets like eBay (EBAY). If geopolitical tensions drive Oil toward $300/barrel, short US Bonds and look for long opportunities in Meta (META) should Google (GOOGL) face a regulatory breakup. For infrastructure-related disasters or reconstruction booms, buy Caterpillar (CAT) and Home Depot (HD), while shorting Airbnb (ABNB) and Disney (DIS).

The Sweetgreen "Chud Wrap" Thesis... [Stream Recap]

The semiconductor sector remains the market's strongest performer, with SOX hitting all-time highs and Qualcomm (QCOM) showing significant momentum due to potential OpenAI hardware collaborations. Investors should monitor the IGV Software ETF for a potential sector rotation as it displays strong volume and a recovering chart pattern. Sweetgreen (SG) offers a high-conviction growth play as new high-calorie menu items successfully expand their customer base beyond traditional salad consumers. For a "Black Swan" hedge against a potential China-Taiwan conflict, consider long positions in Intel (INTC) for domestic manufacturing and eBay (EBAY) for the secondary hardware market. In the event of a major AI data leak, shorting SoftBank (SFTBY) while going long on Apple (AAPL) and NVIDIA (NVDA) provides a strategic shift toward secure, local AI hardware.

LIVE: Stocks UP, Crypto DOWN! How To Trade Every BLACK SWAN Event... Everyone Is Getting RICH?

Investors should consider Zcash (ZEC) as a high-conviction "hero opportunity," with a recommended buy entry at $5.60 and a strict stop-loss exit if it falls below $5.00. In the quantum computing sector, "tail the government" by looking for entries in D-Wave Quantum (QBTS), Rigetti Computing (RGTI), and IonQ (IONQ) following massive federal funding announcements. For those seeking a hedge against geopolitical tensions in Taiwan, Intel (INTC) is the primary long position to benefit from domestic semiconductor fabrication needs. Monitor Hyperliquid (HYPE) for a potential "load up" opportunity if the price dips below $50, though investors should expect high volatility due to regulatory headlines. Finally, watch Near Protocol (NEAR) for a re-entry point between $5.60 and $6.15 once the broader crypto market stabilizes and social media sentiment cools.

Explaining Trump's $2B Quantum Portfolio... [Stream Recap]

Accumulate Hyperliquid (HYPE) as a high-conviction platform play, as its recent 64% surge and multi-asset trading capabilities position it as a primary leader for this cycle. Monitor quantum computing stocks following a $2 billion government investment, specifically Global Foundries (GFS) for its breakout from a 1,500-day consolidation and IBM for continued momentum. For a high-reward long-term play, Zcash (ZEC) is targeting a 170% move if it can finally clear its decade-long resistance level between $700–$800. Avoid Solana (SOL) for now, as current sentiment remains bearish due to a lack of fresh narratives and poor on-chain culture. Watch for a potential entry in Copper if it reclaims the $6.60 level, or Silver if it breaks above $90, to capture renewed commodity strength.

LIVE: War is OVER! Hyperliquid ALL TIME HIGHS... STOCKS ARE RIPPING! I LOVE MY LIFE!!!!!

Investors should prioritize Hyperliquid (HYPE) as a high-conviction infrastructure play, focusing on its unique market position and momentum rather than speculative meme coins like PURR. NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a top-tier growth pick, currently undervalued at 19x forward earnings despite its total dominance over the AI supply chain. For those seeking a long-term breakout, Zcash (ZEC) offers a unique narrative hedge against quantum computing advancements as it attempts to clear a decade-long resistance level. The upcoming SpaceX IPO is a critical event to watch, as new Nasdaq rules may force passive index funds to buy billions in shares, potentially driving a massive "manufactured" price surge. Finally, speculative traders can look toward government-funded quantum firms like IonQ (IONQ) and D-Wave (QBTS), though these should be treated as high-risk plays driven by political headlines.

Explaining Nvidia's Earnings Call Results... [Stream Recap]

Investors should consider NVIDIA (NVDA) as a core long-term holding following its massive $80 billion buyback and dividend hike, though tactical entries are preferred during "choppy" post-earnings volatility. For high-beta semiconductor exposure, Micron Technology (MU) offers a compelling "buy the dip" opportunity after its recent 20% correction. In the crypto market, Hyperliquid (HYPE) and Zcash (ZEC) are the top conviction plays, with HYPE showing extreme momentum toward its all-time high of $59.30. Retail investors can gain rare access to private, pre-IPO robotics firms like Figure AI through the RoboStrategy (BOT) wrapper, which is positioned to capture the "next AI trade" premium. While Bitcoin (BTC) remains a stable market anchor, capital is rotating into "data center beta" plays like Bloom Energy (BE) and high-growth altcoins as Ethereum and Solana lag.

NVIDIA EARNINGS CALL LIVE

NVIDIA EARNINGS CALL LIVE

127 days ago•threadguy•@notthreadguy
YouTube2 hr 51 min

Investors should maintain high conviction in NVIDIA (NVDA) as it transitions to its Blackwell and Vera Rubin architectures, supported by a massive $80 billion share buyback and a significant dividend increase. In the crypto sector, Hyperliquid (HYPE) and Zcash (ZEC) are the primary momentum plays, with ZEC specifically showing a rare 10-year technical breakout and a target of its previous all-time high. For exposure to the "Physical AI" and robotics trend, the RoboStrategy (BOT) ticker offers a unique public vehicle to invest in private leaders like Figure AI. Micron (MU) presents a tactical entry opportunity following its recent 20% pullback to capture the ongoing AI hardware bottleneck. While Bitcoin (BTC) remains a stable foundation, capital is currently rotating into high-performance assets like HYPE, ZEC, and VVV for superior short-term returns.

Investigating Trump's Favorite Stock... [Stream Recap]

Concentrate your crypto portfolio into a "triple stack" of high-conviction altcoins—Zcash (ZEC), Hyperliquid (HYPE), and VVV—which are currently outperforming the broader market. Zcash (ZEC) remains a top pick with a strong long bias from the $390 level, while VVV serves as the primary momentum play for the AI narrative following its Robinhood listing. In equities, Dell Technologies (DELL) is a high-conviction "Trump trade" positioned to double as it leverages political ties and massive AI infrastructure partnerships with Nvidia and Palantir. Monitor Tesla (TSLA) for short opportunities near the $425 level, but remain cautious of a potential SpaceX merger that could trigger a massive short squeeze. For diversified tech exposure, look toward Micron (MU) and Marvell (MRVL), which are showing remarkable relative strength despite recent Bitcoin (BTC) volatility.

LIVE: Korean Stocks Are F**KED!!! Anthropic WON..? Trump's FAVORITE Stock (oh no)

Maintain a core position in Bitcoin (BTC) as long as it holds the $60,000 support level, as this stability allows high-conviction "altcoins" to outperform.

Build a position in Zcash (ZEC) to capture the privacy narrative, targeting a generational breakout following the SEC's decision to drop its case against the asset.

Hold Hyperliquid (HYPE) and VVV to gain exposure to the dominant themes of on-chain tokenization and private AI, especially following VVV's recent Robinhood listing.

In traditional markets, follow the "Trump trade" by investing in Dell Technologies (DELL) as it pivots from hardware to high-margin AI Factories and government partnerships.

Consider value plays in South Korean semiconductors like SK Hynix and Samsung, which trade at low valuations of 5x-6x P/E, but remain cautious of high retail margin debt in that region.

I Got Rugged On The Swatch AP... [Stream Recap]

Investors should monitor Bitcoin (BTC) closely as it faces heavy resistance at $80,000; a failure to hold current levels could lead to a significant correction toward the $50,000–$60,000 support zone. Hyperliquid (HYPE) remains a high-conviction play due to its strength in tokenized traditional assets like SpaceX perps, while Zcash (ZEC) is identified as a top-tier recovery candidate for those seeking altcoin outperformance. In the semiconductor space, Intel (INTC) offers a unique narrative driven by U.S. government backing, and Micron (MU) is highlighted as having the most upside potential following its recent 20% retracement. Uber (UBER) is positioned as a major acquisition target for tech giants like Google or Tesla, with analysts eyeing a potential buyout valuation of $250 billion. For a contrarian social trade, consider shorting Zillow (Z) based on weakening housing demand among younger demographics, while watching Copper for a high-probability breakout on its third attempt at a "triple top."

LIVE: Elon LOST to OpenAI.. Trump CANCELS War!? Leopold Reveals Everything & Software is BACK

Monitor Hyperliquid (HYPE) closely this week, as a potential SEC "innovation exemption" for tokenized stocks could serve as a massive catalyst for its pre-IPO trading of SpaceX. Uber (UBER) is emerging as a high-conviction "smart money" play with a valuation target of $250 billion driven by rumors of an acquisition by Google or Tesla. For semiconductor exposure, Micron (MU) offers a "buy the dip" opportunity following a 20% correction, with support levels at $630 and $550. Zcash (ZEC) remains a top pick for privacy-focused investors, with a decisive break above $600 signaling a major bullish move toward previous all-time highs. Diversify into AI infrastructure and software by following institutional rotations into ServiceNow (NOW), TSMC (TSM), and Bloom Energy (BE).

Leopold Aschenbrenner Lied To Us Today... [Stream Recap]

Monitor Swatch Group (UHR) for a short-term sentiment boost driven by the viral "AP Swatch" collaboration, which is currently commanding resale prices up to $2,500. Mark June 12th on your calendar for the potential public listing of SpaceX (SPCX), a massive event-driven opportunity for a company valued near $2 trillion. In the semiconductor space, look for a "flush" or consolidation in NVIDIA (NVDA) and Micron (MU) before entering, as recent pullbacks are testing late buyers. For active crypto traders, Hyperliquid (HYPE) is showing significant relative strength and user growth compared to traditional platforms like Robinhood (HOOD). Exercise "deep patience" with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), avoiding new long positions in altcoins until the broader market stabilizes over the next six months.

LIVE: Leopold Reveals His Positions (HUGE).. Stocks Are DUMPING! The Truth About SpaceX..?

Investors should monitor Polymarket as a high-conviction, "generational" platform that is currently gaining massive mainstream cultural momentum. While not directly tradable via a ticker, the platform's dominance

An Unfiltered Conversation with Airmass

Investors should consider a high-conviction rotation into Micron Technology (MU), which is positioned as the "next NVIDIA" due to a massive supply-demand imbalance and five-year customer agreements. Despite trading near all-time highs, MU remains fundamentally undervalued with a low P/E ratio of 5x and projected revenue growth of 400%, making it a prime candidate for entry during periods of volatility. For long-term wealth preservation, Bitcoin (BTC) is viewed as a mandatory "life insurance policy" against currency devaluation, with a price target of $120,000 considered a bargain for the current cycle. High-net-worth individuals are encouraged to maintain at least some exposure to BTC and prioritize self-custody to ensure financial sovereignty. While the Nasdaq may face 15-20% corrections in the coming years, the broader tech sector is expected to trend upward toward a massive "blow-off top" by 2030, offering generational growth opportunities in AI-linked hardware.

The Most Important Trading Year of Your Life... [Stream Recap]

Institutional accumulation by Michael Saylor and extreme negative social sentiment suggest Bitcoin (BTC) is currently in a contrarian buying zone for long-term holders. Investors should look beyond NVIDIA toward Micron (MU), which is positioned as a high-conviction play on the AI memory hardware stack. Exercise extreme caution with Cerebras (CBRS) at its current 200x Price-to-Sales ratio, as any delay in its OpenAI contract could trigger a significant price collapse. In the crypto ecosystem, monitor Hyperliquid (HYPE) for a breakout above $45, utilizing its pre-IPO markets to gauge early demand for traditional equity listings. For a high-upside consumer play, track the Swatch x AP watch collaboration, which is showing "unfathomably viral" social momentum and a projected resale target of $2,000.

LIVE: Cerebras IPO!  Hyperliquid is INSANE!? Trump is in CHINA! Airmass at 5PM EST!!

Investors should consider a high-conviction position in Micron Technology (MU), which is viewed as a mispriced AI infrastructure play trading at an attractive forward P/E despite reaching all-time highs. The Hyperliquid (HYPE) token is a strong buy-and-hold candidate due to a new Coinbase partnership that generates over $135M in annual revenue specifically for token buybacks. Maintain a long-term "HODL" strategy for Bitcoin (BTC) as a hedge against currency devaluation, treating it as a base asset rather than a short-term trade. Exercise extreme caution or consider shorting Cerebras Systems (CBRS), as its valuation is seen as fragile due to high revenue concentration and an excessive price-to-sales multiple. For those seeking a "black swan" hedge, Intel (INTC) offers significant upside potential as a domestic manufacturing alternative in the event of geopolitical instability in Taiwan.

Trump & Elon Just Met With China... [Stream Recap]

Investors should avoid opening new long positions on Bitcoin (BTC) until it clears the key resistance level of $82,000, which would signal a confirmed breakout toward new highs. Amazon (AMZN) presents a strong contrarian opportunity near the $197 level, as high capital expenditure concerns have created an attractive entry point for long-term growth. For high-risk swing traders, ZCash (ZEC) remains a high-conviction play with plans to accumulate more if the price dips into the $480–$500 range. Robinhood (HOOD) is currently a "double down" opportunity in the $70s for those betting on increased retail trading activity and platform growth. Finally, monitor the Cerebras IPO this Thursday as a critical liquidity test; a simultaneous rally in both the IPO and Nvidia (NVDA) would signal a highly bullish environment for the broader AI sector.

An Unfiltered Conversation with Chris Camillo

Investors should consider Amazon (AMZN) as a high-conviction play, as the market has yet to price in the massive margin improvements expected from its "AI efficiency wave." Monitor Sweetgreen (SG) for organic, non-paid viral social media content regarding their new protein wraps; a successful launch could signal a significant long entry point. In the weight-loss sector, Hims & Hers (HIMS) and Eli Lilly (LLY) are top candidates to lead the next "peptide" trend as consumer demand for GLP-1 solutions remains a dominant cultural force. For short-term momentum, watch Swatch Group (SWGAY) during high-profile collaboration launches, looking to capture a "pop" on the following Monday and exiting quickly once mainstream media coverage peaks. Finally, Robinhood (HOOD) remains a strong conviction trade for those betting on the continued democratization of investing and increased activity from younger retail traders.