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threadguy

by @notthreadguy

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Stocks, crypto, politics, culture, and the great financialization of everything. Threadguy is live every weekday from New York with analysis, commentary, and interviews with leading figures across the space of internet markets.
Ask about threadguyAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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GoPro Goes to the Moon, Togi is a Trader Now, and What's up with Bitcoin

Accumulate spot Bitcoin (BTC) on price dips through year-end to capitalize on seller exhaustion, targeting a long-term upside of $127,000 as a hedge against monetary debasement. To benefit from surging retail engagement in crypto and prediction markets, establish an equity position in Robinhood Markets (HOOD). For asymmetric exposure to the privacy theme, add a speculative allocation of Zcash (ZEC) sized at roughly 10% of your core Bitcoin holdings. Finally, avoid chasing the speculative rally in GoPro (GPRO), as a definitive buyout agreement severely caps any upside at $1.14 per share.

Markiplier Just Pumped A Stock By $150,000,000...

Investors should avoid purchasing GoPro, Inc. (GPRO) above its agreed buyout price of $1.14 per share by Starman Optical, as this definitive acquisition price acts as an effective ceiling on the stock. Chasing GPRO at hype-driven levels between $1.57 and $1.60 exposes traders to immediate downside risk, especially given the company's heavy debt load and ongoing quarterly losses. Across the broader market, steer clear of late-stage influencer-driven meme stocks, as creator-led surges are fueled by viral social media momentum rather than business fundamentals. For any low-float micro-cap equities caught in viral trading spikes, treat sudden parabolic rallies as opportunities to take profits or stay on the sidelines rather than entering new positions.

Will Clemente - Buying Bitcoin Into Total Capitulation

Accumulate spot Bitcoin (BTC) on dips near the $63,500 level through year-end as a primary hedge against rising sovereign debt and financial repression.

Pair your digital holdings with physical Gold to build a comprehensive defense against fiat currency debasement.

Take a small, speculative position in Zcash (ZEC)—sized at roughly 10% of your core BTC allocation—to capture high-upside potential from the digital privacy narrative.

Establish early positions in energy commodities to capitalize on favorable cyclical supply-demand trends ahead of larger institutional capital inflows.

Monitor the USD/JPY exchange rate at the 160 level and spikes in 10-year and 30-year yields as critical early warning triggers for market-wide liquidity shocks.

MARKET OPEN: Onchain BULL MARKET RAGES, Robinhood Chain ON FIRE, USA x Iran WAR… STILL?

Investors should accumulate spot Bitcoin (BTC) during market pullbacks as a primary long-term hedge against sovereign debt and monetary debasement. Buy shares of Robinhood Markets (HOOD) to gain equity exposure to its lucrative expansion into decentralized finance and prediction markets across its massive retail user base. For higher-risk upside, allocate a small speculative position to Zcash (ZEC) following its technical breakout above $8.48 driven by demand for privacy assets. Watch for a buying opportunity in Hyperliquid (HYPE) around $82 to $85, as a pending partnership to unlock regulated US perpetual futures trading could act as a major growth catalyst. Conversely, avoid chasing GoPro (GPRO) above $1.45, as a pending acquisition agreement at $1.14 per share creates severe downside risk once social media hype fades.

Saylor Buys the Top Again, Traders are Celebrities, and Robinhood vs Solana

Investors should closely monitor Bitcoin (BTC) support at $75,000, as failing to hold this level signals a potential drop toward $67,000 after facing stiff resistance at the $81,000–$82,000 zone. Capital is actively rotating into privacy-focused assets, making Zcash (ZEC) in the $826–$900 range and Monero (XMR) prime momentum plays fueled by growing anti-surveillance demand. High-beta ecosystem tokens offer asymmetric upside during Bitcoin consolidation, with key targets including Solana (SOL) at $102, Hyperliquid (HYPE) at $8.15, and PumpFun (PUMP) at $43.27. Rising 30-Year US Treasury yields and geopolitical risks continue to support currency debasement trades, strengthening setups in Crude Oil and Copper. Finally, exercise caution with GoPro (GPRO) by treating its recent 18% influencer-driven spike as short-term speculative hype rather than a fundamental turnaround.

MARKET OPEN: Crypto Onchain BULL MARKET, AI PSYCHOSIS, Is the US Going BACK TO WAR?

For Bitcoin (BTC), consider buying dips near the critical $75,000 – $76,000 support zone or entering on a confirmed breakout above $79,000 – $80,000 for renewed upside momentum.

Build phased positions in privacy assets like Zcash (ZEC), currently trading near $823 – $826, and Monero (XMR) to capitalize on strong technical breakouts and growing demand for anti-surveillance hedges.

Monitor Pump.fun (PUMP) near $43.30 for cash-flow-backed crypto exposure, supported by robust protocol revenues reaching up to $2.9 million per day despite rising competition.

Treat the recent 18% surge in GoPro (GPRO) following an 8.5% creator stake as a short-term speculative momentum trade rather than a fundamental turnaround, given severe competition in the action-camera market.

Ahead of the key September 9 government debt announcement, maintain core allocations in hard assets like Gold and Bitcoin (BTC) as 30-Year U.S. Treasury Yields testing 5.3% increase the likelihood of future central bank liquidity injections.

GTA 6's Real Competition is Pumpfun and Warsh's Jackson Hole

Investors should monitor Bitcoin (BTC) as it approaches the $80,000 level, where any dovish Federal Reserve commentary or signs of monetary easing could trigger a sharp upward breakout. On prediction platform Polymarket, a high-conviction event trade offers a near 2x payout by betting against the US-Iran blockade ending before October 31, provided individual risk is capped at 5% to 10% of total capital. Traders can further capitalize on Polymarket by betting against overreactive price spikes that follow unverified headlines regarding US-Iran diplomatic meetings. Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) remains a strong near-term momentum play on the upcoming launch of Grand Theft Auto VI, though investors should remain mindful of long-term competition from short-form digital media. Following a 13% plunge after Stripe walked away from acquisition talks, PayPal Holdings (PYPL) now trades strictly on its standalone business fundamentals, presenting a critical valuation reassessment zone for dip-buyers.

Tulip King - Why Memecoins Stopped Being Easy

Consider buying Hyperliquid (HYPE) as a core crypto holding for strong fee generation, with an upside price target above $100.

Maintain core Bitcoin (BTC) positions while it trades above the $72,000–$74,000 support zone, but rotate excess profits into high-earning platforms unless price breaks below $70,000.

Accumulate Zcash (ZEC) for momentum-driven exposure ahead of its scheduled Ironwood upgrade.

Reduce exposure to high-valuation base networks like Solana (SOL) and older governance tokens like Uniswap (UNI) and Avalanche (AVAX) that fail to return platform revenue to holders.

Exercise extreme caution with AI infrastructure and data center stocks such as NVIDIA (NVDA), Oracle (ORCL), and Iris Energy (IREN) due to unsustainable capital spending and elevated bubble risks.

MARKET OPEN: GTA Trailer is MID, JACKSON HOLE TODAY, Crypto & Stocks in a BULL MARKET

Investors can look to accumulate Bitcoin (BTC) on potential pullbacks toward the $76,000 level to capitalize on long-term currency debasement tailwinds. Solana (SOL) presents a compelling medium- to long-term opportunity around $105 to $107 as an upcoming governance vote aims to cut token issuance and reduce supply. Within the high-conviction privacy token sector, Zcash (ZEC) near $800 offers asymmetric upside for risk-tolerant investors willing to navigate regulatory headwinds. In equities, Take-Two Interactive Software (TTWO) provides near-term upside momentum fueled by the rollout of Grand Theft Auto VI, though sustained multi-year engagement remains critical for long-term holders. For alternative non-correlated returns, traders can exploit geopolitical mispricings on Polymarket by strictly sizing positions between 5% to 10% of total capital.

He Made $2M on a Robinhood Memecoin - Insentos

Investors can capitalize on the expanding Robinhood (HOOD) on-chain ecosystem by accumulating flagship tokens like Cash Cat (CASHCAT) to benefit from steady, compounding retail demand over time. While aiming for an anticipated multi-billion-dollar market cap runner in CASHCAT, manage severe volatility by dollar-cost averaging through major dips and de-risking by taking partial 30% profits into strength. Broaden exposure within the HOOD network by targeting resilient tokens with active development and real-world asset (RWA) integration, specifically Pawns and Index. For fast-paced, narrative-driven trades, the Solana (SOL) ecosystem and Pump.fun remain the primary venues, though upside expectations should remain modest until broader retail participation surges. Across both crypto momentum plays and volatile stock earnings events like Micron Technology (MU), enforce strict profit-taking targets to avoid giving back substantial paper gains.

The GTA 6 Leaker Won and Everything Depends On NVDA

Monitor Bitcoin (BTC) for a decisive breakout above the key $82,000 resistance level, which serves as the primary confirmation signal for broader crypto market upside. Decentralized exchange leader Hyperliquid (HYPE) offers a high-conviction momentum trade following its recent pullback, with an anticipated price target above $100. Investors should consider rotating profits out of expensive base-layer assets like Solana (SOL) and into fee-generating application tokens with built-in buyback mechanisms, such as Pump.fun (PUMP). Exercise caution and consider hedging tech positions (QQQ, SOXX) ahead of NVIDIA's (NVDA) earnings report to mitigate downside risk from elevated market expectations. For equity investors, Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) presents strong multi-quarter upside potential supported by upcoming release milestones for Grand Theft Auto 6 (GTA 6).

MARKET OPEN: BITCOIN Back Above $80K, NVDA CRUSHES Earnings, The AI TRADE is BACK

Watch for Bitcoin (BTC) to confirm a decisive breakout above $80,500, offering an actionable trade toward price targets between $81,000 and $82,000 where partial profits should be secured.

Solana (SOL) presents high upside potential following its technical break above $105, clearing a path toward price targets in the $148 to $150 range.

Strong earnings from NVIDIA (NVDA) reaffirm long-term demand for AI compute infrastructure, providing a solid foundation for continued rallies across broader semiconductor and risk-on markets.

Investors should consider exposure to established enterprise software (IGV) leaders like Salesforce (CRM), which are monetizing generative AI through foundational partnerships rather than being displaced by it.

For high-growth crypto allocations, consider scaling into Hyperliquid (HYPE) above the $82–$85 level as decentralized derivatives exchanges continue capturing significant market share.

MARKET OPEN: Crypto is ON FIRE, ROBINHOOD CHAIN is Coming, NVIDIA EARNINGS TODAY

Watch Bitcoin (BTC) for a breakout above $82,000 to trigger a broader market rally, keeping the $70,000–$72,000 support zone as a key downside risk boundary. Exercise caution with NVIDIA (NVDA) heading into earnings due to elevated valuation risks and asymmetric downside if guidance does not significantly outperform. Capitalize on strong decentralized trading momentum with Hyperliquid (HYPE) as it targets a psychological breakout above $100. Rotate capital from base layer Solana (SOL) into high-revenue application tokens like Pump.fun (PUMP) to benefit directly from its $1.17 million in daily buybacks. Consider Robinhood (HOOD) as an underappreciated equity investment gaining significant upside from its aggressive expansion into crypto infrastructure and on-chain ecosystems.

Are We Repeating Zimbabwe and The Market Tanks

Accumulate Bitcoin (BTC) within the $78,000–$81,000 consolidation range to capitalize on institutional demand and hedge against ongoing U.S. currency debasement.

Consider building a position in Broadcom (AVGO) as its new energy-efficient hardware positions the company to capture lucrative market share from NVIDIA (NVDA) in AI inference.

Prepare for heightened volatility across semiconductor ETFs and broader tech markets by managing position sizes ahead of NVIDIA's (NVDA) upcoming earnings report.

Monitor long-term U.S. Treasuries between September 9 and November 4 during the government's expanded bond buyback schedule, using yield pressure near 5.2% as a signal to favor hard asset hedges.

Adopt a cautious stance on Apple (AAPL) as declining App Store monetization threatens growth in its high-margin services segment.

MARKET OPEN: BITCOIN BREAKS $80K, NVDA Earnings TOMORROW, Anthropic is in TROUBLE

Bitcoin (BTC) presents a high-conviction breakout opportunity if it decisively clears the $82,000–$85,000 resistance zone, opening a path toward a $100,000 price target while keeping $67,000 as the key invalidation level.

Among alternative crypto plays, look to capitalize on momentum in Hyperliquid (HYPE) between its current $79–$81 consolidation range as traders target the psychological $100 mark.

For equity investors, Broadcom (AVGO) is emerging as a premier custom AI chip play, backed by early reports that its new "Jalapeno" inference processor outperforms existing hardware in energy efficiency.

Keep NVIDIA (NVDA) on close watch, as its upcoming earnings report will serve as the make-or-break clearing event for broader semiconductor and physical AI infrastructure sentiment.

On the macro front, accumulate hard assets like Gold and Bitcoin to front-run currency debasement ahead of expanded U.S. Treasury bond buybacks scheduled between September 9 and November 4.

Crypto Takes the Mandate of Heaven from Anthropic and China News

Monitor Bitcoin (BTC) for a confirmed breakout above the key $80,000 resistance level, driven by expanding US Treasury bond buybacks and growing demand for currency debasement hedges.

Approach the chip sector with caution following heavy institutional selling in Micron (MU) and the leveraged Semiconductor ETF (SOXL), which has dropped between 6% and 10%.

Treat NVIDIA (NVDA)’s upcoming Wednesday earnings report as the primary binary catalyst before taking new positions across the broader artificial intelligence hardware space.

Allocate to traditional hard assets like Gold (XAU) and Copper for defensive exposure, as both are exhibiting strong technical breakout patterns alongside expanding government liquidity.

Capitalize on accelerating retail trading volume through Robinhood (HOOD) and Coinbase (COIN) as both platforms aggressively expand into real-world asset tokenization and new cryptocurrency listings to capture market share.

MARKET OPEN: Crypto BULL MARKET is RAGING, Bessent’s $1T INTERVENTION, MEMORY TRADE is OVER

Watch for Bitcoin (BTC) to confirm a breakout above $80,000–$82,000 as a core macro hedge, which opens the path toward upside price targets of $85,000 to $100,000+. Capitalize on strong crypto momentum plays with Zcash (ZEC) targeting $1,000–$2,000 and decentralized exchange leader Hyperliquid (HYPE) pushing toward $100. High-risk traders can monitor Pump.fun (PUMP) for continuation toward all-time highs, supported by strong retail volume following its recent 265% surge. Exercise near-term caution and avoid dip-buying the Semiconductor & AI Hardware Sector (SOXL, Micron (MU)) until massive institutional selling clears and upcoming NVIDIA (NVDA) earnings provide sector direction. For long-term equities, accumulate Robinhood Markets (HOOD) as it expands into 24/7 global tokenized stock trading, and hold Take-Two Interactive (TTWO) for multi-year revenue growth tied to the upcoming release of Grand Theft Auto 6.

I Can't Sleep Because The Crypto Market Is On Fire

For Bitcoin (BTC), look for buying opportunities on pullbacks below $70,000, while maintaining a strict risk cut-off if the price falls below $66,000.

High-conviction token Pump.fun (PUMP) remains a strong hold driven by massive platform revenue, with an exit plan targeted for when social trading apps reach 100 million downloads.

Momentum investors should monitor decentralized derivatives platform Hyperliquid (HYPE) near its $76 all-time high to capitalize on expanding on-chain trading volumes.

Traditional stock investors can gain high-beta crypto exposure by buying shares of Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) as trading volumes expand.

Finally, consider diversifying into hard assets like Gold, Silver, and Brent Crude Oil as macroeconomic and geopolitical hedges that are currently breaking out alongside digital assets.

MARKET OPEN: Crypto RETURNS to a RAGING BULL MARKET, BITCOIN is BACK, Memory Bros BUYING OUR COINS

For Bitcoin (BTC), consider accumulating spot positions on healthy pullbacks toward the $66,000–$70,000 zone while watching for a breakout above the $80,000 resistance level to signal the next leg of the bull market.

Investors can purchase Coinbase (COIN) for regulated equity exposure to the crypto market ahead of a significant legislative catalyst from the Senate's Clarity Act vote scheduled around September 15th.

Robinhood (HOOD) offers high-conviction growth potential as it expands into real-world asset (RWA) tokenization and launches 24/7 international trading for tokenized stocks.

Gain exposure to decentralized derivatives by targeting cash-flow-positive platforms like Hyperliquid (HYPE), waiting for market pullbacks rather than chasing current highs near $76–$77.

Avoid "bargain hunting" discounted legacy layer-1 tokens like Avalanche (AVAX) and Cardano (ADA), rotating capital instead into high-revenue ecosystems with active user demand.

Why Bessent is Freaking Out, Gold and Bitcoin Rally, and Pumpfun vs Solana

Buy Bitcoin (BTC) around $71,600–$72,000 and allocate to Gold (XAU) to directly hedge against US dollar weakness and government bond market interventions.

Accumulate Hyperliquid (HYPE) between $71.40 and $74.00 to capitalize on strong institutional adoption and potential US market expansion via the CFTC.

Take a tactical position in Pump.fun (PUMP) for high-upside exposure to consumer crypto activity, supported by proven organic revenue generation of approximately $1 million per day.

Add Zcash (ZEC) to your portfolio for targeted, independent exposure to privacy-focused digital assets that move separately from broader market cycles.

Monitor pre-IPO secondary markets for artificial intelligence leaders, specifically targeting Anthropic ahead of its projected late-2024 public listing and OpenAI prior to its planned offering by 2027.