threadguy
YouTube

threadguy

by @notthreadguy

851 videos

Stocks, crypto, politics, culture, and the great financialization of everything. Threadguy is live every weekday from New York with analysis, commentary, and interviews with leading figures across the space of internet markets.
Ask about threadguyAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

Recent Posts

851 posts
Rhino - Longevity, Fading the Narrative, and Why Edge Is Overrated
  • The clearest actionable stance is cautiously bullish on risk markets and equities, since stocks held up despite rising Treasury yields; no index target or timeframe was provided.
  • Treat Bitcoin (BTC) as a tactical trade, not a large long-term spot allocation: the interview flagged $81,000 as a contemporaneous caution level, with greater risk appetite only if key levels were reclaimed.
  • The interview gives no current entry, target, or sufficiently supported thesis for NVDA, AMD, EWY, or the crypto assets discussed, so avoid treating those past trades as fresh recommendations.
  • Keep positions modest and define downside before entering; the speaker warned that options can quickly destroy capital, and leveraged crypto trades can magnify losses.
THE RHINO INTERVIEW

THE RHINO INTERVIEW

32 days ago•threadguy•@notthreadguy
YouTube1 hr 21 min
  • Treat Bitcoin as cautiously bullish only if it reclaims the yearly-open area; a break below roughly $81,000 would be a warning to reduce risk.
  • Stay selective across crypto: SOL, ENA, ZEC, HYPE, and LIT show structural weakness, so wait for clear recovery signals rather than buying simply because prices have fallen.
  • For longer-term equity exposure, monitor Google (GOOGL) and Amazon (AMZN), which the trader holds, while watching how markets respond to rising Treasury yields.
  • Avoid oversized options and leveraged trades; set a clear invalidation level and size positions so a loss cannot seriously damage your portfolio.
MARKET OPEN: The GOLDEN AGE of Gaming is HERE, Is the Crypto BULL RUN OVER?, AI vs CHINA vs USA
  • PUMP is the clearest actionable crypto idea: the host favored revenue-generating tokens with buybacks and cited Pump.fun’s roughly $2.6 million in daily revenue, though that revenue may not persist.
  • ZEC showed relative strength during a market decline and was backed by a broader privacy-sector thesis; no price target or timeframe was provided.
  • Avoid pure meme-coin speculation, which the host viewed as weak for the foreseeable future; he also questioned ETH’s investment case and considered NVDA too expensive at current levels.
  • Treat Unity (U) as a watchlist idea, not a firm buy: AI-assisted game creation could benefit its development tools, but the host said the thesis needs more research.
Doomer - T-Bills to $25 Million, Momentum Trading, and Holding Through the Dips
  • Consider ZEC only as a high-risk, speculative position: the guest cited a possible $5,000–$10,000 over one to two years, but emphasized uncertainty and extreme volatility.
  • PUMP has a bullish case based on reported reach and revenue, but team uncertainty and the lack of a timeline make the guest’s hoped-for all-time high or 5× gain highly speculative.
  • Avoid treating anecdotes about meme-coin windfalls as repeatable opportunities; the guest described giving back $6–$7 million through subsequent speculative trades.
  • Keep money needed for taxes or major goals out of speculative crypto, and consider paying down debt, using index funds, and securing gains.
ai will create the golden era of videogames
  • Roblox (RBLX) is the clearest stock to research for AI-assisted game creation: its tools let users generate game concepts and interactive content, though the discussion gives no price target or clear entry point.
  • Unity (U) is a higher-uncertainty way to invest in AI-enabled game development, particularly in mobile and indie games; confirm that Unity can capture the opportunity before buying.
  • Consider Microsoft (MSFT) and Sony (SONY) as possible platform beneficiaries if AI-generated games increase content and player activity, but the discussion offers no specific catalysts or targets.
  • Treat the potential 90% reduction in game-development costs as speculative, and note that Steam—praised as a compelling gaming platform—is not publicly traded.
MARKET OPEN: Russian PLAGUE OUTBREAK, I BOUGHT ZCASH BACK, Michael Burry vs the BULL MARKET
  • Consider Bitcoin (BTC) bullish only while it holds above the cited $83,000 weekly-close level; a move above $87,000 would strengthen the breakout, but beware of a sharp reversal.
  • Zcash (ZEC) offers a high-risk privacy-coin momentum trade, but avoid leverage: the $5,000–$10,000 target over the next 1–2 years is speculative, and large swings were emphasized.
  • Track Marvell (MRVL) against its projected $20 billion FY2028 revenue and $70–90 billion FY2031 outlook; the discussion gave no price target, so delivery on those forecasts is key.
  • Treat EWZ as an election-sensitive emerging-markets opportunity: monitor the vote and policy aftermath rather than extrapolating its reported 13% one-day gain, given political uncertainty.
How I made $315,000 trading crypto
  • Consider spot ZEC rather than leveraged exposure if pursuing the privacy-coin thesis; the speaker’s $5,000 by end-2026 target is highly speculative, and sharp losses remain possible.
  • Treat HYPE and NEAR as high-risk watchlist ideas, not forecasts: the speaker cited possible end-2026 targets of $250 and $15–$20, respectively.
  • Avoid relying on leveraged PUMP trades; its $0.02 end-2026 target is speculative, and volatility and funding costs can force premature selling.
  • Keep crypto positions sized to withstand major drawdowns, and verify the asset and ticker before considering Lighter or Venice, which were not clearly specified.
MARKET OPEN: I SOLD ZCASH, The GUARANTEED 4-Year Cycle Bottom is in TWO DAYS, The Pope vs Anthropic
  • Favor spot Zcash (ZEC) over leveraged exposure if pursuing the host’s privacy-coin thesis; $5,000 by end-2026 is a highly speculative personal target, not a forecast.
  • Pump.fun (PUMP) is a higher-risk usage-and-revenue bet, with a speculative $0.02 target; monitor launchpad activity and revenue for signs the thesis is weakening.
  • Hyperliquid (HYPE) has a speculative $250 end-2026 target versus roughly $92 during the discussion, but depends on sustained demand for crypto trading infrastructure.
  • Keep crypto positions sized for sharp pullbacks and avoid leverage; the host said funding costs and liquidation risk made it harder to hold through volatility.
the psychology of becoming a millionaire in crypto
  • Avoid chasing PUMP after sharp rallies; its extreme volatility makes entry and exit timing difficult, and the cited revenue and buyback figures are too unclear to support a buy thesis.
  • Treat ZEC cautiously: a reported sale of 15,000 ZEC (about $23 million) could add selling pressure, and no clear price target or fundamental case is provided.
  • Before trading smaller crypto assets or NFTs, check liquidity and likely slippage, and size positions so you can tolerate sharp drawdowns.
MARKET OPEN: Pokémon Cards have TOPPED, Bitcoin BREAKOUT?, Anthropic IPO is COMING
  • Zcash (ZEC) was the speaker’s only current position, with personal long-term targets of $5,000–$10,000; treat these as highly speculative and avoid oversized leverage.
  • Bitcoin (BTC) showed positive momentum near $87,000, with roughly $102 million in recent ETF inflows cited as support, but no price target was given.
  • Monitor Pump.fun (PUMP): reported revenue of about $2.5 million per day supported the speaker’s renewed bullish view, though the durability of that activity remains uncertain.
  • Consider CARDS only as a high-risk, speculative collectible-linked token: enthusiasm was tempered by concerns about liquidity, access, and project communication.
ai companies will buy your house and you will like it

Track San Francisco residential real estate for continued demand from AI-sector wealth, but treat the cited 13.6% annual price rise as unverified and avoid chasing bidding wars. Confirm the trend through completed sales, inventory, and AI-company hiring before considering a purchase; OpenAI, Anthropic, and the other companies mentioned are private, with no direct public-market trade identified.

MARKET OPEN: Crypto is in SHAMBLES, COGNITION BEEF, Who Cares About the US 10Y Yield?
  • Micron (MU) is the clearest fundamental opportunity discussed: monitor AI-memory demand, supply agreements extending to 2031, and margins near 86%, while recognizing that strong results did not prevent a share-price decline.
  • Avoid trading ETH, NEAR, or unrelated crypto holdings on unverified security rumors; confirm official updates and whether NEAR’s reported incident is contained and affected users are reimbursed.
  • Treat Pump.fun (PUMP) and other low-cap altcoins as highly speculative; the bullish view depends on a broader crypto bull market, with no timing or price targets provided.
America's AI is Dope, San Francisco Real Estate Bubble, and Issa the Cooker Cooks
  • Consider Lighter a short-term underperformer after Robinhood’s in-app perpetual futures launch used Bitstamp and its own solution rather than Lighter; any bearish trade should be tactical, not a weeks-long short.
  • Micron (MU) earnings on September 30 after market close are a near-term catalyst, but no directional trade or forecast was provided.
  • Treat Cerebras cautiously given reported reliance on OpenAI for 31.5% of revenue; NVIDIA (NVDA) may benefit from reported GPU use, though no price targets were offered.
I just made $16,428 in 5 minutes

I just made $16,428 in 5 minutes

39 days ago•threadguy•@notthreadguy
YouTube9 min 30 sec
  • Avoid treating Lighter as a Robinhood perp beneficiary: Robinhood’s in-app product uses its own solution, weakening the partnership-driven bull thesis.
  • The speaker took a short-term Lighter short after clarifying the news, but closed it; any similar trade is high-risk and the discussion gives no current entry price or target.
  • The speaker remains broadly bullish on altcoins and crypto perpetual futures, but provides no specific assets, price targets, or timeframe.
  • HOOD has no stock-specific recommendation or valuation target in the discussion; its derivatives are not FDIC-insured or SIPC-protected.
kel - The Full Zcash Thesis, Building Conviction, and Going Against the Crowd
  • Consider Zcash (ZEC) as a high-risk, long-term privacy thesis if you can tolerate severe volatility; size it carefully and separate any active-trading portion from your core holding.
  • Monitor Bitcoin (BTC) for progress on privacy, quantum resistance, and its long-term transaction-fee model before relying on it as a long-term network-security thesis.
  • For Hyperliquid (HYPE), focus on durable user loyalty and product advantages, and avoid letting short-term price swings alone dictate a well-researched long-term position.
  • Treat Pluralis, Pearl, Bittensor (TAO), and Venice as speculative research ideas: the sector has potential upside, but the stated base case is that no project may emerge as a winner.
MARKET OPEN: Robinhood Summit DESTROYS Onchain, SF Real Estate is MOONING, Is America an AI LAB?
  • Consider XRP only as a speculative, unleveraged trade: the guest’s scenario targets $2.50 if Bitcoin reaches $100,000, with $1.50 mentioned as a possible exit level; both are personal estimates, not guarantees.
  • Near (NEAR) was described as a stronger near-term opportunity than Zcash (ZEC), but no price target or longer-term thesis was provided—avoid treating past trading gains as evidence of future returns.
  • The bearish crude oil trade depends on U.S.–Iran de-escalation and possible sanctions relief; headline risk could cause a sharp move against the position, so it is not suitable without strict risk limits.
  • Micron (MU) had earnings scheduled for September 30 after the close, but no earnings outlook or target was given; treat the event as a volatility catalyst rather than a clear buy signal.
Anthropic’s Revenue Leaked, Kelxyz Stops By Stream, and Pumpfun Makes a Comeback
  • Treat Anthropic’s leaked financials and rumored IPO valuation as unverified; wait for an official filing before assessing the company’s growth, losses, infrastructure commitments, and customer concentration.
  • For AI exposure, Micron (MU) was mentioned as an indirect way to play infrastructure demand, but the discussion offered no price target—monitor actual AI spending and chip demand rather than relying on a single-session rally.
  • No other assets received a clear, high-conviction buy thesis; avoid treating short-term crypto gains or PUMP’s rally as evidence of a durable recovery.
Papertrade Launch, 1000x Leverage & Onchain War Stories - blurr
  • Treat PAPER as a pre-launch, high-risk project—not an available investment: its launch date, token tradability, and final emissions and payout rules remain undefined.
  • Avoid relying on PAPER’s advertised 1,000x leverage or zero-slippage design; extreme price moves, manipulation, or payout stress could cause severe losses.
  • The discussion offers no actionable directional trade or price target for BTC, ETH, HYPE, SOL, or the other named assets; BTC and ETH are mentioned only as planned initial markets for PAPER.
MARKET OPEN: Anthropic S-1 is UHHH, Crypto is SAVED, The KEL INTERVIEW TODAY
  • Treat Anthropic’s reported IPO figures and valuation as unverified; wait for an official filing before assessing any investment, given the reported losses, infrastructure commitments, and customer concentration.
  • Consider Zcash (ZEC) only as a high-risk, long-term privacy thesis: the discussion offered no price target, and volatility and large-holder selling can sharply affect its price.
  • Monitor Pump.fun (PUMP) for durable revenue and buybacks, but avoid chasing sharp rallies; its price action was described as highly volatile.
  • Watch AI infrastructure and memory stocks for evidence that demand translates into sustainable returns; no specific stock recommendation or price target was provided.
I Love Rare Books, The SEC Legalizes Crypto, and Why Price Targets Are Too Low
  • Live Nation (LYV) is the clearest way discussed to express the live-events theme: the transcript cites 9% quarterly revenue growth and record attendance of 49 million fans; compare its valuation and share performance before investing.
  • NVIDIA (NVDA) may merit consideration given its large buyback authorization, but no price target is provided; avoid leverage and carefully check order size.
  • Treat Meta’s new enterprise platform and MongoDB (MDB)’s CEO departure as developments to monitor, not proven reasons to buy or sell software stocks.
  • HYPE’s buyback model and PUMP’s recent gains are speculative signals, not sufficient investment cases; assess fundamentals and risk before buying.