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threadguy

by @notthreadguy

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Stocks, crypto, politics, culture, and the great financialization of everything. Threadguy is live every weekday from New York with analysis, commentary, and interviews with leading figures across the space of internet markets.
Ask about threadguyAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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696 posts
AI Is 6 Months From Replacing ALL Jobs (Alex Finn)

The primary investment opportunity in the AI revolution is the scarce hardware required to run it, not the increasingly abundant software. Consider a "picks and shovels" strategy by investing in key semiconductor companies like ASML and Micron (MU), which provide essential, hard-to-replicate components for all AI players. This hardware-focused thesis also views Tesla (TSLA) favorably, as its vehicles represent scarce, intelligent hardware. Conversely, investors should be cautious with the SaaS sector, as AI threatens to commoditize software products and erode their competitive advantages. Finally, monitor Apple (AAPL) Mac sales for signs of a new upgrade cycle driven by consumers buying hardware for local AI models.

AI just SAVED Crypto..? This might be INSANE. - Market Updates & News (LIVE)

Focus on AI hardware as the new point of scarcity, considering investments in essential chip-related companies like ASML and Micron (MU). Conversely, be cautious with the SaaS sector, as AI's ability to replicate software threatens the competitive advantages of companies in this space. Consider holding Bitcoin (BTC) as a long-term investment, viewing it as the potential financial infrastructure for a future economy run by AI agents. For an equity-based play on this theme, look at Coinbase (COIN), which is profitable and strategically positioning its Base network for AI integration. Finally, exercise caution with the broader US stock market, as recent political events are being interpreted as a potential "top signal" indicating high systemic risk.

The Financial Market Is About To Change FOREVER. Exposing Everything. - Market Updates & News (LIVE)

The long-term bullish thesis for Artificial Intelligence suggests investing in foundational companies like semiconductor firms NVIDIA (NVDA) and TSM. Conversely, investors should be extremely cautious with most altcoins, as the poor price action of Uniswap (UNI) indicates the market is exhausted with older crypto narratives. The most promising new theme is the convergence of AI and Cryptocurrency, with a focus on infrastructure projects in ecosystems like Base. For Bitcoin (BTC), a potential reversal to the $80,000 - $90,000 range could occur within six months if macro risks subside. To gain a personal information edge, it is highly recommended to get hands-on experience with the latest AI models.

Crypto is BOTTOMED. Is the Bear Market OVER? - Market Updates & News (LIVE)

Consider investing in Banker (BANKER) on the Base blockchain, which is presented as a high-conviction play on the intersection of AI and crypto. The project is positioned as essential infrastructure for AI agents, reportedly generating $200,000 to $500,000 in daily revenue. While this specific AI-crypto narrative is bullish, the broader crypto market, including Bitcoin (BTC) and related stocks like Coinbase (COIN), currently has a bearish short-term outlook. For a higher-risk opportunity, Pump.fun (PUMP) offers a potentially massive yield, but its low valuation reflects significant market uncertainty about its strategy. Overall, the long-term AI sector is viewed as a strong investment theme with more reasonable valuations than past tech bubbles.

Inside Roblox’s Billion-Dollar Dev Economy (ft. KreekCraft)

Roblox (RBLX) is a primary investment vehicle for the powerful user-generated content (UGC) trend in gaming. A significant upcoming catalyst for the platform is the launch of Take-Two Interactive's (TTWO) highly-priced Grand Theft Auto 6. As younger gamers seek free alternatives, a surge of players is expected to flock to "GTA clones" on Roblox, boosting user engagement. While investing in the RBLX platform is seen as a stable "picks and shovels" play, be aware of risks from management's disconnect with its community. Investors should also be cautious of the corporate hype around AI in game creation, as the player base is currently strongly against it.

WTF is crypto doing!? Are we BACK..? AI taking our jobs? - Market Updates & News (LIVE)

The primary investment thesis is the "Bits to Atoms" trend, where the AI revolution requires a massive build-out of physical infrastructure and energy. A key bottleneck creates an opportunity in electrical transformer manufacturers like Schneider Electric and ABB, which are reportedly sold out for years. Consider investing in heavy industrial companies such as Caterpillar (CAT) and Deere (DE), which benefit from both infrastructure demand and AI-driven efficiency gains. The surging electricity demand also creates a long-term bullish case for the energy sector, particularly in nuclear power with companies like General Electric (GE). Lastly, geopolitical re-armament presents a strong case for European defense contractors like Rheinmetall and shipbuilders such as Hyundai Heavy Industries.

How a Kid Stole $40,000,000 in Crypto (from his dad)

The U.S. government's $25 billion holding in Bitcoin (BTC) serves as a strong form of institutional validation and a long-term bullish signal for the asset. This massive, illiquid supply is effectively off the market, which could positively impact BTC's price due to increased scarcity. The government's management challenges also highlight a key investment opportunity in the "picks and shovels" of the industry, specifically crypto custody companies. Investors should research established firms providing secure digital asset custody, as they are crucial for further institutional adoption. As a cautionary note, always conduct thorough due diligence and avoid investments with obvious red flags, like the private contractor CMDSS.

It’s NOT over!? Crypto is bouncing? - Market Updates & News (LIVE)

Hyperliquid (HYPE) is highlighted as a top investment opportunity due to its strong revenue model that profits from market volatility and its outperformance against Bitcoin. For Bitcoin (BTC), the critical support level to watch is $60,000, as a sustained drop below this price would be a significant bearish signal. A decisive move above $79,000 would be required for Bitcoin to regain serious bullish momentum. Consider monitoring Zcash (ZEC), which is gaining positive attention from influential analysts and figures like Vitalik Buterin. The recent market crash appears to be a technical washout, creating an opportunity to focus on fundamentally strong assets while monitoring key BTC price levels for overall market direction.

Bitcoin is 63K!? Crypto is FINISHED? - Market Updates & News (LIVE)

Bitcoin's sharp decline is presented as a leading indicator for a potential major correction in the stock market, particularly in overvalued names like NVIDIA (NVDA). The analysis suggests extreme caution with the broader market and avoidance of the SaaS sector, which is already experiencing a severe downturn. Altcoins are demonstrating extreme volatility and should be avoided, as they are suffering significantly larger losses than Bitcoin. For income-seeking investors, MicroStrategy is launching a new digital credit product, STRETCH (STRC), which aims to offer a high 11.25% dividend yield paid monthly. Despite the market chaos, the core long-term conviction is to continue holding Bitcoin, as it is believed to be closer to a bottom than other asset classes.

The Trump Family Just ENDED Crypto.

The Trump Family Just ENDED Crypto.

185 days agothreadguy@notthreadguy
YouTube21 min 19 sec

A key government advisor's known investment in Solana (SOL) is a bullish signal that could be favorable for its ecosystem. Conversely, investors should be cautious with Bitcoin (BTC) as its narrative has become entangled with U.S. politics, creating a potential headwind for the price. Exercise extreme caution with politically-themed meme coins, as assets like Trump Coin and Melania Coin have been identified as highly extractive schemes. Similarly, the DeFi platform World Liberty Financial is presented as a significant risk due to its extractive revenue model and poor performance. The primary strategy is to avoid these politically-linked assets while recognizing the potential catalyst for Solana.

Crypto has CRASHED. Is it OVER? Will it bounce? - Market Update & News (LIVE)

For long-term AI exposure, consider accumulating Google (GOOGL) during a market correction due to its strong fundamentals and product pipeline. Long-term believers in Bitcoin (BTC) should watch the $55,000 - $60,000 range as a key potential buying opportunity if current support fails. For a higher-risk crypto trade, look for an entry on Hyperliquid (HYPE) if a liquidation event pushes the price below $30. Investors should re-evaluate holdings in the SaaS sector, as it faces significant disruption risk from new AI tools. Finally, Gold is viewed as a strong trend to hedge against potential currency weakness, driven by strong demand from Asia.

The EVIL TRUTH Behind The Bitcoin Crash..

Serious allegations of market manipulation against its founder make Tron (TRX) a high-risk asset to avoid due to potential regulatory action. The intersection of AI and Crypto is presented as the next major high-growth opportunity, with the potential for 1,000x returns from projects that successfully merge the two fields. For a more moderate return, consider the on-chain exchange Hyperliquid, which is positioned to take market share from competitors like Robinhood (HOOD) and could offer a 3x-5x return. Maintain a long-term conviction hold on Bitcoin (BTC), as it is viewed as a store of value with a potential future price target of $1 million. For patient investors, privacy coins like Zcash (ZEC) are considered a deeply undervalued long-term bet on the future need for financial privacy.

Trump RUINED Crypto..? + Market Updates & News | LIVE NOW

Given significant market uncertainty, a cautious stance is advised, as most major stocks like SPY and altcoins like ETH show weakness. One potential opportunity is Hyperliquid (HYPE), which has shown strength by capturing trading volume from the recent interest in commodities. Consider adding to a HYPE position if it breaks into the $40s with volume, but be prepared to sell if the price falls below $30. For long-term growth, focus research on the emerging theme at the intersection of AI and Crypto, which is showing relative strength. Despite short-term weakness, holding Bitcoin (BTC) is recommended as a core long-term position.

The New Age of Crypto ft. Thiccy

The New Age of Crypto ft. Thiccy

187 days agothreadguy@notthreadguy
YouTube1 hr 36 min

Capital is currently rotating out of Bitcoin (BTC) as its primary investment narratives are failing to drive prices higher. Instead of acting as a "digital gold," Bitcoin is being overlooked as a safe-haven asset, with capital preferring traditional precious metals. Consider trading the volatility in gold and silver, which are currently benefiting from strong retail demand and are described as stealing crypto's capital flows. This environment favors a nimble, "mercenary" approach, focusing on where capital is flowing now rather than holding onto a single thesis. Be cautious with on-chain ecosystems like Pump.fun, as these "games" may be too efficient and solved, limiting opportunities for new investors.

Crypto is in TROUBLE.. and only ONE THING can save it. (LIVE) - Interview w/ Thiccy at 4:45PM EST

Bitcoin (BTC) is presented as a high-conviction, long-term investment with a potential future price target of $1 million, though investors should expect significant volatility. For those seeking exponential returns, the intersection of AI and Crypto is the highest-upside theme to watch, with the potential for 1,000x gains if AI agents adopt crypto for transactions. Consider Hyperliquid as a leading project in the on-chain derivatives market, viewed as a potential 3x to 5x investment rather than a speculative moonshot. The privacy coin narrative, including assets like Zcash (ZEC), is considered a deeply underpriced but long-term trade for patient investors. Lastly, exercise extreme caution with Tron (TRX) due to severe allegations of price manipulation against its founder, creating significant downside risk.

AI Created Its Own Social Media.. And That's a PROBLEM.

A highly speculative, high-risk opportunity has emerged with the MOLT token on the Base blockchain, tied to the viral AI experiment Moldbook. The project's value is driven by a powerful narrative and attention from major tech figures, but this is an extremely time-sensitive trade suitable only for risk-tolerant investors. Given the intense hype, the value of MOLT could diminish rapidly if attention fades in the coming weeks. This situation highlights the growing investment theme of AI and Crypto, where crypto acts as a monetization layer for new technology. Investors should watch for similar patterns where community-driven tokens are created around viral AI projects.

Crypto Trading is BACK! + Gold & Silver CRASHED... Explaining Everything (LIVE)

The recent crash in Gold and Silver may signal a major capital rotation into crypto, creating a potential entry point for a long position in Bitcoin (BTC). The most explosive current theme is the intersection of AI and crypto, as investors seek exposure to the AI boom through accessible tokens. A primary high-risk opportunity is Maltbook (MOLT) on the Base blockchain, a viral "Reddit for AI" project seeing massive hype and early revenue. For a "picks and shovels" approach to this trend, consider Banker (BANKER), which provides the infrastructure for AI agents to transact on-chain. These speculative AI tokens carry extreme risk but represent the market's most potent narrative with potential for explosive growth.

The KreekCraft Interview - Exposing Roblox's SECRET Economy (LIVE)

Consider researching Hyperliquid (HYPE), as it is identified as a rare bright spot showing significant strength in the current crypto market. For Bitcoin (BTC), the key technical level to watch is the current "higher low" on the daily chart, which must hold to maintain its bullish trend. Major altcoins like Solana (SOL) appear particularly weak, suggesting investors should be cautious with this asset. A long-term investment theme to consider is gold, which may benefit from foreign central banks diversifying away from the US dollar. Finally, be wary of software stocks like Adobe (ADBE), as they face headwinds from the market's fear of AI disruption.

I Exposed The $50B Industry Behind Roblox..

Investing in Roblox (RBLX) is a direct bet on its powerful network effect, with daily active users projected to surpass 100 million by 2025. The company's high "take rate," capturing a significant portion of the billions spent on its platform, provides a strong revenue stream. While there are no public "picks and shovels" plays yet, investors should watch for future IPOs of venture-backed game studios building on the Roblox platform. This investment thesis views Roblox as the dominant incumbent metaverse, suggesting caution for investors in competing crypto-based projects. The primary opportunity is to own RBLX stock to capitalize on its position as the leading user-generated content and gaming ecosystem.

The Insider Kid Who Stole $40,000,000 of Crypto (LIVE)

Consider a long position on Pump.fun (PUMP), as massive recent token buybacks signal it may be undervalued and ready for a significant move higher. For Hyperliquid (HYPE), look for an entry on either a confirmed breakout above its $35 all-time high or a significant dip to the $17 support level. The AI-related token WorldCoin (WLD) is presented as a potentially undervalued opportunity due to speculative news about its integration with OpenAI. For Bitcoin (BTC), exercise patience and monitor the price of Gold (XAU), as a peak in the precious metal could signal the start of capital rotating back into crypto. As a general rule, it is better to own assets like BTC directly rather than investing in crypto treasury stocks which carry additional company-specific risk.