TBPN
Podcast

TBPN

by John Coogan & Jordi Hays

338 episodes

Technology's daily show (formerly the Technology Brothers Podcast). Streaming live on X and YouTube from 11 - 2 PM PST Monday - Friday. Available on X, Apple, Spotify, and YouTube.
Ask about TBPNAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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338 posts
The World’s Fastest Growing Defense Company, OpenAI’s Code Red, Google Strikes Back | Diet TBPN

Consider Rheinmetall (RHM.DE) as a primary beneficiary of the European rearmament trend, with the company guiding for sales of $58 billion by 2030. In the AI sector, Google (GOOGL) is presented as a durable long-term play, leveraging its immense resources and Gemini model to challenge early leaders. A potential

🔴 CODE RED 🔴, AWS CEO Joins, Tae Kim Tells All | Matt Garman, Tae Kim, Tarek Mansour, Matt Mullenweg, Jason Fried

A significant $100 million insider purchase in DoorDash (DASH) by a respected board member signals strong confidence and suggests the stock may be undervalued. For exposure to the European re-armament theme, consider defense company Rheinmetall (RHM.DE), which has recently pulled back 15% on peace rumors, potentially offering a better entry point. Google (GOOGL) is re-asserting its dominance in AI, with its competitive Gemini model and potential integration into Apple's Siri acting as major near-term catalysts. While NVIDIA (NVDA) faces long-term competition, its accelerating revenue and strong leading indicators from its networking business suggest its leadership will continue for the next 6-12 months. Finally, strong Black Friday sales growth for Shopify (SHOP) serves as a positive leading indicator for its upcoming quarterly earnings.

ChatGPT’s Three Year Anniversary, OpenAI Partners With Thrive, David Sacks Vs The New York Times | Diet TBPN

The primary investment opportunity in AI is shifting from software models to the competitive battle over the underlying hardware. Consider being cautious on NVIDIA (NVDA) as its high margins face a significant threat from emerging competition. As a compelling alternative, Alphabet (GOOGL) presents a strong investment case due to its vertically integrated AI stack. Google's custom TPU chips offer a powerful and cheaper hardware alternative that is already attracting major AI labs. Therefore, investors should view GOOGL as a direct way to invest in a powerful competitor to the NVIDIA ecosystem.

David Sacked by NYT, Sir Dylan Patel Joins, Kushner & Sama are Thriving | Ro Khanna, Jonathan Swerdlin, Cristóbal Valenzuela, Vincent Weisser, Ben Hylak, Alby Churven

The AI chip market is facing a major shift as competition heats up against NVIDIA (NVDA). Google's (GOOGL) custom Tensor Processing Units (TPUs) are emerging as a powerful and power-efficient alternative, representing a significant and underappreciated growth driver for the company. As the manufacturer of these TPUs, Broadcom (AVGO) is a direct "picks and shovels" investment to capitalize on this trend. The recent dip in AVGO's stock price may present an opportunity, as its value is directly tied to the success of Google's hardware ambitions. Investors bullish on the rise of non-NVIDIA AI hardware should consider Broadcom as a primary beneficiary of this market evolution.

Black Friday Gigastream with Shopify | Harley Finkelstein, Noel Mack, Sara Foster, Sean Frank, Kat Cole, Peter Rahal, Farhan Thawar, Torin Herndon, Kevin Harwood, Nish Samantray, Bené Eaton, Brian Keller

Shopify (SHOP) is a high-conviction investment due to its record-breaking sales growth and successful expansion into both enterprise clients and physical retail. In digital advertising, consider AppLovin (APP) for its exceptional performance and Google (GOOGL), as its YouTube ad platform is rapidly becoming a top channel for brands. Niche brand FIGS (FIGS) shows strong potential by successfully expanding its online scrubs business into profitable physical retail stores. The luxury sector shows a clear divergence, with "hard luxury" leader Richemont (CFR.SW) outperforming while fashion-focused Kering (KER.PA) continues to face significant challenges.

Ilya Sutskever on Dwarkesh Patel Reaction, NVIDIA’s Response to Google’s AI Progress, Trump Unveils Genesis | Diet TBPN

Despite negative headlines, the core investment case for NVIDIA (NVDA) remains strong due to overwhelming demand for its GPUs and a powerful software ecosystem. As the AI sector matures, consider diversifying beyond pure hardware plays into companies focused on new algorithmic research. Recent events highlight the risks of self-custody for Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), creating an opportunity in companies that provide secure, insured digital asset custody. The emerging field of trait-based embryo selection, involving companies like Nucleus, is a high-risk, speculative area to avoid due to intense legal and ethical controversies. Ultimately, the primary conviction remains bullish on NVIDIA as it is expected to sell every GPU it produces for the foreseeable future.

Crémieux & Kian on Nucleus Genomics, Michael Kratsios on Genesis, Nvidia Responds to TPU Progress | Kian Sadeghi, Joe Weisenthal, Sebastian Siemiatkowski, David Faugno, Keller Rinaudo, Royce Branning

Google (GOOGL) is presented as a compelling investment due to its AI advancements with Gemini 3 and custom TPU chips, positioning it as a strong alternative to NVIDIA. Consider an investment in the newly public Klarna, which is aggressively adopting crypto by launching its own USDK stablecoin to disrupt traditional banking. Keep an eye on drone delivery company Zipline for a potential future IPO, as it is showing explosive growth and incredible product-market fit in the US. The White House's Project Genesis initiative suggests long-term investment opportunities in companies supporting scientific AI, particularly in biotechnology, critical minerals, and semiconductors. While demand for NVIDIA (NVDA) remains strong, investors should monitor increasing competition and the debate over its customers' GPU depreciation schedules as potential risks.

Reverse Engineering 200 AI Startups, Nucleus Genomics Controversy, Drone Hunting | Diet TBPN

The investment narrative around Google (GOOGL) has shifted from lagging to leading in the AI race, presenting a strong investment opportunity. The new Gemini 3 model is proving to be a legitimate competitor to ChatGPT, winning over influential users and driving renewed confidence in the company. Financial publications like Barron's have explicitly recommended buying GOOGL stock, calling it the "clear AI winner." Google's ability to leverage its trusted search brand within its AI products provides a powerful competitive advantage that others lack. This renewed momentum could signal sustained positive performance for the stock as the market re-evaluates its leadership position.

Reviewing the Best AI Apps, Anthropic Unveils Claude 4.5 Opus, Doug DeMuro | Sholto Douglas, Quinn Slack, Alex Stauffer & Alex Shevchenko

Consider investing in Google (GOOGL) as the market now views it as a clear AI winner, with its Gemini model emerging as a strong competitor to ChatGPT. Rivian (RIVN) presents a compelling opportunity in the EV space due to its strong vehicle value retention and dominant position in the full-size electric SUV market. Investors should be cautious with Apple (AAPL), as the company is experiencing a significant "brain drain" of key hardware talent to competitors like OpenAI, signaling risks to its future AI product pipeline. Similarly, Tesla's (TSLA) competitive advantages are eroding due to an aging product line and increased competition, suggesting its period of easy market dominance may be over. This overall shift in the AI landscape indicates a more competitive market where former underdogs are now gaining significant ground.

The State of AI: A Field Trip to TBPN’s Aura Farm + Today’s Top Tech Stories | Diet TBPN

Consider Microsoft (MSFT) as a core AI holding, as its strategic partnership with OpenAI positions it to capture a dominant share of the industry's value. Google (GOOGL) is another top-tier player, with its vertically integrated strategy of proprietary TPU chips and cloud services creating a powerful long-term profit engine. For a higher-growth opportunity, view AMD (AMD) as the "strong number two" challenger poised to take market share from NVIDIA in the AI chip space. For a more stable investment, Amazon (AMZN) represents the reliable "picks-and-shovels" infrastructure play essential to the entire AI ecosystem. Finally, be cautious with Apple (AAPL), as its current AI strategy is viewed as lagging competitors and may be more marketing than substance.

The State of AI: A Field Trip to TBPN’s Aura Farm + Today’s Top Tech Stories | Diet TBPN

While NVIDIA (NVDA) is the profitable leader, its recent stock sell-off after strong earnings suggests extreme expectations are priced in, warranting caution. Consider Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) as the strong number two, aggressively pivoting to capture the growing AI inference market as a high-growth alternative. Google (GOOGL) is positioned as a dominant "fat cat" with top-tier technology and a strategic plan to maximize cloud profits, making it a formidable long-term holding. Be wary of the hype around Apple (AAPL), as its AI is viewed as lagging competitors and may primarily be a marketing tactic to drive iPhone upgrades. For a more conservative infrastructure play, Amazon (AMZN) represents the steady "workhorse" reliably building the foundational data centers that power the AI industry.

Guide to the AI Barnyard, Eli Lilly Hits $1T Valuation, Has AI Ruined the Em Dash? | Julia Steinberg, Bobby Ghoshal

The GLP-1 weight loss drug market presents a massive opportunity, with Eli Lilly (LLY) positioned for significant long-term growth as it aims for over $100 billion in sales by 2034. For foundational AI exposure, NVIDIA (NVDA) remains the dominant leader with a potential path to $500 billion in revenue by 2026, though investors should be mindful of its high valuation. As a compelling alternative, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is rapidly gaining market share in AI chips and offers a way to invest in the same trend with potentially more upside. Beyond hardware, consider Google (GOOGL) and Microsoft (MSFT) as they leverage vast resources and strategic partnerships to dominate the AI software and cloud ecosystem. Conversely, be cautious with Apple's (AAPL) current AI strategy, which is viewed as lagging competitors, and avoid companies heavily reliant on the increasingly stressed private credit market.

Nvidia Q3 Earnings, Travis Kalanick's New Startup, Google's Nano Banana Pro Reactions | Diet TBPN

Nvidia (NVDA) remains a primary beneficiary of the AI infrastructure build-out, but investors should be aware that its high valuation reflects these strong expectations. To diversify within the AI theme, consider that Google (GOOGL) and Meta (META) are proving to be formidable competitors with their own cutting-edge models. Investors in Uber (UBER) and DoorDash (DASH) should monitor the new private competitor Picnic, as its no-fee corporate model could become a significant competitive threat. Be aware that Bitcoin (BTC) is currently behaving like a high-risk tech asset, making it vulnerable to broader market sell-offs. The consistent long-term vision of Microsoft's (MSFT) leadership reinforces confidence in its ability to navigate the AI transition.

NVIDIA Beats Earnings, Google Launches Nano Banana Pro, 𝕏 Timeline Reactions | David Chang, Loredana Crisan, Tarek Alaruri, Tony Zhao, Nikita Rudin

NVIDIA's ($NVDA) recent stock pullback, driven by market fears rather than company performance, may present a buying opportunity given its massive revenue growth and confident outlook. For investors seeking to diversify their AI hardware exposure, consider Google ($GOOGL) as it emerges as a strong number two with its competitive TPU chips and top-ranked Gemini models. Data center provider CoreScientific ($CORZ) has dropped 20% after rejecting a buyout, offering a high-risk pure-play on the demand for AI infrastructure. Bitcoin ($BTC) continues to trade like a high-risk tech asset, making it a leveraged bet on a rebound in overall market sentiment. Finally, consider reducing exposure to traditional restaurant stocks, as the sector faces significant pressure from rising costs and declining high-margin alcohol sales.

Cloudflare Outage, iMessages in Gemini 3, 𝕏 Reactions to Gemini 3 | Diet TBPN

Google (GOOGL) is a high-conviction investment due to its superior Gemini AI model and proprietary TPU chips, a competitive advantage not fully priced into the stock. The recent partnership where Apple (AAPL) will pay to use Gemini validates Google's AI leadership and provides a significant new revenue stream. While Nvidia (NVDA) continues to show strong short-term momentum, investors should monitor the long-term competitive threat from Google's in-house chip technology. The overarching AI Infrastructure build-out, evidenced by massive new data center projects, remains a powerful long-term investment theme. For long-term believers, any stock price dips in critical infrastructure plays like Cloudflare (NET) following service outages could present strategic buying opportunities.

Gemini 3 Reactions, Cloudflare Outage, The Upsides of Bubbles | Byrne Hobart, Glenn Hutchins, Yogi Goel, Sam Jones, Ali Madani, Amit Jain

Nvidia (NVDA) remains a top investment, as its strong earnings beat defied expectations and signaled powerful, ongoing demand for its AI chips. The AI infrastructure build-out is a core investment theme, with NVDA partnering with firms like Brookfield (BN) on a $100 billion global program, locking in future growth. Consider Alphabet (GOOGL) a strong secondary AI play, as its leading Gemini 3 model is being licensed by Apple (AAPL) for a significant new revenue stream. Google's ability to train its models on its own TPU chips also provides a key long-term competitive advantage. While the market shows signs of froth, the most durable investments are in these infrastructure leaders, and selling the trend too early could be a costly mistake.

Google Gemini 3 Reactions, Google Antigravity, Anthropic-Nvidia-Microsoft Deal | Diet TBPN

Consider a "picks and shovels" investment in the AI boom through MSFT and NVDA, as they supply the essential cloud and hardware infrastructure to all major players. This strategy allows you to benefit from the entire sector's growth without the risk of picking the wrong AI model company. For a more direct investment, GOOGL is re-emerging as a leader with its new Gemini 3 Pro model, which is outperforming competitors on key benchmarks. This renewed competitive strength could serve as a significant catalyst for GOOGL's stock. A longer-term theme to watch is nuclear energy, which is part of a broader investment thesis on American re-industrialization.

Gemini 3 Launch, Big Tech Backs Anthropic, OpenAI Adds Fidji Simo | Jonathan Neman, Mike Knoop, Ashlee Vance, Jeremy Epling, Keone Hon, Stephen Balaban

Google's launch of its superior Gemini 3 AI model presents a significant bullish catalyst for GOOGL, positioning the company at the forefront of AI innovation. The massive private market valuations in AI validate investing in key enablers like Microsoft (MSFT) and NVIDIA (NVDA), who profit from the sector's growth regardless of which specific model wins. Consider Tesla (TSLA) as a long-term robotics play, as its plan to manufacture its own actuators could give it a key advantage in the emerging humanoid robotics market. For a growth opportunity outside of tech, Sweetgreen (SG) is leveraging its Infinite Kitchen automation and strong brand to pursue a major long-term expansion. Investors should watch for signs of Gemini 3 monetization in Google's upcoming earnings, as this will be critical for its growth narrative.

Jeff Bezos’ New AI Startup, Yann LeCun Says LLMs are a Dead End, Thiel’s Fund Sells NVIDIA | Diet TBPN

Prominent tech investor Peter Thiel's fund sold its entire stake in NVIDIA (NVDA) and 76% of its holdings in Tesla (TSLA), signaling potential caution on the AI rally's valuation. In contrast, after analyzing the unprofitable AI value chain, famed investor David Einhorn reportedly bought Google (GOOGL) as his preferred long-term investment in the space. Investors should be aware of risks in the private markets financing this boom, as Blue Owl Capital (OWL) is blocking investor withdrawals from a key fund. The long-term investment thesis for humanoid robotics suggests focusing on hardware manufacturers, with Tesla (TSLA) being highlighted as a potential winner due to its manufacturing scale. Despite bubble concerns, the core trend remains the massive capital spending on AI infrastructure, benefiting the underlying chip, cloud, and data center companies.

Bezos Launches AI Startup, GPT-4o Debate, LeCun’s LLM Revolt | Eric Glyman, Stacy Rasgon, Luca Ferrari, Healey Cypher, John Tenet, Reed Duchscher

Despite its strong performance, NVIDIA (NVDA) may have further upside as CEO guidance suggests current analyst estimates for 2025 and 2026 are too low. Consider Google (GOOGL) ahead of its upcoming Gemini 3 AI model release, which is viewed as a major potential catalyst for the stock. For a higher-risk opportunity, CoreWeave (CORZ) has fallen significantly, yet a prominent AI hedge fund just established a new $500 million position. This same fund is also investing in the AI data storage theme by adding new positions in hard drive makers Western Digital (WDC) and Seagate (STX). These moves indicate a high-conviction belief in the entire AI infrastructure build-out, from chips to cloud services and storage hardware.