TBPN
Podcast

TBPN

by John Coogan & Jordi Hays

399 episodes

Technology's daily show (formerly the Technology Brothers Podcast). Streaming live on X and YouTube from 11 - 2 PM PST Monday - Friday. Available on X, Apple, Spotify, and YouTube.
Ask about TBPNAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

Recent Posts

399 posts
Anthropic’s Trust Nuke, OpenAI's new releases, Google Claims AI Crown | Diet TBPN

The ongoing "AI CapEx Arms Race" is a major bullish signal, as tech giants are spending aggressively in anticipation of massive future revenue. Consider long-term investment in leaders like Google (GOOGL), which is nearly doubling its capital spending to solidify its dominant position in AI. Meta Platforms (META) is another strong contender, committing up to $135 billion to ensure it remains at the frontier of AI development. Conversely, be cautious of companies like LegalZoom (LZ), whose stock dropped 15% after facing direct disruption from a new AI-powered legal tool. This highlights the risk for traditional software companies that are vulnerable to the emerging "SaaSpocalypse" theme.

Sam Altman on Codex 5.3 Launch, Anthropic's Sholto Douglas, Alphabet Beats Q4 Estimates | Sam Altman, Sholto Douglas, Daniel Barcelo, Mandy Fields, Ivan Burazin, Scott Rogowsky

Alphabet (GOOGL) is signaling extreme confidence in future AI-driven growth by doubling its planned 2026 capital spending to nearly $185 billion, a bullish long-term indicator. This massive investment cycle, which includes Meta Platforms (META) spending up to $135 billion, creates a potential opportunity in key supplier NVIDIA (NVDA), whose stock has recently lagged despite the clear demand. Conversely, investors should be cautious with companies like LegalZoom (LZ), which faces a direct threat from new AI tools and has already seen its stock fall 15% on the news. The AI boom also creates secondary opportunities in energy infrastructure, so consider researching companies like solar manufacturer T1 Energy that power new data centers. This AI arms race is creating clear winners and losers that investors can act on now.

FULL INTERVIEW: Sam Altman Responds to Anthropic’s Attack Ads, Live on TBPN

Consider long-term investment in the semiconductor sector, as the demand for compute power is a fundamental driver for the entire AI economy. Look for undervalued SaaS companies that serve as a "system of record" for their customers and are actively integrating AI. The Walt Disney Company (DIS) is positioned to benefit from AI by monetizing its vast library of exclusive intellectual property through new partnerships. This creates a powerful competitive advantage that is difficult for others to replicate legally. Finally, Uber's (UBER) forward-thinking strategy to integrate with AI agents demonstrates adaptability, positioning it for long-term resilience and growth.

Anthropic-OpenAI war, Walmart hits $1T, Gas Town & Vibecoding | Diet TBPN

Consider Walmart (WMT) as a core holding, as the retail giant has successfully pivoted to challenge Amazon (AMZN) with its impressive e-commerce and same-day delivery network. The stock is a strong defensive play during inflation, as consumers seek value and the company's investments in AI and automation continue to fuel growth. A major emerging investment theme to watch is AI Orchestration, which uses multiple specialized AI agents to automate complex, multi-step tasks. This category is seen as the next significant productivity driver, especially in software development and enterprise solutions. Investors should look for companies building these advanced orchestration platforms, as they represent the next wave of value creation in the AI sector.

Our Super Bowl Ad, Walmart hits $1T, Ken is Sick of Griftin | Dara Khosrowshahi, Mati Staniszewski & Andrew Reed, Gergely Orosz, Mitchell Green, Simon Hørup Eskildsen, KJ Dhaliwal, Nicolas Sharp

Consider investing in established software companies like Workday (WDAY) and Toast (TOST), which may be undervalued due to overblown fears about AI disruption. Additionally, PayPal (PYPL) presents a potential value opportunity, trading at a low multiple for a global payments network with half a billion users. To capitalize on the AI boom indirectly, look for companies supporting the physical infrastructure build-out. A direct way to gain this exposure is through Equipment Share (EQS), which rents construction equipment for the massive build-out of data centers. Finally, Uber (UBER) is showing strong fundamentals with accelerating growth and significant free cash flow, signaling a maturing and profitable business.

SpaceX-xAI merger reactions, Paypal plummets, Disney names next CEO | Diet TBPN

Following a major sell-off, PayPal (PYPL) is considered "very oversold" and could present a high-risk, value opportunity for investors betting on a turnaround under its new leadership. A broader market theme is the sell-off of traditional software stocks due to fears of disruption from AI. This has created a "picks and shovels" opportunity, with capital rotating into the physical assets required to power the AI boom. Investors should consider opportunities in tangible assets like Data Centers, Raw Materials, and Land to capitalize on this trend. Conversely, avoid stocks like Snap (SNAP), which remain high-risk due to poor monetization despite trading near all-time lows.

Live From Cisco AI Summit | Chuck Robbins, Aaron Levie, Jeetu Patel, Costa Kladianos, Dylan Patel

Investment is rotating into the physical "picks and shovels" of AI, creating opportunities in networking providers like Cisco (CSCO) and industrial giants like Caterpillar (CAT) who are benefiting from the data center construction boom. In the software sector, prioritize defensible SaaS platforms like Box (BOX) that are deeply integrated into enterprise workflows over simple tools at risk of commoditization. Consider Disney (DIS) as a potential turnaround story, as its new CEO from the successful parks division is tasked with leveraging its valuable IP in the AI era. For a higher-risk contrarian play, PayPal (PYPL) appears oversold following its massive stock drop and could rebound under new leadership. Investors should be cautious of companies like Snap (SNAP) that struggle with monetization and dilute shareholder value with excessive stock-based compensation.

FULL INTERVIEW: Dylan Patel Says We’re Still Underestimating AI

The market may be underestimating how AI is boosting Meta's (META) core advertising business, with significant profit gains already evident from improved ad targeting. For a long-term investment, consider TSMC (TSM), which is positioned as the ultimate bottleneck in the AI supply chain due to its dominance in advanced chip manufacturing. The current bottleneck in AI is power and data center capacity, creating opportunities for companies like Cummins (CMI) that provide essential power generation solutions. Investors should be cautious with Oracle (ORCL), as its recent poor communication and ties to OpenAI may create near-term stock volatility. Finally, both NVIDIA (NVDA) and Google (GOOGL) are pursuing resilient long-term strategies by developing diverse portfolios of specialized AI chips to adapt to the evolving market.

Full Interview: Moltbook Creator’s First Appearance Since Launch

The emergence of the AI agent economy is a strong bullish indicator for the entire AI sector, especially for companies building new applications. This trend reinforces the long-term investment case for major AI infrastructure players and backers like Microsoft (MSFT), Amazon (AMZN), and Google (GOOGL). Investors should look for opportunities in companies that are creatively applying AI to build new forms of entertainment, social media, and gaming. Monitor incumbent social media giants like Meta (META), as their successful integration of AI agents could unlock significant new growth. The key investment thesis is to focus on the AI application layer, as value is shifting from foundational models to the novel products built upon them.

Moltbook goes viral, $100B OpenAI-Nvidia deal stalled, SpaceX merges with xAI | Diet TBPN

Despite recent headlines, NVIDIA (NVDA) plans to make a major investment in OpenAI's next funding round, reinforcing its essential position in the AI ecosystem. For broader exposure to the critical AI hardware theme, consider TSMC (TSM), the foundational manufacturer for the world's most advanced chips. Investors should also watch for the highly anticipated future IPO of a merged SpaceX and xAI, a potential $1.5 trillion technology powerhouse. The historical growth of companies like Spotify (SPOT) highlights the potential for significant long-term returns by holding category-defining businesses. Lastly, be extremely cautious of cryptocurrency promotions on new social platforms, as they present a high risk of scams and price manipulation.

Moltbook Reactions, Nvidia OpenAI Deal, Codex App Launch, The Files | Matt Schlicht, Alex Blania, Nik, David Placek, Thibault Sottiaux, Christopher O'Donnell, Jim Siders, Chris Black

Palantir (PLTR) is showing bullish short-term momentum after beating earnings expectations and rising 6% in after-hours trading. Investors should be cautious with Oracle (ORCL), as the stock is down over 50% and recent company statements suggest significant market concern about its competitive position in AI. A key event to watch is the regulatory battle involving Coinbase (COIN), where a favorable ruling on its yield products could serve as a massive catalyst for the stock. The rise of OpenAI's ad business and new AI-native CRM platforms presents a long-term disruption risk to incumbents like Meta, Google, and Salesforce (CRM). Finally, prepare for the potential landmark IPO of the newly merged SpaceX and XAI, which is reportedly targeting a valuation of $1.5 trillion.

FULL INTERVIEW: Tyler Cowen on Kevin Warsh, Clawdbot, precious metals, and AI & unemployment

Consider investing in the Energy Sector as a "picks and shovels" play on the AI boom, which is expected to create massive long-term demand for power. The current rally in gold and silver is driven by a search for a store of value, but investors should be cautious of its momentum-driven volatility. Treat Bitcoin as a high-risk asset that correlates with stocks, not as a safe-haven hedge for your portfolio. Do not expect a major crash in the housing market, as strong political will exists to keep home prices elevated. Despite short-term anxiety, the US Dollar is expected to remain the world's primary safe-haven asset due to a lack of large-scale alternatives.

Kevin Warsh eyes Fed chair, Google targets Chinese Cyber Weapon, WSJ Mansion Section | Diet TBPN

A potential new Fed Chair, Kevin Warsh, could strengthen the US Dollar and reduce money printing, creating a major headwind for assets that have benefited from easy money. This policy shift is a significant bearish risk for Gold (XAU), Silver (XAG), and other precious metals, which recently saw sharp declines on this news. The long-successful "buy the dip" strategy has become much riskier, as future market sell-offs may not receive the same rapid central bank support. Amid the volatility, investors could look for opportunities in commodities like Oil and Agriculture, which have shown signs of breaking out. Overall, prepare for increased market volatility and reconsider assumptions that the Fed will always step in to support asset prices.

Who is Kevin Warsh?, Yahoo CEO Live in the Ultradome, WSJ House of the Year | Jim Lanzone, Tyler Cowen, Jason Lemkin, Alex Roy, Bobby Fijan

The prospect of a stronger US Dollar is creating significant headwinds for precious metals, making investments in Gold and Silver highly volatile and risky in the near term. Tesla's (TSLA) recent zero-intervention cross-country drive using its Full Self-Driving software is a major milestone that strengthens the long-term bull case for the company. When evaluating the SaaS sector, focus on companies where AI is demonstrably accelerating revenue growth, not just being added as a feature. Large platforms like Salesforce (CRM) are considered well-positioned to win in this new AI-driven environment. Be cautious with mid-sized SaaS companies that lack a clear AI advantage, as they are competitively squeezed from both above and below.

Full Interview: Eric Seufert on AI and Advertising

Meta (META) is a high-conviction buy as its AI investments are already driving compounding growth in its core advertising business, a factor the market may be underestimating. Similarly, Google (GOOGL) is strongly positioned to benefit from AI monetization through its dominant search platform and its strategic partnership to power Apple Intelligence. Conversely, investors should be cautious with Apple (AAPL) due to its lagging AI strategy and reliance on competitor Google for key features. The slowing iPhone upgrade cycle presents another significant headwind for AAPL's growth. Therefore, focus on META and GOOGL as the clearest plays on the current AI monetization trend.

Full Interview: Bloomberg’s Mark Gurman on Apple’s AI Stack, Anthropic, and the Future of Siri

Google (GOOGL) is a primary beneficiary of Apple's AI weakness, securing a multi-billion dollar deal to power the new Siri with its Gemini model. Investors in Apple (AAPL) should watch for the launch of a premium foldable iPhone this fall and a new touch screen MacBook Pro by year-end as key revenue drivers. However, Apple's significant lag in AI and new dependency on competitor Google presents a major long-term risk to its ecosystem. The analysis suggests Meta's (META) ambitions in the smart glasses market face a significant threat, as Apple is expected to dominate this category upon entry. Finally, keep an eye on private AI companies like Anthropic and OpenAI as key players to watch for future IPOs or as disruptive hardware competitors.

Big Tech Earnings, Elon’s SpaceX–xAI Merge, Genie 3 | Diet TBPN

Consider Meta Platforms (META) for its high-risk, high-reward "all-in" bet on generative AI, which could dramatically enhance its core advertising and social media business. The recent 17% pullback in Microsoft (MSFT) stock presents a potential entry point for long-term investors, as the market is focused on near-term hardware constraints rather than its powerful AI partnerships. Tesla (TSLA) is successfully pivoting to a recurring revenue model, with its Full Self-Driving service already generating over $1 billion annually from one million subscribers. Apple's (AAPL) strategic AI acquisitions continue to strengthen its hardware ecosystem, signaling future innovation in personal audio and health monitoring. These large-cap tech leaders are making significant, investable moves to dominate the next wave of artificial intelligence.

Microsoft, Meta, & Tesla Earnings, Google DeepMind's Project Genie, SpaceX & xAI Merger | Anton Osika, Christian Garrett & Delian Asparouhov, Eric Seufert, Kevin Weil, Mehul Nariyawala

Meta Platforms (META) is a high-conviction investment as its massive AI spending is successfully re-accelerating revenue growth in its core advertising business. In contrast, investors should be cautious of short-term headwinds for Microsoft (MSFT), whose cloud growth is being capped by AI hardware and data center supply bottlenecks. This supply constraint reinforces the "picks and shovels" investment theme, benefiting key hardware suppliers like NVIDIA (NVDA) and TSMC (TSM). Consider re-evaluating Tesla (TSLA) based on its strategic pivot to high-margin recurring revenue from its growing FSD subscription service rather than just car sales. Finally, a major potential catalyst for Bitcoin (BTC) is the possible opening of the 401(k) retirement market to crypto, which could drive significant new capital inflows.

Netflix vs Youtube, Saudi Arabia’s liquidity crunch, Tether’s gold pivot | Diet TBPN

Consider Netflix (NFLX) as a long-term investment, as its curated, high-quality content library offers a key advantage over platforms potentially flooded with low-quality AI videos. The ongoing purchase of physical gold by crypto company Tether provides a strong, non-traditional demand driver that supports a bullish outlook for the precious metal. A liquidity squeeze in Saudi Arabia is creating a significant opportunity for investors in the country's emerging private credit market. The most promising AI investments may be in smaller, agile companies that integrate various services, rather than the large-cap tech firms that build the base models. This pullback from traditional banks in Saudi Arabia presents a clear opening for firms specializing in alternative financing to fill the void.

Netflix & AI Slop, Saudi Liquidity Crunch, Clawdbot Reactions | Mark Gurman, Miles Brundage, Aidan Smith & Asher Spector, Alex Dhillon, Mitchell Angove, Gabriel Stengel, Sierra Peterson

Google's (GOOGL) deal to power Apple's new Siri with its Gemini AI is a major long-term catalyst, embedding its technology into millions of iPhones. Conversely, investors should monitor Apple (AAPL) as its reliance on a competitor for core AI functionality presents a significant risk, with the new Siri launch in June serving as a critical test. A new, large buyer has emerged for Gold, as crypto firm Tether is using billions in profits to acquire physical bullion. This sustained demand from the crypto world could provide a strong tailwind for Gold, with some projections suggesting a future price above $5,200. Finally, consider Netflix (NFLX) as a long-term holding that could benefit by positioning itself as a premium refuge from the AI-generated content expected to flood competitors like YouTube.