Augusto Backes
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Augusto Backes

by @augustobackes

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Bem-vindo ao canal Augusto Backes. Aqui eu compartilho estudos, leituras de cenário e análise de informação pública sobre os ...
Investment Summary
Updated 20 days ago
Summary of insights from content in the last 30 days

Bitcoin & Majors

Institutional short squeezes are driving BTC toward key resistance between $82,000 and $85,000, with analysts warning against chasing current highs and instead accumulating on dips toward the $58,000 to $62,000 support zone. Meanwhile, ETH and SOL face overhead resistance, with many suggesting patience for clearer trend confirmation or deeper pullbacks.

  • Bitcoin (BTC): Take profits near $83K-$85K resistance and buy anticipated pullbacks into the $58K-$62K support zone.
  • Ethereum (ETH): Avoid chasing near resistance and wait for support floors between $1,500 and $1,900 before building long-term positions.
  • Solana (SOL): Accumulate on short-term dips to capture multi-timeframe upside, watching out for overhead resistance near $88-$120.

AI & Tech Equities

High-flying semiconductor leaders like NVDA face elevated post-earnings volatility risks, prompting suggestions to hold cash reserves for potential 15% to 50% pullbacks. Investors are alternatively eyeing secular growth leaders and specialized infrastructure plays for long-term compounding.

  • NVIDIA (NVDA): Reduce exposure or hold cash ahead of earnings to capitalize on a potential 15% to 30% post-earnings dip.
  • AST SpaceMobile (ASTS): Dollar-cost average into this satellite-to-cell pioneer for a high-conviction 2025–2035 horizon.
  • Alphabet (GOOGL): Initiate long-term positions at current pullback levels to capture big-tech AI upside.

Macro & Commodities

Declining crude oil prices are easing inflationary pressures to provide a strong macroeconomic tailwind for broader equities, while precious metals test major resistance zones.

  • S&P 500 (SPX): Maintain a bullish stance targeting 8,000 points, treating market pullbacks as healthy buying opportunities.
  • Gold and Silver: Exercise caution as both precious metals test record highs and major resistance, signaling impending price pullbacks.

AI-generated summary. Not investment advice. Learn more.

Ask about Augusto BackesAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

Recent Posts

27 posts
O ERRO QUE FAZ VOCÊ PERDER DINHEIRO MESMO ACERTANDO O BITCOIN

For tactical swing trades, look for entry opportunities in Bitcoin (BTC) around $78,000 targeting the $83,000 to $85,000 range while utilizing strict stop-losses.

For long-term spot accumulation, avoid chasing price spikes and prepare to deploy major capital during key macro bottoming windows expected between late Q4 and early Q1.

Watch for potential downside risk toward $52,000 if the broader market fails to confirm a structural higher low.

Adopt a low-frequency investing mindset by executing only 4 to 8 high-conviction purchases per year during major market pullbacks rather than trading sideways chop.

Maintain a strict separation between your long-term wealth-building portfolio and short-term swing trading to prevent emotional decisions and fees from eroding your capital.

O MERCADO VAI VIRAR? A RESPOSTA ESTÁ NO RESULTADO DA NVIDIA | MONEY FLOW

Hold a 30% to 70% cash buffer ahead of Nvidia (NVDA) earnings to capitalize on a potential 15% to 30% post-earnings dip into the $120 to $198 support range for long-term growth. Look to buy any sympathy pullback in Microsoft (MSFT) near the $466 gap level, as its structural uptrend remains intact. For crypto, avoid buying Bitcoin (BTC) at current resistance and wait either for a confirmed breakout above $85,000 targeting $125,000 by year-end, or a deeper pullback to major accumulation support between $48,000 and $52,000. Pause new entries in Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Marvell Technology (MRVL) until post-earnings volatility in the broader semiconductor sector subsides. Take advantage of falling crude oil prices around $80, which ease inflation pressures and support broader equities, while exercising caution on gold and silver as they test major resistance zones.

COMPREI O FUNDO DO BITCOIN E POSSO PROVAR

Look to buy Bitcoin (BTC) around the structural support level of $58,000 for a swing trade targeting resistance near $68,000.

Hold Ethereum (ETH) over the next 40 to 60 days to capture anticipated market outperformance and potential moves toward new all-time highs by September or October.

Accumulate Solana (SOL) during market pullbacks to target a short-to-medium-term price projection of $125.

In the stock market, seek high-momentum opportunities like Core Wave on sharp dips for strong upside potential over an 8-month holding period.

Maintain an overall overweight allocation to US Equities, using a disciplined strategy to harvest profits every three months while keeping a permanent 20% position in your top winners for long-term growth.

TODO MUNDO ESTÁ EUFÓRICO COM O BITCOIN (CUIDADO)

Over the next 2 to 3 years, favor US AI stocks and market leaders like NVIDIA (NVDA), using post-earnings pullbacks as buying opportunities to capture growth toward projected $5 trillion to $10 trillion valuations. For Bitcoin (BTC), dollar-cost average into market dips between $58,000 and $91,000 to establish a baseline position around $70,000. Watch the critical $85,000 price level on BTC, as holding above it targets all-time highs by September, whereas failing to clear it risks a sharp decline toward $52,000. Avoid chasing speculative rallies in memecoins and altcoins like Solana (SOL) or Dogecoin (DOGE), where low liquidity can cause sudden 15% to 50% drops when attempting to sell. Keep any cryptocurrency allocations concentrated strictly in high-liquidity assets like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) rather than illiquid small-cap tokens.

EU ERREI AO ABRIR MÃO DE INVESTIR SÓ EM BITCOIN? (REACT AO CRIPTOMANIACOS) | MONEY FLOW

Monitor Bitcoin (BTC) closely heading into mid-September, as a decisive breakout above $85,000 opens a path toward $125,000, whereas a rejection risks a drop toward $50,000.

Avoid chasing volatile meme coins and instead dollar-cost average into high-liquidity assets like Ethereum (ETH), using any BTC pullbacks into the $74,000 to $77,000 range as favorable entry zones.

Maintain cash reserves ahead of major earnings releases to capitalize on a potential 15% to 30% discount on NVIDIA (NVDA) and broader AI-related US tech stocks.

Declining Brent Crude Oil prices continue to reduce inflationary pressures, providing an attractive macroeconomic tailwind for both the S&P 500 and NASDAQ.

Exercise caution with precious metals, as Gold and Silver are testing major resistance levels that point to impending price pullbacks.

O SINAL QUE VAI CONFIRMAR O VERDADEIRO BULL MARKET

Investors should exercise patience and hold off on aggressive spot purchases of Bitcoin (BTC), as the asset is expected to trade sideways over the coming weeks. A sustained breakout above $83,000 will confirm a true bull market, opening the pathway toward long-term price targets of $100,000 to $120,000 by December or March. Conversely, investors should keep cash reserves ready to capitalize on an optimal dip-buying opportunity if prices pull back to the $48,000 to $52,000 zone. For immediate risk management, monitor key support between $67,000 and $72,000, as a breakdown below this area signals a high risk of a deeper correction.

O MAIOR ERRO DE QUEM COMPRA BITCOIN NA ALTA

Shift your accumulation focus toward U.S. equities throughout August and September, taking advantage of favorable pullbacks that offer a lower-risk setup compared to overextended crypto markets.

For Bitcoin (BTC), avoid chasing the recent breakout above $75,000 and prepare for strong selling pressure and a multi-month consolidation between $80,000 and $87,000.

Wait patiently for heavy correction weeks before allocating new capital to Bitcoin, keeping the downside risk level of $48,000 to $52,000 in mind.

Hold existing positions in Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) to let their remaining upward momentum play out before hitting major resistance levels.

Avoid opening new entries in altcoins at elevated prices to protect against severe drawdowns during the anticipated market cooling-off phase.

O QUE FALTA PARA BITCOIN INICIAR BULL MARKET | MONEY FLOW

For Bitcoin (BTC), avoid chasing current price strength near the $80,000 to $87,000 resistance zone and instead wait for pullbacks into the $68,000 to $72,000 support range to build long-term exposure targeting $500,000+ through 2027.

Hold off on opening new positions in NVIDIA (NVDA) ahead of its upcoming earnings report, as technical indicators suggest a high probability of a 15% to 30% post-earnings pullback that would offer an exceptional buying opportunity targeting a multi-year $10 trillion market capitalization.

Accumulate Ethereum (ETH) during weekly market pullbacks above $2,500, as institutional inflows and regulatory developments are expected to drive higher percentage returns than BTC during the broader altcoin market expansion.

Wait for a broader market consolidation before buying Solana (SOL), as the asset is rapidly approaching a major overhead resistance cluster between $110 and $120.

Use broader stock market dips to steadily accumulate core large-cap heavyweight Apple (AAPL) ahead of upcoming product cycles and anticipated foldable device announcements.

A DÉCADA DE OURO DO BITCOIN ACABOU?

Rotate growth-oriented capital into AI infrastructure leaders like NVIDIA (NVDA) and Google (GOOGL), which offer the strongest upside through the 2029–2030 cycle.

Target specialized data center and high-performance computing providers like Iris Energy (IREN) to capture direct institutional hardware demand.

Reframe your Bitcoin (BTC) strategy toward capital preservation and inflation hedging rather than explosive returns, keeping long-term cryptographic risks in mind.

Utilize liquid blockchain networks such as Tron (TRX) and Ethereum (ETH) for low-cost, cross-border transaction utility during market and geopolitical disruptions.

Begin tracking public equities in the emerging quantum computing sector to position early for the next major investment wave projected between 2030 and 2040.

O QUE PRECISA ACONTECER NO BITCOIN PARA CONFIRMAR O BULL MARKET?
  • Investors holding Bitcoin (BTC) should consider taking profits or reducing exposure as the price approaches the critical $83,000–$85,000 resistance zone.
  • Avoid chasing short-term rallies across the broader crypto market, including Ethereum (ETH), and wait 3 to 4 months for a confirmed price floor before entering new long-term positions.
  • Exercise caution with new entries into Gold (XAU) at current record highs, as technical indicators point toward short-term buyer exhaustion and a likely pullback.
  • Reduce exposure to traditional retail stocks like Walmart (WMT) due to slowing consumer spending and pressure from elevated 10-year US Treasury yields around 4.69%.
  • Rotate capital away from vulnerable consumer-facing assets and align with the ongoing institutional shift toward the Artificial Intelligence (AI) sector.
DEPOIS DOS US$83 MIL ATÉ ONDE O BITCOIN PODE CAIR?

Bitcoin (BTC) is expected to test key resistance between $82,300 and $83,200 in late August, presenting a local top where investors should exercise caution and avoid chasing rallies. Following this test, expect a period of sideways consolidation throughout September and October as the market resets. Investors should preserve capital to buy anticipated pullbacks into the $58,000 – $62,000 support zone toward the end of the year. This dip offers a high-conviction accumulation opportunity to build positions before the broader bull market drives prices toward $90,000 and $100,000+.

BITCOIN DISPAROU: BULL MARKET OU UMA GRANDE ARMADILHA?

Investors should avoid chasing the current rally in Bitcoin (BTC), as the sharp upward move carries a high risk of being a short-term institutional bull trap. Over the next four weeks, monitor whether BTC can establish support above its 50-period moving average, which would confirm a sustainable bull market toward $100,000. If prices instead remain range-bound between $78,000 and $85,000 through October, prepare for a potential sharp correction toward year-end. Maintain strong cash reserves to capitalize on high-conviction buying opportunities if prices drop into the $48,000–$62,000 liquidity zone before the broader long-term uptrend resumes.

BITCOIN PODE TESTAR OS US$ 83.800 E A MÉDIA DE 50 SEMANAS: O NÍVEL QUE DECIDE TUDO | MONEY FLOW

Consider taking profits on Bitcoin (BTC) as it approaches resistance between $83,000 and $85,000, while looking to strategically re-enter during deeper pullbacks toward the $58,000–$62,000 zone. Avoid chasing short-term rallies in Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL), opting instead to accumulate these assets during market-wide dips ahead of potential U.S. regulatory catalysts like the Clarity Act. Hold off on opening new positions in the semiconductor sector until NVIDIA (NVDA) establishes direction around August 26–29, as key support levels will determine whether tech markets face a multi-month correction. For a long-term thematic play, dollar-cost average into AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) during market weakness to capture the direct-to-cell satellite broadband trend over a 2025–2035 horizon. Finally, exercise caution before adding new capital to Gold (XAU) at all-time highs near $2,653, as recent euphoric buying often precedes a short-term price consolidation.

ANTES DE GANHAR DINHEIRO, APRENDA A NÃO PERDER

Accumulate core spot cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), and Solana (SOL) during month-end pullbacks, keeping a close eye on prime seasonal buying windows between September and December.

For Bitcoin (BTC), avoid chasing green price rallies and instead target disciplined spot entries during monthly red candle closes or pullbacks toward the $62,000 level.

In US equities, prepare for an entry into Netflix (NFLX) by waiting for a red weekly or monthly pullback to secure a favorable risk-to-reward entry point.

Protect your portfolio by completely avoiding leveraged ETFs and derivative trading above 3x leverage, as sideways market chop and volatility decay create severe risks of total capital loss.

NÃO COMPRE BITCOIN SÓ PORQUE ELE ESTÁ SUBINDO

Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing an institutional short squeeze that could drive prices toward $83,000 through August or early September if it holds firmly above key support at $73,800. However, if Bitcoin fails to sustain these gains, expect a sharp correction down toward the $52,000 level before establishing a true market bottom. Simultaneously, Solana (SOL) is seeing artificial upside driven by high-frequency trading algorithms, signaling an elevated risk of a pullback once automated buying slows into the weekend. Investors should avoid chasing these rapid price spikes and instead wait for price consolidation above key support levels before entering new positions in major cryptocurrencies.

SINAL DE BULL MARKET? O QUE REALMENTE FEZ O BITCOIN SUBIR | MONEY FLOW

Avoid chasing the current rally in Bitcoin (BTC) near major resistance between $72,000 and $74,200, and instead wait for pullbacks toward the $52,000 to $63,000 support zone to accumulate while maintaining a higher portfolio weighting in Ethereum (ETH) for greater upside potential.

Accumulate leading decentralized finance (DeFi) tokens and alternative cryptocurrencies—specifically Solana (SOL), Ripple (XRP), Uniswap (UNI), Injective (INJ), and Aave (AAVE)—during red market weeks to position for regulatory catalysts expected over the coming cycle.

Watch NVIDIA (NVDA) closely ahead of its August 26 earnings window, as a potential pullback in the Nasdaq could temporarily drag down both equities and crypto to create better entry points.

Use broad market dips to build long-term positions in secular growth leaders like Netflix (NFLX) and satellite-to-cell pioneer AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) across a high-conviction 2025–2035 investment horizon.

Protect your portfolio by avoiding high-leverage derivatives entirely and holding spot crypto and equities directly to safely compound returns without liquidation risk.

O FUNDO DO BITCOIN JÁ PASSOU?

Dollar-cost average into Bitcoin (BTC) within the $58,000–$60,000 support zone to capitalize on a favorable risk-to-reward setup targeting $73,000–$75,000.

Accumulate Ethereum (ETH) on price dips, aiming for short-term targets between $2,200–$2,300 and watching for a breakout past $2,500 to confirm a broader rally.

Exercise caution and tighten risk management on NVIDIA (NVDA) positions to navigate expected volatility surrounding its upcoming earnings report on August 26th.

Treat recent pullbacks in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq as healthy profit-taking rather than a trend reversal, maintaining broader U.S. stock exposure while the upward trend remains structurally intact.

BITCOIN E CRIPTOMOEDAS EM BULL MARKET? O SINAL FOI DADO #bitcoin #btchoje

Accumulate Bitcoin (BTC) during any price dips over the next two to four months ahead of an expected bull market, watching for a critical weekly close around $75,000 to $76,000 to validate the bottom.

Use anticipated corrective pullbacks over the next two to three months as buying opportunities to build core positions in major Layer-1 blockchains like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL).

Monitor NVIDIA (NVDA) closely around August 26th for technical weakness, as institutional capital may soon rotate out of high-flying semiconductor stocks and into digital assets.

Diversify equity holdings by allocating to traditional U.S. energy and memory sectors, which currently present an attractive low-risk, high-return profile.

Exercise caution and hold off on aggressively buying high-volatility altcoins like Sui (SUI) until the broader cryptocurrency market's macro recovery is firmly confirmed.

BITCOIN E CRIPTOMOEDAS EM SHORTSQUEEZE, ATENÇÃO E CUIDADOS

Investors should avoid buying the current crypto rally, as Bitcoin (BTC) is undergoing an artificial short squeeze that is likely to stall between $72,500 and $74,800 before facing a sharp downward reversal within days.

Refrain from buying Ethereum (ETH) near its $2,465 to $2,500 resistance zone, as upside momentum is expected to fade quickly into a two-to-three-month stagnation.

Similarly, hold off on new long positions for Solana (SOL), which is projected to struggle against heavy overhead resistance between $88 and $90.

In commodities, reduce short-term exposure to Gold and Silver, as both precious metals are showing signs of artificial price manipulation and are primed for strong downward corrections next week.

Protect capital across all markets by avoiding leverage and waiting for clear trend confirmation and significant down days before accumulating positions.

DINHEIRO SAINDO DA NVIDIA E ENTRANDO NO BITCOIN

Consider reducing exposure to NVIDIA (NVDA) ahead of its August 26 earnings report to protect against downside technical risks within its $202–$230 consolidation range.

Reallocate capital into Bitcoin (BTC) to target the $75,000–$85,000 price zone, actively accumulating during short-term pullbacks toward $60,000.

Buy Ethereum (ETH) on a confirmed breakout above $2,300 resistance, while preparing cash to buy heavily if prices drop toward the $1,500 support level later this year.

Add to Solana (SOL) on short-term dips to capitalize on its confirmed multi-timeframe bullish uptrend.

Overall, position for capital rotating from mega-cap semiconductors into cryptocurrencies, utilizing any pullbacks before December to build high-conviction positions.

Top assets covered by Augusto Backes

The 12 most-discussed assets across Augusto Backes’s content on Kazuha (out of 39 total).

Augusto Backes’s sentiment — last 30 days

Aggregate of all sentiment-scored insights from Augusto Backes in the last 30 days.

Bullish
avg +0.24
80 bullish15 neutral36 bearish

Frequently asked about Augusto Backes

What does Augusto Backes talk about on Kazuha?

Kazuha indexes 27 posts from Augusto Backes, with AI-extracted insights covering 39 distinct assets (stocks, ETFs, cryptocurrencies, and other investable assets).

Which assets does Augusto Backes cover the most?

Augusto Backes's most-discussed assets on Kazuha are BTC, ETH, SOL, NVDA, ASTS. See the "Top assets covered" section above for the full breakdown with sentiment.

Is Augusto Backes bullish or bearish right now?

Mostly bullish. In the last 30 days, Augusto Backes had 80 bullish, 36 bearish, and 15 neutral takes across all assets they discussed (per AI-extracted sentiment scoring on Kazuha).

Where does Kazuha get Augusto Backes's insights?

Augusto Backes's publicly available content (podcast episodes, YouTube videos, or X/Twitter posts) is transcribed and analyzed by an LLM that extracts the assets discussed and the speaker's sentiment toward each one. Each insight links back to the original source.