O MAIOR ERRO DE QUEM COMPRA BITCOIN NA ALTA
O MAIOR ERRO DE QUEM COMPRA BITCOIN NA ALTA
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Shift your accumulation focus toward U.S. equities throughout August and September, taking advantage of favorable pullbacks that offer a lower-risk setup compared to overextended crypto markets.

For Bitcoin (BTC), avoid chasing the recent breakout above $75,000 and prepare for strong selling pressure and a multi-month consolidation between $80,000 and $87,000.

Wait patiently for heavy correction weeks before allocating new capital to Bitcoin, keeping the downside risk level of $48,000 to $52,000 in mind.

Hold existing positions in Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) to let their remaining upward momentum play out before hitting major resistance levels.

Avoid opening new entries in altcoins at elevated prices to protect against severe drawdowns during the anticipated market cooling-off phase.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Bitcoin recently broke through a major resistance level at $75,000 and entered a strong upward rally
    • The next major resistance zone is located between $80,000 and $87,000, with potential resistance tests around $82,000, $83,800, and $90,000
    • A significant test around the $90,000 mark would confirm a historic bull market expansion
  • As the price enters the $80,000 – $87,000 range, profit-taking and selling pressure are expected to increase, leading to a consolidation or sideways trading period lasting at least two months
  • Downside risk: If the market fails to sustain higher lows, a deeper correction toward the $48,000 – $52,000 range remains possible, similar to market behavior in 2019
  • Buying on large green weekly candles increases average entry prices and heightens the risk of heavy drawdowns during sudden market pullbacks

Takeaways

  • Avoid buying Bitcoin during exponential green weeks driven by FOMO (fear of missing out)
  • Wait patiently for heavy correction weeks ("red bars") or major pullbacks before allocating new capital
  • Watch for sideways movement and consolidation in the $80,000 – $87,000 range to gauge market strength

Solana (SOL)

  • Solana is currently testing technical resistance levels alongside the broader crypto market
  • The asset still shows remaining upward momentum and liquidity ("combustible") to push higher before reaching peak exhaustion

Takeaways

  • Allow existing positions to ride the remaining upward trend, but exercise caution with new entries near resistance levels

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Ethereum still maintains upward momentum and has not yet hit its primary macro resistance zone
  • Like other major altcoins, it is positioned to follow the broader market upward move before entering a cooling-off phase

Takeaways

  • Hold existing positions while upward momentum lasts, avoiding late emotional entries at elevated price points

U.S. Stock Market (U.S. Equities)

  • While the cryptocurrency market is experiencing euphoric upward runs, the U.S. stock market has been testing a secondary bottom
  • Recent price pullbacks in equities provide a more favorable, lower-risk setup compared to overextended crypto assets

Takeaways

  • Consider shifting accumulation focus toward U.S. equities during August and September, taking advantage of market pullbacks rather than chasing crypto highs
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Video Description
Bitcoin disparou, mas comprar depois dessa explosão pode ser um dos maiores erros do investidor. Neste vídeo, Augusto Backes explica por que evita comprar BTC em grandes barras verdes, quando o mercado já está dominado por FOMO, e mostra por que prefere esperar correções, semanas vermelhas e momentos em que a maioria está aceitando prejuízo. Mesmo com espaço para o Bitcoin buscar regiões entre US$ 83 mil e US$ 87 mil, Augusto alerta que o preço está se aproximando de uma importante zona de resistência. Ethereum e Solana também podem continuar subindo no curto prazo, mas isso não significa que seja o melhor momento para entrar depois de uma alta explosiva. A principal estratégia apresentada é ter paciência: não perseguir o preço, evitar aumentar o preço médio durante a euforia e buscar oportunidades quando o mercado estiver corrigindo. Para Augusto, comprar quando todo mundo quer comprar aumenta o risco de entrar próximo de uma resistência e sofrer quando a primeira correção forte aparecer. Este conteúdo representa apenas a minha análise pessoal sobre Bitcoin, criptomoedas e o mercado financeiro. Nada do que foi apresentado deve ser interpretado como recomendação de compra, venda ou investimento. Faça sempre sua própria pesquisa e tome decisões de acordo com sua estratégia e seu gerenciamento de risco. Todas FERRAMENTAS ÚTEIS que utilizo: 👉 https://www.augustobackes.com.br 🔻👉 Cartão de Crédito: https://www.ether.fi/@Augusto Clube de Membros (Premium/Ninjas): Acesse ao conhecimento estruturado, relatórios diários escritos à mão e aprenda o setup operacional de tendência e volatilidade passo a passo. Clique em "Seja Membro" 👉 https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCNGqYuEd86K7dY70jE6dhKg/join Curso Operacional Gratuito Quantfury: Assista às aulas gratuitas na aba "Cursos" do próprio YouTube para aprender a gerenciar o seu risco do zero 👉 https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PLEejHiwxEoceAvVD9O5JkKYiIwpbcavgN Inscreva-se para receber nossas análises semanais do setor. #Bitcoin #Criptomoedas #Investimentos #augustobackes
About Augusto Backes
Augusto Backes

Augusto Backes

By @augustobackes

Bem-vindo ao canal Augusto Backes. Aqui eu compartilho estudos, leituras de cenário e análise de informação pública sobre os ...