O QUE FALTA PARA BITCOIN INICIAR BULL MARKET | MONEY FLOW
O QUE FALTA PARA BITCOIN INICIAR BULL MARKET | MONEY FLOW
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

For Bitcoin (BTC), avoid chasing current price strength near the $80,000 to $87,000 resistance zone and instead wait for pullbacks into the $68,000 to $72,000 support range to build long-term exposure targeting $500,000+ through 2027.

Hold off on opening new positions in NVIDIA (NVDA) ahead of its upcoming earnings report, as technical indicators suggest a high probability of a 15% to 30% post-earnings pullback that would offer an exceptional buying opportunity targeting a multi-year $10 trillion market capitalization.

Accumulate Ethereum (ETH) during weekly market pullbacks above $2,500, as institutional inflows and regulatory developments are expected to drive higher percentage returns than BTC during the broader altcoin market expansion.

Wait for a broader market consolidation before buying Solana (SOL), as the asset is rapidly approaching a major overhead resistance cluster between $110 and $120.

Use broader stock market dips to steadily accumulate core large-cap heavyweight Apple (AAPL) ahead of upcoming product cycles and anticipated foldable device announcements.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Technical Bull Market Signal: A strong weekly "elephant bar" (ignition candle) was triggered by a massive short squeeze, signaling the potential start of a multi-year cycle leading into 2027.
  • Missing Bull Market Confirmation: A full bull market cannot be technically confirmed until BTC establishes a confirmed higher low (above previous bottoms like $58,000, with support holding above $68,000 to $72,000).
  • Key Resistance Zones: Bitcoin is entering a heavy overhead resistance band between $80,000 and $87,000 (with $83,800 being a critical pivot).
  • Momentum & Fuel Depletion: Daily and 4-hour indicators show that short-term momentum ("fuel") is likely to exhaust once the Relative Strength Index (RSI) reaches the 50 level, leading to sideways/lateral consolidation over the next several weeks.
  • Downside Manipulation Risk: If the current upward impulse fails to sustain above $83,000 and loses the $68,000$72,000 support range, there is a risk of a liquidity trap (similar to late 2019/2022) dragging the price down to retest the $48,000 to $52,000 region.
  • Long-Term Target: If key long-term moving averages (56-week and 356-day) are cleared and held, price projections could reach $500,000+ over the next 2 to 3 years.

Takeaways

  • Avoid buying during rapid, green upward spikes; wait patiently for pullbacks (red weekly/monthly bars) before adding spot exposure.
  • Watch the $80,000–$87,000 zone for signs of short-term exhaustion and subsequent sideways consolidation heading into late year (December to March).

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Relative Valuation: ETH has broken above $2,500 and presents attractive upside asymmetry when measured against Bitcoin (ETH/BTC pair).
  • Cycle Dynamic: Anticipated to benefit from institutional capital flows and regulatory developments such as the Clarity Act, potentially outperforming BTC in the full altcoin expansion phase.

Takeaways

  • Suitable as an asymmetric asset to generate outsized gains relative to BTC during the broader bull expansion.
  • Accumulate during market-wide weekly pullbacks rather than chasing short-term breakouts.

Solana (SOL)

  • Strong Momentum: Continues to display high upward momentum with liquidation of short sellers across technical moving averages.
  • Resistance Levels: Approaching intermediate resistance between $102 and $111, with major overhead resistance sitting near $120.

Takeaways

  • Expect short-term upside continuation before entering consolidation alongside the broader crypto market.
  • Manage entries around pullbacks rather than entering near the $110–$120 resistance cluster.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • Earnings Catalyst: Upcoming quarterly earnings report is the most critical event of the quarter for both the semiconductor sector and the broader U.S. stock market.
  • Short-Term Technical Vulnerability: Chart patterns indicate an ascending wedge structure, which carries a high statistical probability (approx. 70%) of a post-earnings pullback of 15% to 30% driven by institutional profit-taking.
  • Dominant AI Moat: Despite competition from AMD and Broadcom, NVIDIA retains near-monopoly pricing power (raising chip prices by 15%) and remains the foundational backbone for global AI infrastructure.
  • Long-Term Target: Long-term outlook remains hyper-bullish, with expectations that NVIDIA could reach a $10 trillion market capitalization over the next 3 years.

Takeaways

  • Refrain from opening new positions right before the earnings release to avoid volatility and potential "sell the news" drops.
  • Treat any post-earnings dip of 15% to 20% as an exceptional multi-year buying opportunity.

CoreWeave (Private / AI Infrastructure)

  • High Asymmetry Against BTC: High-performance AI cloud computing infrastructure shows significantly greater volatility and percentage upside potential than major cryptocurrencies during specific market cycles.
  • Sector Rotation Utility: Traded as a tactical swing asset against Bitcoin to rapidly compound underlying capital during periods when tech outpaces digital assets.

Takeaways

  • Look for tactical rotation opportunities between AI compute infrastructure and crypto assets during sharp valuation discounts.

Apple (AAPL)

  • Hardware Catalysts: Market sentiment is building around upcoming hardware developments, including anticipated foldable devices, which could reignite momentum after recent market pullbacks.
  • Index Driver: Acts alongside NVIDIA as a core heavyweight stabilizing the S&P 500 and NASDAQ.

Takeaways

  • Monitor upcoming product announcements and broader market dips for steady large-cap equity exposure.
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Video Description
Todas FERRAMENTAS ÚTEIS que utilizo: 👉 https://www.augustobackes.com.br Money Flow de hoje: o Bitcoin deu o sinal de força com a barra elefante semanal, mas na minha opinião ainda falta UMA peça para falar em bull market confirmado — um fundo mais alto que o fundo anterior. Enquanto isso não vier, é promessa e não confirmação. Nesta live eu comento o btc hoje em 78.700, as resistências entre 80.000 e 87.000, a média de 56 semanas que separa bull de bear, e por que eu enxergo o combustível dessa alta acabando quando o RSI se aproximar da região 50. Falo também sobre a maior entrada de dinheiro nos ETFs de Bitcoin em 10 meses, o que muda na qualidade dessa alta, e por que continuo achando que compra boa é em barra vermelha — nunca em barra verde. Do outro lado, o mercado de ações americanas está fazendo o movimento oposto, testando um segundo fundo. Na minha leitura, a janela mais interessante desse fim de agosto pode estar lá e não no bitcoin hoje. E tudo isso desemboca na semana grande: Jackson Hole na sexta e o balanço da NVIDIA na quarta-feira, com a NVDA desenhando uma cunha ascendente de baixa. No fim, respondo as perguntas de vocês sobre Ethereum, Solana, Ethena, metais e cobre. ⚠️ Conteúdo educacional e de opinião. Nada aqui é recomendação de compra ou venda de qualquer ativo. Cada um decide o seu próprio risco. ⏱️ CAPÍTULOS 00:00 Abertura 00:53 As 4 pautas do Money Flow de hoje 02:22 A barra elefante e a peça que ainda falta 04:56 Panorama: BTC, ETH, ouro, S&P 500 e dólar 08:37 O combustível do RSI: até onde vai o foguete 12:35 Resistências entre 80.000 e 87.000 17:22 Por que eu só compro barra vermelha 20:00 Ações americanas testando o segundo fundo 27:50 ETFs: maior entrada de dinheiro em 10 meses 44:22 A média de 56 semanas que separa bull de bear 53:29 Semana grande: Jackson Hole e o balanço da NVIDIA 1:02:28 Perguntas dos inscritos 📈 OS NÚMEROS DE HOJE • Bitcoin: US$ 78.145 (+1%) · Ethereum: US$ 2.491 · Ouro: US$ 4.723 (recorde) • S&P 500: 7.674 (‑0,4%) · Petróleo: US$ 85 (+2,2%) · Juros EUA 10 anos: 4,71% • Ibovespa: ~171.000 · Dólar: R$ 5,14 Me conta nos comentários: você acha que o Bitcoin faz esse fundo mais alto ainda em 2026, ou o bull market só começa em 2027? Cada um decide o seu risco. #augustobackes #moneyflow #bitcoin #bullmarket #nvidia#cripto #btc #investimentos #criptomoedas ⚠️ Conteúdo informativo. Não é indicação, consultoria nem sugestão de compra ou venda de qualquer ativo. Cada pessoa é responsável pelas próprias decisões. #bitcoin #nvidia #btchoje #btc
About Augusto Backes
Augusto Backes

Augusto Backes

By @augustobackes

Bem-vindo ao canal Augusto Backes. Aqui eu compartilho estudos, leituras de cenário e análise de informação pública sobre os ...