Amit Kukreja
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Amit Kukreja

by @amitinvesting

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Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!
Ask about Amit KukrejaAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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PALANTIR Q3 2025 EARNINGS

PALANTIR Q3 2025 EARNINGS

260 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
YouTube2 hr 32 min

Following a massive earnings beat driven by 121% U.S. commercial growth, Palantir (PLTR) has solidified its position as a top-tier enterprise AI company. The core investment thesis is that PLTR has a long growth runway and can grow into its high valuation over the next decade. For long-term believers in this vision, the analysis suggests viewing the current price near $200 as a potentially cheap entry point for a multi-year hold. The primary risk is the stock's extremely high valuation, which has attracted bearish bets from notable investors like Michael Burry. A partnership with NVIDIA (NVDA) reinforces the view that PLTR provides the essential software layer for the AI hardware revolution.

NVIDA GETS TO SELL TO THE UAE, IREN MAJOR MICROSOFT DEAL, PALANTIR EARNINGS TODAY | MARKET OPEN

IREN (IREN) has secured a landmark $10 billion AI cloud deal with Microsoft, prompting a Cantor Fitzgerald price target upgrade to $142. This deal validates the "NeoCloud" investment theme, where agile data center operators like IREN and Cipher Mining (CIFR) are winning major contracts to meet surging AI demand. This massive infrastructure build-out directly benefits NVIDIA (NVDA), which received a price target increase to $350 from Loop Capital. Separately, Tesla (TSLA) earned a "Buy" rating and a $470 price target from Deutsche Bank, driven by the growth potential of its Megapack energy business. Lastly, investors are watching Palantir (PLTR) closely as it reports earnings today, with high expectations for a "monster quarter" already reflected in its recent stock run-up.

TRUMP CONFIRMS A US CHINA DEAL, PALANTIR EARNINGS TOMORROW, NOVEMBER BEGINS | MARKET FUTURES

Palantir (PLTR) presents a high-risk, high-reward trade heading into its earnings report tomorrow, with expectations for a significant revenue beat. The recent pullback in Meta (META) is being framed as a significant buying opportunity for long-term investors due to its increasingly attractive valuation. For a potentially safer way to invest in the AI boom, consider Microsoft (MSFT) as an under-appreciated beneficiary of its deep partnership with OpenAI. Grab (GRAB) is viewed as a fundamentally undervalued long-term holding, with a potential near-term price target of $6.80-$6.90. Lastly, a disconnect between Ethereum's (ETH) record-high network usage and its weak price may signal an opportunity for long-term investors.

An Exclusive Interview With The Man Who Spent 5 Years Studying Palantir's Alex Karp

Consider Palantir (PLTR) as a foundational investment in the growing Defense Tech sector, as its software becomes essential for Western governments and major corporations. The company's technology is deeply embedded with key clients like the US military and Airbus, creating high switching costs and a durable competitive moat. CEO Alex Karp views a potential second Trump presidency as a "massive opportunity" to make PLTR the de facto operating system for the US government. Geopolitical conflicts in Ukraine and Israel continue to validate the critical need for Palantir's platform, providing strong tailwinds for growth. The company's recent profitability and inclusion in the S&P 500 signal a new phase of financial maturity and market acceptance.

PALANTIR CROSSES $200 A SHARE, EARNINGS MONDAY | Palantir Weekly

Palantir (PLTR) is presented as a high-conviction investment, with its growth thesis accelerating faster than anticipated. Investors should look past traditional valuation metrics and instead focus on its rapidly expanding free cash flow margins, which are projected to be among the best in the software industry. The upcoming earnings report is a major catalyst, where a beat on its $1.09 billion revenue guidance and the addition of over 100 new customers would reinforce the bullish narrative. The strategic partnership with NVIDIA (NVDA) provides a powerful endorsement, validating PLTR's position as the essential software layer for enterprise AI. With a fortress balance sheet and a massive runway for expansion, the long-term view is that PLTR remains in the early stages of its growth.

THE STOCK MARKET CLOSES OUT OCTOBER | MARKET CLOSE

The recent dip in Meta (META) below $650 is presented as a significant buying opportunity for long-term investors who believe in the company's aggressive spending on AI. Analysts view Amazon (AMZN) as a core long-term holding, citing accelerating AWS growth and improving profit margins as key drivers for future gains. In cryptocurrency, Ethereum (ETH) has a strong bullish catalyst due to institutional adoption, with Coinbase purchasing it for its treasury and building on its network. For investors with a higher risk tolerance, consider adding space company Rocket Lab (RKLB) on any potential pullback into the $40s-$50s price range. The overarching theme is that any weakness in dominant hyperscalers should be viewed as a chance to invest in the future of AI.

AMAZON CRUSHES IT, NETFLIX SPLITS 10-1, EARNINGS CONTINUE STRONG | MARKET OPEN

The recent pullback in Meta (META) is viewed as a significant buying opportunity, with some analysts buying shares around the $659 level due to its long-term AI prospects. Following blowout earnings driven by AWS growth, consider buying Amazon (AMZN) on any significant future dips, as analysts have set price targets as high as $335. NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a top conviction holding, as its strong guidance does not yet include revenue from China, presenting a major source of potential future upside. With strong momentum and a recent analyst price target upgrade to $155, Robinhood (HOOD) presents a speculative opportunity ahead of its upcoming earnings report. As a broader strategy, consider increasing your portfolio allocation to the major tech Hyperscalers on any market weakness, as they are viewed as foundational long-term investments.

AMAZON, APPLE, COINBASE, REDDIT, MSTR + MORE EARNINGS | MARKET CLOSE

The recent 11% drop in Meta Platforms (META) stock is viewed as a significant buying opportunity, as the market overreacted to a one-time charge while ignoring strong underlying revenue growth. Amazon (AMZN) is a high-conviction long-term investment following blowout earnings, driven by the re-acceleration of its AWS cloud business and strong demand for its Tranium AI chips. Apple (AAPL) signaled a major growth re-acceleration with guidance for 10-12% revenue growth, making its new all-time highs potentially justified for investors. For a leveraged play on Bitcoin, consider MicroStrategy (MSTR), as the company's own guidance assumes a BTC price of $150,000 by year-end. Finally, Coinbase (COIN) showed strong corporate conviction by adding $300 million of Bitcoin to its balance sheet after a solid earnings report.

US CHINA DEAL IS HERE, BIG TECH EARNINGS CRUSH, PALANTIR HITS $200 | MARKET OPEN

Google (GOOGL) is a top pick after a "perfect quarter," with its clear AI monetization strategy leading some analysts to set price targets as high as $330. In contrast, Meta (META) presents a potential value opportunity for long-term believers after its stock dropped significantly on spending concerns, with some price targets remaining above $800. Keep an eye on Palantir (PLTR), which is showing strong momentum around the $200 level ahead of its pivotal earnings report on Monday. Amazon (AMZN) faces a key test with its upcoming earnings, where strong cloud growth could push the stock toward $240, while a miss could send it below $200. Investors should be cautious with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) in the short term, as they are showing unusual weakness despite a positive macro environment.

NVIDIA ALL TIME HIGHS, CHINA IS BUYING SOYBEANS, FOMC MEETING, BIG TECH EARNINGS | MARKET OPEN

The massive AI data center build-out is the dominant investment theme, with Google (GOOGL) signaling huge future spending after a record-breaking quarter. Consider the post-earnings dip in Meta Platforms (META) as a buying opportunity, as the drop was due to a one-time tax charge while underlying revenue growth remains strong. NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a core holding, with its own revenue forecast far exceeding Wall Street's expectations and a potential catalyst from re-entering the China market. Palantir (PLTR) has been significantly de-risked by its major partnership with NVIDIA, making it a compelling, high-growth AI software investment. With analyst price targets of $28 and $35, SoFi (SOFI) presents an opportunity as it is expected to be a key beneficiary of anticipated Fed rate cuts.

NVIDA HITS $200, KARP TAKES THE STAGE WITH JENSEN, THE AI REVOLUTION CONTINUES | MARKET CLOSE

NVIDIA (NVDA) is a top conviction buy after forecasting revenue $120 billion above expectations, with analysts suggesting a potential valuation near $250. Microsoft (MSFT) is a primary beneficiary of the AI boom, solidified by its 27% stake in OpenAI and a massive $250 billion Azure cloud commitment. Following a strong earnings report, SoFi (SOFI) presents a compelling growth opportunity with multiple catalysts and a potential price target of $45. Consider Joby Aviation (JOBY) as it partners with NVIDIA to use its new IGGX Thor platform, a significant catalyst for its autonomous flight systems. The recent dip in data center and power infrastructure stocks like Iren (IREN) may offer a long-term buying opportunity to support the massive AI build-out.

NVDA GTC 2025 LIVE | JENSEN HUANG SPEAKS

NVIDIA (NVDA) revealed a business pipeline of $500 billion through 2026 for its Blackwell and Rubin chips, significantly exceeding Wall Street expectations and signaling continued dominance in the AI sector. Consider Nokia (NOK) as a strategic play on 6G, which received a $1 billion equity investment from NVIDIA to build next-generation wireless infrastructure. Palantir (PLTR) received a major validation as a key enterprise AI software partner, with NVIDIA's CEO calling its platform the "single most important enterprise stack." For long-term investors, SoFi (SOFI) presents a potential opportunity, as its strong fundamental growth and raised earnings guidance may benefit from upcoming interest rate cuts. As a value-oriented play on the semiconductor boom, consider Amcor (AMCR), an undervalued packaging company in the supply chain trading at an attractive multiple.

SOFI, PAYPAL, UNH EARNINGS | MARKET OPEN

PayPal (PYPL) is a compelling buy as its new OpenAI partnership and first-ever dividend signal a major positive shift for the undervalued stock. Microsoft (MSFT) has solidified its long-term growth with a new OpenAI deal that includes a massive $250 billion Azure contract, making it a core holding for AI exposure. The AI capital expenditure cycle continues to benefit chipmakers like NVIDIA (NVDA) and AMD (AMD), which remain strong buys ahead of potential catalysts like the GTC conference. Consider buying SoFi (SOFI) on post-earnings weakness, as its fundamental growth and upcoming crypto and AI initiatives present a long-term opportunity despite short-term volatility. The recent stock drop in packaging company Amcor (AMCR) due to a CEO change, despite strong fundamentals, appears to be a buying opportunity.

Robinhood Tries to Get Back to All Time Highs, Markets Love The China Announcements | Tech Bros

The overall market outlook is bullish, with the S&P 500 potentially reaching $7,000 this year, supported by expected Fed rate cuts and a critical week of Big Tech earnings. Analysts are very bullish on SoFi (SOFI) ahead of its earnings report, anticipating strong revenue growth and viewing it as a prime beneficiary of lower interest rates with potential price targets between $31.50 and $35.00. Among the tech giants, Amazon (AMZN) and Meta (META) are highlighted as potential top performers post-earnings, but watch AWS growth for Amazon and spending for Meta. For long-term growth, consider Robinhood (HOOD), as its expansion into Prediction Markets and a full banking product could be game-changers for the company. While the outlook is positive, be prepared for short-term volatility around this week's major earnings announcements.

Palantir Gets a MASSIVE New Deal, Tesla Gets Upgraded, China Deal May Be Coming Soon | Daily Recap

Google (GOOGL) shows strong momentum with a recent price target upgrade to $300, driven by high demand for its AI hardware and infrastructure. Consider Qualcomm (QCOM) as a new way to invest in the AI data center boom, with analysts setting a $225 price target based on its expansion into the market. Palantir (PLTR) is seen as a high-conviction growth play, with its expanding government contracts supporting a potential run to $200 upon strong earnings. The investment case for Tesla (TSLA) is shifting to a long-term physical AI play, with major catalysts like the RoboTaxi network expected around 2026. Finally, the massive power needs for AI highlight Energy for AI as a key long-term theme, pointing to opportunities in companies like NextEra Energy (NEE) that utilize nuclear power.

PALANTIR HITS ALL TIME HIGHS, MARKETS CONTINUE STRENGTH, EARNINGS AFTER THE BELL | MARKET CLOSE

Large institutional investors are making bullish bets on Tesla (TSLA), buying long-dated call options with strike prices as high as $560 for June 2026. Consider SoFi (SOFI) ahead of its imminent earnings report, where a strong quarter could propel the stock towards a $35 price target. In the semiconductor space, Celestica (CLS) was a standout earnings winner, jumping over 10% after hours on a massive 50% year-over-year earnings increase. The recent 9% after-hours drop in Galaxy Digital (GLXY) following a capital raise could be a buying opportunity for investors bullish on data center growth. Lastly, momentum traders should watch Grab (GRAB), which is experiencing a technical breakout and has strong upward momentum.

PALANTIR NEW DEAL, TESLA UPGRADED, CHINA DEAL LIKELY, S&P NEW ALL TIME HIGHS | MARKET OPEN

With earnings approaching, consider SoFi (SOFI) as a strong report combined with a potential Fed rate cut could push the stock towards the $35 level. Palantir (PLTR) is showing strong momentum, with a potential move to $200 if its upcoming earnings report shows growth above 50%. Following a significant analyst upgrade, Tesla (TSLA) has a new price target of $510 based on confidence in its future product pipeline. Analysts are also bullish on Robinhood (HOOD), raising its price target to $161 due to strong trading trends and future growth prospects. Lastly, Qualcomm (QCOM) has entered the AI chip market, presenting a new long-term investment theme as it challenges NVIDIA (NVDA).

IT LOOKS LIKE WE MAY HAVE A DEAL | MARKET FUTURES

Consider a bullish position in SoFi (SOFI) ahead of its earnings on Tuesday, with a potential price target of $35 on a strong report. Among the big tech companies reporting this week, Google (GOOGL) is highlighted as having the highest potential to outperform expectations on Wednesday. In the cryptocurrency space, watch for Bitcoin (BTC) to maintain its momentum by holding above the key $115,000 level through the end of October. For a high-risk speculative trade, Beyond Meat (BYND) presents a potential short squeeze opportunity due to its extremely high 161% short float. Conversely, be cautious with rare earth stocks like USAR, as a potential U.S.-China trade deal is a significant risk factor for the sector.

CPI, ORACLE TAKES ON 40B OF DEBT, TRUMP IS MAD AT CANADA, EARNINGS CONTINUE TO CRUSH | MARKET OPEN

Bitcoin (BTC) is gaining significant institutional support as JP Morgan plans to accept it as collateral, with some analysts reiterating price targets as high as $200,000 this year. In the semiconductor sector, Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is a key momentum leader, breaking out to new all-time highs of $250. Consider Intel (INTC) as well, as its massive 2,200% earnings beat suggests its turnaround plan is succeeding. The broader AI infrastructure theme remains a powerful opportunity, validated by Oracle's (ORCL) major deal to finance new data centers. Finally, keep an eye on SoFi (SOFI), which is showing strength near $29.50 leading into its critical earnings report next week.

Palantir $200M CONTRACT, Oracle Financing $40B OF Data Centers, Tesla Earnings | Daily Recap

The massive demand for AI infrastructure, driven by companies like OpenAI, presents a durable investment theme in the data center sector. Consider data center-related stocks such as IREN, CIFR, and WULF, which have recently pulled back and may offer a healthier entry point. For a specific stock play, Palantir (PLTR) is seen as having a potential shot at $200 if its upcoming earnings show growth of 50% or more. A broader market tailwind is expected as the corporate stock buyback blackout period ends, potentially fueling a "Santa Claus rally" into the end of the year. Strong Q3 earnings beats from companies like Intel (INTC) and Ford (F) further support a positive market outlook.