NVIDIA SHOWS OFF NEW PRODUCTS, MARKETS CONTINUE SHOWING STRENGTH | MARKET OPEN
NVIDIA SHOWS OFF NEW PRODUCTS, MARKETS CONTINUE SHOWING STRENGTH | MARKET OPEN
123 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider Zeta Global (ZETA) following its OpenAI partnership, as analysts see upside to $29-$30 while the $22.50 level is key support to watch. The upcoming Morgan Stanley ETFs for Bitcoin (BTC) and Solana (SOL) signal major institutional demand, making any price dips a potential accumulation opportunity. Analysts view NVIDIA (NVDA) as a core long-term AI holding, with Evercore setting a price target of $352. Investors can gain exposure to the broader semiconductor and memory theme through relatively inexpensive stocks like Micron (MU) and Amcor (AMCR). For investors bullish on Tesla's (TSLA) long-term autonomy plan, recent dips caused by competitor news may offer a strategic entry point.

Detailed Analysis

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • The company held a major event at CES where CEO Jensen Huang showcased new products and the company's vision for AI.
  • New Products:
    • Vera Rubin AI Supercomputer: A completely redesigned architecture that reduces the setup time for a compute rack from two hours to just five minutes. The host described the technological leap as "incredible."
    • New GPUs and DPUs: The presentation included the Rubin GPU and the Bluefield 4 DPU.
  • Key Initiatives:
    • Open-Source AI: NVIDIA is pushing open-source models like Nemotron to encourage broader AI adoption, particularly in robotics.
    • Autonomous Driving: They officially announced their first open-source, end-to-end autonomous driving stack. This is seen as a direct competitor to Tesla's FSD, and NVIDIA announced a partnership with Mercedes-Benz.
  • Sentiment: The host's sentiment is extremely bullish, stating the presentation "really makes you not want to sell a single share of Nvidia." He sees the company as a clear long-term winner in the AI revolution.
  • Analyst Commentary:
    • Evercore reiterated an Outperform rating and called NVIDIA their top pick with a $352 price target. They believe NVIDIA can capture 70-80% of the value created in the shift to AI.
    • Piper Sandler has an overweight rating with a $225 price target.
  • Risk Factors: The host notes that due to its very large market cap, the stock "might not move as easily" as smaller companies.

Takeaways

  • NVIDIA continues to be at the forefront of the AI hardware revolution, with new products that offer significant performance and efficiency improvements.
  • The company is expanding its ecosystem into open-source models and autonomous driving, aiming to be the foundational platform for the entire AI industry.
  • Despite the very bullish outlook, investors should be aware that its large size may temper the stock's percentage gains compared to smaller, high-growth AI plays. The host views it as a company that is "not going to lose."

AMD (AMD)

  • CEO Lisa Su also gave a keynote at CES, reinforcing the massive growth trajectory for AI.
  • Key Projections:
    • Active AI users are expected to grow from 1 billion today to 5 billion by 2030.
    • Global computing power needs are projected to increase a hundredfold in the coming years.
  • New Product: AMD showcased its "most advanced chip ever," the MI455 GPU, which features 320 billion transistors.
  • Stock Performance: Despite the bullish presentation and new product announcement, AMD's stock was trading down 3-4%. The host suggests this is part of a broader market trend of not rewarding large-cap tech stocks at the moment, rather than a negative reflection on AMD itself.

Takeaways

  • AMD is a key player in the AI chip market, with projections and products that rival NVIDIA's. The overall demand for AI computing is seen as a massive tailwind for the company.
  • The stock's negative reaction to positive news could present an opportunity for investors who believe in the long-term AI story, as it may be driven by short-term market rotations rather than company-specific issues.

Zeta Global (ZETA)

  • The company announced an official partnership with OpenAI, which caused the stock to jump to $25.
  • The host notes that the company's fundamentals are strong, describing it as "cheap," with strong growth and "incredible" financials.
  • Analyst Commentary:
    • DA Davidson reiterated a $29 price target.
    • RBC reiterated a $30 price target.
  • Technical Levels: The host mentioned that if the stock can hold above $22.50, it would be a very positive sign of institutional buying and establishing a new, higher base.
  • Sentiment: The host is bullish on the fundamentals but cautious about the sharp price increase, questioning if it's sustainable or just part of a broader "high beta" rally. He noted the volume profile suggests "aggressive acquiring of shares."

Takeaways

  • The OpenAI partnership is a major catalyst that could accelerate enterprise adoption of Zeta's platform.
  • Unlike many high-flying tech stocks, Zeta is viewed as having a strong fundamental underpinning with an attractive valuation.
  • Investors should watch the $22.50 price level. Holding above this support could signal sustained strength beyond the initial news-driven pump.

Tesla (TSLA)

  • The stock experienced a sell-off, dropping around 3.4%, following NVIDIA's announcement of its open-source autonomous driving platform.
  • The host is skeptical that NVIDIA poses a serious threat to Tesla's dominance in self-driving. He argues that Tesla's moat is its massive fleet of cars collecting real-world data, which is superior to the "synthetic data" approach NVIDIA is promoting for other carmakers like GM and Mercedes.
  • Elon Musk reportedly responded to the news by stating that Tesla is already doing what NVIDIA announced.
  • The host believes that if the market is in a "high beta" mode, dips in Tesla's stock are likely to be bought up.

Takeaways

  • Headlines about competitors in the autonomous driving space, especially from a heavyweight like NVIDIA, can create short-term selling pressure on Tesla.
  • The core long-term bull case for Tesla's autonomy efforts remains its data advantage, which may be difficult for competitors to replicate.
  • For investors who believe in Tesla's long-term vision, these news-driven dips could be viewed as buying opportunities.

Cryptocurrency: Bitcoin (BTC), Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL)

  • The crypto market is showing strength, which the host attributes to the "high beta" rally.
    • Bitcoin (BTC) was trading around $94,100.
    • Ethereum (ETH) was trading around $3,300.
    • Solana (SOL) was trading at $141.
  • Major Catalyst: Morgan Stanley, with $8 trillion in client assets, is filing to offer spot Bitcoin and Solana ETFs.
  • Sentiment: This is seen as a massive deal, signaling strong institutional demand and a desire from clients to get exposure to the asset class. The host notes that "when it's down, that's when the big guys like to buy more."

Takeaways

  • Major financial institutions like Morgan Stanley entering the crypto ETF space is a powerful validation of the asset class and a significant tailwind for prices.
  • The current market environment is favorable for riskier assets like cryptocurrencies.
  • The move by Morgan Stanley specifically highlights institutional interest not just in Bitcoin, but also in other major cryptocurrencies like Solana.

SoFi (SOFI)

  • The stock experienced extreme volatility, rallying significantly one day and then dumping over 8% during the podcast.
  • Bearish News: The sharp drop was attributed to two analyst downgrades from competing banks:
    • Bank of America issued an "Underperform" rating with a $20.50 price target, citing concerns about the stock's valuation.
    • Goldman Sachs lowered its price target from $27 to $24.
  • Bullish News:
    • The company is now using Palantir's Foundry software, according to a senior data engineer job posting on LinkedIn.
    • The company clarified that a recent $1.5 billion capital raise was to pay down expensive debt, which should be neutral to earnings per share (EPS).

Takeaways

  • SoFi is a highly volatile "battleground" stock, heavily influenced by analyst ratings. Investors should be prepared for sharp price swings.
  • The downgrades from major banks, which are also competitors, are a significant headwind.
  • On the positive side, the company is making smart operational moves by adopting advanced software like Palantir and managing its debt, which could strengthen its long-term financial position.

Semiconductor & Memory Theme

  • This was a dominant theme in the discussion, with many related stocks seeing huge gains. The host described it as a "real rally."
  • Micron (MU): The stock was up significantly, hitting what the host believed were all-time highs. The rally is driven by a narrative of a massive shortage in high-bandwidth memory (HBM) needed for AI chips. The company has a market cap of $375 billion but trades at a relatively low 8x price-to-sales.
  • SanDisk: Mentioned as another memory player that has seen an explosive move, up 565% last year and another 30% in the first three days of this year. The host notes this is driven by the AI storage boom and a supply/demand imbalance for NAND flash memory.
  • Amcor (AMCR): A packaging company that was up over 10%, hitting $52. The host speculates its strong connection to TSMC and the broader chip manufacturing boom is driving the rally. He notes that while the momentum is strong, the stock is still fundamentally "cheap" at 2x price-to-sales.
  • TSMC (TSM): Also hit all-time highs, up 3%.

Takeaways

  • The demand for AI is creating a massive, secular tailwind for the entire semiconductor ecosystem, especially memory producers.
  • Investors can gain exposure to this theme through various companies in the supply chain, from chip designers (NVIDIA, AMD) to memory makers (Micron) to packaging (Amcor) and foundries (TSMC).
  • The host repeatedly expresses caution that the speed and magnitude of these rallies feel "fishy" and could be setting up for a "rug pull." Investors chasing this momentum should be aware of the high risk of a sharp correction.

Palantir (PLTR)

  • Analyst Commentary: Truist Securities gave the stock a $23 price target, calling it a "best-in-class AI asset."
  • Customer Adoption: It was revealed that SoFi is using Palantir Foundry for its data engineering, a positive sign of continued adoption.
  • Investor Base: The host highlighted the company's strong, cult-like retail investor base that tends to buy and hold for the long term, which can provide price support during downturns.

Takeaways

  • Palantir continues to be viewed by some analysts as a top-tier AI software play.
  • The company is successfully expanding its customer base, with SoFi being a notable new example in the fintech space.
  • The dedicated investor community is a unique characteristic of the stock.
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twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting deepdives: https://amitsdeepdives.substack.com/ nyc feb meetup: https://shorturl.at/wk0pN reach out - jess@akcomms.com 00:00 - CES Recap 07:15 - Jensen 22:30 - Venezuela 44:00 - Market Open 1:57:00 - Trump Live 2:13:50 - Lisa Su 2:25:00 - Davis joins
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!