AMD Gets A HUGE Upgrade, Trump Wants Stocks to PUMP,  Meta Continues to Tank | Daily Recap
AMD Gets A HUGE Upgrade, Trump Wants Stocks to PUMP, Meta Continues to Tank | Daily Recap
115 days agoAmit Kukreja@amitinvesting
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) is a high-conviction buy following a double upgrade from Bernstein, which set a $270 price target based on massive AI-driven growth potential. Amazon (AMZN) was named a top pick by Morgan Stanley with an overweight rating and a $315 price target, making it a solid large-cap choice. For a more speculative play, consider data center company Iren (IREN), which received a significant upgrade from sell to buy with a new $80 price target. Investors should also look beyond mega-caps, as the Russell 2000 (IWM) index is outperforming, signaling a potential rotation into smaller companies. This suggests a favorable environment for owning stocks, particularly in technology and high-beta names.

Detailed Analysis

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD)

  • Received a double upgrade to a $270 price target from Bernstein.
  • The analyst note projects massive long-term growth, estimating $150 billion in revenue and $25 of Earnings Per Share (EPS) by 2030.
  • Based on these projections, the stock price could potentially reach $900 to $1,500 in the long term.
  • The growth is based on a 35% top-line revenue growth forecast, which was guided by CEO Lisa Su.
  • A price of $600 per share would make AMD a trillion-dollar company.

Takeaways

  • The sentiment is extremely bullish, driven by the explosive growth expectations in the AI sector.
  • The podcast suggests investors should remain "long and strong" on AI and semiconductor stocks like AMD, as the growth trend shows no signs of slowing down.
  • The high price targets suggest significant long-term upside for investors willing to hold through potential volatility.

Meta Platforms (META)

  • The stock fell 2% on the day despite receiving a price target increase to $820 from TD Cowen.
  • The speaker notes a "narrative mismatch," where the market seems to distrust CEO Mark Zuckerberg, causing the stock to stagnate even on bullish news.
  • There is concern that Meta's revenue is still almost entirely from advertising, unlike other tech giants that have successfully monetized their large capital expenditures in other ways.
  • The speaker owns META but is not adding to their position due to uncertainty surrounding the upcoming earnings call.

Takeaways

  • META is viewed as fundamentally undervalued, with a valuation closer to $850 being justified based on its business alone.
  • However, there is significant short-term risk due to negative market sentiment (the "narrative overhang").
  • The podcast suggests it could be a good long-term investment (5+ years), but the next 90 days are uncertain. Patient investors might see the current price as an opportunity, but it comes with considerable narrative risk.

Intel (INTC)

  • Received a price target upgrade to $60.
  • The thesis behind the upgrade was noted as "Trump won't let Intel fail," suggesting the rationale is more political and strategic than purely fundamental.
  • The speaker mentioned this was their thesis when the stock was at $37 but is now hesitant to buy at the current price of $47, stating they are "not going to chase it here."

Takeaways

  • The bullish case for Intel is partially tied to the belief that it is a strategically important company that would receive government support, particularly under a Trump administration.
  • Investors should be aware that the stock has already run up significantly. The speaker's reluctance to buy at current levels suggests that new investors might be "chasing" recent performance.

Amazon (AMZN)

  • Named a "top pick" by Morgan Stanley, which gave it an overweight rating and a $315 price target.
  • The speaker is personally long the stock.

Takeaways

  • The sentiment is clearly bullish.
  • With strong backing from a major investment bank and positive sentiment from the speaker, AMZN is presented as a solid investment for the remainder of the year.

UiPath (PATH)

  • The stock dropped significantly, down 7.29%.
  • The decline is attributed to the announcement of Claude Cowork by the AI company Anthropic.
  • PATH's core business is Robotic Processing Automation (RPA), which is now facing a direct competitive threat from Anthropic's new, powerful AI agentic workflow tools.

Takeaways

  • The sentiment is bearish due to new, formidable competition from a foundational AI model company.
  • This highlights a key risk for specialized software companies: their business models can be threatened or made obsolete by advancements from large, well-funded AI labs.
  • Investors in PATH and similar software automation companies should closely monitor the competitive landscape.

Investment Theme: US Equities & Political Influence

  • The podcast highlights former President Trump's commentary, noting his explicit desire for asset prices and the stock market to go up.
  • The speaker suggests that a potential Trump administration would be very focused on boosting the stock market, creating a favorable environment for equity holders.
  • The core message is that if the administration is actively trying to pump asset prices, it's a strong reason to "own stocks."

Takeaways

  • The political environment is presented as a potential bullish catalyst for the broader US stock market.
  • Investors should consider the policy leanings of political leaders and how they might impact market performance. The idea is that having a president who views the stock market as a report card is beneficial for investors.

Investment Theme: Small Caps & High Beta Stocks

  • The podcast notes that the current macro environment of cooling inflation is creating a good setup for "high beta" (higher risk, higher volatility) stocks to perform well.
  • The Russell 2000 (IWM), a small-cap index, is highlighted for being up 5% year-to-date, outperforming the S&P 500.
  • This outperformance suggests a market rotation away from the mega-cap "Mag 7" stocks and into smaller companies.

Takeaways

  • Investors may want to look for opportunities beyond large-cap tech.
  • The outperformance of IWM indicates that a broader market rally may be underway, benefiting small-cap and high-beta stocks that have lagged in the past.

Other Stock Mentions

  • Iren (IREN): Upgraded from a sell to a buy by HC Wainwright with a price target increase from $56 to $80. This is a significant bullish reversal for the data center company.
  • Microsoft (MSFT): Proactively released a 5-step plan to address the high energy and water usage of its data centers. This is seen as a smart move to get ahead of political and regulatory pressure.
  • JPMorgan (JPM) & Bank of New York Mellon (BNY): Both reported strong earnings but their stocks were flat or down. This was attributed to the fact that the stocks had already performed very well, and expectations were extremely high. It suggests the "easy money" in financials may have already been made for the short term.
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twitter: https://x.com/amitisinvesting deepdives: https://amitsdeepdives.substack.com/ nyc feb meetup: https://shorturl.at/wk0pN reach out - jess@akcomms.com 2026 high beta rally explained - https://amitsdeepdives.substack.com/p/the-january-high-beta-rally-explained 00:00 - Intro 01:19 - CPI is good for the macro 06:30 - Trump wants stocks higher and credit card rates 13:18 - AI headlines around AMD, META, INTC and more
About Amit Kukreja
Amit Kukreja

Amit Kukreja

By @amitinvesting

Breaking down stocks, business, tech. Thank you for following along the journey!