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threadguy

by @notthreadguy

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Stocks, crypto, politics, culture, and the great financialization of everything. Threadguy is live every weekday from New York with analysis, commentary, and interviews with leading figures across the space of internet markets.
Ask about threadguyAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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696 posts
Explaining Nvidia's Earnings Call Results... [Stream Recap]

Investors should consider NVIDIA (NVDA) as a core long-term holding following its massive $80 billion buyback and dividend hike, though tactical entries are preferred during "choppy" post-earnings volatility. For high-beta semiconductor exposure, Micron Technology (MU) offers a compelling "buy the dip" opportunity after its recent 20% correction. In the crypto market, Hyperliquid (HYPE) and Zcash (ZEC) are the top conviction plays, with HYPE showing extreme momentum toward its all-time high of $59.30. Retail investors can gain rare access to private, pre-IPO robotics firms like Figure AI through the RoboStrategy (BOT) wrapper, which is positioned to capture the "next AI trade" premium. While Bitcoin (BTC) remains a stable market anchor, capital is rotating into "data center beta" plays like Bloom Energy (BE) and high-growth altcoins as Ethereum and Solana lag.

NVIDIA EARNINGS CALL LIVE

NVIDIA EARNINGS CALL LIVE

80 days agothreadguy@notthreadguy
YouTube2 hr 51 min

Investors should maintain high conviction in NVIDIA (NVDA) as it transitions to its Blackwell and Vera Rubin architectures, supported by a massive $80 billion share buyback and a significant dividend increase. In the crypto sector, Hyperliquid (HYPE) and Zcash (ZEC) are the primary momentum plays, with ZEC specifically showing a rare 10-year technical breakout and a target of its previous all-time high. For exposure to the "Physical AI" and robotics trend, the RoboStrategy (BOT) ticker offers a unique public vehicle to invest in private leaders like Figure AI. Micron (MU) presents a tactical entry opportunity following its recent 20% pullback to capture the ongoing AI hardware bottleneck. While Bitcoin (BTC) remains a stable foundation, capital is currently rotating into high-performance assets like HYPE, ZEC, and VVV for superior short-term returns.

Investigating Trump's Favorite Stock... [Stream Recap]

Concentrate your crypto portfolio into a "triple stack" of high-conviction altcoins—Zcash (ZEC), Hyperliquid (HYPE), and VVV—which are currently outperforming the broader market. Zcash (ZEC) remains a top pick with a strong long bias from the $390 level, while VVV serves as the primary momentum play for the AI narrative following its Robinhood listing. In equities, Dell Technologies (DELL) is a high-conviction "Trump trade" positioned to double as it leverages political ties and massive AI infrastructure partnerships with Nvidia and Palantir. Monitor Tesla (TSLA) for short opportunities near the $425 level, but remain cautious of a potential SpaceX merger that could trigger a massive short squeeze. For diversified tech exposure, look toward Micron (MU) and Marvell (MRVL), which are showing remarkable relative strength despite recent Bitcoin (BTC) volatility.

LIVE: Korean Stocks Are F**KED!!! Anthropic WON..? Trump's FAVORITE Stock (oh no)

Maintain a core position in Bitcoin (BTC) as long as it holds the $60,000 support level, as this stability allows high-conviction "altcoins" to outperform.

Build a position in Zcash (ZEC) to capture the privacy narrative, targeting a generational breakout following the SEC's decision to drop its case against the asset.

Hold Hyperliquid (HYPE) and VVV to gain exposure to the dominant themes of on-chain tokenization and private AI, especially following VVV's recent Robinhood listing.

In traditional markets, follow the "Trump trade" by investing in Dell Technologies (DELL) as it pivots from hardware to high-margin AI Factories and government partnerships.

Consider value plays in South Korean semiconductors like SK Hynix and Samsung, which trade at low valuations of 5x-6x P/E, but remain cautious of high retail margin debt in that region.

I Got Rugged On The Swatch AP... [Stream Recap]

Investors should monitor Bitcoin (BTC) closely as it faces heavy resistance at $80,000; a failure to hold current levels could lead to a significant correction toward the $50,000–$60,000 support zone. Hyperliquid (HYPE) remains a high-conviction play due to its strength in tokenized traditional assets like SpaceX perps, while Zcash (ZEC) is identified as a top-tier recovery candidate for those seeking altcoin outperformance. In the semiconductor space, Intel (INTC) offers a unique narrative driven by U.S. government backing, and Micron (MU) is highlighted as having the most upside potential following its recent 20% retracement. Uber (UBER) is positioned as a major acquisition target for tech giants like Google or Tesla, with analysts eyeing a potential buyout valuation of $250 billion. For a contrarian social trade, consider shorting Zillow (Z) based on weakening housing demand among younger demographics, while watching Copper for a high-probability breakout on its third attempt at a "triple top."

LIVE: Elon LOST to OpenAI.. Trump CANCELS War!? Leopold Reveals Everything & Software is BACK

Monitor Hyperliquid (HYPE) closely this week, as a potential SEC "innovation exemption" for tokenized stocks could serve as a massive catalyst for its pre-IPO trading of SpaceX. Uber (UBER) is emerging as a high-conviction "smart money" play with a valuation target of $250 billion driven by rumors of an acquisition by Google or Tesla. For semiconductor exposure, Micron (MU) offers a "buy the dip" opportunity following a 20% correction, with support levels at $630 and $550. Zcash (ZEC) remains a top pick for privacy-focused investors, with a decisive break above $600 signaling a major bullish move toward previous all-time highs. Diversify into AI infrastructure and software by following institutional rotations into ServiceNow (NOW), TSMC (TSM), and Bloom Energy (BE).

Leopold Aschenbrenner Lied To Us Today... [Stream Recap]

Monitor Swatch Group (UHR) for a short-term sentiment boost driven by the viral "AP Swatch" collaboration, which is currently commanding resale prices up to $2,500. Mark June 12th on your calendar for the potential public listing of SpaceX (SPCX), a massive event-driven opportunity for a company valued near $2 trillion. In the semiconductor space, look for a "flush" or consolidation in NVIDIA (NVDA) and Micron (MU) before entering, as recent pullbacks are testing late buyers. For active crypto traders, Hyperliquid (HYPE) is showing significant relative strength and user growth compared to traditional platforms like Robinhood (HOOD). Exercise "deep patience" with Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), avoiding new long positions in altcoins until the broader market stabilizes over the next six months.

LIVE: Leopold Reveals His Positions (HUGE).. Stocks Are DUMPING! The Truth About SpaceX..?

Investors should monitor Polymarket as a high-conviction, "generational" platform that is currently gaining massive mainstream cultural momentum. While not directly tradable via a ticker, the platform's dominance

An Unfiltered Conversation with Airmass

Investors should consider a high-conviction rotation into Micron Technology (MU), which is positioned as the "next NVIDIA" due to a massive supply-demand imbalance and five-year customer agreements. Despite trading near all-time highs, MU remains fundamentally undervalued with a low P/E ratio of 5x and projected revenue growth of 400%, making it a prime candidate for entry during periods of volatility. For long-term wealth preservation, Bitcoin (BTC) is viewed as a mandatory "life insurance policy" against currency devaluation, with a price target of $120,000 considered a bargain for the current cycle. High-net-worth individuals are encouraged to maintain at least some exposure to BTC and prioritize self-custody to ensure financial sovereignty. While the Nasdaq may face 15-20% corrections in the coming years, the broader tech sector is expected to trend upward toward a massive "blow-off top" by 2030, offering generational growth opportunities in AI-linked hardware.

The Most Important Trading Year of Your Life... [Stream Recap]

Institutional accumulation by Michael Saylor and extreme negative social sentiment suggest Bitcoin (BTC) is currently in a contrarian buying zone for long-term holders. Investors should look beyond NVIDIA toward Micron (MU), which is positioned as a high-conviction play on the AI memory hardware stack. Exercise extreme caution with Cerebras (CBRS) at its current 200x Price-to-Sales ratio, as any delay in its OpenAI contract could trigger a significant price collapse. In the crypto ecosystem, monitor Hyperliquid (HYPE) for a breakout above $45, utilizing its pre-IPO markets to gauge early demand for traditional equity listings. For a high-upside consumer play, track the Swatch x AP watch collaboration, which is showing "unfathomably viral" social momentum and a projected resale target of $2,000.

LIVE: Cerebras IPO!  Hyperliquid is INSANE!? Trump is in CHINA! Airmass at 5PM EST!!

Investors should consider a high-conviction position in Micron Technology (MU), which is viewed as a mispriced AI infrastructure play trading at an attractive forward P/E despite reaching all-time highs. The Hyperliquid (HYPE) token is a strong buy-and-hold candidate due to a new Coinbase partnership that generates over $135M in annual revenue specifically for token buybacks. Maintain a long-term "HODL" strategy for Bitcoin (BTC) as a hedge against currency devaluation, treating it as a base asset rather than a short-term trade. Exercise extreme caution or consider shorting Cerebras Systems (CBRS), as its valuation is seen as fragile due to high revenue concentration and an excessive price-to-sales multiple. For those seeking a "black swan" hedge, Intel (INTC) offers significant upside potential as a domestic manufacturing alternative in the event of geopolitical instability in Taiwan.

Trump & Elon Just Met With China... [Stream Recap]

Investors should avoid opening new long positions on Bitcoin (BTC) until it clears the key resistance level of $82,000, which would signal a confirmed breakout toward new highs. Amazon (AMZN) presents a strong contrarian opportunity near the $197 level, as high capital expenditure concerns have created an attractive entry point for long-term growth. For high-risk swing traders, ZCash (ZEC) remains a high-conviction play with plans to accumulate more if the price dips into the $480–$500 range. Robinhood (HOOD) is currently a "double down" opportunity in the $70s for those betting on increased retail trading activity and platform growth. Finally, monitor the Cerebras IPO this Thursday as a critical liquidity test; a simultaneous rally in both the IPO and Nvidia (NVDA) would signal a highly bullish environment for the broader AI sector.

An Unfiltered Conversation with Chris Camillo

Investors should consider Amazon (AMZN) as a high-conviction play, as the market has yet to price in the massive margin improvements expected from its "AI efficiency wave." Monitor Sweetgreen (SG) for organic, non-paid viral social media content regarding their new protein wraps; a successful launch could signal a significant long entry point. In the weight-loss sector, Hims & Hers (HIMS) and Eli Lilly (LLY) are top candidates to lead the next "peptide" trend as consumer demand for GLP-1 solutions remains a dominant cultural force. For short-term momentum, watch Swatch Group (SWGAY) during high-profile collaboration launches, looking to capture a "pop" on the following Monday and exiting quickly once mainstream media coverage peaks. Finally, Robinhood (HOOD) remains a strong conviction trade for those betting on the continued democratization of investing and increased activity from younger retail traders.

🔴THE CHRIS CAMILLO INTERVIEW🔴

Accumulate Amazon (AMZN) near the $197 level to capitalize on the "AI efficiency wave," as institutional skepticism over high capital expenditure creates a contrarian entry point. For a short-term social arbitrage play, monitor Swatch Group (SWGAY) for a potential price "pop" this coming Monday following global weekend product launches, but plan to exit quickly once the media hype is priced in. In the crypto sector, maintain a bullish stance on Zcash (ZEC) with a strategy to add to spot positions if it dips to the $480 - $500 range, holding for a move toward all-time highs. Investors should look toward Novo Nordisk (NVO) and Hims & Hers (HIMS) to benefit from the unstoppable "freight train" of the GLP-1 and peptide weight-loss trend. Finally, watch Copper and Silver for breakout opportunities, as Copper serves as a critical bottleneck play for the ongoing AI infrastructure expansion.

The Upcoming Stock IPOs Are Insane... [Stream Recap]

Investors should avoid Swatch Group (UHR) despite the hype surrounding its collaboration with Audemars Piguet, as collapsing net income and poor fundamentals suggest the recent 20% pump is a "trap." In the crypto sector, Bitcoin (BTC) has lost its momentum, making it prudent to stay in cash until the price clearly breaks toward $90,000 or retraces to $65,000. Zcash (ZEC) remains a high-conviction hold for massive gains, though investors should exit the position immediately if it breaks below the $500 "line in the sand." The upcoming Cerebras Systems IPO is expected to trigger AI sector mania, potentially creating volatility and trading opportunities in Nvidia (NVDA), AMD, and Micron (MU). Finally, avoid purchasing Anthropic shares through secondary market SPVs, as the company has warned these unauthorized "handshake" deals may be void and leave investors with nothing on IPO day.

LIVE: Stocks Are DUMPING! The Crypto Move Was FAKE!?!?! - HUGE IPO on Thursday.. BIG DAY!

The upcoming Cerebras Systems IPO is a high-conviction event that could suck liquidity from NVIDIA and Micron, making it a critical "mania" phase to watch this Thursday. For crypto investors, Near Protocol (NEAR) and VVV are highlighted as the strongest momentum plays with "clean charts" that are currently outperforming a stagnant broader market. Bitcoin (BTC) remains in a neutral "pick a direction" zone, where a failure to hold key levels alongside semiconductor stocks could trigger a retracement to $65,000. Long-term commodity bulls should look toward Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) and BHP Group (BHP) to capitalize on a projected 70% supply shortage in copper driven by AI data center demand. Conversely, avoid Swatch Group (UHR) as a long-term investment due to plummeting net income, though it remains a candidate for short-term "social arb" trades around luxury collaboration teasers.

Why He Sold His CryptoPunk For ZCash.. - David Hoffman

Investors should consider rotating capital out of Ethereum (ETH) and NFTs into Zcash (ZEC), which is gaining high-conviction momentum as a "compliant" privacy alternative to Bitcoin. Zcash is positioned for an institutional re-rating because it lacks the fragile dependencies of the DeFi sector and is increasingly favored by asset managers for its exchange liquidity. Monitor MicroStrategy (MSTR) as it evolves from a simple Bitcoin proxy into a "neobank" that utilizes BTC collateral to generate yields through its "Stretch" product. Exercise extreme caution with DeFi tokens due to systemic contagion risks, instead favoring "zero-dependency" assets or next-generation infrastructure like Morpho and Hyperliquid. Look for a "Top 100" re-rating where capital shifts from stagnant legacy coins into high-substance assets and AI-integrated platforms like Venice on the Base network.

Stocks Are Doing Something INSANE Right Now... [Stream Recap]

The technical setup for Solana (SOL) makes it the most attractive altcoin chart, with a short-term price target of $120 - $130. In the semiconductor sector, Nvidia (NVDA) is positioned for an all-time high breakout trade, while Micron (MU) remains a high-conviction momentum play for retail investors. Zcash (ZEC) has transitioned into a trending "digital metal" with strong developer backing, though investors must monitor the $487 level as critical support to maintain the bullish thesis. While Bitcoin (BTC) may face short-term volatility, its high-timeframe structure remains strong and closely correlated with the QQQ, making the Nasdaq a key leading indicator for crypto entries. Exercise caution with Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) following a double earnings miss, and avoid the Roaring Kitty (GME) meme coin due to high suspicions of social media hacking.

LIVE: Cerebras IPO! HIMS Earnings Reveal!!! - David Hoffman Interview TODAY...

Investors should closely watch the Cerebras (CRBS) IPO this Thursday, as the "Nvidia challenger" with a $20 billion OpenAI contract faces massive demand despite high customer concentration risks. In the crypto sector, Zcash (ZEC) is emerging as a high-conviction "encrypted Bitcoin" play, gaining institutional favor over Monero due to its potential for future ETF inclusion. Solana (SOL) currently displays one of the strongest technical setups in the digital asset market, with analysts targeting a breakout toward the $120–$130 range. Within semiconductors, Micron (MU) remains a top pick due to the infinite memory demands of AI, though investors should consider taking partial profits on parabolic moves following recent warnings of a "dot-com" style bubble. For healthcare traders, Hims & Hers (HIMS) has retraced to a key support level near $26, offering a potential entry point for those betting on a rebound after its recent earnings miss.

The Stock Market Just Did Something Insane... [Stream Recap]

Investors should consider Micron Technology (MU) as a high-conviction play on AI infrastructure, with market leaders treating it as a fundamental beneficiary of memory hardware demand. In the healthcare sector, Hims & Hers Health (HIMS) presents a high-reward opportunity ahead of earnings due to massive consumer demand and a potential short squeeze, though investors must weigh regulatory risks regarding peptides. For those seeking a contrarian crypto recovery, Zcash (ZEC) is emerging as a high-upside bet with community price targets reaching $1,000 as it leads a potential shift away from Bitcoin (BTC) dominance. Intel (INTC) and Rocket Lab (RKLB) have demonstrated powerful momentum following major partnerships and sector growth, signaling a shift toward rewarding established hardware and space-defense turnarounds. While Bitcoin (BTC) remains a core long-term holding with a $120,000 target, current capital is rotating into high-volatility assets like Copper and Silver to capture immediate price action.