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threadguy

by @notthreadguy

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Stocks, crypto, politics, culture, and the great financialization of everything. Threadguy is live every weekday from New York with analysis, commentary, and interviews with leading figures across the space of internet markets.
Ask about threadguyAnswers are grounded in this source's posts from the last 30 days.

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Varrock: Turning $10k into $750k with Crypto, Trading Advice and More | TG Podcast

Consider PUMP as an index play on the memecoin ecosystem, as its strong revenue and consistent token buybacks may be under-appreciated by the market. For a longer-term hold, XPL (Plasma) is presented as a leveraged bet on the neobank narrative, with a thesis that it is currently undervalued and will reprice higher. The Web3 Gaming sector is highlighted as being on the verge of a major comeback, representing a key emerging theme. Within this sector, keep an eye on rising projects like Fantasy Top and Cambria which are showing positive momentum. Finally, focus on protocols generating strong revenue, as the market is shifting to reward projects with real, and often underestimated, cash flow.

"He's In TROUBLE!" ThreadGuy and Rasmr's CRYPTO HOT SEAT #1 | 9/26/25

Investors should be cautious with Bonk (BONK) as it is rapidly losing market share to competitor Pump.fun. The broader Solana meme coin sector is also showing signs of cooling down, suggesting it may be time to reduce exposure. A bearish narrative is forming around Ethereum (ETH), with a specific prediction that it will fail to break the $5,000 price level. This sentiment stems from the perceived weakening conviction of a major public supporter, which could attract negative trading pressure. Consider rotating capital away from BONK and its ecosystem while being wary of ETH's upside potential in the near term.

Capital Flows: BEST Trading Advice, LONG or SHORT, Gold vs Bitcoin and More | TG Podcast

The current market is in "full melt up mode" due to expected Federal Reserve rate cuts, creating a bullish environment for risk assets like the S&P 500 and Russell. Consider positioning in high-growth themes such as AI & Robotics through ETFs like ARKQ, as well as in Small Caps and Uranium. A primary high-conviction opportunity is the crypto project Hyperliquid (HYPE), with its recent price dip presenting a strategic buying opportunity. The main catalyst for HYPE is the future launch of regulated investment vehicles that will unlock institutional capital inflows. For investors preferring traditional stocks, the company SONN offers a higher-risk way to gain exposure to the HYPE thesis pending a successful merger.

Tulip King: Perp DEXs, Bitcoin in 2026, ASTER and More | TG Podcast

Consider the "CZ perp dex" narrative by investing in ASTER, which has a speculative price target of $4. This trade's thesis relies on capital rotating out of competing platforms like Hyperliquid (HYPE) and into ASTER. Monitor HYPE for high-volume selling on down days, as this could confirm the rotation is underway. For a core long-term holding, accumulate Bitcoin (BTC) as the primary asset in your portfolio. To mitigate long-term risks of government seizure, move your BTC holdings off exchanges and into self-custody.

CookerFlips: Making $7.5M In 3 Days, ASTER, Best Trades and More | TG Podcast

The Perpetual Dex (Perp Dex) sector is identified as the primary investment theme, attracting capital away from other areas. The highest conviction trade is Astar (ASTER) on the BNB chain, which is being held for significant long-term gains based on strong narrative hype. To diversify within this theme, consider Avantis as the leading perp dex on the Base blockchain. Investors are advised to avoid meme coins for now, as that market is expected to remain weak for several months. For a separate long-term holding, analysts also remain very bullish on the stablecoin project Athena (ENA).

Gwart & Robert Chang: Trenching, BNB, Buybacks and More | TG Podcast

Hyperliquid (HYP) and Pump.fun (PUMP) are considered high-conviction themes for this cycle with significant potential to appreciate further. The Solana ecosystem is poised for major growth, fueled by large institutional capital inflows from newly raised digital asset funds. Investors can gain broad exposure by holding SOL or explore higher-risk protocols within the ecosystem like Camino, Drift, and Jupiter (JUP). While Binance Coin (BNB) shows strong price momentum, its investment case carries centralized risk due to an opaque token buyback process. A sustained rally in older coins like Litecoin (LTC) or Dogecoin (DOGE) could be a key indicator that the market is entering a new retail-driven phase.

Ryan Watkins & Monk: Hyperliquid's Future, Trading in 2025, and More | TG Podcast

Consider investing in Solana (SOL) to capitalize on telegraphed institutional buying pressure from new Digital Asset Trusts (DATs), which are expected to deploy billions into the asset. For long-term growth, Hyperliquid (HYPE) is a high-conviction investment, with its upcoming HIP3 upgrade poised to unlock new markets by allowing the trading of traditional assets. The current market strategy has shifted to favor holding quality projects with strong fundamentals for longer durations, rather than short-term meme coin trading. The significant capital flowing into Solana is also expected to lift its entire ecosystem, making projects like Pump.fun (PUMP) potential secondary beneficiaries. As institutions move beyond Bitcoin, Ethereum (ETH) is positioned as the next core asset to receive major capital inflows.

Kyle Samani - $1.65B Solana DAT, On-Chain Stock Trading, PumpFun and More | TG Podcast

A new publicly traded company, Forward Industries, has raised $1.65 billion to acquire Solana (SOL), signaling massive institutional buying pressure. The core investment thesis is that SOL is a superior treasury asset to Bitcoin (BTC) because its staking yield makes it a productive, cash-flow-generating asset. Investors can gain direct exposure to this strategy by purchasing shares in Forward Industries, which is led by top crypto firms Multicoin Capital, Galaxy Digital, and Jump Crypto. While not a formal target, management sees a potential 20-25x return for Forward Industries over a 5+ year horizon if they execute on their vision. The long-term bet is that Solana will become the foundational technology for "Internet Capital Markets," tokenizing global finance.

USDAI Founder Reveals Why We Need Stablecoins, Raising $250M and More | TG Podcast

Consider the multi-trillion dollar opportunity in financing AI hardware, as the demand for capital to buy GPUs currently outstrips traditional lending. A direct investment in this theme is through NVIDIA (NVDA), the primary manufacturer at the center of the AI build-out. For crypto-native yield, the USD.ai protocol offers exposure to high-interest GPU-backed loans, with the next deposit opportunity opening on the Plasma blockchain. Speculators can participate in the USD.ai points game now to position for a potential token airdrop expected within 4-6 months. US investors should investigate using 100% bonus depreciation to finance GPU purchases, which can create a significant tax write-off against income.

Courtyard Co-Founder Explains Why Trading Cards Are So Successful | TG Podcast

The Real World Asset (RWA) theme in digital collectibles is a major growth area, aiming to disrupt multi-billion dollar incumbents like eBay and StockX. Private companies are proving the model by turning physical collectibles into tradable digital assets, unlocking massive liquidity and creating new markets. This trend provides a strong, real-world use case for the underlying blockchain infrastructure that enables these high-volume applications. Consider investing in Polygon (MATIC), as its low-cost transactions are essential for the success of fast-growing platforms built on its network. Monitor the RWA sector for future public companies, focusing on those that can solve the difficult challenge of physical logistics and scaling.

Diogenes: Networking in Crypto, Perps, $USDH and More | TG Podcast

Consider a long position in Ethena (ENA), which is viewed as a strong cash-generating company with a potential catalyst from the upcoming Hyperliquid stablecoin vote. Similarly, the pre-market asset Hyperliquid (HYPE) is seen as a high-conviction long-term investment due to the profitability of its exchange business. A major investment theme to monitor is the potential legalization of perpetual futures in the U.S. within the next one to two years. This regulatory shift could be a massive catalyst for the crypto industry and disrupt the current exchange landscape. Such a change could create opportunities in platforms that are well-positioned to offer compliant perp products, potentially benefiting international exchanges like Binance, OKX, and Bybit.

Jez: How To Win In Crypto, Recovering From Losses, Trading Advice and More | TG Podcast

Maintain a large spot Bitcoin (BTC) position, as massive ETF inflows are expected to create a strong price floor with a worst-case downside seen around $75,000 - $80,000. Consider Hyperliquid (HYPE) a core long-term holding, representing a top-tier investment in the highly profitable crypto exchanges theme. For those holding HYPE, generate extra yield by buying the PT-HYPE token on Pendle to earn a high fixed APR. Actively "farm" the upcoming Lighter protocol to position yourself for a potential future airdrop from this high-quality project. For a niche, long-term alternative investment, accumulate sealed, unopened Pokémon products to capture their appreciating value over a 10-year cycle.

James Zhang: Solana Treasuries, Managing A $450M DAT, and More | TG Podcast

A primary investment thesis is the expected wave of institutional capital flowing into Solana (SOL), which could create significant buying pressure and price appreciation. With strong on-chain growth and a narrative as the "Silicon" for consumer crypto applications, SOL is viewed as a high-growth asset poised to catch up to its peers. For investors seeking exposure through a traditional brokerage account, Sharps Technology (STSS) is a NASDAQ-listed company whose sole strategy is to acquire and hold SOL. STSS uses its stock to accumulate more SOL, creating a potential "flywheel effect" that could outperform holding the token directly. A potential Solana ETF approval in Q4 is a major upcoming catalyst that could attract further institutional interest.

Mitch: 1 SOL to $3M+, Being Banned Off X, Trading in 2025 and More | TG Podcast

The highest conviction investment is the PUMP token, a direct bet on the growth of the Pump.fun platform and the emerging "streamer coin" trend. For traders with a very high-risk tolerance, the speaker is bullish on specific meme coins like USDUC, Dolo (DOLO), and Takabu due to their current on-chain activity. The core investment theme is Creator Capital Markets, where a token's value is directly tied to an influencer's popularity, making it a highly speculative play. Be aware that this is an extremely volatile sector where the risk of losing your entire investment is significant. For those with small amounts of capital, a high-risk strategy involves trading new meme coins on Solana, starting small and being prepared for frequent losses in pursuit of large gains.

CARDS: Revolutionizing Trading Cards, Pokemon Market, P2P Trading and More | TG Podcast

Consider investing in the growing theme of tokenized trading cards, a key part of the Real World Asset (RWA) narrative. The Collector Crypt token offers direct exposure to this market, as its value is backed by a treasury of physical cards, including Pokemon. This token's value is designed to grow as the platform funnels 100% of its card trading profits back into buying more cards for its treasury. For a higher-risk play on the ecosystem's success, the Collector Crypt Card Club NFT grants holders exclusive access and the potential for future airdrops. This is a "picks and shovels" bet on blockchain technology capturing a larger share of the $25-30 billion annual trading card market.

Minh: BEST Trades Ever, Turning $1k to $400k, Trading Advice and More | TG Podcast

The era of quick-flipping newly launched meme coins for easy profit is likely over for the average investor. A potentially more successful strategy is to shift focus towards holding higher-conviction projects for the medium to long term. One such high-conviction idea is the Pump.fun token (PUMP), which is a "picks and shovels" play on the underlying infrastructure of the meme coin market. The investment thesis is based on Pump.fun's platform dominance rather than short-term price movements. Investors should consider buying PUMP directly on the spot market to ride out potential volatility, as using leverage is extremely risky.

TOP 75 Crypto Twitter Accounts You NEED To Follow in 2025

Influential traders have highlighted Hyperliquid as a majorly profitable trade, citing its significant run-up from $2 to $50. The Zora ecosystem is also noted for its explosive growth, with one trader successfully calling its rise from a $20 million to $350 million valuation. For a specific high-performing asset, the coin Rekt (REKT) is identified as a top performer with strong ties to an influential market participant. The AI crypto sector and the Solana ecosystem are consistently mentioned as winning themes favored by experts for their strong momentum. For those with a higher risk tolerance, meme coins like MOG and platforms such as Pump.fun are highlighted as a major source of wealth creation.