Profit: $300M+ Fumble, Best Crypto Traders Ever, and More | TG Podcast
Profit: $300M+ Fumble, Best Crypto Traders Ever, and More | TG Podcast
287 days agothreadguy@notthreadguy
YouTube31 min 2 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

The analyst's highest conviction trade is Giga (GIGA), with a recent large investment and continued dollar-cost averaging around the $205M to $210M market cap. Consider a long-term position in Bonk (BONK), as its highly engaged development team is actively conducting token buybacks and driving growth. Conversely, avoid the Pump.fun (PUMP) token due to a silent founder and poor price performance, with little chance of recovery expected. Keep a close watch on the AI sector narrative, as a resurgence could present significant trading opportunities in related coins. For any trade, implement strict risk management, such as the analyst's own strategy of using a 50% stop loss to protect capital.

Detailed Analysis

Bonk (BONK)

  • The speaker has a very bullish sentiment on Bonk, contrasting it sharply with its competitor, Pump.fun.
  • He describes the Bonk team as a "team of avengers" who are highly engaged and effective.
  • Key positive attributes of the team include:
    • Constant interaction with the community.
    • Actively promoting ("shilling") coins on their platform.
    • Conducting token buybacks.
    • Continuously updating their technology.
    • Being vocal and transparent about their plans.
  • The speaker believes that if Bonk continues on its current path, it will "take over" the space.

Takeaways

  • In the meme coin space, the quality and activity of the development team can be a major differentiating factor.
  • Investors should look for projects with strong community engagement, transparent communication, and a clear roadmap, as exemplified by the Bonk team's actions.
  • The speaker's strong conviction suggests that Bonk may be better positioned for long-term success compared to competitors with less active teams.

Pump.fun (PUMP)

  • The speaker expresses a very bearish view on the Pump.fun platform and its associated coin.
  • He contrasts it with Bonk, stating Pump has only "one person" behind it who "doesn't speak at all" and is "just silent."
  • The speaker feels the founder is "giving up" and "letting it happen" as the coin's price falls.
  • At the time of the recording, the coin was trading 50% below its ICO (Initial Coin Offering) price.
  • He does not believe the PUMP token will ever make a new all-time high.
  • He predicts that any potential recovery would be minimal, perhaps only reaching "a little bit above ICO" price at most.

Takeaways

  • A lack of communication and perceived abandonment from a project's founder or team is a significant red flag for investors.
  • The speaker's sentiment suggests a high risk of further downside for the PUMP token and a low probability of a significant recovery. This serves as a cautionary tale about investing in projects where leadership is not actively engaged.

Giga (GIGA)

  • This is a recent, high-conviction trade for the speaker.
  • He "slammed" (invested a large amount) of $300,000 into the coin.
  • His average entry price was around a $205 million to $210 million market cap.
  • He notes that he is still in the process of DCAing (Dollar-Cost Averaging), meaning he is continuing to buy more as the price fluctuates.
  • His decision to invest was partly influenced by another trader ("Cordy"), which he describes as "copy trading him."

Takeaways

  • This is an example of a "high-conviction" trading style where a trader takes a large position in a single asset they believe in.
  • The strategy of DCAing into a position, even a large one, can help manage entry price risk rather than investing a lump sum all at once.
  • Following or "copy trading" other successful traders is a common strategy, but it requires trust in that trader's judgment and carries its own risks.

Trump (MAGA)

  • This was described as the speaker's "best and worst trade at the same time."
  • He successfully made $3 million in profit from the trade.
  • However, he sold far too early. At its peak, his holdings were worth approximately $300 million, a potential gain he missed.
  • The experience was a major turning point in his trading career. It taught him a crucial lesson: he needed to "start playing with more size" and "start taking more risk" on his high-conviction plays.

Takeaways

  • PoliFi (Political Finance) meme coins like Trump can experience extreme volatility and present life-changing opportunities.
  • The story highlights the psychological difficulty of holding a winning trade. Having a clear plan for taking profits (e.g., scaling out in portions) is crucial to maximizing gains and avoiding regret.
  • A significant winning trade can fundamentally change a trader's strategy, increasing their risk tolerance and position sizing for future trades.

AI Sector Coins (CatG, Sola AI)

  • The speaker was extremely profitable during the "AI season" narrative in early 2024.
  • He used a proprietary, "custom meme scope" tool with advanced filters to identify promising AI coins on Pump.fun before they became popular. He described this tool as a "thousand percent, the best edge ever made for the chain."
  • Using this edge, he made seven-figure profits on coins like CatG and Sola AI.
  • He is very confident that if the AI narrative were to return, his group would be able to consistently profit from it again.

Takeaways

  • Narrative-driven sectors in crypto, like AI, can be incredibly lucrative. Investors should pay attention to emerging trends and themes.
  • Having an "edge," whether through superior information, proprietary tools, or early access, is a significant advantage in trading.
  • The speaker's success indicates that the AI sector is a powerful narrative to watch. If it regains momentum, it could present significant investment opportunities.

General Solana On-Chain Trading Insights

  • Current Market State: The speaker feels the current on-chain market is difficult, un-organic, and "a chore to trade." He believes it is dominated by KOLs (Key Opinion Leaders) and copy traders, making it "increasingly more solved" and efficient, which reduces opportunities for easy profit.
  • Strategy for New Traders: Despite his dislike for the current environment, he gives a surprising recommendation for new traders. He states the "only way to make it out right now" is to adopt the "Cupsie style":
    • Be on-chain trading all day.
    • Engage in a high volume of trades.
    • Focus on taking small, quick profits of 20% to 50%.
    • Build a following of copy traders.
  • Risk Management: The speaker mentions that he uses a 50% stop loss on his trades, even when sizing in heavily. This is a critical risk management practice.
  • Evolution of a Trader: His journey shows an evolution from making small bets to "slamming" coins with size after the Trump trade taught him the value of taking more calculated risks on his best ideas.

Takeaways

  • The Solana meme coin market is perceived as being in a difficult, influencer-driven phase. The "easy money" may be gone for now.
  • New traders looking to build a bankroll might consider a high-frequency, small-gain strategy, though this requires significant time and effort ("grind set").
  • For all traders, implementing a clear risk management plan, such as a stop loss, is essential to preserve capital.
  • As traders become more experienced and capitalized, their strategy may evolve from making many small bets to making fewer, larger, high-conviction bets.
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Video Description
Interview with FlippingProfits! This was followed up by a longer one with both Profit and Cupsey, which can be found on this channel! 🔴Follow My Socials: Twitter: https://x.com/notthreadguy Twitch: https://twitch.tv/threadguy Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/threadguyy/
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By @notthreadguy

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