LIVE: War is OVER! Hyperliquid ALL TIME HIGHS... STOCKS ARE RIPPING! I LOVE MY LIFE!!!!!
LIVE: War is OVER! Hyperliquid ALL TIME HIGHS... STOCKS ARE RIPPING! I LOVE MY LIFE!!!!!
23 hours agothreadguy@notthreadguy
YouTube2 hr 45 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Investors should prioritize Hyperliquid (HYPE) as a high-conviction infrastructure play, focusing on its unique market position and momentum rather than speculative meme coins like PURR. NVIDIA (NVDA) remains a top-tier growth pick, currently undervalued at 19x forward earnings despite its total dominance over the AI supply chain. For those seeking a long-term breakout, Zcash (ZEC) offers a unique narrative hedge against quantum computing advancements as it attempts to clear a decade-long resistance level. The upcoming SpaceX IPO is a critical event to watch, as new Nasdaq rules may force passive index funds to buy billions in shares, potentially driving a massive "manufactured" price surge. Finally, speculative traders can look toward government-funded quantum firms like IonQ (IONQ) and D-Wave (QBTS), though these should be treated as high-risk plays driven by political headlines.

Detailed Analysis

Hyperliquid (HYPE)

• The asset recently hit a new All-Time High (ATH) of approximately $62, showing significant "motion" compared to other crypto tokens. • There is a strong bullish sentiment surrounding the "Hyperliquid guys" (traders like Flood and Ryan Watkins) due to the strength of the price chart. • Discussion regarding the Hyperliquid ETF (PERP) and the PURR meme coin: • The ETF has been "up only" since launch. • The analyst expresses skepticism about buying the PURR meme coin unless one believes the main HYPE token is going to $150+. • Market Cap/FDV: There is confusion over the actual market cap versus Fully Diluted Valuation (FDV), with some estimates placing FDV at $13 Billion or higher, though a large portion is reserved for community rewards.

Takeaways

Focus on "King Moves": The analyst suggests focusing on novel, unique coins like HYPE that are attracting "mega flows" rather than chasing "fartcoins" or low-quality memes. • Infrastructure Play: Hyperliquid is viewed as a breakthrough crypto-native application that taps into a broad market (stocks, crypto, commodities, predictions). • Risk Management: Be wary of "rage adding" to shorts if the market is trending against you, referencing a high-profile trader (Loracle) who faced significant unrealized losses shorting the asset.


SpaceX (Pre-IPO / Private Equity)

• SpaceX is preparing for a massive IPO with a target valuation between $1.75 Trillion and $2.4 Trillion. • The "Fast Entry" Rule: Nasdaq has reportedly introduced a new rule allowing massive companies to enter the Nasdaq 100 index in just 15 trading days (down from 3 months). • Float Multiplier: For low-float stocks (SpaceX is targeting a 4-5% float), Nasdaq may weight the stock as if the float were 3x or 5x larger, forcing passive index funds (ETFs) to buy billions of dollars worth of shares. • Business Segments:Starlink: The "crown jewel" and primary revenue driver with 63% profit margins. • Rocket Business: Significant revenue but secondary to Starlink. • xAI: Currently viewed as a "cash burn" segment (losing ~$1B/month) that was merged into the entity.

Takeaways

Manufactured Demand: The IPO is expected to create "manufactured demand" through passive index funds, which could drive the price up regardless of traditional valuation metrics. • Retail as Exit Liquidity: The analyst warns that 30% of the IPO is targeted at retail, which some view as "exit liquidity" for insiders. • Market Sentiment: While many "mid-curve" investors expect the IPO to be a market top, the analyst notes that the market is not yet selling off, suggesting there may be more upside before a peak.


Zcash (ZEC)

• The analyst maintains a strong bullish stance on ZEC, viewing it as a "novel and unique" asset that could receive massive flows if Bitcoin remains stable. • Quantum Resistance: There is a growing narrative around Zcash being "quantum resistant," which is gaining traction following news of government investments in quantum computing. • Price Targets: Mention of conservative targets reaching 3-5% of Bitcoin’s market cap, with aggressive "moonshot" targets even higher.

Takeaways

Patience is Key: The asset is facing a "10-year resistance" level. Breaking through a decade-long consolidation could lead to a massive, vertical move (similar to Gold's historical breakouts). • Narrative Hedge: Positioned as a hedge against the advancement of quantum computing.


NVIDIA (NVDA)

• Despite a "double beat" in earnings, the stock saw a slight pullback, which the analyst attributes to "AI skeptics" fearing a peak. • Valuation: Trading at roughly 19x forward earnings, which is described as "cheap" relative to its 80%+ growth rate compared to the broader S&P 500. • Supply Dominance: NVIDIA has "locked up" the supply chain for wafers, memory, and optical components, making it the only major player for AI GPU capacity.

Takeaways

Multiple Re-rating: There is a thesis that NVIDIA is undervalued and due for a "multiple re-rating" higher as it continues to outpace growth expectations. • Dominance: Competition is currently viewed as a "rounding error" compared to NVIDIA's order backlog.


Investment Themes & Sectors

Quantum Computing

Trump Administration Investment: Reports of a $2 Billion investment into quantum firms like IBM, Global Foundries (GFS), D-Wave (QBTS), and IonQ (IONQ). • Sentiment: Highly speculative; many experts (e.g., Martin Shkreli) view the sector as a "scam" or overhyped, but the stocks are reacting violently to government funding news.

AI & Robotics

Anthropic: Reportedly profitable now; Microsoft’s collaboration with Anthropic is a key driver. • Bot (KANG): Mentioned as a robotics exposure play that has seen a 10-15% increase recently.

Macro & Sentiment

"Fading the War": The analyst suggests ignoring geopolitical headlines (e.g., Iran/Israel/Pakistan) and "trading the charts," noting that the S&P 500 continues to hit all-time highs despite global conflict. • Passive vs. Active: A shift is occurring where "passive investing" (index funds) is being manipulated by new rules, making "active management" and "taking control of your own portfolio" essential for the 2020s.

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