
by Harry Stebbings
63 episodes

Consider reducing exposure to traditional software stocks like HubSpot and Monday.com, as the market is punishing slowing growth in the SaaS sector. The recent significant drop in Microsoft (MSFT) stock, following a minor miss in Azure growth, may present a buying opportunity for long-term investors who believe the sell-off was an overreaction. For exposure to the autonomous vehicle market, consider Alphabet (GOOGL), as its Waymo division offers a proven robotaxi service at a valuation seen as more reasonable than its primary competitor. An investment in Tesla (TSLA) is a higher-risk bet on its not-yet-perfected self-driving technology, which has a superior business model if it succeeds. Finally, the core AI investment theme remains focused on "pick-and-shovel" plays like NVIDIA (NVDA) that provide the essential compute infrastructure for the industry's growth.

The SaaS sector is currently discounted due to broad fears about AI, creating a potential buying opportunity in unfairly punished companies. Focus on identifying businesses that are clear beneficiaries of AI, using it to improve margins and strengthen their market position. When analyzing companies, prioritize those with operational complexity and large, proprietary data sets, as these are strong defensible moats. Watch for a potential wave of major IPOs around 2026-2027 from companies like SpaceX, Stripe, and Databricks, which could signal a positive shift in the tech market. A key private company to monitor for a future IPO is Navan, which is a prime example of an undervalued AI winner in the travel and expense industry.

Wix (WIX) presents a compelling growth opportunity, signaled by its aggressive marketing spend and a stated goal to surpass $2 billion in sales. The company appears confident in its strategy, focusing on a key metric of recouping customer acquisition costs in under 12 months. Given its established business and successful integration of AI, WIX may be undervalued compared to highly-valued private competitors in the same space. The insights also reinforce the durable market position of large-cap tech, making Alphabet (GOOGL) a core holding as its search dominance persists. Likewise, Meta Platforms (META) remains a strong long-term investment due to the proven effectiveness of its advertising platform.