HORA DE VOLTAR PARA AS ALTCOINS?
HORA DE VOLTAR PARA AS ALTCOINS?
YouTube40 min 41 sec
Watch on YouTube
Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Gradually accumulate Ethereum (ETH) during pullbacks into the $1,700–$1,900 range and scale into discounted Solana (SOL) to position for higher percentage upside than Bitcoin (BTC) in the next expansion cycle.

Watch the ETH/BTC ratio through December for a confirmed trend reversal that signals the right time to rotate capital from foundational Bitcoin (BTC) into top-performing altcoins.

Avoid opening speculative breakout positions in NVIDIA (NVDA) above the $235 resistance level until after its earnings release on the 26th due to expected short-term volatility.

Build a long-term position in AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) as a high-conviction thematic growth opportunity targeting next-generation satellite-to-smartphone connectivity across the 2025–2035 decade.

Hold off on initiating new buy orders in Gold & Precious Metals, as technical indicators suggest the asset class is forming a cyclical top and is due for a near-term price pullback.

Detailed Analysis

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Experiencing a multi-year accumulation phase between $1,200 and $2,800, showing resilience against major drawdowns compared to past cycles
    • The ETH/BTC trading pair is forming a potential long-term trend reversal pattern (inverted head and shoulders / higher low)
    • Benefiting from long-term regulatory tailwinds, including potential clarity frameworks and US market tokenization
    • Low trading volume and pervasive market fear offer an attractive risk-reward entry zone, with buying targets around $1,700 to $1,900

Takeaways

  • Gradually build small positions on market pullbacks in the $1,700–$1,900 range
  • Monitor the ETH/BTC ratio through December; a confirmed higher low signals a structural shift where Ethereum could significantly outperform Bitcoin in the next bull cycle

Solana (SOL)

  • Identified alongside Ethereum as one of the few high-utility altcoin ecosystems capable of capturing US institutional liquidity
    • Prices remain heavily discounted after broad altcoin liquidations, creating a favorable entry point for contrarian accumulation
    • Expected to deliver higher percentage upside compared to Bitcoin in the next expansion cycle

Takeaways

  • Scale into positions with strict risk management using capital you can afford to hold long-term
  • Focus altcoin exposure strictly on high-liquidity networks like SOL rather than speculative micro-cap or meme tokens

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Consolidating laterally as market dynamics shift heavily toward Wall Street institutions, ETFs, and large investment funds
    • Increased institutional ownership has reduced Bitcoin's explosive volatility and compressed the massive weekly percentage gains seen in 2021
    • Remains fundamentally stable, but is expected to see lower percentage upside than top-tier altcoins during the next market phase

Takeaways

  • View Bitcoin as a mature, lower-volatility foundational asset rather than an explosive high-multiplier trade
  • Watch for structural market signals to potentially rotate capital into stronger-performing assets like ETH once trend reversals are confirmed

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • Facing a short-term pullback and price rejection leading up to its corporate balance sheet and earnings release on the 26th
    • Major technical resistance is firmly established near $235, which is unlikely to be broken before earnings
    • The broader upward trend remains intact, continuing to form higher highs and higher lows

Takeaways

  • Avoid opening speculative breakout trades above $235 prior to the earnings release on the 26th
  • Expect increased institutional manipulation and volatility around the earnings date before the next major directional trend begins

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)

  • Highlighted as a high-conviction thematic growth opportunity for the 2025–2035 decade
    • Investment thesis centers on the structural transformation of telecommunications through direct satellite-to-smartphone broadband connectivity

Takeaways

  • Consider accumulating for long-term growth portfolios with a 10-year investment horizon targeting next-generation satellite connectivity

Gold & Precious Metals

  • Technical indicators suggest precious metals are at high risk of forming a cyclical top
    • Price action is likely to stall into a lateral consolidation or enter a corrective pullback in the near term

Takeaways

  • Exercise caution with new long entries in precious metals near current price levels
  • Prepare for potential consolidation or price retracements before any sustainable upward continuation occurs
Ask about this postAnswers are grounded in this post's content.
Video Description
Todas FERRAMENTAS ÚTEIS que utilizo: 👉 https://www.augustobackes.com.br Money Flow de hoje: o mercado em quatro pautas. Falo abertamente sobre a intenção de voltar a montar posição em altcoins, especificamente Ethereum e Solana, caso o mercado entregue a correção que minha leitura aponta para esta semana. No bitcoin hoje o preço segue dentro de um triângulo simétrico, com o menor volume do ano no mercado de cripto. Explico por que volume mínimo, para mim, significa risco menor de entrada e não motivo para ficar de fora, e por que prefiro entrar com mão pequena e escalonada em vez de esperar "confiança". Também mostro o gráfico de ETH contra BTC, que na minha leitura é o mais importante do momento: desde 25 de maio o Ethereum parou de perder valor contra o Bitcoin, e falta apenas um fundo mais alto para caracterizar o pivô de alta de longo prazo. Explico o que faria se essa confirmação aparecer até dezembro. Na segunda pauta comento a matéria da Bloomberg sobre a pesquisa do Bank of America que aponta investidores empilhados em ações americanas — e por que eu discordo totalmente da conclusão dela. Em bull market a maioria está comprada. Isso é característica de tendência, não sinal de topo. Na terceira pauta falo do que mudou de verdade no mercado: o btc hoje é um ativo dominado por fundos, bancos e instituições. O varejo saiu, a liquidez caiu, e a volatilidade de 2021 não volta. Mostro para onde foi o dinheiro que antes ia para altcoins, QBTS, SNDK e o setor de IA, e por que quem comprou altcoin no ciclo passado ficou para trás. Fecho com Brasil: Selic perto de 14% contra Treasury americano em 4,6%, e o efeito disso na bolsa brasileira. Tudo aqui é opinião e conteúdo educacional sobre money flow e comportamento de preço. Não é recomendação de compra ou venda. CAPÍTULOS 00:00 Abertura: o plano para as altcoins 00:32 Por que espero uma queda para comprar 01:20 Triângulo simétrico e volume no fundo 01:55 Nasdaq e S&P 500 corrigindo: é saudável? 03:25 ETH/BTC: o gráfico que mudou minha leitura 05:01 Só altcoins da Clarity Act 07:25 NVIDIA travada até o balanço do dia 26 09:09 Bitcoin hoje: comprar no auge do medo 12:10 "Todo mundo comprado" — por que eu discordo 18:28 Cripto na era de Wall Street: o varejo sumiu 27:07 Para onde foi o dinheiro das altcoins 33:25 ETH x BTC: o pivô que decide dezembro ⚠️ AVISO: todo o conteúdo deste canal tem finalidade exclusivamente educacional e informativa, refletindo opiniões pessoais sobre cenários probabilísticos. Não constitui recomendação, consultoria ou análise de valores mobiliários nos termos da regulamentação da CVM. Rentabilidade passada não garante resultados futuros. Faça sua própria análise antes de qualquer decisão. #btchoje #bitcoin #bitcoinhoje #ethereum #solana #altcoins #criptomoedas #moneyflow #investimentos #mercadofinanceiro
About Augusto Backes
Augusto Backes

Augusto Backes

By @augustobackes

Bem-vindo ao canal Augusto Backes. Aqui eu compartilho estudos, leituras de cenário e análise de informação pública sobre os ...