ESPERANDO O PREÇO PERFEITO? VOCÊ ESTÁ PERDENDO DINHEIRO | MONEY FLOW
ESPERANDO O PREÇO PERFEITO? VOCÊ ESTÁ PERDENDO DINHEIRO | MONEY FLOW
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Accumulate Bitcoin (BTC) on pullbacks between $58,000 and $60,000 targeting an upside continuation toward $75,000–$85,000, while focusing dip-buying on Ethereum (ETH) for a short-term move to $2,200–$2,300.

Maintain or add spot exposure to Solana (SOL) around the $81–$82 range to capture further upward momentum across the broader cryptocurrency market.

Reduce exposure or tighten risk management on NVIDIA (NVDA) within the $202–$230 channel to protect against potential post-rally downside ahead of its August 26 earnings release.

Initiate long-term positions in Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) at current pullback levels to capitalize on favorable entry pricing across the big tech sector.

Gradually accumulate shares of AST SpaceMobile (ASTS) for a high-conviction, multi-year hold through 2025–2035 to capture secular growth in satellite-to-smartphone cellular broadband.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Bitcoin has broken upward out of a prolonged symmetrical triangle consolidation, signaling a short-term continuation of its bullish trend.
  • The immediate price target is projected at $75,000, with the potential to extend toward $80,000–$85,000 if daily momentum persists.
  • The price range between $58,000 and $60,000 serves as a strong local floor and accumulation zone.
  • Federal Reserve announcements and FOMC minutes represent short-term volatility risks where institutional traders could trigger price swings.
  • On-chain metrics (such as SOPR) indicate that deep capitulation is subsiding and large whale wallets have resumed silent accumulation.

Takeaways

  • Treat pullbacks toward the $58,000–$60,000 zone as long-term buying opportunities rather than trying to time the absolute bottom.
  • Prepare for potential sharp intraday volatility around Fed policy releases, avoiding excessive leverage that could lead to liquidation.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Ethereum is exhibiting a stronger technical setup than Bitcoin, having initiated an upward breakout from its consolidation pattern.
  • Immediate resistance and target levels are situated between $2,200 and $2,300, with a decisive break above $2,500 confirming a sustained market bottom.
  • Key horizontal resistance sits around $2,300; any late-year pullback toward $1,500 is considered an aggressive buying opportunity.
  • ETH is preferred over BTC for this market cycle, pending confirmation of a higher-low pivot on the ETH/BTC trading pair.

Takeaways

  • Focus spot accumulation on dips, targeting the $2,200–$2,300 range in the short term.
  • Monitor the ETH/BTC ratio for a trend reversal before rotating significant capital from Bitcoin into Ethereum.

Solana (SOL)

  • Solana is trading around $81–$82, showing slight short-term lag relative to Bitcoin and Ethereum.
  • The asset is printing higher lows on the weekly timeframe and confirming an upward trend on the 1-hour and 4-hour charts.
  • Technical structure points to a continuation of the broader crypto market upward move.

Takeaways

  • Maintain exposure to SOL as it follows the broader crypto recovery, using short-term dips as entry points.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • NVIDIA recently paused after an aggressive 20-day rally, characterized by institutional profit-taking rather than a macroeconomic trend reversal.
  • The stock's chart displays an ascending wedge formation, a pattern that carries an elevated risk of downward breakdown.
  • Key earnings results on August 26 are identified as a major risk event, with trading expected to range between $202 and $228–$230 leading up to the report.
  • There is a possibility that institutional capital rotates out of high-flying semiconductor stocks like NVDA and into crypto assets following the earnings release.

Takeaways

  • Exercise extreme caution and consider reducing exposure before the August 26 earnings release to avoid sharp downside volatility.
  • Watch the $202 support level to assess whether the broader semiconductor rally remains intact.

Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL)

  • Google has pulled back to a favorable risk-reward entry zone after recent market-wide tech corrections.
  • Spot positions are being initiated around current levels to capture long-term recovery in big tech.

Takeaways

  • Consider starting or adding to long-term spot positions in GOOGL on healthy tech sector pullbacks without using leverage.

AST SpaceMobile (ASTS)

  • AST SpaceMobile is highlighted as a high-conviction, secular growth asset for a long-term investment horizon (2025–2035).
  • The investment thesis centers on satellite-to-smartphone cellular broadband connectivity becoming essential mobile infrastructure.
  • The stock aligns with major next-generation technology themes, including space communication, AI integration, and quantum computing.

Takeaways

  • Accumulate ASTS gradually across various price levels for a multi-year hold, focusing on technological adoption rather than short-term price fluctuations.
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About Augusto Backes
Augusto Backes

Augusto Backes

By @augustobackes

Bem-vindo ao canal Augusto Backes. Aqui eu compartilho estudos, leituras de cenário e análise de informação pública sobre os ...