E192: Tristan Thompson: Why This NBA Champion Is Betting on Crypto (and why you should too)
E192: Tristan Thompson: Why This NBA Champion Is Betting on Crypto (and why you should too)
Podcast43 min 34 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Consider Bitcoin (BTC) as a long-term, diversified holding only if it fits your risk tolerance; the $1 million view was a personal conviction with no timeline, not a forecast.
  • Solana (SOL) and Zcash (ZEC) were discussed as ecosystem- and privacy-focused investments, respectively, but no price targets or entry points were provided; start small and avoid leveraged exposure.
  • For crypto trading, take profits rather than chasing gains, and be especially cautious with leverage, liquidity pools, and advertised stablecoin yields, which are not guaranteed.
  • Gold may offer diversification alongside other assets, while physical AI and robotics are longer-term themes; Prometheus is a private investment example, not a publicly traded stock recommendation.
Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Thompson said Bitcoin could reach $1 million, and affirmed that he believes in that outcome. No timeline was given.
  • He described Bitcoin as “digital gold” and a long-term store of value, comparing it to a savings account or a digital 401(k).
  • He said Bitcoin represents about 10–15% of his personal wealth and that he intends to hold it long term.
  • He also said he owns physical gold and values having exposure to multiple asset types.

Takeaways

  • Thompson’s approach is to treat Bitcoin as a long-term holding, not just a short-term trade. His $1 million view is his personal conviction, not a guaranteed outcome or a dated forecast.
  • His 10–15% allocation is an example of his own portfolio, not a suggested allocation for everyone. Consider your own risk tolerance and diversification needs.

Solana (SOL)

  • Thompson said he owns a substantial amount of SOL and uses Solana-based liquidity pools and other on-chain products.
  • He praised Solana’s products for making it easier for retail users to get started and saw the ecosystem as having practical uses.
  • He mentioned SOL at approximately $121 during the conversation. This was a point-in-time reference, not a price target.
  • Jupiter was mentioned as a platform for swaps and on-chain activity, including earning yield. The discussion did not give a specific yield rate for SOL.

Takeaways

  • The investment case discussed was based on Solana’s ecosystem and accessibility, as well as SOL’s potential use in on-chain activity.
  • Using liquidity pools or staking products introduces additional complexity. Thompson also cautioned investors generally to be careful, start small, and avoid risking money they cannot afford to lose.

Zcash (ZEC)

  • Thompson described Zcash as having a privacy-focused narrative and said he sees privacy as increasingly relevant.
  • He said Zcash is its own category rather than “the privacy Bitcoin.”
  • He confirmed holding spot Zcash and discussed having made money on a Zcash leveraged trade. No price target or timeline was given.

Takeaways

  • The thesis discussed is centered on demand for privacy, not on Zcash being equivalent to Bitcoin.
  • Thompson also described losing six figures on leveraged trades in crypto. His experience underscores that leverage can magnify losses as well as gains.

Gold

  • Thompson said he owns physical gold and compared holding Bitcoin to collecting gold as a long-term store of value.
  • He framed gold as part of having exposure to different assets rather than putting everything into one investment.

Takeaways

  • Gold was presented as one component of a diversified portfolio, not as a standalone recommendation. Thompson did not specify an allocation or price outlook.

AI and Robotics

  • Thompson said he is bullish on physical AI and robotics, arguing that these technologies could help businesses become more efficient.
  • He pointed to warehouses as a potential use case: robots could help with packaging, inspection, and around-the-clock operations. He said people would still be needed to monitor and operate the systems.
  • He said he had invested in Prometheus, which he connected to this opportunity. No ticker, investment terms, or expected return were provided.
  • More broadly, he favored AI-enabled software that performs useful services, rather than investing only in large language models. He cited a California company that had raised $40 million to help people find service providers, but did not name it.
  • He also emphasized human creativity and said people who can become valuable and difficult to replace may remain relevant as AI develops.

Takeaways

  • The discussion suggests looking beyond AI headlines to businesses with a practical application and a clear way to deliver value.
  • Prometheus and the unnamed service company are private-company examples from the conversation, not publicly traded stock recommendations. No specific AI stock or price target was mentioned.

Venture Capital and Startup Investing

  • Thompson said he invests in founders who are driven but can recognize when they need to adapt or pivot.
  • He said he invests across stages, including pre-seed, seed, Series A and B, and later-stage deals. In his view, earlier-stage investing can offer more upside but also comes with greater risk.
  • He recommended that newer investors start small and take small risks. He warned that not every investment will return 10x or 100x, and said investors should only put in money they can afford to lose.
  • He estimated that, in a portfolio of ten investments, eight might fail while two could return the capital and more. This was his general characterization of venture investing, not a guarantee.
  • He cited Poppy, a health-soda company, as a successful pre-seed investment. He said it was acquired by Pepsi for roughly $1.5–2 billion; he did not state his personal return.
  • He said he prioritizes founders’ qualities and commitment over their university credentials.

Takeaways

  • Private startup investing can involve substantial losses, particularly at early stages. Thompson’s comments point to the importance of sizing investments conservatively and diversifying across opportunities.
  • Poppy’s acquisition is a past example of a successful exit, not evidence that similar startups will produce comparable returns.

Crypto Trading and On-Chain Platforms

  • Thompson said he uses several approaches, including spot buying, liquidity pools, leverage trading, angel investing, and later-stage investing.
  • He advised crypto investors to take profits and warned against greed. He shared that he once had a meme coin position rise to multiple seven figures before exiting with about one-third of that value.
  • Jupiter was described in the conversation as a swap platform with low fees and as a way to trade or earn yield on-chain. The episode also included a Jupiter sponsorship segment; no specific token price or investment recommendation was given.
  • Variational was promoted as a platform for perpetual contracts across crypto, equities, commodities, foreign exchange, and pre-IPO names, with the sponsor claiming zero trading fees.
  • Bitwise was promoted as a crypto asset manager offering products such as ETFs, index funds, and other crypto investment services. No particular fund or ticker was recommended.

Takeaways

  • These platforms and products provide ways to access crypto or other markets, but the conversation did not establish that any specific platform or product is suitable for every investor.
  • Thompson’s comments support a cautious approach to crypto trading: avoid letting greed dictate decisions and consider taking profits. He also reported personal losses on leveraged trades.

Stablecoin Products

  • The sponsor segment for Athena described sUSDe as offering an average 11% APY, with more than $7 billion in stablecoin supply and “zero depegs since launch.” These were claims made in the promotional segment.
  • Cast was promoted as a stablecoin spending and money-transfer app, with a sponsor offer that included up to 3% cash back on card spending. This was presented as a promotional benefit, not as an investment return.

Takeaways

  • Treat advertised APYs and rewards as product-specific claims rather than guaranteed returns. The transcript did not discuss the risks or conditions associated with these offers, so review the product terms before considering them.
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Episode Description
NBA champion Tristan Thompson breaks down the simple Bitcoin strategy he uses to build long-term wealth, and why he believes in Bitcoin going to $1 million.  He opens up about growing up around government assistance, the memecoin trade where greed cost him most of a seven figure gain, and why so many rich people end up losing it all.  Whether you’re new to crypto or already stacking, this is a rare look at how a pro athlete really thinks about money, risk, and getting rich. THE SHIFT NEWSLETTER 💡Go beyond the mic - subscribe to The Shift, my new weekly newsletter where I share the uncut stories, raw takes, and behind-the-scenes notes from When Shift Happens: https://www.kevinfollonier.com/crypto-web3-newsletter ___________ PARTNERS ⚖️ Variational aggregates liquidity to offer industry-leading depth on crypto, equities, commodities, and more: https://www.variational.io/ 🚀 Jupiter is the most used Decentralized Exchange in Crypto and the largest DEX by volume on Solana: https://jup.ag/ 💳 KAST lets you manage and spend stablecoins or crypto with a Visa Card or Apple Pay. Live in 100+ countries - Get $20 Signup Bonus - https://go.kast.xyz/VqVO/SHIFT - promo code: SHIFT 🔓 Trezor offers the safest cold-storage wallets for crypto and true financial independence.  Buy with 10% off - promo code: WSH10 - https://affil.trezor.io/SH12h 🌱 Bitwise Asset Management manages $15B+ across 30+ crypto investment products — ETFs, index funds, alpha, staking, and more. https://bitwiseinvestments.com/ ⚖️ Ethena is a synthetic dollar protocol on Ethereum, offering a crypto-native, non-bank-dependent stablecoin called USDe. It uses a delta-neutral hedging strategy with staked ETH to maintain a $1 peg. https://ethena.fi/ ♾️ Coinsilium provides vital funding and expert advice to Web3 and AI-powered early-stage technology companies. https://www.coinsilium.com 🚀 Kalshi is a US regulated financial exchange that allows users to trade on the outcomes of real-world events : https://kalshi.com/category/crypto ___________ FOLLOW TRISTAN THOMPSON • Twitter: https://www.instagram.com/realtristan13/ • LinkedIn: https://x.com/TThompson FOLLOW WHEN SHIFT HAPPENS Twitter (X): https://x.com/KevinWSHPod   Instagram:  https://www.instagram.com/kevinfollonier_  TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@kevinfollonier_ Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kevinfollonier/ Website: https://kevinfollonier.com/ DISCLAIMER The info contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial, legal, or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speakers who are not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speakers do not guarantee any particular outcome. 0:00 Intro 3:55 What Basketball Taught Tristan About Investing 4:41 Tristan’s Biggest Weakness 6:04 Growing Up With A Chip On His Shoulder 6:52 Why He Switched From Soccer To Basketball 8:58 Life After The NBA 11:20 Why Companies Want Former Athletes 12:46 Partnerships: @KASTxyz @Variational @BitwiseInvest 14:24 Why Sharks Target Athletes’ Money 16:49 Bitcoin To $1 Million? 19:37 Tristan’s Crypto Portfolio Beyond Bitcoin 21:08 His Biggest Miss & Best Investment 23:03 The Real Goal Behind Building Wealth 24:09 What Separates Talented From Great 24:49 Why He’s Betting On AI & Robotics 27:29 What Becomes Scarce When AI Makes Everything Abundant 28:44 Preparing Kids For An AI Future 29:51 Partnerships: @JupiterExchange @Ethena 30:35 Where The Money In AI Actually Goes 33:16 Why Rich People Lose It All 35:02 The Memecoin Trade That Got Away 35:35 Does Tristan Make Money Leverage Trading? 37:39 Tristan’s Thoughts On Zcash 38:03 What He’s Trying To Win Now 39:25 Do Elite Degrees Still Matter? 41:57 If You Don’t Spend It, Someone Else Will 42:46 Closing Thoughts
About When Shift Happens Podcast
When Shift Happens Podcast

When Shift Happens Podcast

By Kevin Follonier

I sit down every week with the most based people in crypto. My goal is to create a safe space to have the deepest and most real conversations with the biggest builders and investors in the industry, as well as to help educate the mainstream people, politicians, celebrities and big Web2 entrepreneurs coming into Web3. Hopefully this platform does its little part in onboarding as many people as possible into the incredible world of opportunities that Web 3 offers, while staying true to crypto’s core values and ethos. Thank you for watching.