E179: Helius CEO: These 3 Crypto Coins Are MASSIVELY Underpriced (2026 Cycle)
E179: Helius CEO: These 3 Crypto Coins Are MASSIVELY Underpriced (2026 Cycle)
Podcast1 hr 12 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Accumulate Solana (SOL) as a core holding, targeting a price of $990 by the 2026 cycle based on its superior scalability and upcoming inflation reduction. Consider Zcash (ZEC) as a high-upside "distressed asset" for privacy needs, with a long-term valuation target of $4,000 if it captures 10% of Bitcoin’s market share. Invest in NEAR Protocol (NEAR) to gain exposure to the intersection of AI and blockchain, leveraging the team's unique expertise in Large Language Models. Monitor Hyperliquid as a leader in the shift toward on-chain internet capital markets and 24/7 professional trading. Be cautious of a potential "risk-off" environment in late 2024 or early 2025 driven by a correction in the broader AI bubble.

Detailed Analysis

Solana (SOL)

Solana is described as a "global Silicon Valley" and a general-purpose blockchain that is currently the most usable, scalable, and battle-tested chain for startups and talent.

  • Network Performance: Block times are currently 400 milliseconds and are expected to be cut in half (200ms) soon. Transaction activity (TPS) recently hit all-time highs.
  • Economic Model Changes: Two major monetary policy shifts are expected by Fall 2026:
    • Inflation Reduction: A proposal to reduce inflation by half is expected to pass around Fall 2024.
    • Burn Mechanism: A new mechanism is being considered to burn a percentage of SOL in proportion to the compute used on the network.
  • Institutional Utility: Large trading firms (like Citadel or Jane Street) require SOL to allocate scarce block space and gain a competitive edge in micro-trades and market balancing.
  • Ecosystem Strength: High concentration of successful companies per capita (e.g., Jupiter, Phantom, PumpFun, Magic Eden).

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sentiment: The guest views SOL as a massive "buy" when it is "slept on" by traders who only follow price candles rather than developer activity.
  • Price Target: Mentions a target of $990 (based on reaching Ethereum's all-time high market cap of ~$600B) as a reasonable projection for the 2026 cycle.
  • Investment Strategy: Look past "Crypto Twitter" (CT) sentiment, which is a lagging indicator. High conviction is built by monitoring the uptick in new startup pitches and developer infrastructure usage.

Zcash (ZEC)

Zcash is highlighted as a "distressed asset" that is currently significantly undervalued relative to its utility as "private money" and its technological roadmap.

  • Privacy Thesis: As global surveillance and "wealth seizures" increase, the need for a "Swiss vault on the internet" grows. Zcash provides fungibility that Bitcoin lacks because it can shield transaction history.
  • Formal Verification: Zcash has undergone "spaceflight-grade" formal verification. This mathematical proof ensures that certain classes of bugs (like counterfeiting) are impossible, making it more secure than standard consumer-grade DeFi software.
  • Recent "FUD" Clarification: A recent bug was found and patched before being exploited. The chain never went down; only some block explorers failed to update their nodes, creating a false perception of a network failure.
  • Interoperability: New features allow users to hold ZEC privately but pay merchants in other assets like USDC on Solana via NEAR composability.

Takeaways

  • Price Target: A conservative target of 10% of Bitcoin’s market cap. At current valuations, this would imply a price of roughly $4,000 per ZEC.
  • Risk/Reward: Described as having "asymmetric upside" because it is currently outside the top 100 coins despite having superior privacy technology and a scaling roadmap.

NEAR Protocol (NEAR)

NEAR is identified as a high-potential, high-risk play with strong technical leadership and a unique position in the AI-crypto intersection.

  • AI Edge: Co-founder Ilya Polosukhin is a co-author of the seminal "Attention Is All You Need" paper (which created the LLM/Transformer technology used in ChatGPT). This gives the project a massive advantage in building "agentic" AI on-chain.
  • Technical Architecture: NEAR successfully implemented "sharding" (scaling by splitting the network into pieces), a vision originally intended for Ethereum but later abandoned by its developers.
  • Operational Excellence: The guest noted that the NEAR team operates with "Navy Seal" efficiency, which is a leading indicator of project success.

Takeaways

  • Sentiment: Not as high conviction as Solana or Zcash yet, but viewed as "fundamentally asymmetric" with limited downside and significant upside.
  • Actionable Insight: NEAR is a play on the convergence of AI and blockchain scaling. It is currently viewed as undervalued compared to the projects ranked above it in market cap.

Investment Themes & Sectors

1. AI and Formal Verification

  • The rise of AI means hackers will have better tools to find bugs.
  • Investment should shift toward projects that use Formal Verification (mathematical proofs of code) rather than the "move fast and break things" approach of early DeFi.

2. On-Chain "Internet Capital Markets" (ICM)

  • The next cycle will be driven by professional financial activity moving on-chain: tokenized stocks, 24/7 Forex perps, and prediction markets.
  • Hyperliquid is mentioned as a major competitor/leader in the "on-chain exchange" space, though it is viewed more as a "better Binance" than a general-purpose blockchain like Solana.

3. Geopolitical and Macro Risks

  • AI Bubble: A potential "AI bubble pop" in Q4 or early next year could lead to a "risk-off" environment, hurting all crypto prices regardless of fundamentals.
  • Privacy Demand: Increasing government regulation and "draconian" tax measures are expected to drive users toward privacy-preserving assets.
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Episode Description
Mert Mumtaz, co-founder and CEO of Helius, breaks down why he sees Solana and Zcash as two of crypto's most undervalued bets heading into 2026, using his "physics and incentives" framework to separate real conviction from trader noise.  He also debunks the recent Zcash security scare, explains why AI is forcing crypto toward "spaceflight-level" security standards, and weighs in on Near's high-upside, low-conviction potential. THE SHIFT NEWSLETTER 💡Go beyond the mic - subscribe to The Shift, my new weekly newsletter where I share the uncut stories, raw takes, and behind-the-scenes notes from When Shift Happens: https://www.kevinfollonier.com/crypto-web3-newsletter ___________ PARTNERS ⚖️ Variational aggregates liquidity to offer industry-leading depth on crypto, equities, commodities, and more: https://www.variational.io/ 🚀 Jupiter is the most used Decentralized Exchange in Crypto and the largest DEX by volume on Solana: https://jup.ag/ 💳 KAST lets you manage and spend stablecoins or crypto with a Visa Card or Apple Pay. Live in 100+ countries - Get $20 Signup Bonus - https://go.kast.xyz/VqVO/SHIFT - promo code: SHIFT 🔓 Trezor offers the safest cold-storage wallets for crypto and true financial independence.  Buy with 10% off - promo code: WSH10 - https://affil.trezor.io/SH12h 🌱 Bitwise Asset Management manages $15B+ across 30+ crypto investment products — ETFs, index funds, alpha, staking, and more. https://bitwiseinvestments.com/ ⚖️ Ethena is a synthetic dollar protocol on Ethereum, offering a crypto-native, non-bank-dependent stablecoin called USDe. It uses a delta-neutral hedging strategy with staked ETH to maintain a $1 peg. https://ethena.fi/ ♾️ Coinsilium provides vital funding and expert advice to Web3 and AI-powered early-stage technology companies. https://www.coinsilium.com ___________ Follow Mert Mumtaz • Twitter: https://x.com/0xMert_ • Twitter: https://x.com/heliuslabs • Website: https://www.helius.dev/ FOLLOW WHEN SHIFT HAPPENS Twitter (X): https://x.com/KevinWSHPod   Instagram:  https://www.instagram.com/kevinfollonier_  TikTok: https://www.tiktok.com/@kevinfollonier_ Linkedin: https://www.linkedin.com/in/kevinfollonier/ Website: https://kevinfollonier.com/ DISCLAIMER The info contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial, legal, or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speakers who are not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses considerable risk of loss. The speakers do not guarantee any particular outcome. 0:00 Introduction 1:57 Coffee, Zyns, & Sleep Discussion 3:26 Is It Better To Work At Night With ADHD 4:05 How Mert Has A Relationship Despite His Schedule 6:45 Mert On Being A Parent 7:30 How Mert Grew On X So Fast 8:51 Partnerships: @Variational @BitwiseInvest 9:44 Mert’s Experience With SOL’s Price Drop  15:48 The Behind The Scenes With Solana 18:22 How Solana’s Future-Proofing Its Ecosystem 25:47 Why Businesses Will Build On Solana 28:05 Why Solana Isn’t Seen As The Obvious Choice 30:38 Partnerships: @KASTxyz @Trezor 31:43 Mert’s Thesis Behind Solana In 2026 36:42 Solana Will Become The Biggest Financial Economy  42:45 The Timeline On Solana’s Changes Going Live 44:23 Is Solana Making Its Comeback? 47:31 Partnerships: @JupiterExchange @Ethena 48:14 The Zcash Drama Explained 55:39 AI’s Advancement Means Crypto Must Evolve 59:24 What Is Zcash’s Potential 1:04:40 How Is NEAR Special Like Solana & Zcash 1:09:32 Closing Thoughts
About When Shift Happens Podcast
When Shift Happens Podcast

When Shift Happens Podcast

By Kevin Follonier

I sit down every week with the most based people in crypto. My goal is to create a safe space to have the deepest and most real conversations with the biggest builders and investors in the industry, as well as to help educate the mainstream people, politicians, celebrities and big Web2 entrepreneurs coming into Web3. Hopefully this platform does its little part in onboarding as many people as possible into the incredible world of opportunities that Web 3 offers, while staying true to crypto’s core values and ethos. Thank you for watching.