Bitcoin lost the $75,000 handle overnight, printing a low of $74,968 hours before the Fed decides, with a quarter point hike priced at roughly nine in ten. I make the case that this is the final shakeout, a capitulation flush inside a bull market rather than a broken thesis, and I start by owning the buy calls I made on this channel yesterday on Bitcoin and XRP before the CLARITY Act vote failed 49 to 50. Then the levels: where I think the flush ends on both, what invalidates it, and what confirms it. The liquidity work is the explanation for why it is landing now, including what actually holds up in the Bitcoin and M2 relationship and why net liquidity is the better gauge. Also on the show: the ethics clause that killed the CLARITY Act, Circle's new chain using USDC as gas, altcoins against Bitcoin, the ten year Treasury yield above 5%, the semiconductor repricing, and oil after the Saudi pipeline shutdown. Live every weekday at 10:00 AM ET.
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All Exchanges and Links
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My Other Videos
8 Years of Crypto Trading Advice in 40 Minutes 👉 https://youtu.be/p9iEJgFReB8
Crypto Investing for Beginners, Full Course 👉 https://youtu.be/niT7g4ghm3o
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Chapters
0:00:00 Why This Is the Final Shakeout and Not a Long Correction
0:02:00 Today's Agenda
0:07:02 The Clarity Act Cloture Vote Failed 49 to 50
0:08:32 Was It Priced In? What the Prediction Markets Actually Showed
0:12:35 Why It Is Not Over Yet: The Tillis Revote Path
0:16:37 Eleven Working Days Left, Then the Lame Duck Session
0:22:42 XRP Fell Three Times Harder Than Bitcoin
0:27:44 Answering the XRP Pushback in the Chat
0:33:35 The Fed at 2PM and Why This Hike Is Fully Priced In
0:36:52 The Dot Plot Is the Event, Not the Hike
0:44:58 Circle's Arc Chain Goes Live on Mainnet
0:47:30 The 10 Year Yield Broke Above 5% for the First Time Since 2007
0:50:32 QE Is Too Slow and Treasury Buybacks Are Not Working
0:54:06 Oil, the Yanbu Shutdown and Brent at $104
0:57:10 Why Oil Above $100 Shows Up in Core PCE Two Months Later
0:59:44 Stock Levels I Watch: Nasdaq 27,000 and Semis Near 10,000
1:03:45 Bonds, Money Printing and Who Really Holds the Debt
1:06:00 My Bitcoin Levels: Adding at 70K, All In at 66K
1:11:37 On Shorting Solana at the End of a Bear Market
1:14:09 Why AI Becomes the Easiest Crypto Narrative Next Cycle
1:17:35 Did Warsh Get Rid of the Dot Plot?
1:21:05 The AI Coins I Would Hold, Starting With TAO
1:24:24 NEAR Against TAO, Zoomed All the Way Out
1:27:40 Why Render and Fetch AI Look Cheaper From Here
1:29:50 Close
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📜 Disclaimer 📜
The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial, legal, or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses a considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #XRP #FOMC #Fed #CLARITYAct #VirtualBacon