Bitcoin Is Breaking Out. Are Altcoins the Better Buy Now?
Bitcoin Is Breaking Out. Are Altcoins the Better Buy Now?
17 hours ago•VirtualBacon•@virtualbacon
YouTube1 hr 44 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Consider Bitcoin (BTC) as the core crypto holding: a break above $87,000 could open a move toward $90,000, while $78,000–$76,000 is a key downside zone; the speaker’s 12-month target is $130,000, not a guarantee.
  • Keep any altcoin positions smaller and selective; a broad altcoin rally is unconfirmed, and the speaker warned that weaker tokens could fall 25%–50%.
  • Avoid chasing Zcash (ZEC) and Venice after sharp rallies, and treat QTC as especially risky because thin liquidity can make buying or selling difficult.
  • Prefer direct BTC exposure over leveraged products such as BITX for long-term holding, since volatility can magnify losses and erode returns.
Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The speaker was bullish, saying Bitcoin was testing the $87,000 breakout level. A move above it could lead toward $90,000, with a broader resistance zone around $87,000–$93,500.
  • Further resistance levels mentioned were $100,000–$104,000 and then $119,000–$124,000. The speaker said a first push above $90,000 might struggle to get past $95,000.
  • Downside levels discussed were roughly $78,000 for bull-market support and $76,000 as a possible floor. The speaker viewed a drop to those levels as less likely if Bitcoin first breaks out.
  • For a 6–12 month holding period, the speaker said Bitcoin was attractive and forecast $130,000 in 12 months. These are the speaker’s views, not assured outcomes.
  • The speaker said their portfolio was about 85% Bitcoin and recommended maintaining substantial Bitcoin exposure while selectively adding altcoins.

Takeaways

  • The discussion favors Bitcoin as the portfolio’s core holding, while acknowledging that a pullback toward $78,000–$76,000 remains possible.
  • Treat the price levels and 12-month forecast as the speaker’s technical analysis, not a guarantee. Consider how much volatility you can tolerate before acting on them.

Altcoins (broad market)

  • The speaker argued that altcoins were still early in the cycle and generally inexpensive relative to Bitcoin, while cautioning that a broad altcoin season had not been confirmed.
  • The speaker compared the current market with prior cycles:
    • In a weaker scenario resembling 2023, altcoins might fall about 25% on average before a later rally of roughly 2–3x.
    • Some individual, lower-quality or speculative coins could fall around 50%, the speaker warned.
    • In other historical scenarios, Bitcoin rose first while altcoins lagged, then some altcoins caught up when Bitcoin slowed.
  • The speaker’s stated approach was to keep most exposure in Bitcoin, hold a smaller allocation to selected altcoins, and rebalance into Bitcoin if altcoins grew to a larger share of the portfolio.

Takeaways

  • The speaker’s overall stance was bullish but selective: maintain a Bitcoin core and limit the size of riskier altcoin positions.
  • The historical comparisons do not establish that the same outcomes will recur. Altcoin drawdowns can be severe, and the speaker explicitly warned against going all-in.

XRP and Evernorth (XRPN)

  • The speaker discussed Evernorth, described as a publicly traded XRP-holding company expected to begin trading on October 8 under the name or ticker XRPN, following a merger with Armada Acquisition Corp.
  • The speaker did not claim the company would automatically make XRP rise or fall. The potential trade discussed was comparing the company’s market value with the value of the XRP it holds, sometimes called an mNAV comparison.
  • The speaker said they had not yet verified how much XRP the company held or whether its shares were over- or undervalued.

Takeaways

  • Treat Evernorth as a possible valuation-discount or premium trade, not as a straightforward bullish signal for XRP.
  • The speaker’s key next step was to verify the company’s XRP holdings, share price, and market capitalization before drawing a conclusion.

Tether (USDT) and UTXO

  • A project called UTXO was described as planning to support private USDT transfers on Bitcoin, with USDT reportedly swappable between Bitcoin and USDT.
  • The speaker said they had just learned of the project, noted that it had received a shout-out from Tether CEO Paolo Ardoino, and would watch for a possible token sale or farming opportunity.
  • No confirmed token sale or investment terms were provided.

Takeaways

  • This was an early-stage watchlist idea, not a specific recommendation to buy. Confirm whether a token exists, what rights or utility it has, and whether the project has delivered its stated functionality before considering exposure.

NEAR Protocol (NEAR) and ecosystem

  • The speaker said they remained interested in NEAR and viewed the privacy and AI overlap as a potentially popular narrative.
  • Aurora and Rhea were named as ecosystem positions the speaker held. The speaker also mentioned monitoring new projects in the NEAR ecosystem.
  • Quantus (referred to as QTC in the discussion) was described as an interesting privacy, AI, and proof-of-work-related project. The speaker said they held a small position, but warned that it traded on a very thinly liquid exchange and that a larger order could move the price substantially. They expected broader trading access might arrive soon, but did not confirm it.

Takeaways

  • NEAR-related projects were presented as speculative ecosystem bets, not as substitutes for a Bitcoin core holding.
  • The clearest risk raised was QTC’s thin liquidity. Limited trading depth can make it difficult to enter or exit without materially affecting the price.

Zcash (ZEC)

  • Zcash was included in the speaker’s privacy and AI narrative picks.
  • The speaker said Zcash had risen about 3x in a month and was not personally as interested in adding to it at that point because of that recent move.

Takeaways

  • The speaker saw the narrative as attractive but flagged Zcash’s sharp recent rise as a reason for caution about chasing the move.

AI compute and inference projects

  • The speaker favored a theme involving decentralized compute, AI inference, and—in some cases—proof-of-work networks. A key idea was that a token may be more compelling when staking or holding it is directly tied to access to compute.
  • The speaker contrasted projects whose tokens they believed were tied more directly to compute demand with projects where that link was less clear.

Takeaways

  • The discussion’s main due-diligence question was whether a project’s token actually benefits from demand for its service. A working compute product alone does not establish that its token will capture value.

Venice

  • Venice was described as an AI-related project whose token had risen from roughly $1 to $30.
  • The speaker considered it an example of the AI compute and inference theme but said it had already risen substantially and did not present it as an attractive late entry.

Takeaways

  • The speaker’s comments highlighted the risk of chasing a token after a large rally. No price target or new entry recommendation was given.

0G

  • The speaker described 0G as following a model similar to Venice, with compute resources intended to support AI-related use cases.
  • They said 0G was one of the projects where the token’s role was more directly connected to the compute model they found attractive.

Takeaways

  • The speaker viewed 0G as a thematic candidate, but the discussion did not provide a valuation, target, or detailed assessment of execution risks.

Aethir

  • Aethir was described as having a GPU-based compute service and an Aethir Mesh offering that provides access to multiple open-weight models through one interface.
  • The speaker’s main uncertainty was whether Aethir’s token was directly connected to demand for those services.

Takeaways

  • Before considering the token, investigate whether actual platform usage creates demand for the token. The speaker viewed that connection as less clear than in projects they preferred.

io.net

  • The speaker noted that io.net has a compute network but questioned whether its token was directly tied to demand for that compute.

Takeaways

  • The discussion’s caution was about token value capture, not necessarily the existence of the compute network. Verify how the token is used before treating network activity as a reason to invest.

Akash Network (AKT)

  • Akash was described as a decentralized cloud and compute marketplace with AI inference capabilities through Akash ML.
  • The speaker questioned whether staking or holding AKT gave users direct access to compute in a way that would make token demand rise with compute usage.

Takeaways

  • Assess the connection between compute demand and AKT demand rather than relying on the project’s AI positioning alone.

Bittensor (TAO)

  • Bittensor was presented as an established AI and proof-of-work-related project. The speaker said it could have a good run and viewed it as an “OG” project in that theme.

Takeaways

  • The speaker was bullish on the theme, but did not give a price target or discuss specific risks for TAO.

Pearl

  • Pearl was mentioned as a proof-of-work and AI-related project. The speaker said it had already risen about 5x and was less bullish on it at that point, citing its exchange listings as a concern.

Takeaways

  • The speaker’s comments suggest caution after a large rally, especially where trading access or liquidity is limited. No further valuation analysis was provided.

Noctchain

  • Noctchain was described as a possible proof-of-work mining project with a privacy angle. The speaker said it was still choppy and considered the combination of privacy and AI-related themes notable.

Takeaways

  • This was a speculative narrative pick. The discussion did not establish a price target or provide detailed project fundamentals.

Robinhood-chain and AI-agent ecosystem

  • The speaker was watching a set of projects associated with the Robinhood ecosystem, particularly AI-agent and infrastructure tokens.
  • They speculated that broader Robinhood-chain activity or additional listings could renew interest in the ecosystem. They also acknowledged that the thesis depended on future activity and possible listings.

Takeaways

  • This is a high-risk, catalyst-dependent theme. The speaker’s thesis relies partly on future ecosystem growth and listings, neither of which was guaranteed.

PONS

  • The speaker said they had bought a position in PONS, describing it as an ecosystem or launchpad-related token.
  • They viewed PONS as potentially undervalued after falling from a recent high of about $900 million in market capitalization to around $500 million.
  • The speaker cited activity in other projects in the ecosystem and a Robinhood presentation that they interpreted as a possible positive signal, while acknowledging that it was not an official endorsement.

Takeaways

  • The PONS thesis was speculative and based partly on ecosystem activity and an interpreted signal, not a confirmed Robinhood endorsement.
  • The speaker explicitly said the investment could be wrong or go to zero.

Ubix, CZZ, and other PONS-ecosystem projects

  • Ubix and CZZ were described as positions the speaker held. The speaker said they had added to CZZ.
  • Orbeo and BundleCat (BUN) were described as AI-related projects in the ecosystem that had already risen substantially; the speaker said they did not hold them because of those gains.
  • Bond, ZZZ, and Delta were mentioned as projects active in the ecosystem, with Delta described as having risen.
  • The speaker’s broader view was that AI-agent projects in the ecosystem might benefit if Robinhood-chain activity picked up.

Takeaways

  • These were speculative, ecosystem-linked positions and observations. The speaker’s own distinction was that some projects had already run up, while others appeared cheaper to them; no independent valuation work was presented.

Fetch.ai (FET) and Render (RENDER)

  • The speaker continued to describe Fetch.ai and Render as high-quality and inexpensive AI-related tokens.
  • They said the projects were not especially trendy at the time because they were not announcing much news, and distinguished them from newer inference-focused or privacy-AI narratives.

Takeaways

  • The speaker viewed both as longer-standing AI-related options, but did not provide price targets or a specific timing recommendation.

Phala Network (PHA)

  • Phala was described as a privacy-AI project that performs AI compute using trusted execution environments (TEEs).
  • The speaker said the project fit the privacy and AI narrative, while noting that this approach was not the most popular one at the time.

Takeaways

  • The speaker viewed Phala positively as a thematic project but did not claim it was a leading or guaranteed winner.

Major altcoins and other named tokens

  • Ethereum (ETH), Solana (SOL), BNB, and XRP were cited as examples of large altcoins that had not broadly outperformed Bitcoin by the speaker’s market-cap-based comparison.
  • The speaker also gave brief positive or favorable comments on LayerZero (ZRO), Floki (FLOKI), Aster, Plume, PENGU, Dogecoin (DOGE), Helium (HNT), Aptos (APT), Ethena (ENA), Curve (CRV), Hyperliquid (HYPE), Syrup, Canton, Algorand (ALGO), Aerodrome, Uniswap (UNI), Oasis (ROSE), Virtuals, Band, Kaspa (KAS), and Fetch.ai.
  • BioCoin, AOS, Peak, Seapool, and several other tokens were mentioned briefly, without meaningful analysis or specific recommendations.

Takeaways

  • Most of these were quick mentions rather than researched investment cases. The speaker’s general view was that legitimate altcoins could rise in a bull market, but that does not establish that every named token is fairly valued or safe.
  • The transcript did not provide specific price targets, timelines, or detailed risk assessments for these brief mentions.

Leveraged Bitcoin exposure, BITX, and Strategy

  • In response to a question about using Strategy as a leveraged Bitcoin alternative, the speaker cautioned that leverage can magnify losses and be eroded by volatility and drawdowns.
  • The speaker used BITX, a leveraged Bitcoin ETF, as an example, arguing that a 2x product does not necessarily deliver twice Bitcoin’s long-term return, particularly when prices move up and down.
  • They considered leveraged exposure more suitable for trading than for holding through a choppy market, and said Strategy also has company-specific factors and overhead beyond Bitcoin’s price.

Takeaways

  • The speaker preferred holding Bitcoin directly over assuming that a leveraged vehicle will reliably produce a fixed multiple of Bitcoin’s return.
  • The risks specifically raised were volatility, drawdowns, the need to manage exposure, and additional company-specific factors for Strategy.
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Video Description
Bitcoin is pushing on 87K, but today is mostly altcoins, since the last two streams covered Bitcoin. Then why 90K looks more likely next than 78K, the altcoin ratio chart against 2015, 2019, 2020 and 2023, and my narrative picks: NEAR, Zcash, AI compute, mining coins and the Robinhood chain. Plus your questions on altcoins and leveraged Bitcoin. Live every weekday at 10:00 AM ET. ---------------------------------------------------- All Exchanges and Links ✅ FOMO Social Trading: https://bacon.link/fomo (Follow my real on-chain trades live. Real money on my actual account, so you see exactly what I hold, my size, and my entries) ✅ Toobit Exchange: https://bacon.link/toobit ($50 Free Bonus, No Verification Required) ✅ PropW: https://bacon.link/propw (Trade a $50K Funded Account) ✅ Bitunix Exchange: https://bacon.link/bitunix ($5,500 Bonus, no KYC) ✅ ByBit Exchange: https://bacon.link/bybit ($30,000 Bonus, KYC Needed) 🧰 Toobit Agent Trade Kit (connect an AI agent to the exchange): https://www.toobit.com/agent-tradekit 💎 Join The Coiners, our Trading Dashboard and Community: https://thecoiners.io 📢 Follow my X for Quick Alpha: https://x.com/virtualbacon 📢 Telegram, the daily market briefing and live alerts: https://t.me/virtualbacon 📢 Courses, Exchange Guides, and All Links: https://virtualbacon.com/ ----------------------------------------------------- My Other Videos 8 Years of Crypto Trading Advice in 40 Minutes 👉 https://youtu.be/p9iEJgFReB8 Crypto Investing for Beginners, Full Course 👉 https://youtu.be/niT7g4ghm3o ----------------------------------------------------- Chapters 0:00:00 Countdown to the Live Open 0:04:05 Bitcoin Nears 87K and Today's Altcoin Plan 0:09:39 Tether Brings USDT to Bitcoin via Utexo 0:11:10 Bitget Recovers Little and Hester Peirce Leaves the SEC 0:12:12 NEAR Intents Hacker Identified and Talking 0:13:44 XRP Treasury Company Evernorth Lists October 8 0:19:25 Bitcoin's Daily Uptrend and the 87K Breakout 0:22:58 Why 90K Is More Likely Next Than 78K 0:26:31 Altcoins vs Bitcoin on the TOTAL2 Ratio Chart 0:28:34 Matching Today to 2015, 2019, 2020 and 2023 0:32:06 Worst Case 2023 Repeat: 25% Dip, Then 173% Up 0:36:40 Why This Cycle Could Be Better for Altcoins 0:38:41 The 2019 and 2020 Scenarios Still Reward Bitcoin Holders 0:45:18 The 2015 Scenario and My 80% Bitcoin Setup 0:52:20 Your Alt Is Up Because Bitcoin Is Up 0:53:51 Bitcoin as a 12 Month Hold and Levels Up to 124K 0:59:02 Why It's Not Alt Season Yet 1:07:41 My Narrative Picks Start With NEAR and Zcash 1:09:44 AI Compute Coins Like Venice: 0G, Aethir, Akash 1:14:46 Bittensor and Proof of Work AI Mining Coins 1:17:18 The Robinhood Chain AI Plays I'm Buying 1:25:29 Viewer Altcoins: Phala, Fetch and Render 1:33:12 Why Leveraged Bitcoin Underperforms in Chop 1:43:19 Closing Thoughts: Watching 87K This Weekend ----------------------------------------------------- 📜 Disclaimer 📜 The information contained herein is for informational purposes only. Nothing herein shall be construed to be financial, legal, or tax advice. The content of this video is solely the opinions of the speaker who is not a licensed financial advisor or registered investment advisor. Trading cryptocurrencies poses a considerable risk of loss. The speaker does not guarantee any particular outcome. #Bitcoin #BTC #Altcoins #AltcoinSeason #BitcoinBreakout #Crypto #CryptoNews #NEAR #Zcash #Venice #Quant #VirtualBacon
About VirtualBacon
VirtualBacon

VirtualBacon

By @virtualbacon

I'm Dennis, a Crypto angel investor with 100+ startups in our portfolio. On this channel I share my views on market trends and investing strategy for Crypto.