Why the War Over the USDH Ticker on Hyperliquid Is Bullish for Crypto - Ep. 902
Why the War Over the USDH Ticker on Hyperliquid Is Bullish for Crypto - Ep. 902
239 days agoUnchainedLaura Shin
Podcast32 min 11 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Significant institutional capital is flowing into top Layer 1 blockchains, creating strong bullish catalysts for both Solana (SOL) and Avalanche (AVAX). Consider accumulating Solana (SOL) as public company Forward Industries is creating a $1.65 billion corporate treasury to buy the token, fueling the "Solana season" narrative. For traditional stock market exposure to this trend, investors can look at Forward Industries (FWD), which now acts as a public proxy for the Solana ecosystem. Similarly, Avalanche (AVAX) is a high-conviction investment, with its foundation in late-stage talks to raise $1 billion by selling discounted tokens to long-term investment vehicles. These large-scale purchases are expected to reduce the available supply and signal strong institutional confidence in both assets.

Detailed Analysis

Stablecoins & The Hyperliquid Ecosystem

  • The primary discussion revolves around the intense competition for the USDH stablecoin ticker on the Hyperliquid decentralized exchange. This event is seen as a public auction or "RFP" (Request for Proposal) for a protocol-native stablecoin.
  • Several teams competed, including Native Markets, Athena (Ethena Labs), and Paxos.
    • Native Markets is viewed as the likely winner, with a 93.5% chance on PolyMarket at the time of recording. They are described as being "hyperliquid aligned" because their success is tied directly to the Hyperliquid ecosystem, meaning they would "sink or swim" with the platform.
    • Athena withdrew from the competition for the USDH ticker but stated they will still launch their stablecoin on Hyperliquid under a different ticker, focusing on their yield-bearing strategy.
  • The guest is "super bullish" on this trend of protocol-native stablecoins, believing it represents a fundamental shift where protocols reclaim the stablecoin narrative and redistribute revenue and yield back to their communities.
  • The competition is seen as a positive for the entire crypto ecosystem because it drives competition, which ultimately brings more economic value back to users and developers.
  • Incumbent stablecoins like USDC (Circle) and USDT (Tether) are not expected to be pushed out in the near term, but the battle for market share is "about to start."

Takeaways

  • Investment Theme: The rise of "protocol-native" stablecoins is a key theme to watch. These are stablecoins deeply integrated into a specific DeFi protocol, often sharing revenue with the protocol's users or token holders. This could disrupt the business model of traditional stablecoin issuers like Circle and Tether within specific ecosystems.
  • Monitor Hyperliquid: The outcome of the USDH competition on Hyperliquid could serve as a blueprint for how other decentralized protocols approach stablecoins. Success here could lead to other platforms adopting a similar model.
  • Two Types of Stablecoin Users: The market is segmenting into two groups:
    • Yield-sensitive users: Seek higher returns and are attracted to offerings like Athena's yield-bearing stablecoin.
    • Yield-agnostic users: Prioritize stability and trust, often using established stablecoins like USDC. An ecosystem needs both to thrive.

Solana (SOL)

  • Forward Industries, a Nasdaq-listed company, has raised $1.65 billion to create the largest Solana-focused corporate treasury to date.
  • Bitwise CIO Matt Hoogan is quoted as being extremely bullish, stating "all the ingredients are there for an epic end-of-year run for Solana" and referring to the current period as "Solana season."
  • Key catalysts mentioned are this trend of corporate treasury accumulation and pending Exchange-Traded Product (ETP) filings for Solana.
  • Following the news, the SOL token gained over 2%.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sentiment: There is significant institutional and corporate interest in accumulating SOL. The creation of large, dedicated Solana treasuries by public companies is a strong vote of confidence.
  • Potential Catalysts: Investors should watch for further news on corporate treasury programs and any developments regarding a Solana ETP (or ETF), as these are seen as major potential drivers for the price of SOL.

Forward Industries (FWD)

  • This Nasdaq-listed firm closed a $1.65 billion private placement to build a corporate treasury focused on Solana (SOL).
  • Prominent crypto investment firms Galaxy Digital, Jump Crypto, and Multicoin Capital participated in the funding round.
  • The company's stock surged as much as 128% in pre-market trading after the announcement.

Takeaways

  • Public Equity Exposure to Solana: Forward Industries now represents a traditional stock market vehicle for investors to gain exposure to the Solana ecosystem. The company's balance sheet and strategy are directly tied to the performance of SOL.
  • Market Reaction: The massive pre-market stock surge indicates strong approval from traditional market participants for this crypto-native strategy.

Avalanche (AVAX)

  • The Avalanche Foundation is reportedly in "late-stage talks" to raise $1 billion.
  • The capital would be raised via two U.S.-based investment vehicles that would use the funds to purchase discounted AVAX tokens directly from the foundation.

Takeaways

  • Institutional Demand: Similar to the Solana news, this signals strong institutional demand for AVAX. Large investment vehicles are being created specifically to acquire the token.
  • Potential Supply Sink: This deal would involve locking up a significant amount of AVAX with large, long-term holders, which could be a positive for the token's price dynamics.

BlackRock (BLK)

  • The world's largest asset manager is exploring the tokenization of its Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs).
  • The goal is to enable 24/7 trading, improve global access, and potentially allow tokenized ETF shares to be used as collateral in DeFi.
  • This follows the success of their spot Bitcoin ETF and their tokenized money market fund, Biddle, which has surpassed $2 billion in assets.
  • CEO Larry Fink's vision is that "every financial asset can be tokenized."

Takeaways

  • Real World Asset (RWA) Tokenization: This is a major signal that the tokenization of real-world assets is a serious long-term trend being pursued by the biggest players in traditional finance.
  • Long-Term Bullish Catalyst: While still in the early stages, the successful tokenization of mainstream financial products like ETFs by BlackRock would be a massive validation for blockchain technology and could unlock trillions of dollars in value for the digital asset ecosystem.

Nasdaq (NDAQ)

  • The stock exchange has filed a proposal with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) to allow the trading of tokenized stocks on its platform.
  • This could be the first time blockchain-based equities are traded on a regulated U.S. market.
  • The plan would allow investors to choose between traditional and tokenized settlement for the same stock.

Takeaways

  • Bridging TradFi and Blockchain: This is a foundational step toward integrating blockchain technology into the core plumbing of Wall Street.
  • Increased Legitimacy: Regulatory approval for tokenized stocks on a major exchange like Nasdaq would provide significant legitimacy to the digital asset space and could accelerate the adoption of tokenization across the financial industry.

MIX (Mix Finance)

  • The decentralized derivatives platform's token, MIX, experienced a massive price surge of over 1,000% in two days, liquidating $40 million in short positions.
  • Major Red Flag: The project is facing allegations of a Sybil attack, where a single entity is accused of using around 100 wallets to unfairly claim approximately $170 million worth of MIX tokens from the airdrop.
  • The team's response acknowledged they allowed some high-volume users to change wallet addresses, which has fueled community concerns about fairness.

Takeaways

  • High Risk: The extreme price volatility combined with serious allegations of a manipulated airdrop makes MIX a very high-risk asset.
  • Reputational Damage: The controversy could severely damage the project's long-term credibility and trust within the community, regardless of the short-term price action. Investors should exercise extreme caution.

Linea (LINEA)

  • The launch and airdrop of the LINEA token, an Ethereum Layer 2 network from ConsenSys, was troubled by technical issues.
  • The network experienced a "partial outage" that lasted nearly 10 hours, causing block production to halt and leading to failed transactions and high gas fees for users trying to claim the airdrop.
  • The LINEA token lost more than 20% from its peak price following the bumpy launch.
  • ConsenSys founder Joseph Lubin hinted at future rewards for long-term holders, suggesting that those who keep their LINEA tokens could receive additional token distributions in the future.

Takeaways

  • Execution Risk: The flawed launch highlights the execution risk associated with new token launches, even from well-known teams like ConsenSys.
  • Incentive to Hold: The suggestion of future rewards for holders creates a potential incentive to hold LINEA despite the poor launch performance. This could be a strategy to stabilize the price and reward early community members who stick with the project. Investors might watch to see if these rewards materialize.
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Episode Description
Stablecoins are supposed to be boring, but the fight for the USDH ticker on Hyperliquid has turned into one of the most dramatic battles in crypto.  From Ethena suddenly pulling out, to Paxos revamping its bid, to whispers of favoritism, the contest has put protocol-native stablecoins in the spotlight.  In this episode, MegaETH co-founder Shuyao Kong, who just announced their own stablecoin USDm, speaks about why they chose Ethena as a partner, and why alignment with Hyperliquid matters more than short-term incentives.  She also explains why ecosystems need both yield-chasing and yield-agnostic stablecoins — and whether Circle and Tether could be pushed aside in the next wave of competition. Thank you to our sponsor, ⁠Token2049⁠! Get 15% off your tickets with the code UNCHAINED! Guest: Shuyao Kong, Co-founder of MegaETH Links:  Unchained:  The Competition Is On. Who’ll Win the USDH Ticker on Hyperliquid? Bits + Bips: Hyperliquid’s USDH Bidding War & Why the DAT Model Is Broken Ethena Joins Race to Issue Hyperliquid’s USDH Paxos Unveils USDH Proposal V2 With PayPal, Venmo Integrations  Sky Joins Bidding War to Launch Hyperliquid’s USDH Stablecoin Issuers Enter Bidding War to Launch Hyperliquid’s USDH Ethena withdraws its proposal  The Block: MegaETH launches native USDm stablecoin with Ethena to subsidize sequencer fees Polymarket bet: Who will win the USDH ticker? Timestamps: 🎬 0:00 Intro 🔥 3:02 Why Shuyao is so energized by the USDH ticker war 🔄 4:52 How the USDH drama reshaped MegaETH’s USDm launch 🤝 5:27 What convinced MegaETH to choose Ethena as its partner 🌐 11:20 What it really means to be aligned with an ecosystem 🚪 15:36 How Shuyao views Ethena’s sudden withdrawal from the contest 📣 18:22 Whether public governance decisions will keep gaining influence 🏗️ 20:16 Will protocol-native stablecoins be the winners of the next wave? 💵 21:22 Could Circle and Tether actually get pushed aside on Hyperliquid? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
About Unchained
Unchained

Unchained

By Laura Shin

Crypto assets and blockchain technology are about to transform every trust-based interaction of our lives, from financial services to identity to the Internet of Things. In this podcast, host Laura Shin, an independent journalist covering all things crypto, talks with industry pioneers about how crypto assets and blockchains will change the way we earn, spend and invest our money. Tune in to find out how Web 3.0, the decentralized web, will revolutionize our world. Disclosure: I'm a nocoiner.