The Chopping Block: Black October, Banks Blocking AI Agents, Hyperliquid's Blockchain-Not-Bitcoin Moment, and the Visa-Fireblocks Rumor
The Chopping Block: Black October, Banks Blocking AI Agents, Hyperliquid's Blockchain-Not-Bitcoin Moment, and the Visa-Fireblocks Rumor
2 hours ago•Unchained•Laura Shin
Podcast50 min 15 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

The clearest actionable view is caution on AI infrastructure: scrutinize debt, contract terms, and unit economics before investing in CoreWeave (CRWV) or similar companies. Treat the reported Visa (V)–Fireblocks acquisition as an unconfirmed rumor, not a trading catalyst. The discussion offered no specific buy, sell, price target, or timeframe for Hyperliquid, Ethereum (ETH), banks, or cybersecurity stocks.

Detailed Analysis

Hyperliquid

  • Bullish, but not a specific token recommendation: The discussion described Hyperliquid as a decentralized perpetual-futures exchange and a blockchain-based trading platform that helped make the broader case for blockchain finance more tangible.
  • The hosts noted that its model could support markets for assets such as equities, commodities, and pre-IPO companies. They also cautioned that synthetic markets and perpetual exchanges existed before Hyperliquid, so the platform’s success is not proof that the broader opportunity is new or guaranteed.

Takeaways

  • Hyperliquid was presented as evidence that blockchain-based financial products can attract attention beyond crypto-native users.
  • Treat this as a positive signal for on-chain trading infrastructure, not as a stated price outlook or a recommendation to buy a specific token. No token ticker, price target, or timeline was discussed.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • One participant said, “I like that ETH is the ultimate pump,” but the transcript provides no supporting analysis, explanation, or specific Ethereum-related discussion.

Takeaways

  • The remark indicates a brief bullish sentiment, but it is too limited to establish an investment thesis or actionable recommendation.

Visa (V) and Fireblocks

  • A potential Visa acquisition of Fireblocks was reported as a rumor, with a possible deal value of $2 billion to $2.5 billion. Fireblocks quickly denied the report; the hosts said they had no information confirming whether a deal was happening.
  • The hosts said an acquisition could make strategic sense for Visa given its work on stablecoin-backed cards and stablecoin settlement.
  • Fireblocks was described as a significant provider of crypto wallet and transaction infrastructure, with customers including large asset managers and banks. The discussion noted that its reported $8 billion valuation came during the 2021 market peak, making a lower deal value difficult to compare directly.
  • The hosts characterized a sale at the rumored price as potentially a good outcome for Fireblocks, while acknowledging that the valuation drop could be hard for some investors.

Takeaways

  • For Visa, the rumor highlights interest in crypto payment infrastructure, but it remains unconfirmed and should not be treated as a completed or likely transaction.
  • For Fireblocks, the discussion suggests a potential strategic exit, but not enough information to assess the company’s current value or prospects independently.

CoreWeave (CRWV) and AI Infrastructure

  • The discussion raised concerns about the financing and economics of AI computing companies, including “Core,” apparently referring to CoreWeave.
  • One speaker said CoreWeave’s unsecured debt carried a 15% rate, while noting that most of its debt was secured against future contracts and that Jensen Huang had provided an equity backstop.
  • The broader concern was that AI infrastructure providers may be borrowing over long periods and reselling compute capacity through shorter-term contracts. The speakers questioned whether the revenue across the chain will ultimately justify the financing and costs.
  • One participant said the market was being irrational about CoreWeave and viewed its position as stronger than that of some other “neocloud” providers. That view was balanced by concern about the sector’s financing structure.

Takeaways

  • AI compute demand may create growth opportunities, but the discussion emphasized debt, contract duration, and uncertain economics as key risks.
  • Consider distinguishing companies with stronger financing and contract positions from the wider AI infrastructure sector; the transcript did not establish that demand will translate into lasting profits.

AI Companies and Compute Economics

  • Character.AI was cited as an example of the risk in AI company economics. A speaker said it had filed for bankruptcy and had been burning $16 in compute costs for every $1 of revenue.
  • The hosts questioned whether the companies supplying compute, the infrastructure providers, and the AI applications themselves can all earn sustainable returns—or whether losses are being passed along the chain.

Takeaways

  • The discussion was cautious about AI valuations and business models, particularly where revenue does not cover compute costs.
  • For AI-related investments, revenue growth alone may be insufficient; the transcript points to unit economics, financing needs, and the ability to convert usage into sustainable margins as important considerations.

Health Insurers

  • One participant said that, if choosing an industry to short, they would choose health insurance companies.
  • The reasoning was that AI could help consumers navigate complex healthcare processes, such as claims and reimbursements, and that insurers could lose if the technology reduces the friction that makes the system difficult for consumers.

Takeaways

  • This was a clear bearish view on health insurers, but it was one participant’s opinion rather than a detailed sector analysis.
  • The potential pressure described depends on AI meaningfully improving consumers’ ability to challenge charges and navigate healthcare systems; the transcript gave no specific companies, price targets, or timeline.

Banks and Financial Platforms

  • Banks discussed included JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Bank of America (BAC), Charles Schwab (SCHW), Morgan Stanley (MS), and Citigroup (C). The hosts said several were restricting or blocking some AI agents from accessing customer accounts, including read-only access in some cases.
  • The discussion framed banks’ restrictions as a response to concerns about unauthorized agent activity, but argued that easier money movement and account management could benefit consumers and challenge banks’ existing business models.
  • The hosts also noted that banks benefit from deposits in low- or non-interest-bearing accounts. At the same time, they suggested that most customers may remain with incumbent banks because of inertia and that local, self-run agents may initially be used by relatively few people.
  • Amazon (AMZN) was also described as blocking agents, while Shopify (SHOP) was said to allow interaction through its agent. The hosts differed on how quickly agents might alter commerce and financial services.

Takeaways

  • AI agents could increase competitive pressure on banks and platforms that rely on customer friction, but the discussion did not establish that incumbent banks face an imminent threat.
  • The potential beneficiaries could include providers that make account management and payments easier, including new AI-first financial services. No specific winning company or timeline was identified.

Cybersecurity

  • The hosts described a wave of severe software vulnerabilities and warned that AI could increase the speed and scale of cyberattacks.
  • They said crypto projects had experienced some knock-on effects, including compromised infrastructure and exposed keys, but characterized the known crypto impact as limited relative to the severity of the vulnerabilities.
  • The discussion also presented open-source tools as potentially useful for quickly identifying and patching vulnerabilities, while emphasizing that the pace and severity of compromises appear to be increasing.

Takeaways

  • Cybersecurity was discussed as a growing investment theme, but no cybersecurity stocks or funds were named.
  • The transcript supports monitoring the need for stronger security tools and practices; it does not identify specific investment opportunities or quantify their potential returns.
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Episode Description
Welcome to The Chopping Block, where crypto insiders Tom Schmidt, Tarun Chitra, and Robert Leshner chop it up about the latest in crypto. This week Rob Hadick of Dragonfly sits in for Haseeb as part of a podcast host swap. Tom walks through Black October, 48 hours in which top-severity vulnerabilities dropped across PHP, Node, Railway, and more, and Tarun runs down the rest of the damage, from Linux kernel exploits to Finland shutting down its internet services. Robert argues the blast radius was small for the worst day the web has had, Tarun says crypto was ironically ready first and closed source is the less safe bet, and he explains why defenders had to patch with open source models. Then banks start blocking AI agents: Robert says anything that can click a button terrifies them, Tarun reads Bernie Sanders' call to pause AI, and Rob asks what happened to Occupy Wall Street. Finally, Joe Weisenthal comes around on Hyperliquid, Tom is outed as the onion futures guy, and the hosts weigh a rumored $2.5 billion Visa deal for Fireblocks, 2021's bubble valuations, and where an AI financial crisis would start.   Listen to the episode on Apple Podcasts, Spotify, Pods, Fountain, Podcast Addict, Pocket Casts, Amazon Music, or on your favorite podcast platform.   Show highlights 🔹 Rob Hadick guest-hosts as part of a host swap with Empire's Weekly Roundup, and Tarun says the hosts are finally free of the dictatorship of Haseeb. 🔹 Black October: in 48 hours, critical vulnerabilities hit PHP, Node, and Railway, Cloudflare saw millions of exploit attempts, and European governments took sites offline. 🔹 Tarun adds Linux kernel exploits with no responsible disclosure, a QUIC zero day, a GitLab flaw, and a Chinese state-aligned agent caught exploiting the CVEs in the wild. 🔹 Robert calls it the doomsday batch of security vulnerabilities, and says not that much broke. 🔹 Tarun says crypto was ironically prepared first, and that closed source is the less safe bet because every binary can now be reverse engineered. 🔹 Defenders tried to patch with Claude and got blocked, so open source models were the only way to rotate keys fast, the same reason AI trading agents took off. 🔹 JPMorgan, Wells Fargo, Bank of America, Schwab, and Citi are restricting AI agents in customer accounts, after a month of talk about an agentic bank run. 🔹 Robert says banks took a decade to accept read-only Plaid, so anything that can click a button is 10 times as terrifying, and the friction is deliberate. 🔹 Bernie Sanders wants to pause AI to protect your bank account. Robert says he drew the exact opposite conclusion he should have. 🔹 Tarun says everything is crypto now: banks can't tell you from your agent, and that is the point. 🔹 Robert would short health insurance companies, the industry AI should hurt most. 🔹 Joe Weisenthal comes around on Hyperliquid 11 years after blockchain, not Bitcoin. Tom points out that Hyperliquid is not TradFi in any way. 🔹 Visa is rumored to be buying Fireblocks for about $2.5 billion, down from an $8 billion valuation. Robert says January 2022 prices were bubble prices. 🔹 Character.ai burned $16 in compute for every dollar of revenue, and Tarun maps the duration mismatch where an AI financial crisis would start.  Hosts ⭐️Rob Hadick, General Partner at Dragonfly ⭐️Tom Schmidt, General Partner at Dragonfly ⭐️Tarun Chitra, Managing Partner at Robot Ventures ⭐️Robert Leshner, Founder & CEO of Superstate   Disclosures Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
About Unchained
Unchained

Unchained

By Laura Shin

Crypto assets and blockchain technology are about to transform every trust-based interaction of our lives, from financial services to identity to the Internet of Things. In this podcast, host Laura Shin, an independent journalist covering all things crypto, talks with industry pioneers about how crypto assets and blockchains will change the way we earn, spend and invest our money. Tune in to find out how Web 3.0, the decentralized web, will revolutionize our world. Disclosure: I'm a nocoiner.