2025 Crypto Year in Review, Part 1: Shit Talking Edition - Ep. 990
2025 Crypto Year in Review, Part 1: Shit Talking Edition - Ep. 990
134 days agoUnchainedLaura Shin
Podcast1 hr 4 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider Robinhood (HOOD) stock, as its new blockchain built with Arbitrum technology is a major strategic initiative that could become a significant new revenue stream for the company. The stock for stablecoin issuer Circle has returned near its IPO price of $84, presenting a potential entry point for traditional investors after initial post-IPO volatility has subsided. For a high-risk, leveraged play on Bitcoin, view MicroStrategy (MSTR) as a bet on its long-term strategy to become a "Bitcoin neobank." When analyzing Ethereum (ETH), focus on macro market trends and institutional ETF flows, as these are currently the primary drivers of its price. Finally, Solana (SOL) has proven its technical resilience under stress, reinforcing its fundamental value as a core long-term holding in the crypto space.

Detailed Analysis

Trump & Melania Meme Coins

  • These were described as the "big introduction to crypto in 2025," launched on the Solana blockchain right before the presidential inauguration.
  • The launch created immense demand, reportedly causing Solana (SOL) to reach an all-time high.
  • The sentiment is mixed. While a significant cultural event, one speaker noted that many people think it was "very clearly the beginning of the end and it nuked all liquidity out of everything."
  • The launch of the Melania coin shortly after the Trump coin was seen as a sign of serious commitment to the crypto space by the couple.

Takeaways

  • These are purely speculative meme coins. Their value is driven by narrative, hype, and celebrity association, not underlying fundamentals.
  • The event highlights how major political and cultural figures entering the crypto space can create massive, but potentially short-lived, speculative frenzies.
  • Investors should be aware that such events can cause extreme volatility and potentially drain liquidity from other parts of the market as capital chases the latest trend.

Solana (SOL)

  • The Solana network successfully handled the massive transaction volume from the Trump coin launch, with one speaker noting it "all worked perfectly" and that "Solana passed" a "surprise big test."
  • Solana was mentioned in a hypothetical tweet from President Trump about creating a national crypto reserve, alongside XRP and Cardano.
  • According to a guest, Solana was included in that tweet by lobbyists for Ripple specifically to "make it seem more legitimate to crypto people," even though the Solana team was not involved.
  • It was noted that Robinhood was rumored to be building its new chain on Solana but ultimately chose Arbitrum.
  • The ecosystem is described as having "two different worlds": a serious developer community and a separate, large meme coin culture.

Takeaways

  • Solana has demonstrated technical resilience and the ability to handle high-stress, high-volume events, which is a bullish sign for the network's infrastructure.
  • The platform has significant mindshare and is seen as a legitimate, key player in the crypto space, to the point of being used to add credibility to other projects or announcements.
  • Investors should understand that the Solana ecosystem is home to both serious technological development and a highly speculative, vibrant meme coin culture.

XRP (XRP) & Cardano (ADA)

  • Both assets were mentioned in a hypothetical tweet by President Trump proposing they be part of a national crypto reserve, notably excluding Bitcoin and Ether.
  • The speakers suggest these coins "resonate with the American people" and have large retail communities (the "Uber driver" trope), even if they are not favored by crypto insiders.
  • The tweet was attributed to "intense lobbying" from Ripple, the company associated with XRP.

Takeaways

  • XRP and ADA have strong, widespread retail followings and, in the case of XRP, a powerful lobbying presence.
  • This political and retail influence can make them relevant and subject to sudden attention, even if they are often dismissed by core crypto enthusiasts.
  • Their inclusion in high-level political discussions, even if hypothetical or lobbied for, indicates their significant reach outside the typical crypto bubble.

Hyperliquid

  • Described as a "category definer" whose success has inspired many competitors. It is a decentralized perpetuals exchange.
  • The project is praised for maintaining the belief of its community, being one of the few projects people "weren't cynical about" in a cynical year.
  • Its success is attributed to the "revenue meta" — a model where the protocol generates significant fees and uses them for buybacks, creating direct value for its token holders. This was called a "paradigm shift" for crypto business models.
  • Risks mentioned include a "scandal around the centralization and the bridge security" and an incident where rules were changed to "undo the manipulation" of a low-liquidity token, which goes "against the crypto ethos."

Takeaways

  • Hyperliquid represents a successful example of a "real yield" protocol, where token value is directly tied to the platform's revenue. This is a strong fundamental driver.
  • Investors should consider this a leading project in the decentralized finance (DeFi) space, but remain aware of the highly competitive environment and potential governance or centralization risks that have surfaced in the past.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • The discussion centered on Ethereum's "turnaround" in 2025 after a difficult 2024 where the community was in "revolt."
  • One speaker was highly skeptical that the price recovery had anything to do with leadership changes at the Ethereum Foundation (EF).
  • The bullish price action was attributed almost entirely to macro factors: a broader market recovery, positive commentary from figures like Tom Lee, and the influence of ETFs and institutional buying.
  • The speaker claimed the underlying tech developments and EF activities are "functionally irrelevant to what is actually pumping the price."

Takeaways

  • Ethereum's price appears to be driven more by broad market sentiment and large-scale capital flows (like from ETFs and institutions) than by its internal governance or specific technical upgrades.
  • For investors, this suggests that tracking macro trends and institutional adoption may be more important for predicting ETH's price movements than following the day-to-day developments of the Ethereum Foundation.

Circle (Stock IPO)

  • Circle, the issuer of the USDC stablecoin, had a successful IPO that "took off" despite some bearish predictions.
  • The stock's performance is seen as an example of how "equity markets are just bullish in general," with traditional stock market investors being "way more optimistic than actual crypto people."
  • The IPO was a way for traditional investors to get exposure to the "stablecoin narrative."
  • The stock experienced significant volatility. It launched at $82, ran up to a high of $263, and then fell back to $84, near its IPO price. This decline was partly attributed to unlocks of locked equity, a dynamic familiar to crypto investors.

Takeaways

  • Circle's stock offers a traditional equity vehicle for investing in the growth of the stablecoin ecosystem.
  • Investors should be aware that the stock is subject to both crypto-specific narratives and traditional market dynamics, including post-IPO hype cycles and volatility caused by insider equity unlocks.
  • The stock's return to its IPO price suggests the initial hype has cooled, and the market is now taking a more measured, long-term view of its value.

Robinhood (HOOD)

  • Robinhood launched its own blockchain, the "Robinhood chain," as an L2 (Layer 2) on top of Ethereum, using Arbitrum's technology. This was a surprise, as many expected them to build on Solana.
  • The decision was likely influenced by two key factors:
    1. Technology: Arbitrum's "Stylus" feature makes it easier for developers to build using common programming languages.
    2. Revenue: By running their own L2, Robinhood can earn revenue as the "sequencer" that orders transactions, an opportunity not available on Solana.
  • This move is seen as a way for Robinhood to deepen its integration with crypto and leverage its massive user distribution.

Takeaways

  • Robinhood's launch of its own chain is a major strategic initiative that could become a significant new revenue stream for the company (HOOD).
  • This positions Robinhood as a key bridge between its massive retail user base and the on-chain world of DeFi and other crypto applications.
  • The choice of Ethereum/Arbitrum over Solana highlights the strategic importance of sequencer revenue and developer accessibility in the blockchain platform wars.

Base & Creator Coins

  • Base, the L2 chain from Coinbase, is heavily promoting the "creator coin" narrative.
  • The speakers are largely skeptical, viewing creator coins as a rebranding of meme coins for marketing purposes. The new terminology is seen as a way to appeal to non-crypto users by framing it as a solution to creator monetization.
  • The fundamental model is questioned, with one speaker describing it as creators making money by "dumping" coins on their fans. There is doubt that there is genuine, sustainable demand from fans to buy these tokens.
  • It was noted that the largest use case on Base, Ethereum's largest L2, being "creator coins" is a surprising and somewhat cynical outcome for the industry.

Takeaways

  • Creator coins are a highly speculative and nascent investment theme.
  • While the narrative of empowering creators is compelling, the current reality is viewed as being very similar to the high-risk, hype-driven dynamics of meme coins.
  • The long-term success of this category depends on whether it can generate real, sustainable demand from fans, which remains an open question. This is a high-risk area for investors.

DATs & MicroStrategy (MSTR)

  • DATs (Decentralized Autonomous Trusts) were a short-lived "mania" or bubble, with MicroStrategy (MSTR) being the primary example.
  • The basic premise is that investors buy the stock at a premium to its net asset value (the value of its Bitcoin holdings), betting that someone else will buy it for an even higher premium.
  • One speaker, however, views Michael Saylor's strategy with MSTR as "brilliant." He has used the company to tap into capital pools that cannot buy Bitcoin directly.
  • The long-term bullish thesis for MSTR is that it will leverage its massive Bitcoin treasury to become a "Bitcoin neobank," offering financial services like lending and borrowing.
  • This strategy is considered highly polarizing: it could be a "brilliant financial maneuver" or it could "go to zero." It is also seen as unique to Bitcoin's scale and liquidity, and not easily replicated with smaller altcoins like Sui (SUI).

Takeaways

  • MicroStrategy (MSTR) is a high-risk, high-reward leveraged play on Bitcoin.
  • The investment is not just a simple proxy for Bitcoin; it is a bet on Michael Saylor's financial strategy and the company's ability to evolve into a full-fledged financial institution built on Bitcoin.
  • Investors should view this as a polarizing investment that could either yield massive returns if the strategy succeeds or fail completely. Similar DAT models for smaller altcoins are considered even more speculative and less likely to succeed.
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Episode Description
Crypto natives entered 2025 with many expectations, but bingo cards likely did not include world leaders launching memecoins. In this first installment of a two part Unchained Special, Ambient Finance founder Doug Colkitt and “Gwart” join to offer a whimsical take on some of the years major happenings as it pertains to crypto. How did an erstwhile dropshipper get in bed with world leaders and convince them to launch memecoins? And did Tom Lee's “good hair” save ETH? Thank you to our sponsor, Walrus! http://walrus.xyz/ Guests: Doug Colkitt, Co-founder of Fogo and Ambient Finance Gwart, Host of The Gwart Show Links: Unchained: Why Lyn Alden Isn’t a Fan of Trump’s Memecoins, but Neutral on a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve The Chopping Block: Trump’s Crypto Shake-Up, Solana’s Big Moment, that Changes Everything Why Would Argentine President Javier Milei Protect Kelsier’s Hayden Davis? How the $1.5 Billion Bybit Hack Could Have Been Prevented Which Crypto Assets Belong in a Reserve? This VC Says Not XRP and ADA White House Crypto Summit: Two Attendees Share Why It Matters Arthur Hayes and Hanson Birringer on Hyperliquid’s Success (And What Could Stop It) Hyperliquid Trader Makes $87M in 70 Days, Loses It In Five The Chopping Block: Tom Lee the New Saylor? DAT Consolidation, Token Wrappers Under Fire Circle, Issuer of the $61.5 Billion USDC, Raises $1.1 Billion in Landmark IPO Why Arbitrum Won Over Robinhood + A $59 Million Polymarket Controversy DAT Stocks Are on Sale. Are They a Buy? Plus, Why Crypto Is Dead Timestamps: 🚀 00:00 Introduction  😵 1:20 How Trump and Melania surprised the crypto community with Solana memecoins 😅 4:46 How Hayden Davis went from dropshipping to launching coins with world leaders 🫠 8:39 Could a test transaction have saved Bybit from the largest heist of all time? 🫡 13:34 How Ripple lobbyists reportedly got Trump to shout out an XRP reserve 🤣 17:55 Was the White House Crypto Summit hijacked by FIFA? 🤺 20:20 Hyperliquid's Run and the CZ v. Jeff Memes 😅 26:48 Who is James Wynn, really? 😆 30:36 What sparked ETH's comeback? Tom Lee's good hair or EF reforms? 📈 35:51 How Circle's IPO run blindsided Arthur Hayes 🎇 38:48 Robinhood's grand on-chain debut 🫠 43:58 Still early or DOA? Base's hit and miss campaigns 🤔 54:23 How does the DAT mania end? Learn more about your ad choices. Visit megaphone.fm/adchoices
About Unchained
Unchained

Unchained

By Laura Shin

Crypto assets and blockchain technology are about to transform every trust-based interaction of our lives, from financial services to identity to the Internet of Things. In this podcast, host Laura Shin, an independent journalist covering all things crypto, talks with industry pioneers about how crypto assets and blockchains will change the way we earn, spend and invest our money. Tune in to find out how Web 3.0, the decentralized web, will revolutionize our world. Disclosure: I'm a nocoiner.