E254: SpaceX IPO now at $2.0T; Tether larger vs JPM?!; Supabase 2x to $10B; + more
E254: SpaceX IPO now at $2.0T; Tether larger vs JPM?!; Supabase 2x to $10B; + more
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Monitor for the upcoming SpaceX IPO, which targets a $2 trillion valuation and represents a landmark opportunity to invest in global telecommunications and space infrastructure. Investors seeking exposure to the AI hardware boom should watch for the Rebellions IPO later this year, as the company positions itself as a specialized alternative to NVIDIA for AI inference chips. There is a narrow two-week window to participate in a $500 billion valuation round for Tether (USDT), which now rivals major global banks in profitability. For long-term energy plays, Valar Atomics offers high-conviction exposure to small modular nuclear reactors designed specifically to solve the power shortages facing AI data centers. Fitness wearable maker Whoop is now cash-flow positive following a $10.1 billion valuation round, signaling its final private funding stage before a likely public debut.

Detailed Analysis

SpaceX

• SpaceX is targeting a $2 trillion valuation for a planned Initial Public Offering (IPO) later this year, which would make it the 6th most valuable company globally. • The company has filed confidential paperwork with the SEC and aims to raise up to $75 billion, potentially the largest IPO in history. • Business operations are split across three verticals: Launch services (rockets), Starlink (satellite internet with 10,000+ satellites), and AI (via Grok). • Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) is reportedly in talks for a $5 billion anchor stake.

Takeaways

Market Benchmark: At a $2 trillion valuation, SpaceX would be larger than Meta and Tesla combined, signaling massive institutional confidence in the space economy. • Diversified Revenue: Investors should view SpaceX not just as a rocket company, but as a global telecommunications and AI infrastructure play. • IPO Watch: Retail and institutional investors should monitor for the public filing, as this represents a landmark liquidity event for the pre-IPO market.


Tether (USDT)

• The world’s largest stablecoin issuer is seeking a $500 billion valuation in its latest fundraising round. • Tether generated over $10 billion in net profit last year, rivaling major global banks in profitability per employee. • The company has engaged KPMG to conduct its first full audit of reserves to boost investor transparency.

Takeaways

Banking Rivalry: A $500 billion valuation would make Tether more valuable than every U.S. bank except JP Morgan Chase. • Investment Window: There is a narrow two-week window for investors to commit to this deal. • Infrastructure Play: Tether is positioning itself as "critical infrastructure" for global finance, moving beyond just a crypto trading pair.


OpenAI

• OpenAI closed a record-breaking $122 billion funding round at a $852 billion post-money valuation. • Major backers include Amazon ($50B), NVIDIA ($30B), and SoftBank ($30B). • Revenue has scaled to $2 billion per month, a massive jump from $13.1 billion for the full year of 2025. • The company recently acquired TBPN, a tech/business media network, to influence public discourse on AI.

Takeaways

Unprecedented Scale: OpenAI is now the most valuable startup in history, backed by the largest tech titans in the world. • Vertical Integration: The acquisition of a media company suggests OpenAI is moving into content and "shaping the narrative" alongside its technical development. • Institutional Conviction: Despite being unprofitable, the pace of revenue growth is attracting massive capital for global AI infrastructure.


Supabase

• An open-source backend platform (built on Postgres) used by developers to build AI-powered applications. • Currently in talks to raise $500 million at a $10 billion valuation, doubling its value in just a few months.

Takeaways

AI Infrastructure Growth: The surge in AI software development is driving massive demand for reliable, flexible databases, making Supabase a key "picks and shovels" play in the AI boom.


Whoop

• A screenless fitness wearable company operating on a subscription model. • Raised $575 million at a $10.1 billion valuation (Series G). • Key stats: 2.5 million members, $1.1 billion bookings run rate, and 103% year-over-year subscription growth.

Takeaways

Path to IPO: CEO Will Ahmed indicated this is likely the final private round before an IPO. • Financial Health: The company is now cash-flow positive, making it a more stable investment compared to many high-growth tech startups.


Saronic

• A defense tech company building AI-powered autonomous maritime vessels for the U.S. Navy. • Raised $1.75 billion at a $9.25 billion valuation. • Currently expanding its Texas shipyard to produce 20+ ships per year by 2027.

Takeaways

Defense Modernization: Saronic represents a shift toward "commercial-grade" AI applied to military hardware at a lower cost than traditional defense contractors.


StarCloud

• Building "data centers in orbit" using satellites equipped with NVIDIA GPUs. • Reached a $1.1 billion valuation just 17 months after its inception. • Plans to launch satellites with NVIDIA Blackwell chips and even Bitcoin mining capabilities.

Takeaways

Space Compute: This is a high-risk, high-reward frontier investment. The goal is to provide space-based compute with power costs competitive with Earth-based data centers.


Rebellions

• A South Korean AI chip startup focused on "inference" (the compute used when AI models answer queries). • Valued at $2.34 billion and planning an IPO later this year.

Takeaways

NVIDIA Alternative: As the world looks for specialized AI chips, Rebellions is positioning itself as a leader in the inference market with a global footprint.


Valar Atomics

• Developing small modular nuclear reactors to power AI data centers. • Raised $450 million at a $2 billion valuation. • Backed by high-profile tech figures like Palmer Luckey (Anduril) and Sham Sankar (Palantir).

Takeaways

Energy for AI: As AI data centers face power shortages, modular nuclear energy is emerging as a critical long-term solution.


Medvy

• A telehealth company providing GLP-1 weight loss medications. • Generated $401 million in revenue in its first year with only two full-time employees, using AI to handle almost all business functions.

Takeaways

The "One-Person" Unicorn: Medvy is a case study in how AI allows tiny teams to generate massive revenue, achieving a 16.2% net margin with minimal overhead.


Additional Mentions

Sarvam: Indian AI company raising $300M+ at a $1.5B valuation to build language models for 22 Indian languages. • Anthropic: Valued at $380 billion; recently acquired Coefficient Bio to expand into AI-powered drug discovery. • Mistral AI: Secured $830 million in debt to build massive European data centers, positioning itself as the "sovereign" European AI provider. • Eleven Labs: Valued at $11 billion; expanding from voice AI into AI-generated music with the "11 music" app.

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Episode Description
Send us Fan Mail ** For various reasons ... I used HeyGen to create the video and audio file this week. Text-to-video/audio. I don't like the results. If anyone has tips on how to improve this AI output please reach out. I'm keen to learn here. ** Invest in pre-IPO stocks with AG Dillon & Co. Contact aaron.dillon@agdillon.com to learn more. Financial advisors only. www.agdillon.com 00:00 - Intro 00:50 - SpaceX Is Targeting the Largest IPO in Stock Market History at $2 Trillion 01:41 - Tether Is One of the Most Profitable Financial Companies Per Employee in the World and Almost Nobody Knows It 02:23 - Supabase Just Doubled Its Valuation to $10 Billion in a Matter of Months 03:03 - 103% Subscription Growth and $1.1B in Bookings: Whoop May Be Done Raising Private Capital 03:49 - Saronic Has a $1.75 Billion Raise, a $392M Navy Contract, and Is Rethinking Warfare at Sea 04:39 - Starcloud Went From Y Combinator to $1.1 Billion Unicorn in Just 17 Months by Putting Data Centers in Orbit 05:39 - Rebellions Raised $650 Million in Six Months and South Korea's AI Chip Contender Is Heading for an IPO 06:30 - Nuclear Power Is Back and Valar Atomics Just Raised $450 Million to Power the AI Industry 07:33 - Medvi Generated $401 Million in Revenue in Its First Year With Two Full-Time Employees 08:25 - Sarvam Is Chasing the Largest Indian AI Fundraise Ever With 22 Languages and 1.4 Billion People 09:16 - OpenAI Is Now the Most Valuable Startup in History After Raising $122 Billion at $852 Billion 10:15 - OpenAI Just Bought TBPN, a $30M Revenue Media Company, and It Is Only Getting Started 10:59 - Anthropic Just Paid $400 Million for an 8-Month-Old Company With Fewer Than 10 People 11:51 - Mistral Just Secured $830 Million From Seven Banks to Build Europe's Own AI Infrastructure 12:51 - ElevenLabs Hit an $11 Billion Valuation and Is Now Taking Aim at Suno and Udio in AI Music NOTE: AG Dillon ("AGD") is not affiliated with Anduril. Anduril may require company approval for purchases (aka transfers). AGD has not been pre-approved by Anduril to purchase their stock. AGD purchases pre-IPO stocks in the secondary market and may gain exposure by directly purchasing the stock (on the company's capitalization table) and/or through a third-party fund (aka special purpose vehicle, or SPV).
About This Week in Pre-IPO Stocks
This Week in Pre-IPO Stocks

This Week in Pre-IPO Stocks

By AG Dillon & Co

This Week in Pre-IPO Stocks reports on pre-IPO stock research, trends, trading, and venture capital funds. Visit www.agdillon.com for more.