E224: ByteDance buyback at $330B, more revenue vs Meta; Klarna IPO back on; Framer $2B valuation Series D; Rain raises $58M for stablecoin payments platform; Commonwealth $863M for fusion prototype; SpaceX 10th Starship test a huge win; Anthropic launches
E224: ByteDance buyback at $330B, more revenue vs Meta; Klarna IPO back on; Framer $2B valuation Series D; Rain raises $58M for stablecoin payments platform; Commonwealth $863M for fusion prototype; SpaceX 10th Starship test a huge win; Anthropic launches
Podcast9 min 39 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider participating in the upcoming Klarna IPO, targeted for September 2025 at a valuation of $13-$14 billion, as the company has returned to profitability with strong customer growth. Keep an eye on ByteDance, as any resolution to its U.S. regulatory issues could unlock significant value and close its massive valuation gap with Meta (META). For exposure to the growing use of stablecoins, consider investing in crypto infrastructure plays similar to the private company Rain, which partners with Visa (V) and supports blockchains like Solana (SOL). While private AI leaders like Anthropic and XAI are attracting huge valuations, this signals strong momentum for the entire public AI sector. Finally, accredited investors can gain direct pre-IPO access to high-growth companies like XAI through specialized funds.

Detailed Analysis

ByteDance (TikTok's Parent Company)

  • The company is conducting a new employee share buyback program, which values the company at over $330 billion. This is an increase from $315 billion six months prior.
  • The buyback share price is $200.41, a 5.5% increase from the previous price of $189.90.
  • Q2 2025 revenue was approximately $48 billion, representing 25% year-over-year growth.
  • For the first time, ByteDance's quarterly revenue ($43 billion in Q1) surpassed that of Meta ($42.3 billion).
  • Despite having higher revenue, ByteDance's valuation is less than one-fifth of Meta's $1.9 trillion market cap.
  • Risk Factor: The significant valuation discount compared to Meta is attributed to U.S. regulatory risks. TikTok's U.S. operations are currently loss-making and face a divestiture deadline of September 17, 2025.

Takeaways

  • ByteDance is now the world's largest social media company by revenue, demonstrating massive growth and market dominance, primarily from its Chinese operations.
  • There is a potential investment opportunity if the company can resolve its U.S. regulatory issues. A resolution could lead to a significant re-rating of its valuation, closing the gap with competitors like Meta.
  • The ongoing share buybacks at increasing valuations indicate internal confidence and provide a semi-regular price discovery mechanism for the private company.

Klarna

  • The "Buy Now, Pay Later" company is targeting a U.S. IPO in September 2025.
  • It aims to raise around $1 billion at a valuation between $13 billion and $14 billion.
  • The target IPO share price is between $34 and $36 per share.
  • This valuation is a significant decrease from its peak target of nearly $50 billion in 2021 but represents a 15.7% premium over its current secondary market valuation of $12.1 billion.
  • The company is showing strong fundamentals:
    • Q2 2025 revenue grew 20% year-over-year to $823 million.
    • It achieved an adjusted operating profit of $29 million, a significant improvement from a $1 million profit in the prior year.
    • Active customers grew 31% to 111 million.
  • The podcast notes that recent U.S. IPOs have performed exceptionally well, with the top 20 in 2025 averaging a 36% first-day gain.

Takeaways

  • The upcoming Klarna IPO presents a potential opportunity for investors. The much lower valuation compared to its 2021 peak could offer a more attractive entry point.
  • The company's return to profitability and strong customer growth are positive signs for its post-IPO performance.
  • Given the strong performance of recent IPOs, there could be significant investor interest and potential for a "pop" on the first day of trading.

Framer

  • Framer is an AI-powered "No-Code" website builder.
  • It recently raised $100 million in a Series D funding round, achieving a $2 billion valuation.
  • The company has hit $50 million in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) in 2025 and is targeting $100 million in ARR for 2026, indicating a 100% year-over-year growth target.
  • Framer was breakeven in 2024 and is seeing strong adoption from enterprise customers, including notable clients like Miro, Perplexity, and Scale AI.

Takeaways

  • Framer is a high-growth private company in the attractive AI and No-Code software sectors.
  • Its ability to attract enterprise clients and its rapid revenue growth make it a company to watch in the pre-IPO space. The recent $2 billion valuation sets a new benchmark for its worth.

Rain (Stablecoin Payments)

  • Rain is a startup building payment infrastructure for stablecoins like USDC. Its services include Visa debit/credit cards, wallets, and cross-border payments.
  • It raised $58 million in a Series B round, bringing its total funding to $88.5 million.
  • The company is a Visa principal member and joined Visa's stablecoin settlement pilot.
  • It has expanded support to multiple blockchains, including Solana (SOL), Tron (TRX), and Stellar (XLM).
  • Rain reported a 10x increase in transaction volume since the beginning of 2025, attributing the growth to increasing regulatory clarity in the U.S. and Europe.

Takeaways

  • Rain is a "picks and shovels" investment in the cryptocurrency space, providing essential infrastructure for the growing use of stablecoins in payments.
  • The partnership with Visa and support from major venture capital firms lend significant credibility.
  • This is an indirect way to gain exposure to the growth of stablecoins and blockchains like Solana, Tron, and Stellar without directly investing in the volatile cryptocurrencies themselves.

Commonwealth Fusion Systems

  • This is a company focused on developing nuclear fusion power generation.
  • It raised $863 million in a Series B2 round, bringing its total funding to nearly $3 billion.
  • The company has attracted investment from major players like NVIDIA (NVDA), Google (GOOGL), Bill Gates's Breakthrough Energy Ventures, and a consortium of Japanese companies.
  • It has a deal to provide 200 megawatts of power to Google.
  • The funds will be used to complete its SPARC prototype reactor, expected to be online in 2026, and develop its first commercial plant, ARC.

Takeaways

  • Commonwealth Fusion represents a long-term, high-risk, but potentially revolutionary investment in the future of clean energy.
  • The backing of major tech corporations and significant institutional funding signals strong confidence in its technology and approach.
  • This is not a short-term trade but an investment in a potential paradigm shift in energy production over the next decade.

SpaceX

  • The company successfully completed its 10th Starship test flight, a major milestone that included deploying dummy satellites and testing critical reentry systems.
  • This success is a key step toward fulfilling its $4 billion NASA contract for lunar landings.
  • The company's secondary market valuation is now $420 billion, up 5.2% from its July 2025 tender offer.

Takeaways

  • SpaceX continues to execute on its ambitious goals, consistently de-risking its technology and business model with each successful test.
  • The steady increase in its private market valuation reflects strong and growing investor demand. As a private company, access is limited, but it remains one of the most sought-after pre-IPO investments.

Anthropic

  • An AI company and major competitor to OpenAI, Anthropic has launched a research preview of a browser-based AI agent called Claude for Chrome.
  • The company is currently in the process of raising $10 billion at a massive $170 billion valuation.
  • It is competing directly with similar browser-based AI products from Perplexity, OpenAI, and Google.

Takeaways

  • Anthropic is one of the key players in the AI arms race. An investment in Anthropic is a bet on it becoming a dominant force in large language models.
  • The $170 billion valuation highlights the massive investor appetite for leading AI companies, but also suggests a very high bar for future growth to justify the price.

XAI

  • Elon Musk's AI company, XAI, released a new coding-specific AI model called Grok Code Fast 1.
  • The model is designed to be fast, economical, and is being offered for free for a limited time to drive adoption.
  • XAI's secondary market valuation is $128 billion, which is up 13.9% since its March 2025 merger with X.

Takeaways

  • XAI is another top-tier player in the AI space, competing with Microsoft's GitHub Copilot and OpenAI's Codex.
  • The rising secondary market valuation indicates strong private investor interest. An investment in XAI is a bet on its ability to carve out a significant share of the AI development market.

Pre-IPO Investment Funds

  • The podcast host's firm, AG Dillon & Co., offers a direct way for accredited investors (via financial advisors) to invest in these types of private companies.
  • They are closing single-stock funds for companies including Andrel, XAI, Brock, Lambda Labs, Together AI, and a space economy company.
  • The minimum investment is $2,500.

Takeaways

  • For investors who qualify, these specialized funds offer direct exposure to high-growth, pre-IPO companies that are otherwise inaccessible to the public.
  • This allows for building a custom portfolio of private companies like XAI before they potentially go public.
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Episode Description
Send us a text 00:00 - Intro 00:52 - ByteDance Buyback at $330B, More Revenue vs Meta 02:17 - Klarna IPO Back On 03:28 - Framer $2B Valuation Series D 04:21 - Rain Raises $58M for Stablecoin Payments Platform 05:34 - Commonwealth $863M for Fusion Prototype 06:38 - SpaceX 10th Starship Test a Huge Win 07:42 - Anthropic Launches Chrome AI Agent 08:47 - xAI Launches AI Coding Assistant
About This Week in Pre-IPO Stocks
This Week in Pre-IPO Stocks

This Week in Pre-IPO Stocks

By AG Dillon & Co

This Week in Pre-IPO Stocks reports on pre-IPO stock research, trends, trading, and venture capital funds. Visit www.agdillon.com for more.