Mert Mumtaz & Illia Polosukhin: What Happened to Zcash (Full Explanation)
Mert Mumtaz & Illia Polosukhin: What Happened to Zcash (Full Explanation)
Podcast38 min 16 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Monitor Zcash (ZEC) closely over the next few months as the upcoming pool migration serves as a "moment of truth" to debunk supply exploit rumors. If the network's "turnstile" mechanism confirms no infinite minting occurred, it could act as a significant bullish catalyst for the token. Near Protocol (NEAR) offers a compelling buy case due to its "Near Intents" revenue, which generates roughly $50M annualized to fund programmatic token buybacks. Investors should favor protocols like NEAR and ZEC that are implementing Formal Verification, a mathematical security standard that protects against the rising threat of AI-driven hacks. Focus on NEAR as a long-term play in the "User-Owned AI" sector, as the foundation shifts toward becoming a net buyer of its own asset to achieve financial sustainability.

Detailed Analysis

Zcash (ZEC)

The discussion focused heavily on a recent "exploit" scare involving Zcash's Orchard shielded pool. Analysts clarified that this was not a malicious hack or an AI-generated exploit, but a technical vulnerability discovered by a high-level auditor. The conversation addressed concerns regarding a potential "infinite mint" or double-spend bug within the private pool.

  • The "Exploit" Context: A vulnerability was found in the ZK (Zero-Knowledge) circuits. While some feared an infinite supply was being minted and sold, speakers argued that game theory and on-chain data (increasing shielded supply) suggest no major exploit actually occurred.
  • The Turnstile Mechanism: Zcash uses "turnstiles" to monitor funds moving between different pools. If more money leaves a pool than entered it, the system flags a supply violation.
  • Upcoming Network Upgrade: A migration to a new pool is imminent. Users will be prompted to move funds from the Orchard pool to a new, patched pool. This process will provide definitive proof of whether an exploit occurred.
  • Project Tachyon: This is a major upcoming upgrade (slated for late summer/early autumn) designed to implement Formal Verification, making the protocol mathematically provable and "quantum-proof."

Takeaways

  • Verification Milestone: The upcoming pool migration is a "moment of truth." If the turnstile is not triggered during the migration, the "infinite mint" narrative will be debunked, potentially serving as a bullish catalyst.
  • Risk Assessment: Investors should monitor the migration closely. If a significant discrepancy is found (e.g., the turnstile is triggered), it could cause severe reputational and financial damage to the protocol.
  • Long-term Bull Case: The transition to Project Tachyon aims to remove the "black box" risk of ZK-circuits through formal verification, which could make Zcash the most audited and secure privacy protocol in the market.
  • User Action: Users of the Zashi (Zoda) wallet should look for update notifications to migrate their funds to the new pool to ensure continued privacy and security.

Near Protocol (NEAR)

The discussion highlighted Near's resilience and its evolving role in "User-Owned AI" and confidential transactions. Illia Polosukhin (Near Founder) emphasized the protocol's shift toward becoming a net buyer of its own token.

  • Near Intents Revenue: The "Near Intents" protocol is generating significant revenue (cited at ~$150k/day or ~$50M annualized during high volatility).
  • Programmatic Buybacks: Revenue from Near Intents is used to buy back NEAR tokens from the market.
  • Financial Sustainability: The Near Foundation is moving toward being "cash neutral," aiming to fund operations through revenue rather than selling token reserves.
  • AI Integration: Near is positioning itself as the "coordination and ownership layer" for AI, with formal verification being a key component of its security stack.

Takeaways

  • Deflationary Pressure: The programmatic buyback mechanism means that high market volatility actually benefits the token's supply dynamics, as higher trading volume leads to more fees and more buybacks.
  • Institutional Positioning: Near’s focus on Formal Verification and AI coordination targets a medium-to-long-term horizon, moving beyond simple smart contract execution.
  • Sentiment Note: Despite high-profile traders (like Arthur Hayes) reportedly exiting positions, the founders remain focused on the "Lindy Effect" and building revenue-generating infrastructure.

Investment Themes & Sectors

Formal Verification

A recurring theme was that the "Armageddon of vulnerabilities" in crypto can only be solved through Formal Verification—using mathematical proofs to ensure code behaves exactly as intended.

  • Insight: Investors should look for protocols (like Zcash and Near) that are moving toward formally verified stacks, as these are less susceptible to the "vibe-coding" bugs that plague standard DeFi.

Privacy Protocol Risks

The "audibility vs. privacy" trade-off was a central point.

  • Insight: Fully private pools (like those in Zcash or Monero) carry a unique risk where supply inflation is harder to detect than on transparent chains like Bitcoin or Solana. The "Turnstile" method is currently the industry standard for managing this risk.

AI and Security

The speakers noted that AI is being used by both "white hat" auditors and "black hat" hackers to find bugs at an accelerated rate.

  • Insight: The window for manual code audits is closing. Protocols that do not integrate AI-driven security and formal verification may face increasing exploit risks in the next 6–12 months.
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Episode Description
Illia and Mert break down why the Zcash situation is a known ZK circuit trade-off and not the infinite mint catastrophe the market priced in, why Project Tachyon's formal verification is the most bullish upgrade in Zcash history, and why NEAR Intents generated $150K in a single volatile day, buying back NEAR while everyone else was selling. Illia Polosukhin is Co-Founder of NEAR Protocol, and Mert is Co-Founder of Helius, a leading Solana infrastructure platform. The Rollup is where the leaders of digital assets and finance converge. Live from the financial capital of the world. Timestamps 00:00 Zcash Exploit Or Not? 00:41 ZK Circuit Risk Explained 02:32 Why ZEC Price Dropped 03:48 Zcash Sapling Pool 2019 05:22 No Infinite Mint Evidence 06:31 Formal Verification Is Solution 08:05 Project Tachyon Quantum Proof 11:18 AI Vulnerability Armageddon Coming 17:02 Zcash Optional Transparency Explained 21:08 NEAR Intents ZEC Inflow 24:35 Bear Case Worst Scenario 30:01 NEAR Profits On Volatility 33:43 Arthur Dumped NEAR Reaction Guest Socials: Mert Mumtaz X: https://x.com/mert Helius X: https://x.com/helius Helius Website: https://www.helius.dev/ Illia Polosukhin X: https://x.com/ilblackdragon NEAR Protocol X: https://x.com/NEARProtocol NEAR Protocol Website: https://www.near.org/ Partners: Better than Banks. Transparent capital efficiency earning the highest yields in DeFi. Learn more here: https://infinifi.xyz/ --- APYX - Enhanced Digital Credit Yield, Onchain | On Track to Become the Largest Holder of STRC. https://apyx.fi/ --- Dinari - Over 230 1:1 backed tokenized stocks, ETFs & more with dividends. US-based SEC transfer agent. Available on 5+ chains & via API. https://dinari.com/ --- Relay is the fastest and most reliable way to swap any token on any chain. Learn more here: https://relay.link/bridge --- Zama is an open source cryptography company that builds state-of-the-art Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE) solutions for blockchain. Learn more here: https://www.zama.org/ --- Trezor is the creator of the first-ever hardware wallet. Securing crypto for 2M+ users worldwide. 100% open source. Learn more here: https://affil.trezor.io/aff_c?offer_id=133&aff_id=36664 --- 𝗪𝗲 𝘁𝗿𝘆 𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗯𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗱𝘂𝗰𝗲 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵-𝗾𝘂𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆, 𝗻𝗼𝗻-𝗯𝗶𝗮𝘀𝗲𝗱, 𝗲𝗱𝘂𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗱𝗶𝗴𝗶𝘁𝗮𝗹 𝗮𝘀𝘀𝗲𝘁𝘀 𝗲𝗰𝗼𝘀𝘆𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗺. 𝗦𝘂𝗽𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁 𝘂𝘀 𝗯𝘆 𝗰𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮𝗻𝘆 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗸𝘀 𝗯𝗲𝗹𝗼𝘄 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗳𝗿𝗲𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗼𝘂𝗿𝗰𝗲𝘀: Website: https://therollup.co/ Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1P6ZeYd... Podcast: https://therollup.co/category/podcast Follow us on X: https://www.x.com/therollupco Follow Rob on X: https://x.com/robbieklages Follow Andy on X: https://x.com/andyyy Join our TG group: https://t.me/+TsM1CRpWFgk1NGZh The Rollup Disclosures: https://goodidea.ventures 𝗗𝗜𝗦𝗖𝗟𝗔𝗜𝗠𝗘𝗥: 𝘐𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘯 𝘤𝘳𝘺𝘱𝘵𝘰𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘺 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘋𝘦𝘍𝘪 𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘴 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘴 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘪𝘯𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬𝘴 𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘭𝘶𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘦𝘤𝘩𝘯𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬, 𝘩𝘶𝘮𝘢𝘯 𝘦𝘳𝘳𝘰𝘳, 𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮 𝘧𝘢𝘪𝘭𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦. 𝘈𝘵 𝘤𝘦𝘳𝘵𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘳𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩𝘰𝘶𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘯𝘯𝘦𝘭, 𝘸𝘦 𝘮𝘢𝘺 𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘯 𝘢 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘮𝘪𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘰𝘳 𝘧𝘦𝘦 𝘢𝘴 𝘢 𝘴𝘱𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘰𝘳𝘴𝘩𝘪𝘱, 𝘪𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘪𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘢𝘴𝘦 𝘸𝘦 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘢𝘭𝘸𝘢𝘺𝘴 𝘮𝘢𝘬𝘦 𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘪𝘵 𝘪𝘴 𝘤𝘭𝘦𝘢𝘳. 𝘞𝘦 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘵𝘭𝘺 𝘢𝘯 𝘦𝘥𝘶𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮, 𝘯𝘰𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘸𝘦 𝘰𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘳 𝘪𝘴 𝘧𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘪𝘤𝘦. 𝘞𝘦 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘧𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘴 𝘰𝘳 𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘦𝘥 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘪𝘴𝘰𝘳𝘴.
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