Evan Van Ness: Pearl Could Be Bigger Than Bitcoin (PEARL Thesis)
Evan Van Ness: Pearl Could Be Bigger Than Bitcoin (PEARL Thesis)
Podcast37 min 50 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Treat PEARL as a high-risk, speculative investment: the speaker favored buying over mining and mentioned buying below $1.50, versus about $1.78 discussed, but offered no price target or timeline. Watch for the planned FP8 upgrade, a meaningful increase in useful AI mining, and real-world adoption by AI providers before treating the thesis as proven. The discussion provided no fresh actionable recommendation for BTC, ETH, KAS, NVDA, or NEAR.

Detailed Analysis

Pearl (PEARL)

  • Evan Van Ness described PEARL as a potential store-of-value asset and said he believes it could eventually be bigger than Bitcoin. That is his thesis, not a price target.
  • Pearl’s proof-of-work system is designed to reward GPU operators for doing AI-related matrix multiplication, such as serving model queries, rather than relying only on computations with no practical use.
    • The speaker said current mining is still mostly non-useful work, estimating useful work at under 1%.
    • A planned hard fork supporting the FP8 quantization format is intended to let the network handle more useful AI workloads; the code was under audit at the time of the discussion.
    • The longer-term thesis is that AI inference providers could earn PEARL alongside their usual revenue, potentially lowering their effective costs and encouraging broader adoption.
  • The speaker said Pearl is oriented toward store of value, not payments, and does not have smart contracts.
  • PEARL was discussed at about $1.78, with a stated fully diluted valuation of about $3.74 billion. The speaker mentioned buying below $1.50. No future price target or timeline was provided.
  • The speaker’s view was that buying PEARL is generally preferable to mining it, unless an investor has an advantage such as unusually cheap electricity or hardware.
  • Risks and uncertainties raised in the discussion include:
    • Useful work has not yet become a meaningful share of network activity, and adoption depends on successful technical upgrades.
    • The network may continue to permit non-useful work, which could compete with useful AI workloads for mining rewards.
    • The speaker described a wide range of possible outcomes: Pearl could become highly decentralized money, but it might not develop a strong store-of-value following or surpass Bitcoin.
    • Mining economics depend on the value of PEARL and the costs or efficiency trade-offs of adding the proof-of-work process.

Takeaways

  • Treat PEARL as a high-risk, thesis-driven investment, not as an established AI-infrastructure business or proven store of value.
  • For investors evaluating the thesis, the key milestones to watch are the FP8 upgrade, the share of mining that becomes useful, and whether AI providers adopt Pearl in practice.
  • The speaker explicitly favored buying over mining for people without a hardware or electricity advantage. The transcript provides no basis for a specific price target.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Van Ness said he has historically been skeptical of Bitcoin, citing what he views as early ossification and potential security-budget concerns.
  • He questioned whether the Bitcoin community would accept future changes, including changes needed to address technological developments such as quantum computing.
  • He also acknowledged that Bitcoin could fix these issues and that its store-of-value following may remain powerful.

Takeaways

  • The discussion presents Bitcoin mainly as a comparison point for Pearl, not as a new Bitcoin recommendation.
  • The speaker’s bearish arguments are his own views; he also recognized that Bitcoin could adapt and retain its strong store-of-value narrative.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Van Ness previously held a leadership role at the Ethereum Foundation and said he still holds ETH.
  • He said changes at the Ethereum Foundation seemed “mostly bullish,” but also said he was no longer the right person to assess Ethereum because his attention was focused on Pearl.
  • A possible lawsuit involving events of the prior year was mentioned, but the transcript did not explain its relevance to ETH or Ethereum’s investment outlook.

Takeaways

  • The episode offers little current investment analysis of ETH. It does not provide a price target, timeline, or specific recommendation.
  • The speaker’s continued ETH holdings indicate personal exposure, but should not be read as a fresh endorsement.

Kaspa (KAS)

  • Kaspa’s founder, Yoni Simpolinski, came up in Van Ness’s account of how he learned about Pearl. The conversation prompted Van Ness to look into Pearl’s approach to useful proof of work.
  • Van Ness said a possible project involving Kaspa did not make sense for either party. No investment view on KAS was given.

Takeaways

  • Kaspa was mentioned as background to Pearl’s origin story, not as an investment opportunity discussed in the episode.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • Pearl’s approach relies on GPU computing and matrix multiplication, an area NVIDIA’s hardware is designed to handle.
  • Van Ness likened NVIDIA to an “ASIC for Pearl mining,” while noting that this was an analogy and that specialized hardware could potentially perform some mining work without delivering useful AI output.
  • Pearl Research Labs was said to be part of NVIDIA’s startup accelerator program. No view on NVIDIA stock or its valuation was offered.

Takeaways

  • The NVIDIA discussion relates to Pearl’s technical and industry context, not to a stock recommendation.
  • The transcript provides no specific investment case, price target, or risk assessment for NVDA.

AI Inference and GPU Compute

  • The central investment theme is the possibility of combining AI inference with cryptocurrency mining, so data-center operators can earn token rewards while serving AI workloads.
  • Van Ness argued that a provider using Pearl could potentially serve queries more cheaply than competitors, creating pressure for other providers to adopt it.
  • He said mining pools and GPU marketplaces could make participation possible without owning hardware, but did not recommend that listeners rent GPUs to mine.
  • Data-center expansion, potential U.S. restrictions, and financing concerns came up. Van Ness said he viewed limits on U.S. data-center construction as short-term turbulence, arguing that operators might build elsewhere; this was his opinion, not a demonstrated outcome.

Takeaways

  • The opportunity described is conditional on Pearl becoming useful at scale and on its rewards offsetting any added costs or performance trade-offs.
  • Investors considering this theme should distinguish the broader growth of AI compute from the specific question of whether Pearl will be adopted by AI providers.

NEAR (NEAR) and Near Intense

  • Near Intense was mentioned as a platform where PEARL had recently become available to trade.
  • The hosts also promoted a trading-fee rebate paid in NEAR tokens. This was promotional content, not an investment thesis about NEAR.

Takeaways

  • The platform mention does not provide an investment case for NEAR or a recommendation to use the service.
  • No NEAR price target, outlook, or asset-specific risk was discussed.
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Episode Description
Evan Van Ness sees an opportunity bigger than Bitcoin hiding inside the AI boom, and he's convinced Pearl is the project positioned to capture it. He joins Andy and Rob to unpack his thesis for Pearl, where the computation behind AI inference could also secure a monetary network. They explore how useful proof of work could reshape data center economics, why adoption could create a powerful flywheel, and what still needs to happen for that vision to become reality. Evan Van Ness is an investor at Starbloom Capital. He previously held a leadership role at the Ethereum Foundation and has spent more than a year focused on Pearl. The Rollup is where the leaders of digital assets and finance converge. Live from the financial capital of the world. Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 01:21 Pearl Could Be Bigger Than Bitcoin 03:47 Bitcoin's Ossification And Security Budget Problem 06:36 Everyone Wanted Proof Of Work Useful 08:51 Pearl Mines Through Matrix Multiplication 11:00 Near Zero Overhead Mining Alongside Inference 15:41 Pearl's Useful Work Is Under 1% 17:49 Everything Useless Must Become Useful Work 20:20 A Pearl Flywheel For Cheaper Inference 24:21 Midterms Threaten Data Center Buildouts 27:40 Frontier Labs Already Know About Pearl 31:00 Pearl At 3.7B FDV Versus Bitcoin 35:20 A Pearl Fork Aimed At Payments Guest Socials Evan Van Ness X: https://x.com/evan_van_ness Evan Van Ness website: https://www.evanvanness.com Pearl Research Labs X: https://x.com/prlnet Pearl Website: https://pearlresearch.ai Partners: Space and Time is providing verifiable data infrastructure for onchain finance. A decentralized database, blockchain indexer, and ZK coprocessor in one, giving DeFi protocols,stablecoins, and tokenized assets accurate, provable data. --- Zama is an open source cryptography company that builds state-of-the-art Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE) solutions for blockchain. Learn more here: https://www.zama.org/ --- 𝗪𝗲 𝘁𝗿𝘆 𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗯𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗱𝘂𝗰𝗲 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵-𝗾𝘂𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆, 𝗻𝗼𝗻-𝗯𝗶𝗮𝘀𝗲𝗱, 𝗲𝗱𝘂𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗱𝗶𝗴𝗶𝘁𝗮𝗹 𝗮𝘀𝘀𝗲𝘁𝘀 𝗲𝗰𝗼𝘀𝘆𝘀𝘁𝗲𝗺. 𝗦𝘂𝗽𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁 𝘂𝘀 𝗯𝘆 𝗰𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮𝗻𝘆 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗸𝘀 𝗯𝗲𝗹𝗼𝘄 𝗳𝗼𝗿 𝗳𝗿𝗲𝗲 𝗿𝗲𝘀𝗼𝘂𝗿𝗰𝗲𝘀: Website: https://therollup.co/ Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1P6ZeYd9vbF3hJA2n7qoL5 Podcast: https://therollup.co/category/podcast Follow us on X: https://www.x.com/therollupco Follow Rob on X: https://x.com/robbieklages Follow Andy on X: https://x.com/andyyy Join our TG group: https://t.me/+TsM1CRpWFgk1NGZh The Rollup Disclosures: https://goodidea.ventures 𝗗𝗜𝗦𝗖𝗟𝗔𝗜𝗠𝗘𝗥: 𝘐𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘯 𝘤𝘳𝘺𝘱𝘵𝘰𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘺 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘋𝘦𝘍𝘪 𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘴 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘴 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘪𝘯𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬𝘴 𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘭𝘶𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘦𝘤𝘩𝘯𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬, 𝘩𝘶𝘮𝘢𝘯 𝘦𝘳𝘳𝘰𝘳, 𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮 𝘧𝘢𝘪𝘭𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦. 𝘈𝘵 𝘤𝘦𝘳𝘵𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝗿𝗼𝘂𝗴𝗵𝗼𝘂𝘁 𝘵𝘩𝗶𝘴 𝘤𝗵𝗮𝗻𝗻𝗲𝘭, 𝘸𝘦 𝘮𝘢𝘺 𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘯 𝘢 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘮𝘪𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘰𝘳 𝘧𝘦𝘦 𝘢𝘴 𝘢 𝘴𝗽𝗼𝗻𝘀𝗼𝗿𝘀𝗵𝗶𝗽, 𝘪𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘪𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘢𝘴𝘦 𝘸𝘦 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘢𝘭𝘸𝘢𝘺𝘴 𝘮𝘢𝘬𝘦 𝘴𝘂𝘳𝘦 𝘪𝘵 𝘪𝘴 𝘤𝘭𝘦𝘢𝘳. 𝘞𝘦 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘴𝘵𝗿𝘪𝘤𝘵𝘭𝘺 𝘢𝘯 𝘦𝘥𝘂𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝗼𝘯𝗮𝗹 𝘤𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘁 𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘵𝗳𝗼𝘳𝘮, 𝘯𝘰𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘸𝘦 𝘰𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘳 𝘪𝘴 𝘧𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘪𝘤𝘦. 𝘞𝘦 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘱𝘳𝗼𝘧𝗲𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘴 𝘰𝘳 𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘦𝘥 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘪𝘴𝗼𝘳𝘴.
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