DeFi's Next Big Leg Is Coming (Soon) - Avichal Garg & Mike Silagadze
DeFi's Next Big Leg Is Coming (Soon) - Avichal Garg & Mike Silagadze
Podcast30 min 10 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider foundational long-term holdings in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), as they are expected to form the basis of a new financial system with a potential $1 million price target for BTC. For high-growth exposure, look at Ether.fi (ETHFI), a rapidly expanding "DeFi bank" poised to benefit from large institutional capital inflows. Build a diversified DeFi portfolio with key protocols like Aave (AAVE) and Uniswap (UNI), which are expected to see significant growth from capital deployment over the next six months. Solana (SOL) is another key asset to watch, with a potential future catalyst from a unique yield-bearing ETF. For a near-term, event-driven opportunity, monitor altcoins such as XRP, XLM, and Cardano (ADA), which are reportedly on the verge of spot ETF approvals.

Detailed Analysis

DeFi (Decentralized Finance) - Macro Theme

  • The speakers believe the DeFi space is on the cusp of a major growth phase, driven by massive capital inflows from Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs) and the expansion of stablecoins.
  • A key insight shared is the human tendency to "overestimate what's possible in the short term and underestimate what's possible in the long term." This applies directly to DeFi, where many short-term projects may be "Ponzi-coded," but the long-term potential for durable, cash-flow-generating protocols is immense.
  • The influx of capital is expected to be substantial, with one speaker predicting "real fireworks" in the next six months as tens of billions of dollars are deployed on-chain.
  • The total value locked (TVL) in DeFi is expected to eventually rip past $1 trillion.
  • The discussion highlights a group of protocols that are forming what could be considered the "mag seven of crypto": Aave, Uniswap, Athena, Maker, EtherFi, Hyperliquid, and Pump.Fun.

Takeaways

  • Adopt a long-term investment horizon (7-10 years) for DeFi investments. Be prepared for significant short-term volatility while focusing on the long-term growth narrative.
  • Focus on protocols with real, fundamental utility. The speakers suggest looking for projects that are synonymous with a core financial "verb" like lend (Aave), trade (Uniswap), or save/spend (Ether.fi). These are more likely to be durable businesses.
  • The coming months could be a significant catalyst for the DeFi sector as institutional capital from DATs begins to be deployed more actively to generate yield.

Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs)

  • Companies like BitMine (BMNR), ETHZILA (ETHZ), and SBet (SBED) have accumulated tens of billions of dollars in assets like Bitcoin and Ethereum.
  • These entities are different from passive ETFs because they have the ability to actively use their assets to generate yield in DeFi.
  • While some, like BitMine, are currently cautious about deploying into DeFi, others like ETHZILA have already started.
  • The speakers believe that as these companies build up a profit buffer from basic staking, their "willingness to go risk on will actually go up over time," leading to more capital flowing into DeFi protocols.
  • Owning a yield-generating DAT is described as a "no brainer" compared to owning a passive ETF that has a management cost and is subject to inflation from staking rewards it cannot capture.

Takeaways

  • The deployment of capital from DATs into DeFi is a major upcoming catalyst for the entire ecosystem.
  • Investors can position themselves for this trend by identifying the DeFi protocols most likely to receive these institutional inflows. Protocols offering secure, scalable yield on major assets like ETH are prime candidates.
  • The performance and DeFi strategies of public DATs like BMNR and ETHZ should be monitored as a bellwether for broader institutional adoption of on-chain yield strategies.

Ether.fi (ETHFI)

  • Ether.fi is positioning itself as a "crypto native neobank" or a DeFi bank, aiming to provide services like saving and spending.
  • The protocol is highlighted for its extreme operational efficiency. It manages over $12 billion in assets with just 30 employees, a feat described as "physically impossible" in traditional finance (TradFi), which would require 500-600 employees for a similar scale.
  • This efficiency allows Ether.fi to offer higher rewards to its users, such as 3% cash back on its card.
  • The Ether.fi card program is showing strong growth, already processing over $1 million a day in transaction volume and on track to become the largest crypto card within months.
  • Mike Silagadze of Ether.fi stated they could "easily absorb 10 billion" in capital from a DAT like BitMine, signaling their readiness for large institutional inflows.

Takeaways

  • Ether.fi is presented as a durable, high-growth business solving the fundamental needs to "save money" and "spend money."
  • Its rapid user adoption, particularly with its card product, is a key metric demonstrating real-world utility and product-market fit.
  • The protocol is a prime candidate to benefit from the trend of DATs seeking on-chain yield, which could significantly increase its assets under management and revenue.

Bitcoin (BTC) & Ethereum (ETH)

  • These two assets are viewed as the foundation for an entirely new, crypto-native capital base that will create immense wealth over the next decade.
  • The speakers project that BTC and ETH appreciation will create 5,000 to 10,000 new billionaires over the next decade. This would mean that roughly half of the world's billionaires would be crypto-native.
  • Bitcoin (BTC): A price of $1 million or more is seen as possible, with the argument that it could be bigger than gold because it is "gold on a phone."
  • Ethereum (ETH): It is argued that ETH could also be better than gold and will be a core asset in this new financial system.
  • The ultimate thesis is that crypto won't just integrate with the "real world"; it will "eat the rest of the world," becoming the dominant financial system where all significant capital resides.

Takeaways

  • BTC and ETH are positioned as essential, long-term holdings for any crypto portfolio.
  • The investment thesis is not just about price appreciation but about these assets forming the bedrock of a new global financial power structure.
  • Investors with a long time horizon can look past short-term volatility, focusing on the potential for an order-of-magnitude increase in value as this new capital market matures.

Solana (SOL)

  • Solana is mentioned alongside BTC and ETH as a key asset being accumulated by Digital Asset Treasuries (DATs).
  • A potential Solana ETF was discussed, with the unique point that it might be able to offer more competitive staking yields compared to an ETH ETF. This is due to differences in how the Solana network's block production and MEV (Maximal Extractable Value) work.

Takeaways

  • Solana is recognized as a major Layer-1 blockchain with significant institutional interest.
  • The potential for a yield-bearing SOL ETF is a unique future catalyst that could make it particularly attractive to traditional investors seeking both exposure and income.

Altcoin ETFs (XRP, XLM, ADA)

  • The transcript mentions that ETFs for altcoins like XRP, XLM, and Cardano (ADA) are on the verge of getting approved by the SEC.
  • The host notes that while these may not be "everyone's favorite coins," they are the most likely candidates for the next wave of ETF approvals after BTC and ETH.

Takeaways

  • The potential approval of spot ETFs for XRP, XLM, and ADA represents a significant near-term, event-driven catalyst for these specific assets.
  • ETF approval would increase accessibility, liquidity, and legitimacy for these tokens, likely driving investor attention and capital inflows.

Stablecoins

  • A major prediction from a research firm (referred to as "Mesent," likely Messari) was cited: the stablecoin market cap is expected to grow to $3 trillion by 2028.
  • This massive expansion of on-chain dollars is seen as a fundamental driver of innovation and activity across the entire crypto ecosystem.

Takeaways

  • The projected 10x growth in stablecoins is a powerful tailwind for all of DeFi.
  • An increase in on-chain dollars will directly fuel demand for DeFi services like lending, borrowing, trading, and yield generation, benefiting protocols that facilitate these activities.
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Episode Description
Digital asset treasury companies are sitting on tens of billions in crypto, but it's mostly idle. That's changing fast. In today's episode, were joined by Mike Silagadze, CEO of Ether.Fi & Avichal Garg, GP at Electric Capital, to discuss: - Why DATs Will Send DeFi Into a Growth Mode Frenzy - What Assets Avichal Is Positioning In - Will There Be 5,000 New Crypto Billionaires by 2035? - Mike's Digital Asset Neobank Vision - Revenue, Buybacks, and Fundamental Investing Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 00:38 Avichal's Crypto Journey 04:18 Current Landscape: IPOs, DATs & ETFs 11:58 Starknet Ad 12:28 DeFi Is Maturing 17:39 Avichal's Asset Selection Framework 21:53 Mike Talks About Ether.Fi’s Edge 25:15 The Billion Dollar Neobank Vision --- Website: https://therollup.co/ Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1P6ZeYd... Podcast: https://therollup.co/category/podcast Follow us on X: https://www.x.com/therollupco Follow Rob on X: https://www.x.com/robbie_rollup Follow Andy on X: https://www.x.com/ayyyeandy Join our TG group: https://t.me/+TsM1CRpWFgk1NGZh The Rollup Disclosures: https://therollup.co/the-rollup-discl 𝗗𝗜𝗦𝗖𝗟𝗔𝗜𝗠𝗘𝗥: 𝘐𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘯 𝘤𝘳𝘺𝘱𝘵𝘰𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘺 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘋𝘦𝘍𝘪 𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘴 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘴 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘪𝘯𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬𝘴 𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘭𝘶𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘦𝘤𝘩𝘯𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬, 𝘩𝘶𝘮𝘢𝘯 𝘦𝘳𝘳𝘰𝘳, 𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮 𝘧𝘢𝘪𝘭𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦. 𝘈𝘵 𝘤𝘦𝘳𝘵𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘳𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩𝘰𝘶𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘯𝘯𝘦𝘭, 𝘸𝘦 𝘮𝘢𝘺 𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘯 𝘢 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘮𝘪𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘰𝘳 𝘧𝘦𝘦 𝘢𝘴 𝘢 𝘴𝘱𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘰𝘳𝘴𝘩𝘪𝘱, 𝘪𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘪𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘢𝘴𝘦 𝘸𝘦 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘢𝘭𝘸𝘢𝘺𝘴 𝘮𝘢𝘬𝘦 𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘪𝘵 𝘪𝘴 𝘤𝘭𝘦𝘢𝘳. 𝘞𝘦 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘵𝘭𝘺 𝘢𝘯 𝘦𝘥𝘶𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮, 𝘯𝘰𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘸𝘦 𝘰𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘳 𝘪𝘴 𝘧𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘪𝘤𝘦. 𝘞𝘦 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘧𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘴 𝘰𝘳 𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘦𝘥 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘪𝘴𝘰𝘳𝘴.
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