ARKInvest Digital Assets: The Next Bull Market Will Be The Biggest Ever (What We Expect)
ARKInvest Digital Assets: The Next Bull Market Will Be The Biggest Ever (What We Expect)
Podcast49 min 54 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Use Bitcoin (BTC) as your core portfolio anchor for a long-term digital store-of-value allocation targeting the 2026–2028 timeframe.

Prioritize crypto equities like Coinbase (COIN) and Robinhood (HOOD) over most native tokens, as these centralized platforms control mainstream distribution and generate up to ten times more revenue than decentralized protocols.

Allocate to Hyperliquid (HYPE) to capture high-margin application-layer growth driven by its sustained $500,000 to $1,000,000 in daily derivatives trading revenue.

Consider Pump.fun (PUMP) for tactical, short-term upside supported by strong tokenomics, specifically an active 36% supply burn and a programmatic 50% revenue buyback mechanism.

Exercise caution with base-layer smart contract tokens like Ethereum (ETH) and Solana (SOL) until their underlying fee structures prove they can reliably translate high transaction volumes into protocol cash flow.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Viewed by institutional analysts as the undisputed benchmark digital store-of-value asset.
  • Possesses unparalleled advantages over competing store-of-value coins in terms of liquidity, mining hash rate, network decentralization, and widespread exchange access.
  • Serves as an anchor asset for a long-term "store of value" portfolio allocation looking toward 2026–2028.

Takeaways

  • Remains the most solid foundation for crypto exposure, given that alternative privacy or Layer-1 store-of-value assets struggle to match its network security and liquidity depth.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Retains strong long-term network fundamentals despite being down significantly from cycle highs.
  • Faces ongoing structural questions regarding whether Layer-1 base chains capture meaningful value long-term compared to the revenue-generating applications built on top of them.
  • Discussion centered on whether portions of transaction fees should be routed back to supporting entities (like the Ethereum Foundation) to ensure sustainable funding for long-term growth and research.

Takeaways

  • A fundamental infrastructure holding, but investors should monitor how base-layer fee models evolve as economic activity increasingly concentrates in application-layer protocols.

Solana (SOL)

  • Experiencing a divergence where on-chain transaction volumes have touched record highs, yet protocol fee revenue sits near multi-year lows.
  • Revenue compression is driven by low block-space contention and minimal priority fee bidding (MEV), proving that high throughput does not inherently translate into massive base-layer protocol revenue.
  • Exploring monetization higher up the tech stack, such as capturing and internalizing stablecoin yield on-chain.

Takeaways

  • High transaction throughput does not guarantee high token cash flows without persistent fee contention or native monetization higher up the stack.

Hyperliquid (HYPE)

  • Operates as a market leader in on-chain perpetual futures (perps) trading, generating $500,000 to $1,000,000 per day in revenue.
  • Successfully monetizes the application layer (exchange order books and front-end interface) rather than relying solely on low base-layer blockchain transaction fees.
  • Commands a high valuation multiple because investors can clearly underwrite its total addressable market (TAM) as it takes market share from traditional derivatives venues.

Takeaways

  • Represents a prime example of digital asset value shifting to the application layer through clear, durable fee generation and disciplined product focus.

Pump.fun (PUMP)

  • Implemented aggressive token supply dynamics, including a 36% token burn and a programmatic 50% revenue buyback contract.
  • Benefits from non-cyclical, durable user demand driven by retail meme coin traders whose activity does not strictly follow broader crypto market trends.
  • Future upside relies on whether the platform can cross-sell its small-ticket retail users into other financial products like spot or perpetual trading.

Takeaways

  • Shows strong short-term price support from programmatic fee buybacks, but long-term investment viability hinges on expanding beyond meme coin launches.

Sky (SKY)

  • Generates substantial gross protocol revenue within the yield-bearing stablecoin sector, but a major portion of this revenue is distributed directly back to users as stablecoin yield (USDS).
  • Trades at a compressed valuation multiple compared to derivatives platforms due to historical supply plateaus between $7 billion and $12 billion and intense competition from centralized giants like Tether and Circle.
  • Governance complexity, such as its sub-DAO structure, makes underwriting value accrual difficult for institutional allocators.

Takeaways

  • High gross revenue can be misleading if the protocol acts primarily as a pass-through for user yield; institutional interest remains cautious due to organizational complexity and market cap ceilings.

Zcash (ZEC)

  • Subject to strong debate between privacy advocates and institutional analysts:
    • Bull Case: Acts as a private, post-quantum resilient store of value with $1.5 billion to $3 billion held in shielded pools, favored by early Bitcoin adopters seeking financial privacy.
    • Bear Case: Falls far short of Bitcoin in hash rate, liquidity, and node distribution. Furthermore, institutional investors are skeptical of self-custody trends, noting that centralized exchange users cannot utilize shielded privacy pools.

Takeaways

  • A high-risk, niche alternative store of value; adoption faces structural headwinds as the broader market migrates toward regulated, custodial platforms where privacy features cannot be fully utilized.

Crypto Equities (Coinbase [COIN], Robinhood [HOOD])

  • Centralized, off-chain crypto companies generate roughly 8x to 10x more revenue than decentralized on-chain protocols combined (approximately $8 billion on-chain vs. vast off-chain revenue pools).
  • Distribution power has flipped the market dynamic: protocols now pay centralized platforms like Robinhood Chain (via token subsidies) to access their mainstream user bases.
  • Corporate decision-making is significantly faster and more legally predictable than decentralized governance models, avoiding contentious dual-equity/token structural conflicts.

Takeaways

  • Centralized platforms with massive retail distribution and clear corporate structures may continue to financially outperform native crypto tokens over the coming cycle.
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Episode Description
ARKInvest Digital Asset team Raye Hadi and Lorenzo Valente join us for a state of digital assets special. We debate whether token buybacks actually create value or if the correlation with top performers is just circular logic. They also tackle the trillion dollar question: whether Solana and Ethereum even need to capture fee revenue if they're hosting trillions in assets, and why Hyperliquid's app-layer monetization model might be the smarter blueprint than base-layer fees. Raye Hadi is a Research Associate in Digital Assets at ARK Invest. Lorenzo Valente is the Director of Research at ARK Invest, a leading investment firm known for its research on disruptive innovation including digital assets. The Rollup is where the leaders of digital assets and finance converge. Live from the financial capital of the world. Timestamps: 00:00 Intro 02:52 Perps, Tokenization, Stablecoins, Vaults 07:21 Crypto Equities Vs Tokens Debate 16:03 Regulatory Path Dependency Debate 17:06 Buybacks Correlate With Revenue 19:27 Are Buybacks Actually Stupid 28:12 Do L1s Even Need Revenue 30:11 Does Solana Need To Make Money 30:54 Hyperliquid Internalizes Stablecoin Yield 38:56 Sizing The Meme Coin Market 41:06 Debating Zcash's Place In The Barbell 46:44 Why Privacy And Self Custody Matter Guest Socials: Lorenzo Valente X: https://x.com/LorenzoARK Raye Hadi X: https://x.com/rhadiARK ARK Invest X: https://x.com/ARKinvest ARK Invest Website: https://www.ark-invest.com/ Partners: If you run concentrated liquidity positions you know the grind. Price moves, you're out of range, you're rebalancing at, like, 3am. 1inch Aqua lets you take a different approach. You can stack multiple positions on the same token balance instead of babysitting a dozen pools, and your tokens never leave your wallet. Your liquidity stays awake, so you can catch up on your sleep. Check it out at https://1inch.com/aqua --- Dinari - Over 230 1:1 backed tokenized stocks, ETFs & more with dividends. US-based SEC transfer agent. Available on 5+ chains & via API. https://dinari.com/ --- Space and Time is providing verifiable data infrastructure for onchain finance. A decentralized database, blockchain indexer, and ZK coprocessor in one, giving DeFi protocols,stablecoins, and tokenized assets accurate, provable data. --- Relay is the fastest and most reliable way to swap any token on any chain. Learn more here: https://relay.link/bridge --- Zama is an open source cryptography company that builds state-of-the-art Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE) solutions for blockchain. Learn more here: https://www.zama.org/ --- 𝗪𝗲 𝘁𝗿𝘆 𝗼𝘂𝗿 𝗯𝗲𝘀𝘁 𝘁𝗼 𝗽𝗿𝗼𝗱𝘂𝗰𝗲 𝗵𝗶𝗴𝗵-𝗾𝘂𝗮𝗹𝗶𝘁𝘆, 𝗻𝗼𝗻-𝗯𝗶𝗮𝘀𝗲𝗱, 𝗲𝗱𝘂𝗰𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝗮𝗹 𝗰𝗼𝗻𝘁𝗲𝗻𝘁. 𝗦𝘂𝗽𝗽𝗼𝗿𝘁 𝘂𝘀 𝗯𝘆 𝗰𝗹𝗶𝗰𝗸𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗮𝗻𝘆 𝗼𝗳 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗹𝗶𝗻𝗸𝘀 𝗯𝗲𝗹𝗼𝘄: Website: https://therollup.co/ Spotify: https://open.spotify.com/show/1P6ZeYd... Podcast: https://therollup.co/category/podcast Follow us on X: https://www.x.com/therollupco Follow Rob on X: https://x.com/robbieklages Follow Andy on X: https://x.com/andyyy Join our TG group: https://t.me/+TsM1CRpWFgk1NGZh The Rollup Disclosures: https://goodidea.ventures 𝗗𝗜𝗦𝗖𝗟𝗔𝗜𝗠𝗘𝗥: 𝘐𝘯𝘷𝘦𝘴𝘵𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘪𝘯 𝘤𝘳𝘺𝘱𝘵𝘰𝘤𝘶𝘳𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘤𝘺 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘋𝘦𝘍𝘪 𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮𝘴 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘦𝘴 𝘸𝘪𝘵𝘩 𝘪𝘯𝘩𝘦𝘳𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬𝘴 𝘪𝘯𝘤𝘭𝘶𝘥𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘵𝘦𝘤𝘩𝘯𝘪𝘤𝘢𝘭 𝘳𝘪𝘴𝘬, 𝘩𝘶𝘮𝘢𝘯 𝘦𝘳𝘳𝘰𝘳, 𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮 𝘧𝘢𝘪𝘭𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘢𝘯𝘥 𝘮𝘰𝘳𝘦. 𝘈𝘵 𝘤𝘦𝘳𝘵𝘢𝘪𝘯 𝘱𝘰𝘪𝘯𝘵𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘳𝘰𝘶𝘨𝘩𝘰𝘶𝘵 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘤𝘩𝘢𝘯𝘯𝘦𝘭, 𝘸𝘦 𝘮𝘢𝘺 𝘦𝘢𝘳𝘯 𝘢 𝘤𝘰𝘮𝘮𝘪𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯 𝘰𝘳 𝘧𝘦𝘦 𝘢𝘴 𝘢 𝘴𝘱𝘰𝘯𝘴𝘰𝘳𝘴𝘩𝘪𝘱, 𝘪𝘧 𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘴 𝘪𝘴 𝘵𝘩𝘦 𝘤𝘢𝘴𝘦 𝘸𝘦 𝘸𝘪𝘭𝘭 𝘢𝘭𝘸𝘢𝘺𝘴 𝘮𝘢𝘬𝘦 𝘴𝘶𝘳𝘦 𝘪𝘵 𝘪𝘴 𝘤𝘭𝘦𝘢𝘳. 𝘞𝘦 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘴𝘵𝘳𝘪𝘤𝘵𝘭𝘺 𝘢𝘯 𝘦𝘥𝘶𝘤𝘢𝘵𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭 𝘤𝘰𝘯𝘵𝘦𝘯𝘵 𝘱𝘭𝘢𝘵𝘧𝘰𝘳𝘮, 𝘯𝘰𝘵𝘩𝘪𝘯𝘨 𝘸𝘦 𝘰𝘧𝘧𝘦𝘳 𝘪𝘴 𝘧𝘪𝘯𝘢𝘯𝘤𝘪𝘢𝘭 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘪𝘤𝘦. 𝘞𝘦 𝘢𝘳𝘦 𝘯𝘰𝘵 𝘱𝘳𝘰𝘧𝘦𝘴𝘴𝘪𝘰𝘯𝘢𝘭𝘴 𝘰𝘳 𝘭𝘪𝘤𝘦𝘯𝘴𝘦𝘥 𝘢𝘥𝘷𝘪𝘴𝘰𝘳𝘴.
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