Why Are Bitcoin & AI Stocks CRASHING?! | Jordi Visser
Why Are Bitcoin & AI Stocks CRASHING?! | Jordi Visser
Podcast45 min 38 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Investors should look to accumulate Micron (MU) during market pullbacks, as a massive supply/demand imbalance in AI memory could drive the company toward a $2 trillion valuation by 2028. While Bitcoin (BTC) is currently facing a "debasement capitulation," it remains a high-conviction long-term hold as AI agents begin using it for autonomous transactions. For those with access to private markets, Anthropic is outperforming competitors with superior model efficiency and could eventually reach a $2 trillion valuation based on its rapid enterprise adoption. Conversely, Google (GOOGL) is currently viewed as an underperformer due to talent loss and product lag, making it a less attractive AI play than hardware or specialized model providers. To capitalize on the "Agentic Loop" theme, focus on strategic infrastructure like Intel (INTC) and TSMC (TSM), which serve as the essential physical backbone for the AI revolution.

Detailed Analysis

Based on the discussion between Anthony Pompliano and macro hedge fund manager Jordi Visser, here are the investment insights and asset-specific takeaways:


Micron (MU)

• Visser argues that Micron is currently in the "second or third inning" of a long-term build-out. • Supply/Demand Imbalance: Supply is expected to be out of balance until 2028 due to the massive memory requirements of AI agents, humanoids, and autonomous vehicles. • The "4 Billion People" Analogy: Visser compares the sudden need for memory to 4 billion new people suddenly appearing on Earth; the infrastructure (food/memory) simply cannot keep up with the population (AI agents). • Financial Growth: Micron recently reported more revenue in a quarter than NVIDIA did when it was a much smaller company. Visser suggests a path toward a $2 trillion valuation over the next year.

Takeaways

Avoid Shorting: Despite recent volatility, Visser explicitly states Micron is "in no way, shape, or form a short." • Expect a "Mid-Cycle Slowdown": Growth may slow from 400% to 50% (second derivative slowing), but the trajectory remains bullish. • Buy the Dips: Use "freak out" weeks or limit-down days in related markets (like Korea's SK Hynix) as potential entry points for a long-term hold.


Anthropic (Private)

• Visser highlights Anthropic as a major winner, noting it is currently 45% of his personal LLM usage, while Google's Gemini has fallen off. • Efficiency: Anthropic has fewer than 5,000 employees compared to Google’s 200,000, yet produces a model (Claude/Opus) that Visser considers superior. • Financial Strength: Reportedly has a 500% net dollar retention and is turning cash flow positive with 15-20% free cash flow margins.

Takeaways

Strategic Dominance: Anthropic is winning the "power user" and enterprise market. • Valuation Upside: While private valuations have jumped from $380B to $965B, Visser suggests it could eventually be a $2 trillion company based on its growth rate (25-30% month-over-month).


Bitcoin (BTC)

• Bitcoin is currently suffering from a "debasement capitulation." It is being lumped in with other "debasement trades" like gold and silver, which are selling off due to hawkish Fed sentiment. • Institutional Rebalancing: Recent price drops are attributed to end-of-quarter rebalancing by institutions and a lack of retail ("the mob") participation. • The "Third Wave": Visser believes the most explosive growth for Bitcoin will come when AI agents begin transacting autonomously.

Takeaways

Long-term Bullish/Short-term Bearish: The current "bear market" sentiment is a shakeout. • Agentic Commerce: The real catalyst for Bitcoin and stablecoins is the shift toward more transactions being handled by AI agents than humans by 2030. • Ignore the Noise: Visser dismisses fears of a MicroStrategy (MSTR) blow-up as "mob" sentiment.


Google (GOOGL)

• Visser expresses significant concern regarding Google’s position in the AI race, stating, "Google’s not a player in this anymore for me." • Talent Defection: High-level departures from DeepMind to competitors like Anthropic are a major red flag. • Product Lag: Visser notes that Gemini’s model quality is "nowhere near" ChatGPT 5.5 or Claude 3.5/Opus.

Takeaways

Multiple Compression: Like NVIDIA, Google is seeing its valuation multiple shrink as it struggles to prove it can monetize AI effectively while defending its core search business. • Not a Short, but an Underperformer: While Google is cash-rich and "not going anywhere," it is currently viewed as "number three" in a race where open-source models are catching up.


Investment Themes & Sectors

1. The "Agentic Loop" Trade

Concept: AI is moving from simple chatbots to "agents" that operate in loops, training themselves and performing complex workflows. • Impact: This will lead to massive job displacement in corporate departments (marketing, legal) but massive productivity gains for "solopreneurs" and entrepreneurs. • Opportunity: Invest in the "physical hardware side" (chips and energy) that feeds these agents.

2. Strategic Infrastructure (Intel & TSMC)

Intel (INTC): Visser views Intel as a "strategic necessity" for the U.S. government to ensure domestic chip supply chains. • TSMC (TSM): Acts as a natural "bottleneck" that prevents the AI revolution from moving too fast, which Visser argues is actually good for societal stability.

3. Stablecoins & Payments (Stripe)

Insight: As AI agents begin to conduct commerce, they won't use credit cards or fiat; they will use Stablecoins. • Stripe: Highlighted as the essential bridge between the old financial world and the new "agentic" economy.

4. Debasement Assets (Gold & Silver)

Sentiment: Bearish in the immediate term due to a "washout" of the trade, but the underlying macro factors (debt and deficits) remain unchanged. Visser views the current sell-off as a technical capitulation rather than a change in the fundamental "debasement" story.

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Episode Description
Jordi Visser is a veteran macro investor with 30+ years of experience and the author of the VisserLabs Substack. In this conversation, we break down the AI trade and why it's far from over, the memory shortage driving Micron, which AI models are winning and losing, how agentic loops are replacing white collar jobs, why bitcoin and the debasement trade are selling off — and what comes next. ===================== Need liquidity without selling your crypto? Take out a Figure Crypto-Backed Loan, allowing you to borrow against your BTC, ETH, or SOL with 12-month terms, 8.91% interest rates, and no prepayment penalties. Or check out Democratized Prime (https://figuremarkets.co/pomp) and earn ~9% APY on real world assets, paid hourly. Unlock your crypto’s potential today at Figure! https://figuremarkets.co/pomp Figure Lending LLC dba Figure (NMLS 1717824). Loans subject to approval. Crypto collateral may be liquidated. Terms apply - see full disclosures at figure.com/disclosures/ ===================== Uphold is the easiest way to buy and sell crypto unlike any other platform allowing you to trade in just one step between any supported asset. Check them out at https://www.uphold.com/pomp/ This video includes a paid sponsorship with Uphold. I’m compensated by Uphold for promoting its products and services and may receive commissions from referrals. Terms apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Digital assets are risky and may result in the total loss of your capital. ===================== Bitget (https://bitget.com/promotion/futures-tradfi?channelCode=regd&vipCode=nkew) is the world's largest Universal Exchange (UEX) (https://bitget.com/promotion/futures-tradfi?channelCode=regd&vipCode=nkew), serving over 125 million users with access to over 2M+ crypto tokens, and TradFi markets such as 100+ tokenized stocks, ETFs, commodities, FX and precious metal like Gold. At launch, users can trade 79 instruments with USDT directly with the App. Users can also enjoy high liquidity and low slippage, while trading these assets with up to 500x leverage. For more information on Bitget TradFi, visit this article (https://bitget.com/support/articles/12560603846859). For more information, visit: Website (https://bitget.com/) | Twitter (https://x.com/bitget) | Telegram (https://t.me/BitgetENOfficial) | LinkedIn (https://linkedin.com/company/bitget-global/) | Discord (https://discord.com/invite/bitget) For media inquiries, please contact: media@bitget.com ===================== Arch Public is an agentic trading platform that automates the buying and selling of your preferred crypto strategies. Sign up today at https://www.archpublic.com and start your automated trading strategy for free. No catch. No hidden fees. Just smarter trading. ===================== 0:00 - Intro 1:13 - Is the AI trade over? 4:11 - Micron, memory shortage, & the AI supply chain 9:54 - Intel, TSMC & the AI arms race 13:11 - Claude vs. ChatGPT vs. Gemini 24:26 - Agentic loops & job displacement 29:50 - What is the impact of regulation? 34:55 - Stripe, solopreneurs & AI commerce 38:12 - Bitcoin, gold & the debasement selloff 43:11 - Tokenization & bitcoin's third wave 45:04 - Jordi’s upcoming video
About The Pomp Podcast
The Pomp Podcast

The Pomp Podcast

By Anthony Pompliano

Host Anthony “Pomp” Pompliano talks to the most interesting people in business, finance, and Bitcoin. From billionaires to cultural icons, Pomp helps you get smarter every day.