He's Made Money On 95% Of His Deals (Here's How) | Christopher Zook
He's Made Money On 95% Of His Deals (Here's How) | Christopher Zook
Podcast39 min 35 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Consider defense technology—especially autonomous systems, drones, and AI-driven radar—as a long-term theme, supported by rising defense needs; the discussion offers no specific stock or price target.
  • Explore energy across oil, nuclear, storage, and batteries; Zook expects oil prices to rise but gave no target or timeframe, so treat that view as uncertain.
  • For private-market exposure to SpaceX, Anthropic, or OpenAI, check fees, valuation, and liquidity carefully; the funds described may allow exits only quarterly and are not suitable for money you may need soon.
  • Keep speculative investments such as crypto and private robotics small, and diversify across assets that do not all move together.
Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin and Cryptocurrency (BTC)

  • Zook said it was difficult to predict which crypto asset would win, citing Bitcoin and Ethereum as examples, and described crypto as highly volatile.
  • Rather than initially choosing a coin, his firm invested in the crypto ecosystem’s “picks and shovels”—infrastructure and blockchain businesses that could benefit as the ecosystem grew.
  • He said the firm was an early investor in companies that helped back and start Solana, which he described as a major success.
  • As the sector matured, the firm began considering other parts of the ecosystem. Zook described crypto itself primarily as a trading vehicle for him, rather than an area where he had chosen to invest for the long term.

Takeaways

  • The discussion favors exposure to the infrastructure supporting crypto over trying to predict which token will lead—but Zook’s approach is an example, not a recommendation.
  • Treat crypto exposure as high risk: the guest specifically highlighted its volatility and the possibility of sharp declines.
  • The transcript gives no price target or specific allocation recommendation for Bitcoin, Ethereum, or Solana.

SpaceX and Space Investments

  • Zook said SpaceX changed the economics of getting satellites and other equipment into space, making launches faster, cheaper, and more efficient.
  • He noted that NASA now pays SpaceX to perform some work, and described the broader space sector as having new investment opportunities.
  • SpaceX was also listed as an example of a private company investors might be able to access through certain private-market funds.

Takeaways

  • The investment case presented is based on lower-cost access to space and demand for space infrastructure.
  • Private-company exposure comes with liquidity limits: Zook said such funds may allow investors to sell quarterly, but not daily.

Defense and Defense Technology

  • Zook contrasted traditional defense contractors such as General Dynamics and Lockheed Martin with “neoprimes,” which he said build products before securing government purchases and aim to deliver them faster and more efficiently.
  • He pointed to Anduril as an example of this newer model and said its approach had encouraged other companies to enter the sector.
  • He also described investment opportunities in newer defense technologies, including radar systems and autonomous systems.
  • Zook said European allies had agreed to raise defense spending from roughly 2% to 5% of GDP, which he characterized as a potential source of substantial long-term demand.
  • He argued that inexpensive drones make costly traditional responses uneconomical, increasing the need for smarter, AI-driven defense systems.

Takeaways

  • The discussion highlights newer defense companies and technologies as potential beneficiaries of changing military needs and higher defense spending.
  • The transcript does not recommend buying any named defense contractor. Zook’s criticism of cost-plus contracting is about the business model, not an explicit sell recommendation for General Dynamics or Lockheed Martin.

Saronic (Autonomous Boats)

  • The transcript refers to “Sironic,” apparently Saronic, as the maker of an autonomous boat that Zook said helped rescue two pilots in the Strait of Hormuz.
  • He presented the incident as an example of autonomous defense technology operating without a human pilot or joystick operator.
  • He said companies of this kind were largely absent five to eight years earlier and that more are now emerging.

Takeaways

  • Autonomous systems are a specific defense-technology theme raised in the discussion.
  • The rescue example illustrates potential capabilities; it does not establish the company’s financial performance or make the stock—or any private investment in it—a recommendation.

Professional Sports Teams

  • Zook described professional sports as a scarce asset with low correlation to many other investments.
  • He said that live sports may retain value as viewers shift from cable and broadcast TV to streaming, because advertisers seeking live audiences may still need to reach viewers through sports.
  • He described U.S. sports leagues as having monopoly-like characteristics, since a competing team cannot enter without league approval.
  • As examples of private-market access, the conversation mentioned the Los Angeles Dodgers, Paris Saint-Germain, and NFL teams.
  • Zook said NFL teams receive an equal share of league distributions regardless of their individual standings, providing revenue before ticket or concession sales.

Takeaways

  • The investment case discussed rests on scarcity, league economics, and continued demand for live sports—not simply the appeal of owning a team.
  • Sports teams can be illiquid, and the transcript notes that it can be difficult to know their value between funding rounds.

GP Stakes and Private Asset Managers

  • Zook described GP stakes as ownership interests in private asset management firms.
  • He said the opportunity is tied to the growth of private-market investing: as more money moves into private assets, the firms managing that money may benefit from management and performance fees.
  • He discussed the possibility that private investments could become available through retirement accounts such as 401(k)s and 403(b)s, potentially bringing substantial new capital into the sector.
  • The conversation also described private-market funds that may offer exposure to companies such as SpaceX, Anthropic, and OpenAI, with a $2,500 minimum and quarterly—not daily—liquidity, according to Zook.

Takeaways

  • The thesis is to own interests in firms that manage private assets, rather than only paying those firms’ fees as an investor.
  • Consider the liquidity limitation: quarterly sale opportunities are not the same as being able to exit daily.
  • The transcript describes potential growth in retirement-account access, but does not provide a specific timeline or guarantee that the projected inflows will occur.

Anthropic and OpenAI

  • Anthropic and OpenAI were cited as examples of private companies that investors might access through certain funds.
  • Zook also said that stakes in private companies could have significant upside, giving examples of investments that had risen manyfold. These examples do not establish that Anthropic or OpenAI had delivered those returns.

Takeaways

  • The discussion presents private AI companies as possible high-growth investments, but provides no company-specific valuation, price target, or return forecast.
  • Private investments may be difficult to value and are not necessarily easy to sell; the fund access described was quarterly rather than daily.

Figure AI and Robotics

  • Zook said his firm was an early investor in Figure AI, describing the position as small relative to the overall portfolio.
  • He used the company as an example of a “satellite” investment: a higher-risk position that could meaningfully contribute to returns if it grew substantially.
  • He said Figure AI robots were being used to make BMWs in the southeastern United States. He also cited package-sorting robots in UPS facilities as an example of automation already in operation.
  • He warned that automation and AI could reduce demand for some jobs, naming truck driving and factory work as areas likely to change.

Takeaways

  • Robotics and automation are presented as investment themes with real-world applications, but the guest also emphasized employment disruption as a risk.
  • The transcript does not provide a Figure AI valuation, return target, or recommended position size for individual investors.

Energy, Oil, Nuclear, and Batteries

  • Zook said his firm invests across energy, including fossil fuels, small modular nuclear, energy storage, and batteries.
  • He said the energy supply-and-demand balance was “completely out of whack” and predicted oil prices would “probably” go higher, without giving a price target or timeline.
  • He described energy as both a challenge and an opportunity, and said his firm was buying some energy businesses at four times cash flow.
  • He said some investors had left fossil fuels because of personal beliefs, while arguing that energy would remain necessary for the economy.

Takeaways

  • The discussion supports considering energy across multiple technologies rather than treating the sector as only fossil fuels or only renewables.
  • Zook’s expectation of higher oil prices is an outlook, not a specific forecast: no price level or timing was given.
  • The four-times-cash-flow figure refers to businesses his firm said it was buying; it is not presented as a universal valuation rule or a recommendation to buy a particular company.

Portfolio Construction and Diversification

  • Zook said diversification is important, but warned against holding too much in investments that move together. He gave the Magnificent Seven as an example of stocks that may behave like versions of the same trade.
  • He cited the “holy grail” concept of holding 8 to 15 uncorrelated assets, which he said can reduce risk and improve returns. He emphasized that this does not mean every asset will perform well at the same time.
  • He recommended matching position size to risk and said investors should think in percentages, rather than fixed dollar amounts, to reduce emotional decision-making.
  • He said his firm first considers the worst-case scenario and whether it can live with that outcome.
  • Zook reported that his firm had made money on 95% of its realized and unrealized private-market investments over 25 years.

Takeaways

  • For individual investors, the practical lesson is to check whether holdings truly diversify one another, rather than assuming different company names mean different risks.
  • Size riskier investments so that a large decline would not force a sale or derail a broader plan.
  • The firm’s 95% figure is Zook’s stated track record and is not a guarantee of future performance.

Investment Platforms Mentioned in Sponsor Ads

  • A sponsor described the Lava card as offering Bitcoin rewards and other crypto-related services.
  • Another sponsor, Arch Public, said its platform automates strategies across stocks, commodities, and ETFs, as well as crypto, and offers tax-loss harvesting tools.

Takeaways

  • These were sponsor promotions, not investment recommendations from Zook.
  • The transcript does not provide performance evidence or a recommendation to use either service.
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Episode Description
Christopher Zook is the founder, chairman, and CIO of CAZ Investments and co-author of “The Holy Grail of Investing” with Tony Robbins. In this conversation, we break down how to build a diversified portfolio in a rapidly changing world, why CAZ invests in the picks and shovels of crypto, and the rise of neoprimes in space and defense. We also discuss the scarcity behind bitcoin, sports teams, and GP stakes, and why AI's impact on jobs keeps him up at night. ====================== Arch Public is an agentic trading platform that automates investment strategies across Stocks, Commodities, ETFs and Crypto. Whether you’re rotating into AI & Gold, allocating to the S&P 500, or accumulating Bitcoin, Arch Public executes your plan 24/7 without ever taking custody of your assets or funds. Sign up today at https://www.archpublic.com, and start your FREE automated trading strategy! ====================== Lava is a global platform for bitcoin financial services. Spend with Lava Card and earn up to 5% back in bitcoin with every purchase— all with no annual fee, no FX fees, and zero spread. Plus you can borrow against your bitcoin at the lowest rates, earn yield on cash, and move fiat or stablecoins globally. Get started at https://www.lava.xyz/POMP ====================== 0:00 - Intro 1:01 - How to invest in a rapidly changing world 3:21 - Modern portfolio theory & the holy grail of investing 7:42 - How CAZ invests in bitcoin & crypto 10:35 - Space & defense (the rise of neoprimes) 16:16 - Writing “The Holy Grail of Investing” with Tony Robbins 20:08 - Does diversification have to be boring? 26:05 - Bitcoin, sports teams & GP stakes (the power of scarcity) 32:34 - What keeps him up at night?  37:53 - Where to find the book & CAZ Investments
About The Pomp Podcast
The Pomp Podcast

The Pomp Podcast

By Anthony Pompliano

Host Anthony “Pomp” Pompliano talks to the most interesting people in business, finance, and Bitcoin. From billionaires to cultural icons, Pomp helps you get smarter every day.