Bitcoin Wins By Simply Not Playing The Time Game | Jordi Visser
Bitcoin Wins By Simply Not Playing The Time Game | Jordi Visser
Podcast59 min 9 sec
Listen to Episode
Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Capitalize on the 3-to-5-year secular buildout by investing in a diversified AI infrastructure basket of compute, optical networking, and industrial hardware featuring NVIDIA (NVDA), Marvell (MRVL), Intel (INTC), Corning (GLW), and Caterpillar (CAT).

Buy Micron Technology (MU) for favorable upside potential into year-end, supported by accelerating AI memory demand and long-term supply agreements that reduce cyclical revenue swings.

Treat price dips and consolidation in Bitcoin (BTC) as buying opportunities for a multi-year holding period as crypto rails become essential for automated machine-to-machine commerce.

Rotate capital away from high-overhead legacy banks like JPMorgan Chase (JPM) and into lean public digital fintech leaders such as Robinhood (HOOD), Coinbase (COIN), and PayPal (PYPL) that capture market share through automated settlement.

Exercise caution with upcoming frontier artificial intelligence public offerings like Anthropic, verifying that revenue growth can withstand margin pressure from open-source alternatives before participating.

Detailed Analysis

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Described as the potential S&P 500 of 10 years from now due to its independence from traditional human time systems and inflation decay.
  • Current price consolidation, interest rate hike fears, and regulatory hurdles (such as the Clarity Act) are viewed as short-term noise inside a larger secular bull market.
  • AI agents will increasingly require decentralized wallets and instant settlement rails, making crypto infrastructure a critical component of machine-to-machine commerce.

Takeaways

  • Treat pullbacks and sideways volatility as noise within a long-term secular trend.
  • Consider a multi-year holding horizon rather than attempting to time short-term cyclical moves.

Micron Technology (MU)

  • Repurchased at levels in the $700s (below $900) after new fundamental data emerged.
  • The company signed long-term supply agreements, significantly reducing traditional DRAM cyclicality and earnings volatility.
  • Compute demand from AI models is accelerating, which is driving up memory pricing and improving the probability of the stock moving higher through year-end.

Takeaways

  • Favorable risk-reward into year-end driven by structural demand for high-bandwidth memory and more stable contract pricing.
  • Investors should adjust positioning based on incoming data rather than trying to buy the exact bottom.

Figure Technologies (Private / Blockchain Lending)

  • Reported revenue growth exceeding 100% year-over-year and EBITDA growth above 50% year-over-year, achieving a rare Rule of 150 performance metric.
  • Built a leading position as the third-largest home equity line of credit (HELOC) originator in the U.S. by automating the underwriting process to approve loans in minutes and fund within days.
  • Eliminates traditional banking middlemen and friction by putting loan origination and tokenization onto the blockchain, dramatically increasing transaction velocity.

Takeaways

  • Monitor Figure Technologies as a prime example of blockchain and automation driving real-world financial efficiency.
  • Look for investment opportunities at the intersection of private credit, tokenization, and digital native lending platforms.

AI Infrastructure Basket (NVDA, INTC, MRVL, CAT, GLW)

  • A thematic AI basket featuring optical networking, compute providers, and industrial hardware—including NVIDIA (NVDA), Intel (INTC), Marvell (MRVL), Caterpillar (CAT), and Corning (GLW)—has bounced more than 50% off recent capitulation lows.
  • The recovery occurred on low volume following heavy institutional deleveraging, indicating that supply was cleared during the panic and buyers are now forced to chase.
  • The broader S&P 500 earnings are expanding at over 30% year-over-year, largely driven by the AI sector, even as stock prices have lagged earnings growth (creating multiple compression).

Takeaways

  • View the AI infrastructure trade as a 3-to-5-year secular buildout rather than trading short-term tops and bottoms.
  • Broaden AI exposure beyond pure-play chips into power, optical components, and industrial equipment beneficiaries.

Legacy Financial Institutions (JPM)

  • Large incumbent banks like JPMorgan Chase (JPM) are viewed as relative shorts compared to fast-growing, automated fintech and crypto-native firms.
  • While legacy institutions have dominant deposit bases and consumer attention, they operate with heavy corporate bureaucracies and large headcount expenses that limit growth to "human speed."
  • Fast automated settlement and tokenized credit models threaten to erode the fees and transaction spreads traditionally captured by banking middlemen.

Takeaways

  • Be cautious about overweighting traditional banking conglomerates that carry high administrative overhead and face margin pressure from automated fintech competitors.
  • Consider rotating a portion of traditional financial exposure toward digital-native brokerages and tokenized finance infrastructure.

Public Digital Fintech (HOOD, COIN, PYPL)

  • Platforms like Robinhood (HOOD), Coinbase (COIN), and PayPal (PYPL) are positioned to bridge the gap between traditional finance and blockchain settlement.
  • Robinhood has diversified beyond standard retail trading into seven to eight separate business lines generating at least $100 million in annual revenue each.
  • These companies benefit from modern tech stacks, low operating costs per transaction, and direct integration with digital assets.

Takeaways

  • Public fintech firms with lean operating models offer leveraged upside to the convergence of retail investing, crypto rails, and automated finance.

Anthropic (Private / Pre-IPO)

  • Market rumors indicate the AI research lab is preparing for a potential public offering, with annualized run-rate revenue (ARR) scaling toward the $10 billion monthly/annual run-rate milestone.
  • Key risk factor: As open-source models and specialized domain-specific models improve, enterprise clients may reduce reliance on high-cost frontier models.
  • If top-line revenue growth begins to decelerate sharply from triple-digit rates, the company faces significant valuation and multiple compression upon listing.

Takeaways

  • Exercise caution if participating in upcoming frontier LLM public offerings; verify whether growth rates can be sustained against low-cost open-source alternatives.
Ask about this postAnswers are grounded in this post's content.
Episode Description
Jordi Visser is a veteran macro investor with 30+ years of experience and the author of the VisserLabs Substack. In this conversation, we break down why the AI trade already bottomed, how bitcoin fits into the future of markets, and why companies like Figure Technologies are outgrowing legacy banks like JPMorgan. We also discuss inflation, the AI IPO wave with Anthropic and OpenAI, and how AI is reshaping everyday life — from raising kids to running a household. ==================== Arch Public is an agentic trading platform that automates investment strategies across Stocks, Commodities, ETFs and Crypto. Whether you’re rotating into AI & Gold, allocating to the S&P 500, or accumulating Bitcoin, Arch Public executes your plan 24/7 without ever taking custody of your assets or funds. Sign up today at https://www.archpublic.com, and start your FREE automated trading strategy! ==================== GalaxyOne is a financial technology platform built for people who want their cash working harder. Open an account with promo code POMP and deposit $10,000 to earn a $3,000 bonus. See site for promotion details → https://go.galaxy.app/HMiq/p57n69yy Galaxy Premium Yield is an investment note issued by Galaxy Digital LP and guaranteed by Galaxy Digital Holdings LP. It is not a bank deposit, is unsecured, and is not FDIC or SIPC insured. U.S. accredited investors only. Cash deposits held at Cross River Bank, Member FDIC. Securities products are not FDIC insured, not bank guaranteed, and may lose value. GalaxyOne Crypto is not FDIC or SIPC insured. Terms apply. ==================== 0:00 - Intro 0:50- Why stocks keep climbing despite AI fears 2:41 - Jordy's AI portfolio & calling market bottoms 7:05 - Inflation report & the Bayesian mindset 11:27 - Figure Technologies & the tokenization boom 19:47 - Why JPMorgan and legacy banks are at risk 24:18 - Bitcoin is the "S&P 500 of ten years from now" 26:14 - Anthropic, OpenAI & the AI IPO wave 31:25 - AI goes mainstream: his wife & raising kids in the AI era 42:43 - ICE deportations & the inflation debate 47:47 - Politics, protests & the AI data center fight 55:50 - Jordi’s weekly videos & how you can help him
About The Pomp Podcast
The Pomp Podcast

The Pomp Podcast

By Anthony Pompliano

Host Anthony “Pomp” Pompliano talks to the most interesting people in business, finance, and Bitcoin. From billionaires to cultural icons, Pomp helps you get smarter every day.