Kyle Forgeard Breaks Silence on SteveWillDoIt Controversy, NELK, & The Truth About Happy Dad
Kyle Forgeard Breaks Silence on SteveWillDoIt Controversy, NELK, & The Truth About Happy Dad
Podcast1 hr 22 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Consider an investment in Shopify (SHOP) as a core "picks-and-shovels" play on the booming creator economy. The platform's robustness was proven by its ability to handle massive traffic for major brands, successfully processing a merchandise drop with 300,000 concurrent users. As more influencers and creators launch their own brands, they will rely on scalable e-commerce platforms like Shopify. This positions SHOP as a key beneficiary of the massive shift towards direct-to-consumer sales. Therefore, investors can view SHOP as a long-term holding to gain exposure to this powerful trend.

Detailed Analysis

Happy Dad (Private Company)

  • Happy Dad is a hard seltzer brand founded by the Nelk Boys and their partners. It is currently a private company.
  • Business Strategy: The brand was intentionally created to be separate from the "Nelk" or "Full Send" name to build long-term, standalone value. The goal is to create a brand that can be bigger than its influencer founders, positioning it for a potential billion-dollar exit (acquisition) in the future. This strategy is compared to how George Clooney built and sold Casamigos.
  • Market Performance: Kyle states that Happy Dad is one of only two seltzer brands that are still growing, with the other being White Claw. He claims every other seltzer brand is declining.
    • Happy Dad is reportedly growing in the double digits annually.
    • White Claw is reportedly growing in the single digits.
  • Financials: The company was self-funded, and Nelk as a whole owns approximately 50% of the business. All profits are being reinvested back into the company to fuel growth. Kyle mentioned he has "not taken a penny" from Happy Dad, emphasizing the long-term focus.
  • Future Outlook: The long-term goal is to exit by selling to a larger company that can expand its distribution globally. They are currently only in the U.S. and Canada but see massive demand in places like Australia and Europe. They are not actively looking to sell at this moment.

Takeaways

  • Happy Dad's success provides a powerful blueprint for influencer-led businesses. By creating a brand that can stand on its own, they are building long-term enterprise value that is not solely dependent on their personal fame, making it more attractive for a future sale.
  • The hard seltzer market appears to be maturing and consolidating. However, Happy Dad's double-digit growth shows that brands with a strong, niche community and differentiated marketing (e.g., targeting the male demographic) can still capture significant market share.
  • For investors, this highlights the potential in looking for consumer brands that have a unique identity and a cult-like following, as they can defy broader market trends.

X (Private Company)

  • Kyle invested in X (formerly Twitter) at the time of Elon Musk's acquisition.
  • The opportunity was brought to him by his business partner, John Shahidi.
  • He considers this his "best investment."
  • Performance: Kyle mentions that his partner recently told him the investment is up approximately 6x.

Takeaways

  • The podcast gives a rare, albeit anecdotal, glimpse into the performance of a private investment in X post-acquisition. A 6x return suggests significant value is being created under the new ownership.
  • While the general public cannot directly invest in private company X, this bullish sentiment from an insider could be a positive signal for the platform's turnaround.
  • Investors interested in gaining exposure to high-growth private tech companies could look into publicly traded venture capital funds or business development companies (BDCs) that may hold positions in such assets.

Shopify (SHOP)

  • Nelk used Shopify to power their massive merchandise business, which became their sole source of revenue after being demonetized on YouTube.
  • The platform proved to be extremely robust, successfully handling 300,000 concurrent users on their website during a single merch drop.
  • At the time, Shopify informed them that their site traffic was second only to Kylie Jenner, demonstrating the platform's ability to handle enterprise-level, viral e-commerce events. One of these drops grossed $33 million.

Takeaways

  • This discussion serves as a powerful real-world stress test and endorsement of Shopify's platform. Its ability to manage immense traffic without crashing is a critical feature for large-scale brands and creators.
  • Shopify is positioned as a core "picks-and-shovels" investment for the creator economy. As more influencers launch their own brands, they need a reliable and scalable e-commerce backbone, making Shopify a key beneficiary of this trend.
  • For investors, this reinforces the bull case for SHOP as a market leader in the e-commerce infrastructure space, proving its value to some of the world's biggest online brands.
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Episode Description
Shopify: Sign up for a $1 per month trial period at https://shopify.com/ich OneSkin: Get 15% off OneSkin with the code ICED at https://www.oneskin.co/ICED #oneskinpod ZipRecruiter: Try ZipRecruiter for FREE at https://ziprecruiter.com Add us on Instagram: https://www.instagram.com/jlsselby https://www.instagram.com/gpstephan Apply for The Index Membership: https://entertheindex.com/ Official Clips Channel: https://www.youtube.com/channel/UCeBQ24VfikOriqSdKtomh0w For sponsorships or business inquiries reach out to: tmatsradio@gmail.com For Podcast Inquiries, please DM @icedcoffeehour on Instagram! Timestamps: 00:00:00 - Intro 00:01:11 - Andrew Schulz drama 00:05:07 - How many people work for Kyle? 00:06:28 - Kyle’s drinking habits 00:08:30 - Who idea was Happy Dad? 00:17:24 - Sponsor - Shopify 00:19:02 - Happy Dad ownership 00:23:07 - Early content and pranks 00:29:09 - When does money become a problem? 00:33:05 - Best and worst investments 00:35:31 - Sponsor - OneSkin 00:37:11 - Sponsor - ZipRecruiter 00:38:14 - SteveWillDoIt financial crisis 00:46:17 - Giving business advice 00:48:14 - SteveWillDoIt necklace & Graham 00:50:58 - Drinking with Elon Musk 00:58:06 - Losing visa over pranks 00:59:17 - What he should’ve been arrested for 01:03:48 - How streaming changed content 01:06:53 - Dream prank 01:10:45 - Having friends like Dana White *Some of the links and other products that appear on this video are from companies which Graham Stephan will earn an affiliate commission or referral bonus. Graham Stephan is part of an affiliate network and receives compensation for sending traffic to partner sites. The content in this video is accurate as of the posting date. Some of the offers mentioned may no longer be available. Learn more about your ad choices. Visit podcastchoices.com/adchoices
About The Iced Coffee Hour
The Iced Coffee Hour

The Iced Coffee Hour

By Graham Stephan/Jack Selby

"The Iced Coffee Hour" is a podcast hosted by Graham Stephan and Jack Selby that explores candid conversations with a diverse collection of guests, delving into their unique life journeys, successes, finances, and insights.