The Sunday Daily: Hollywood’s A.I. Moment
The Sunday Daily: Hollywood’s A.I. Moment
111 days agoThe DailyThe New York Times
Podcast37 min 36 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights

Generative AI is a disruptive force creating new investment opportunities in the entertainment industry. Disney's ($DIS) landmark partnership with OpenAI is a pivotal test case for monetizing intellectual property, representing a significant bet on the future of user-generated content. Amazon ($AMZN) is already demonstrating a competitive advantage by using AI to lower production costs and increase scale for its Prime Video service. Investors should monitor the user adoption and quality of content from the Disney/OpenAI platform as key indicators of success. The long-term winners will be companies that use AI to enhance human creativity and efficiency, not just as a cost-cutting tool that risks brand damage.

Detailed Analysis

The Walt Disney Company (DIS)

  • Announced a watershed deal with OpenAI, the creator of the Sora video generation tool. This is a major strategic shift for a company known for being extremely protective of its intellectual property (IP).
  • The deal will allow the general public to use OpenAI's tools to create their own short movies (around 30 seconds) using a library of over 200 classic Disney characters, including Yoda, Cinderella, Iron Man, and Elsa.
  • Disney's rationale is that they have "no choice" as this type of AI-generated content is already being created on other platforms. Their strategy is to get involved, get compensated for the use of their IP, and maintain some control with "guardrails" (e.g., no pornographic or otherwise inappropriate content).
  • Simultaneously, Disney sent cease and desist letters to Google to remove copyright-infringing videos from YouTube, signaling a two-pronged strategy: partner with a leading AI firm while still fighting unauthorized use elsewhere.
  • A critic on the podcast expressed concern that this move signals Disney views its creations as "content, not art," which could devalue the brand and the work of its craftspeople in the long run.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sentiment: This partnership positions Disney to monetize the powerful trend of generative AI rather than fighting a losing battle against it. By embracing user-generated content, Disney aims to stay relevant with younger audiences who "like to remix things."
  • Potential Risks: There is a significant brand risk. If the user-generated content is low quality or if the move is seen as devaluing the original "art," it could harm Disney's premium brand image. The long-term impact on the animators and creators who originally brought these characters to life is a major concern.
  • Actionable Insight: Investors should monitor the rollout of this partnership. Key metrics to watch will be user adoption of the tools, the quality of the content created, and how Disney integrates this into its ecosystem, for example, by featuring fan-created content on Disney+. This is a forward-looking, but risky, bet on the future of entertainment.

Amazon (AMZN)

  • The company's streaming service used AI to generate "hundreds of scenes" for a biblical show called "The House of David."
  • The use of AI allowed the creators to produce big, visually impressive sequences (like a "sprawling fantasy landscape" with "angels falling from the sky on fire") that would have been too expensive to film with their budget.
  • The show was a success, with 45 million people globally watching at least part of it.

Takeaways

  • Bullish Sentiment: This is a clear example of AI successfully being used to lower production costs while increasing the perceived production value of a show.
  • Actionable Insight: For a massive content producer like Amazon, this demonstrates a path to greater efficiency and scalability for its Prime Video service. The ability to create more content for less money is a significant competitive advantage in the crowded streaming market. This strengthens the investment case for Amazon's media division.

Google (GOOGL)

  • The company's AI video generator, referred to as "Vio" in the transcript, was mentioned as a tool that can already create unauthorized clips of Disney characters, such as Buzz Lightyear riding a bicycle.
  • This highlights that the technology to create such content is already widely available, which was a key driver for Disney's deal with OpenAI.
  • Google's YouTube platform was also mentioned as the target of cease and desist letters from Disney over copyright-infringing AI videos.

Takeaways

  • Key Player in AI: Google is a central competitor in the generative AI video space. Its technology is powerful and accessible.
  • Legal and Business Risk: The discussion highlights the significant legal and ethical tightrope Google must walk. As both a developer of AI tools and the host of the world's largest video platform (YouTube), it is at the center of copyright disputes.
  • Actionable Insight: Investors should watch how Google navigates these IP challenges. Its ability to monetize its AI tools while establishing clear and enforceable rules around copyright on its platforms will be crucial for long-term success and avoiding costly legal battles.

Sphere Entertainment Co. (SPHR)

  • This is the company behind Sphere, the massive, spherical entertainment venue in Las Vegas.
  • Sphere hosted an immersive "Wizard of Oz" experience where the classic film was heavily adapted using AI to fit its enormous, wrap-around screen.
  • AI was used to "upscale" the film, add more Munchkins to fill the screen, and even generate missing body parts for characters (like Dorothy's legs) in scenes where they were originally out of frame.
  • The results were described as mixed. The AI-generated Munchkins looked "dead-eyed and scary," and the manipulation of a classic film without the original creator's input was seen as problematic by "purists."
  • However, the overall experience was acknowledged to have creative potential for creating a sense of "wonder," especially for younger audiences.

Takeaways

  • Innovative but Risky: Sphere represents a new frontier of "experiential entertainment," but it comes with high execution risk. The technology is novel, but the quality of the AI-generated content is critical.
  • Mixed Sentiment: The "Wizard of Oz" example shows that simply applying AI to classic content can backfire if not done well, potentially alienating audiences.
  • Actionable Insight: Sphere is a speculative investment in the future of live entertainment. Investors should pay close attention to audience reviews, ticket sales, and the quality of future AI-enhanced productions. The company's success depends on its ability to refine its use of AI to create genuinely compelling experiences, not just technically impressive but "soulless" ones.

Coca-Cola (KO)

  • The company used AI to create a holiday season commercial featuring AI-generated trucks, penguins, and rabbits.
  • The ad was met with a negative reaction on social media, where critics called it "soulless" and "digital slop."
  • This was the opposite of the company's goal, which was to evoke "emotional warmth."

Takeaways

  • Cautionary Tale: This serves as a warning about the brand risk associated with using generative AI in marketing.
  • Actionable Insight: For a company like Coca-Cola, whose brand value is deeply tied to nostalgia and human emotion, inauthentic-feeling AI content can be more damaging than for other types of companies. This highlights that cost-cutting via AI is not always the right move, especially in consumer-facing advertising where authenticity is key.

Investment Theme: AI in the Entertainment Industry

  • The podcast draws a distinction between two types of AI:
    • Non-generative AI: Tools that assist with tasks like editing, sound design, and digital de-aging. This is already widespread and accepted in Hollywood.
    • Generative AI: Tools that create new content (scripts, images, video) from scratch. This is the new, controversial, and disruptive force.
  • Bullish Case (Efficiency and New Creativity):
    • Studios see generative AI as a way to dramatically reduce costs on labor-intensive tasks like visual effects, background scenes, and dubbing.
    • Theoretically, lower costs could allow studios to take "bolder creative risks" on more unusual projects, though this idea was met with skepticism.
    • It enables new forms of entertainment, like the interactive Disney/OpenAI partnership and immersive experiences at venues like Sphere.
  • Bearish Case (Job Loss and Creative Decline):
    • AI poses a direct threat to entire categories of jobs, including background actors, voice actors (dubbing), and visual effects artists. This is a major point of contention with Hollywood unions.
    • There is a risk of consumer backlash against content perceived as "soulless" or "digital slop."
    • Because AI tools are trained on existing data, they could lead to a more risk-averse industry that produces an endless stream of remixed, unoriginal content, stifling the "weirdness that humans bring to art."

Takeaways

  • Disruptive Force: Generative AI is not a passing trend; it is a fundamental technology that will reshape the entire entertainment industry.
  • Actionable Insight: Investors should look for companies that are adopting AI thoughtfully. The winners will likely be those who can use AI to enhance human creativity and efficiency, not just replace it entirely. The Disney/OpenAI deal is a pivotal test case. The balance between cost savings and maintaining creative quality and brand authenticity will determine the long-term winners and losers in this new era.
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Episode Description
There’s a lot of anxiety about artificial intelligence invading Hollywood; the general mood there right now could be called “doom and gloom.” But speculation about a future where A.I. actors perform A.I. scripts in A.I.-generated movies often obscures the role A.I. is currently playing in the industry. In this episode, the host Michael Barbaro talks with the Hollywood reporter Brooks Barnes and the movie critic Alissa Wilkinson about the ways that A.I. is already showing up in our movies and television today, and how they see it contributing to — and complicating — the future.   On Today’s Episode: Alissa Wilkinson is a Times movie critic. Brooks Barnes is the chief Hollywood correspondent for The Times.   Background Reading: Can You Believe the Documentary You’re Watching? Disney Agrees to Bring Its Characters to OpenAI’s Sora Videos ‘The Wizard of Oz’ Is Getting an A.I. Glow-Up. Cue the Pitchforks. Is ‘The Wizard of Oz’ at Sphere the Future of Cinema? Or the End of It?   Photo: Roger Kisby for The New York Times Subscribe today at nytimes.com/podcasts or on Apple Podcasts and Spotify. You can also subscribe via your favorite podcast app here https://www.nytimes.com/activate-access/audio?source=podcatcher. For more podcasts and narrated articles, download The New York Times app at nytimes.com/app.
About The Daily
The Daily

The Daily

By The New York Times

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