
Investors should prioritize GE Vernova (GEV) as a top-tier "picks and shovels" play for the AI energy build-out, following a massive earnings beat and a $163 billion backlog that provides revenue visibility through 2030. Google (GOOGL) offers strong upside through its internal efficiency gains and its strategic pivot toward specialized inference hardware (TPUs) designed to power the next generation of AI agents. For exposure to "Headless Software," look to legacy SaaS leaders like Salesforce (CRM) and Atlassian (TEAM), which are transitioning into essential "toll roads" by providing the data schemas that AI agents must access via API. Professional service firms like Accenture (ACN) are high-conviction plays for the "change management" cycle as they partner with OpenAI to modernize enterprise tech stacks for AI deployment. Monitor Microsoft (MSFT) as it scales its "Foundry" infrastructure to host diverse AI models, positioning itself to capture massive compute demand as OpenAI targets a staggering 30-gigawatt power capacity by 2030.
• Mentioned as a primary beneficiary of the "compute crunch." The company is a key supplier of gas turbines required for co-located power generation at data centers. • Blowout Earnings: Reported $17.44 earnings per share, significantly beating the consensus forecast of $1.67. • Massive Backlog: New orders rose 71% last quarter, bringing the total backlog to $163 billion. • Capacity Constraints: With only $45 billion in forecasted revenue this year, the company’s capacity for the rest of the decade is likely already spoken for.
• Bullish Sentiment: The stock surged 13.7% following earnings, reflecting its critical role in the AI energy infrastructure. • Energy as a Bottleneck: Investors should look at GE Vernova not just as an industrial stock, but as a "picks and shovels" play for the AI data center build-out. • Long-term Visibility: The massive backlog provides high revenue visibility through 2030, though the company may need to expand capacity to meet further demand.
• Custom Silicon: Unveiled 8th generation TPUs (Tensor Processing Units) with a strategic split: one chip optimized for model training and another dedicated to inference (running the AI). • Internal Efficiency: CEO Sundar Pichai noted that 75% of Google’s new code is now AI-generated and approved by engineers. • Enterprise Pivot: Rebranded Vertex AI into the Gemini Enterprise Agent Platform, focusing on "agentic" workflows rather than just basic machine learning.
• Inference Specialization: Google is leading a shift toward dedicated inference hardware, which is necessary to support "token-hungry" AI agents. • Monetization Strategy: Google is betting on the "control layer" (the platform used to build and manage agents) as the primary way to monetize AI in the enterprise. • Operational Leverage: The high percentage of AI-generated code suggests significant internal productivity gains that could improve margins over time.
• Headless 360: Announced a major shift toward "headless" software, where the entire platform (Salesforce, Slack, AgentForce) is exposed via APIs rather than just a visual user interface (UI). • Agentic Growth: Reported that custom agents on Slack have grown 300% since January. • Business Model Shift: Moving away from the traditional "per-seat" pricing toward consumption-based models as AI agents begin to out-use human employees.
• The "Headless" Theme: Salesforce is positioning itself as the "back-end" database for AI agents. If agents don't need to "log in" to a website to work, the value shifts to the API and data access. • Risk Factor: The traditional "per-seat" revenue model is under threat. Investors should watch how Salesforce transitions to API/consumption-based billing.
• OpenAI Compute Goals: Tripled their 2030 target to 30 gigawatts of compute power (roughly the peak demand of New York State). • Workspace Agents: OpenAI launched agents that can work in the background, follow schedules, and remember past actions, moving beyond simple chat prompts. • Microsoft Hosted Agents: Microsoft is allowing customers to run agents on its own infrastructure ("Foundry"), supporting models from rivals like Anthropic and Mistral to avoid vendor lock-in.
• Infrastructure Arms Race: OpenAI’s massive power requirements underscore the "compute crunch." • Enterprise Adoption: The shift from "Custom GPTs" to "Workspace Agents" suggests AI is moving from a novelty tool to a functional "digital employee" that performs multi-step tasks.
• Context: There is a massive shortage of power and specialized chips to meet the demand for AI "inference" (the actual running of AI models). • Insight: The "AI bubble" argument is shifting from "lack of use cases" to "compute is too expensive to meet high demand." Companies providing power (like GE Vernova) and specialized inference chips (like Grok or Cerebras) are in high-demand positions.
• Context: Software is being redesigned for agents, not humans. This means no browser or buttons, just code-to-code communication (APIs). • Insight: This could be a "boon" for legacy SaaS companies like Salesforce, ServiceNow, Workday, and Atlassian (TEAM). While "per-seat" pricing may decline, these companies own the "data schemas" that agents must access, potentially making them "toll roads" for the AI economy.
• Context: OpenAI is partnering with Accenture (ACN), Capgemini, and PwC to help enterprises deploy AI. • Insight: There is a massive "change management" opportunity. Legacy companies need help modernizing tech stacks to be "agent-ready," providing a long-term tailwind for professional service firms.
• Mistral & XAI: Reports suggest a potential "three-way partnership" between SpaceX, Mistral, and XAI (Elon Musk’s AI company) to compete with Anthropic. • NVIDIA (NVDA): Mentioned regarding their "Rubin" generation chips which will feature configurations optimized for inference. • Atlassian (TEAM): Highlighted as a potential "undervalued" play; as agents need project management (Jira) just as much as humans do.

By Nathaniel Whittemore
A daily news analysis show on all things artificial intelligence. NLW looks at AI from multiple angles, from the explosion of creativity brought on by new tools like Midjourney and ChatGPT to the potential disruptions to work and industries as we know them to the great philosophical, ethical and practical questions of advanced general intelligence, alignment and x-risk.