Ziquidated after putting my Net Worth into Zcash.
Ziquidated after putting my Net Worth into Zcash.
14 hours ago•Taiki Maeda•@thehumblefarmer
YouTube36 min 37 sec
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Consider spot ZEC only as a high-risk, catalyst-driven position tied to the planned Tachyon upgrade; the cited January 2027 target is uncertain, and the speaker’s price forecasts are speculative.
  • Avoid leverage on ZEC: the speaker was forced to close leveraged positions during a downturn, despite remaining bullish.
  • HYPE is the speaker’s preferred exposure to perp DEX growth, with a speculative thesis that it could challenge BNB over the next two years; no price target or entry point is given.
  • Selectively farming Variational may offer a potential airdrop next month, but neither the airdrop nor its value is guaranteed; monitor declining stablecoin supply as a broader crypto-liquidity warning.
Detailed Analysis

Zcash (ZEC)

  • The speaker says he was forced to close his leveraged Zcash perpetuals after a market downturn, but he still holds spot ZEC and remains bullish. He says he is now mostly in cash, with some Zcash, HYPE, and Bitcoin.
  • His bullish thesis centers on Tachyon, a planned Zcash upgrade. He says it is intended to start scaling Zcash, with goals of 200 shielded transactions per second, then around 2,000, and eventually 50,000, as well as adding post-quantum security features. He cites a developer’s target of a Tachyon shielded pool and post-quantum transparent opcodes in January 2027, while elsewhere discussing the upgrade as a nearer-term catalyst.
  • He argues that privacy, scalability, and post-quantum security could distinguish Zcash from Bitcoin, and expects some capital and developers to move toward Zcash. He also describes Zcash as a highly reflexive asset: rising prices may strengthen its privacy set and attract interest, while declines can work in the opposite direction.
  • His stated price views are highly speculative: he expects new highs above $2,000, discusses $3,000–$5,000 as possible levels, and suggests $20,000 in a scenario where Zcash seriously challenges Bitcoin. He says it could reach new highs next year, but also allows that it may chop around before the upgrade.
  • He explicitly notes Zcash has no revenue and can be very volatile. He says he may consider rebuilding leveraged exposure closer to the catalyst, but had not done so at the time of recording.

Takeaways

  • The speaker’s core idea is a catalyst-driven, long-term Zcash thesis, not a low-volatility trade. The proposed catalysts depend on the roadmap progressing and the market recognizing its relevance.
  • His experience illustrates the risk of combining high conviction, leverage, and concentrated exposure: he was forced to sell despite remaining bullish.
  • Treat the price targets and upgrade-driven upside as the speaker’s personal thesis, not as established outcomes; the transcript also acknowledges the risk of short-term volatility and a “buy the rumor, sell the news” reaction.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • The speaker still owns Bitcoin, but says it is a hedge to his Zcash position rather than his main bullish bet.
  • He questions Bitcoin’s ability to sustain its historic pattern of making new highs, citing concerns about its response to quantum-computing risks, scalability, and a perceived lack of a clear roadmap. He also points to underwhelming performance against gold and the S&P 500.
  • He says Bitcoin could trade around $70,000–$100,000 for several years and argues that some Bitcoin holders may shift part of their holdings to Zcash. He predicts that some capital allocators could move toward portfolios such as 80% Bitcoin and 20% Zcash.
  • He describes the potential rotation from Bitcoin into Zcash as a major part of his Zcash thesis, while acknowledging he may be wrong.

Takeaways

  • The discussion presents Bitcoin as a possible relative-performance risk, not as an asset the speaker has fully abandoned.
  • The specific $70,000–$100,000 range is a speculative scenario, not a firm forecast. The transcript provides no precise timing for that range beyond “the next couple of years.”
  • The proposed Bitcoin-to-Zcash rotation depends on investors accepting the speaker’s concerns about Bitcoin’s roadmap and Zcash’s potential advantages.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • The speaker is bearish on Ethereum and says he shorted it near a previous market top. He argues that Ethereum may be an unattractive asset and says some capital could rotate out of it and into Zcash.
  • He suggests Ethereum could range around $2,000–$3,000 for the next five years, while describing that outcome as a possibility rather than a certainty.
  • He uses Ethereum’s past relative performance as an analogy for his concern that Bitcoin may fail to make new highs in a future cycle.

Takeaways

  • The speaker’s view is bearish, but the transcript does not present a new ETH short position or a specific entry point.
  • The $2,000–$3,000 range and five-year timeline are his speculative scenario. His broader point is that investors should assess future catalysts and asset-specific fundamentals rather than assume past performance will continue.

Solana (SOL)

  • The speaker describes Solana as one of the “overvalued” assets from which capital could rotate into Zcash. He gives no specific price target or detailed Solana thesis.
  • He cites Solana’s past relative outperformance against Ethereum as an example of a newer asset challenging an incumbent.

Takeaways

  • The transcript’s view on SOL is cautious and relative, not a detailed bearish forecast.
  • The proposed rotation into Zcash is the speaker’s thesis; no timing, target, or specific Solana trade is given.

Hyperliquid (HYPE)

  • The speaker holds HYPE and describes Hyperliquid as one of the stronger opportunities in the perpetual decentralized exchange (perp DEX) sector.
  • He says Hyperliquid could challenge or “flip” BNB in the narrative over the next two years. This is a speculative comparison, not a price target.
  • He also expects perp DEX platforms to continue growing and says he prefers concentrating on projects he considers stronger rather than farming every new project.

Takeaways

  • The speaker sees HYPE as exposure to the growth of perp DEXs and as one of his preferred crypto positions.
  • His “flip BNB” idea is a high-uncertainty thesis, and the transcript gives no valuation, entry price, or target for HYPE.

BNB

  • BNB is mentioned as the incumbent that Hyperliquid might challenge. The speaker predicts that Hyperliquid could flip BNB in the narrative over the next two years.
  • No separate BNB investment thesis, price target, or position is described.

Takeaways

  • BNB is discussed mainly as a relative-performance benchmark for Hyperliquid, not as a standalone recommendation.

Variational

  • The speaker describes Variational as a perp trading platform and says he is bullish on it partly because he expects an airdrop next month.
  • He identifies the anticipated airdrop as a possible source of his next trade and says he plans to continue farming selected perp DEX projects.

Takeaways

  • The opportunity discussed is airdrop farming, not a priced token investment; no token ticker, valuation, or expected airdrop size is provided.
  • The transcript gives no guarantee about the airdrop’s value or outcome. The speaker’s enthusiasm should be distinguished from a confirmed return.

Lighter

  • Lighter is cited as an example of a perp DEX project whose farming produced a significant airdrop, despite claims that perp DEX farming was over.
  • The speaker says he sold his LIT at $3.05 and does not give a current price view or a plan to buy it again.

Takeaways

  • Lighter is presented as an example supporting the speaker’s continued interest in selective airdrop farming, not as a current buy recommendation.
  • The transcript gives no forward-looking target for LIT.

Pearl

  • The speaker says Pearl had risen from roughly $0.30–$0.40 in the summer to nearly $3, then fallen substantially from its highs.
  • He describes its concept as allowing Bitcoin miners to use their GPUs for AI inference while also mining Pearl. He suggests the project could benefit if miners shift toward AI-related work.
  • He says he does not own Pearl and expresses uncertainty about why investors would want to hold a token that AI companies might mine and sell.

Takeaways

  • The speaker regards Pearl as an interesting but uncertain example of an AI-and-mining theme, rather than a position he recommends.
  • The sharp rise and subsequent decline mentioned in the transcript underscore that the asset had already been highly volatile.

Monero (XMR)

  • Monero is mentioned as another privacy-focused crypto asset. The speaker says he does not own it but describes its chart as strong.

Takeaways

  • The discussion treats Monero as evidence that interest in privacy assets may be broadening, not as a specific investment recommendation.

Zama

  • Zama is mentioned as a project focused on private DeFi on-chain. The speaker says he does not own it but observes what he describes as strong accumulation in its chart.

Takeaways

  • Zama is cited as another potential beneficiary of interest in privacy-focused crypto, but the transcript provides no price target, position, or detailed investment case.

Strategy / MicroStrategy (MSTR) and STRC

  • The speaker criticizes Michael Saylor’s financial products built around Bitcoin, referring to STRC and “digital credit.” He says some Bitcoin holders question why Bitcoin needs Wall Street products to function as money.
  • He mentions a Strategy CFO’s resignation, an index delisting, and concerns about future cash projections for STRC. He also notes that Strategy could sell Bitcoin, while questioning what that might mean for Bitcoin’s price and the company’s stock.
  • No specific MSTR or STRC price target is provided.

Takeaways

  • The discussion is cautious to bearish about Strategy’s financing approach and the implications of possible Bitcoin sales.
  • These are the speaker’s concerns; the transcript does not provide enough detail to evaluate Strategy’s cash flows, financing terms, or the consequences of a potential sale.

Stablecoins and crypto liquidity

  • The speaker says the stablecoin market capitalization has been declining, which he considers concerning because less dollar liquidity in crypto could put downward pressure on many coins.
  • He says stablecoin market capitalization had remained relatively resilient after an earlier market decline, but was monitoring the more recent deterioration.

Takeaways

  • The speaker treats stablecoin supply as a market-wide liquidity signal. A continued decline, in his framework, would be a warning for crypto assets broadly.
  • This is a market indicator rather than a specific asset recommendation.

Perp DEX and airdrop farming sector

  • The speaker expects perp DEX projects to keep growing and says he plans to hold selected tokens such as HYPE and to farm new projects, including Variational.
  • He cites earlier farming activity, including Lighter, as evidence that airdrop opportunities may persist, while acknowledging that this approach may eventually stop working.
  • He says he avoids projects he considers weak and concentrates on a smaller set he believes are stronger.

Takeaways

  • The sector thesis is that selected perp DEX projects may offer both token exposure and airdrop opportunities.
  • Airdrop farming is not presented as risk-free or guaranteed. The speaker’s approach depends on selecting projects effectively, and the transcript provides no expected return or defined risk limit.

Coinbase (COIN)

  • Coinbase is mentioned because it hosted a live trading competition showcasing a new perpetuals product. The speaker says the event was enjoyable, but gives no investment view on Coinbase stock.

Takeaways

  • The company is mentioned in an event context only; the transcript provides no stock thesis, target, or recommendation.

NVIDIA (NVDA)

  • NVIDIA is mentioned only in an anecdote about Jensen Huang and as part of the speaker’s comparison to a perceived market “top signal.” The transcript provides no investment analysis of NVIDIA stock.

Takeaways

  • No actionable NVDA investment view is provided.
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Video Description
On Tuesday, I ziquidated my $ZEC perps and it was the most profitable trade in my life. Despite my ziquidation, I go over why I still remain bullish on Zcash over the next 12-24 months. In addition, the vibes in crypto has been down bad, for good reason. I share why I think crypto is going to be okay, but why coin picking will matter more than ever. I'll be looking to long ZEC again and continue farming new up-and-coming perp DEXes since that's one of the most profitable things you can do in crypto nowadays. Join the HFA Premium Discord: https://humblefarmers.xyz/ Free Newsletter: https://hfaresearch.substack.com/ New Channel: https://www.youtube.com/@FarmerTaiki Taiki's Twitter: https://twitter.com/TaikiMaeda2 HFA Research Twitter: https://twitter.com/HFAresearch PODCASTS: Crypto Market Wizards: https://www.youtube.com/playlist?list=PL6bwqqJO_txgGQySGK5-HSuTPp0LjeGqA Steady Lads: https://www.youtube.com/@0xSteadyLads Timestamps: 0:00 I got Ziquidated. 3:19 Path for $2000 ZEC 11:33 The Next Long Setup for Zcash 14:44 Bitcoin's Crisis of Confidence 22:07 Signals from other Assets (PRL, XMR, ZAMA) 27:11 Punished for Avoiding Top Signals 30:51 Final Thoughts & Where Crypto Goes from Here MY VALUES: QUALITY OVER QUANTITY A lot of content creators are incentivized to pump out content for ad revenue. Taiki has never run YouTube ads on his channel because he believes in creating quality content, not monetizing your eyeballs via ads. On top of not running any YouTube ads, Taiki has never participated in a paid promotion, a channel sponsorship, or even a CEX ref-link. PREMIUM RESEARCH HFAResearch offers a Premium subscription. This is not meant to be a "copy trading" service or a “pump and dump” signal group. Taiki publishes two premium videos and an AMA livestream every week. Think of Taiki as your personal research analyst that keeps you on top of the markets so you can focus on what you do best. You also gain access to a private discord with the largest premium DeFi community. There, Taiki also gives frequent updates as well as real-time analysis on current events in crypto.
About Taiki Maeda
Taiki Maeda

Taiki Maeda

By @thehumblefarmer

Former professional poker player turned crypto degen. I was one of the first YouTubers to cover yield farming in 2020, and now I specialize in airdrop farming as well as high conviction, thesis-driven trades. I also run Humble Farmer Army, a Premium Discord where I post three videos a week covering market updates, trade ideas, and my thoughts on the market. The North Star of this channel is my dedication to transparency and authenticity. I may not get everything right, but I always stay true to myself and don't take myself too seriously. I do not run YouTube ads or have sponsors on the channel since I believe in quality over quantity.