How to Get Rich in Crypto in the Next 3 Years w/ Kyle Soska
How to Get Rich in Crypto in the Next 3 Years w/ Kyle Soska
17 hours ago•Taiki Maeda•@thehumblefarmer
YouTube1 hr 54 min
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Note: AI-generated summary based on third-party content. Not financial advice. Read more.
Quick Insights
  • Consider HYPE as a higher-risk, long-term growth investment: Hyperliquid’s product leadership is compelling, but further upside depends on adoption beyond crypto; the discussed $200–$300 scenarios were speculative, not formal targets.
  • Keep BTC on a watchlist rather than treating a bottom as confirmed: fiscal concerns may support it, while progress toward a credible quantum-resistant upgrade could ease a key overhang.
  • ZEC merits monitoring for its ability to upgrade quickly, but assess its technology and roadmap on their own merits—not just as a hedge against Bitcoin.
  • Avoid treating TRB or similar small-cap tokens as straightforward shorts: concentrated supply and negative funding can trigger sharp squeezes, so check token distribution, custody, and funding before trading.
Detailed Analysis

Hyperliquid (HYPE)

  • Soska described Hyperliquid as the leading on-chain perpetual-futures product, citing its strong product design, user experience, and capable team.
  • He and Flood had built conviction over several years around perpetual futures. They used Hyperliquid themselves, integrated it into their trading setup, and accumulated HYPE around its launch. Flood made a particularly large purchase on launch day because he felt the opportunity was compelling.
  • Soska said the market broadly recognizes Hyperliquid’s quality, but further upside may depend on winning users beyond crypto, including traders currently using traditional options. He cited Binance’s large perp-to-options volume skew as evidence that many traders prefer perps when they have access to both.
  • At the recording, HYPE was around $94–$95. The hosts discussed a possible $200 or $300 scenario as a market call, not a formal price target. They also joked about a “HYPE hundred roll” if the token crossed $100.
  • Potential catalysts discussed included integrations with major crypto wallets and broader adoption. Potential challenges include whether Hyperliquid can reach traditional-finance users and whether the necessary regulatory and product conditions develop.

Takeaways

  • The discussion supports a bullish, long-term thesis based on product quality and the potential for perpetual futures to gain users outside crypto.
  • The case for further gains increasingly depends on broader adoption, rather than the market simply recognizing Hyperliquid’s existing strengths.
  • Soska favors focusing on products he uses and understands, while being cautious about similar offerings that do not provide a clearly differentiated experience.

Bitcoin (BTC)

  • Soska said major crypto assets, including Bitcoin, likely reached a durable cycle bottom.
  • He sees ongoing concern about quantum computing as a significant headwind. Even if a quantum threat is not imminent, he said the possibility of a serious threat within the next decade can make large holders and wealth managers reluctant to allocate.
  • He argued that Bitcoin could reprice higher once the community settles on a credible quantum-resistant upgrade. However, he also described disagreement over upgrades as a possible source of conflict and delay.
  • He noted that quantum-resistant signatures could be larger and make an already slow network slower, requiring careful technical choices.
  • He said fiscal concerns and potential currency debasement could support Bitcoin, while also noting that Bitcoin had underperformed gold over recent years.
  • Bitcoin at $1 million was mentioned as a hypothetical scenario in which rising investor wealth could lift HYPE without requiring substantial new user adoption; it was not presented as a forecast.

Takeaways

  • The transcript presents a constructive but conditional view: Bitcoin may have bottomed, but quantum uncertainty is a specific overhang.
  • The discussion suggests monitoring progress toward a credible upgrade and whether the community can agree on a path forward.
  • Soska expects a possible stronger move if the uncertainty clears, but does not give a specific Bitcoin price target or timeline.

Zcash (ZEC)

  • Soska was positive on Zcash’s ability to make upgrades relatively quickly, citing less contentious governance and a vote to reduce future block times to about 25 seconds.
  • He contrasted this with Bitcoin, where similar changes could take much longer and provoke more community conflict.
  • The host mentioned Zcash’s Tachyon roadmap and the possibility that privacy-focused chains could be relevant to post-quantum cryptography. Soska discussed the broader appeal of Zcash’s upgrade flexibility but did not provide a detailed assessment of Tachyon.
  • Soska cautioned against framing Zcash only as “insurance against Bitcoin,” arguing that an investment case should stand on Zcash’s own merits.

Takeaways

  • The discussion is bullish on Zcash’s ability to adapt and upgrade, particularly relative to Bitcoin’s more difficult governance process.
  • Consider the project’s own technology and roadmap rather than relying solely on a Bitcoin-related hedge narrative.
  • The transcript does not provide a ZEC price target or specific allocation recommendation.

Ethereum (ETH)

  • Soska said he and Flood had previously held substantial ETH and ETH-related exposure, including through their firm’s treasury and other investments.
  • They sold their ETH exposure after hearing an EigenLayer representative express concern about where yield would come from to compensate approximately $11 billion of deposited assets and support associated arrangements. Soska said they had no ETH exposure within about 48 hours; he recalled selling near $3,800, close to the local high.
  • He has criticized the idea of ETH as “money” and said he is not strongly convinced by the general L1-token investment thesis.
  • At the same time, he said ETH was “looking kind of good” at the time of the conversation. The host said that, if choosing between ETH and Solana, they would choose Ethereum, while acknowledging low conviction in ETH’s performance against BTC, ZEC, or HYPE.

Takeaways

  • The transcript presents a mixed view: ETH may trade well, but the speakers questioned its monetary and long-term investment thesis.
  • The EigenLayer story illustrates a due-diligence approach: investigate whether promised yield has a clear, sustainable source, especially when large amounts of capital depend on it.
  • The speakers did not give a current ETH price target or a clear recommendation to buy or sell.

Solana (SOL)

  • Soska described Solana as a main character in the prior cycle and discussed the possibility that assets that lead one cycle may have less relative strength in the next.
  • The host said they would choose Ethereum over Solana if forced to choose between the two, while also expressing limited conviction in ETH’s performance.
  • Soska agreed that there may be a pattern in which a prior cycle’s leading asset has difficulty maintaining the same momentum, but said he was not rushing to accumulate ETH either.

Takeaways

  • The discussion raises a relative-performance concern for Solana after its strong role in the previous cycle, but does not establish a specific bearish recommendation.
  • Treat the “cycle skip” idea as a market hypothesis, not a guaranteed pattern.

Tellor (TRB)

  • Soska described TRB as a relatively small-cap token whose spot supply he believed had become heavily concentrated. He said its price rose sharply while perpetual-futures funding was deeply negative, then surged from roughly $120 to $600 before crashing in a single move.
  • He believed the supply concentration and trading activity pointed to a cornered market, but said he did not participate as aggressively as he should have because the price was being driven by the decisions of a small number of holders.
  • Soska said the episode helped shape his view that concentrated supply can make a token’s price difficult to predict. He also said the exchange associated with custody of many of the tokens later exit-scammed; he did not identify the person behind the trade with certainty.

Takeaways

  • The story is a warning about manipulation and concentrated supply, not a recommendation to trade TRB.
  • Before shorting or buying a small-cap token, examine token distribution, exchange custody, and perpetual-futures funding. A token that appears weak can still rise sharply if supply is tight or concentrated.

Perpetual Futures and Crypto Exchanges

  • Soska sees perpetual futures as a major crypto innovation and believes they may eventually be adopted more widely in traditional finance.
  • He described Hyperliquid as having won the on-chain market for now, while viewing Binance as a leading centralized implementation.
  • He was less interested in products positioned between the best on-chain offering and a potential high-performance centralized exchange, unless they introduce a genuinely distinctive improvement.
  • He argued that strong user demand can help products overcome regulatory barriers, though the discussion also recognized that access to traditional-finance users depends on regulatory and product developments.

Takeaways

  • Perpetual futures are a long-term sector opportunity in Soska’s view, with possible growth from crypto into traditional markets.
  • The discussion favors identifying clear product leaders rather than spreading bets across many similar exchanges.
  • Regulatory access and the ability to attract users outside crypto remain important uncertainties.

On-Chain Equities and Stablecoins

  • Soska said crypto experimentation has produced products that may increasingly look like fintech or finance rather than “crypto.”
  • He expects tokenized equities to become more available on-chain and said this could allow investors to build portfolios from higher-quality assets. He cautioned that the space may not produce many winners.
  • He described stablecoins as a low-friction way to transfer value that could see broad adoption.

Takeaways

  • Tokenized equities and stablecoins are investment themes to watch, particularly as on-chain markets expand beyond crypto-native assets.
  • The discussion does not identify specific winning companies, tokens, or launch timelines.

Other Crypto Assets Mentioned

  • NEAR, Lighter, and Zcash were named by the host as assets that investors seemed to commonly own. Soska said the broader group of marquee assets had fundamental tailwinds, but did not provide specific views on NEAR.
  • Lighter and Variational came up as alternatives to Hyperliquid. Soska said he had tried competing products and was not interested in offerings that only make incremental improvements without a distinct advantage.
  • BNB, dYdX (DYDX), GMX, FTT, and Vertex were discussed as earlier exchanges or tokens tied to the development of perpetual futures. The context was historical industry competition, not a current investment recommendation.
  • Pump.fun was mentioned in connection with a decision to reduce token buybacks. Soska and Flood disagreed about how to interpret the token’s price reaction; no clear investment view was given.
  • GRASS was cited as an example of a token whose supply was tighter than many traders expected, causing speculative shorts to be squeezed before the token later weakened.
  • Bitcoin Cash (BCH) and Ripple (XRP) were mentioned in Soska’s account of early trading experiences, not as current recommendations.
  • Celestia (TIA) was cited as an example of a token that had once seemed to justify a very high valuation during the EigenLayer period.

Takeaways

  • The discussion’s most actionable point for these less-developed mentions is to examine token supply, product differentiation, and the source of value rather than relying only on popularity or past performance.
  • No price targets or current recommendations were given for these assets.

Crypto Themes and Trading Approach

  • Soska said he expects investors to become more experienced as the market matures, making durable products and credible long-term use cases more important than purely speculative narratives.
  • He emphasized that major returns often come from holding a high-conviction idea for a long period, rather than frequently changing positions.
  • He also warned that being right too early can be costly: markets may take years to recognize a thesis.
  • For smaller portfolios, he advised against making trading a full-time occupation. For larger portfolios, he favored compounding through many smaller wins while waiting for rare, unusually strong opportunities.
  • He said he reduces position size when he feels out of step with the market rather than necessarily taking a full break.
  • On shorting, he said he uses it for hedging and favors diversified baskets for speculative shorts. He warned that individual tokens can rally sharply when supply is tight, even if the underlying project looks weak.

Takeaways

  • Build positions around research and conviction, but distinguish between a long-term thesis and a trade whose timing may be wrong.
  • Avoid forcing a search for a “10x” opportunity; Soska favored steady compounding while waiting for a rare, high-conviction setup.
  • Pay close attention to position size, token supply, and the risk of being squeezed when shorting.
  • The transcript reflects the speakers’ views and examples, not personalized investment advice.
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Video Description
Kyle Soska (https://x.com/SoskaKyle) discusses his journey in crypto from being an academic researcher to a successful trader. He shares how he teamed up with Flood (https://x.com/ThinkingUSD) and how they complement each other; he also talks about the famous Hyperliquid trade, where they bid $HYPE with huge size on TGE night. We also discuss the Eigenlayer twitter/X spaces that got them to sell all their ETH, and other words of wisdom/advice on how one can succeed as a trader in crypto. Hope you enjoy! Eigenlayer twitter spaces: https://x.com/ebisu_finance/status/1777728343716360494?s=46 Recorded October 6, 2026 in Singapore Taiki’s version: 0:00 Bull or Bear Market? 2:49 Kyle’s Journey into Crypto 8:44 “Would You Be Right or Make Money?” 15:52 Teaming up with Flood 21:01 The Famous $HYPE Trade 36:02 Bitcoin and the Quantum Problem 43:20 Zcash vs Bitcoin 46:30 Selling All Their ETH 52:53 Crypto’s Real PMF 1:00:05 Are Great Traders Born or Made? 1:11:11 Memorable Trade (A Painful One) 1:21:39 Cycle Skip Theory vs 4 Year Cycle 1:26:50 Midcurve Traps & Onchain Metas 1:31:40 Hardest Lessons & How to Make It 1:37:55 Managing Tilt & the Art of Selling 1:49:02 Regrets and Final Words of Wisdom MY VALUES: QUALITY OVER QUANTITY A lot of content creators are incentivized to pump out content for ad revenue. Taiki has never run YouTube ads on his channel because he believes in creating quality content, not monetizing your eyeballs via ads. On top of not running any YouTube ads, Taiki has never participated in a paid promotion, a channel sponsorship, or even a CEX ref-link. PREMIUM RESEARCH HFAResearch offers a Premium subscription. This is not meant to be a "copy trading" service or a “pump and dump” signal group. Taiki publishes two premium videos and an AMA livestream every week. Think of Taiki as your personal research analyst that keeps you on top of the markets so you can focus on what you do best. You also gain access to a private discord with the largest premium DeFi community. There, Taiki also gives frequent updates as well as real-time analysis on current events in crypto.
About Taiki Maeda
Taiki Maeda

Taiki Maeda

By @thehumblefarmer

Former professional poker player turned crypto degen. I was one of the first YouTubers to cover yield farming in 2020, and now I specialize in airdrop farming as well as high conviction, thesis-driven trades. I also run Humble Farmer Army, a Premium Discord where I post three videos a week covering market updates, trade ideas, and my thoughts on the market. The North Star of this channel is my dedication to transparency and authenticity. I may not get everything right, but I always stay true to myself and don't take myself too seriously. I do not run YouTube ads or have sponsors on the channel since I believe in quality over quantity.